Midweek Review
Defence sector: Reliance on external support growing
Sri Lanka entered into a MoU with India for the setting up of MRCC on March 28, 2022, just three days before an externally-backed violent protest campaign was launched with the first demonstration at Pangiriwatte, Mirihana, outside President Gotabaya Rajapaksa’s private residence. That agreement had been signed between Sri Lanka and Bharat Electronics Limited (BEL), Bangalore.
The following is the relevant section from the factsheet released by the Indian High Commission on June 20 along with the press release on Dr. Jaishankar’s visit: “The project envisaged expanding the MRCC at Sri Lanka Navy (SLN) Headquarters in Colombo with Maritime Rescue Sub Centre (MRSC) in Hambantota, as well as unmanned installations at seven sub stations at Galle, Arugam Bay, Batticaloa, Trincomalee, Kallarawa, Point Pedro and Mollikulam. All these substations are networked to both the centres using leased lines for remote operation and monitoring of radio sets. The HF transmitters are installed in Welisara and Hambantota.
By Shamindra Ferdinando
With the world on a catastrophic path, mainly due to the US’ machinations, whether it be in Ukraine, Palestine or Taiwan, to mould the world solely to its own wishes, Sri Lanka’s dependence on global and regional powers ironically, too, is rapidly growing. Having bankrupted the country, the continuing utterly irresponsible political leadership is unable to even meet the basic requirements of the war-winning heroic armed forces. The situation is further deteriorating as political parties, represented in Parliament, continued their destructive political manipulations, ahead of the Presidential Poll scheduled for Sept/Oct this year.
Nearly two years after President Gotabaya Rajapaksa’s ouster, an alarming situation is developing, with the country heavily reliant on external support to sustain operational capabilities of the armed forces.
A careful assessment of the country’s defence needs, the ability/inability on the part of the government to meet them, and how to overcome these challenges, is long-overdue. Examination of various post-Aragalaya ‘events’ depicts a hopeless situation. Unfortunately, the Parliament seems wholly incapable and oblivious to the sensitive situation that may have far reaching consequences over the next decade.
The decision to downsize the Army to 100,000, by 2030, should be dealt with separately, taking into consideration the frightening deterioration of all sectors. Security sector is no exception.
Let me discuss two recent happenings to explain the country’s reliance on external assistance. Sri Lanka lacked the wherewithal to provide even basic essential equipment to the armed forces. The writer would like to examine Asian developments against the backdrop of the battle for regional and global supremacy between China and the US-led grouping that included India. In spite of being in the US camp ostensibly, when it comes to facing off with China, and also on the same page in respect of Sri Lanka, India’s foreign policy is not entirely black and white and is fashioned to meet its own requirements. The Indian stand on the ongoing war between Russia and Western proxy Ukraine is an indication of a unique foreign policy, solely based on its interests. New Delhi is also no fool to get entangled with China, unnecessarily, as a cat’s paw of the West. And the two of them, despite all their differences, seem to be getting on famously when it comes to mutual economic interests.
On the day before Indian External Affairs Minister Dr. S. Jaishankar paid an official visit to Colombo, on June 20, his first bilateral call, after his re-appointment, following the General Election in the world’s largest democracy, Indian Coast Guard Ship Sachet, an Offshore Patrol Vessel, arrived in Colombo for a two-day visit. The ship brought essential spare parts worth USD 1.2 million gratis for Sri Lanka Coast Guard Ship Suraksha. It would be pertinent to mention that India gifted Suraksha to Sri Lanka in Oct 2017 during the Yahapalana administration.
Sri Lanka received spare parts for the ship in June 2021 and April 2022. In January this year India provided assistance in refilling Halon cylinders.
India keeps on reminding Sri Lanka that such donations are in line with India’s SAGAR (Security and Growth for All in the Region) doctrine and its ‘Neighbourhood First’ policy.
Those concerned about the combined Indian strategy shouldn’t find fault with New Delhi but address political, economic and social issues that facilitated external interventions. There is absolutely no point in blaming foreign powers after having created an environment conducive for them to operate, though even far bigger and richer countries than Sri Lanka have fallen victim to Western machinations and ended in ruination or in perpetual turmoil, especially through the use of Western tools in the form of NGOs, including UNHCR.
A week before at the hangar of the No 02 Heavy Transport Squadron at the Katunayake air base, Sri Lanka received USD 3 mn worth of equipment for the military. Outgoing US Ambassador Julie Chung was present on the occasion along with Air Marshal Udeni Rajapaksa, Commander of the Air Force.
The Air Force Headquarters, in a statement issued on June 13, declared that the consignment for the SLAF included air mobility equipment and aircraft spare parts for the No. 02 and No. 03 Squadrons to be utilized for C-130 aircraft and specifically for the Beechcraft King Air 360 ER. According to the statement, the Air Force would soon take delivery of Beechcraft King Air 360 ER. The total value of the consignment, received by the Air Force, was estimated at over USD 1.6 million.
Sri Lanka should be grateful for such generous donations, but those come with strings attached and cannot ignore the growing danger in failing to meet its own defence requirements.
International Day of Yoga seems to be part of the overall approach and apparently successful. An indigenously designed and built anti-submarine warfare (ASW) corvette of the Indian Navy INS Kamorta arrived at the strategic Trincomalee Port on June 20th. The INS’s arrival coincided with Dr. Jaishankar’s high profile visit. India marked the 10th International Day of Yoga by organizing a yoga event onboard and alongside the visiting INS Kamorta on the following day. Governor of Eastern Province Senthil Thondaman was among those present. Let us hope it was also not an act of gunboat diplomacy on the part of New Delhi and let us simply take it as a coincidence. But the neighbour in the past has been a terrible bully, who muddied the waters here, which we have yet to overcome, especially with the West continuing to poke us with totally unproven war crimes allegations, while conveniently forgetting the worst possible genocide they are committing in Palestine, especially with the US providing most of the destructive material.
What made INS Kamorta’s visit really interesting is the cancellation of a media release issued by the SLN on the day of the vessel’s arrival at Trincomalee. What prompted the SLN to withdraw a simple press release issued on the latest INS visit? Perhaps the Indian High Commission wanted to make the announcement of the visit in line with its overall approach. The press release issued by the Press, Information and Cultural section of the Indian High Commission on the following day was headlined ‘Yoga onboard visiting Indian Naval Ship Kamorta’.
Indian Naval Submarine Vagir joined International Day of Yoga celebrations last year. The press release emphasized such visits aimed to foster brotherhood and togetherness between the two the Navies in line with India’s ‘Neighbourhood First’ policy and SAGAR vision.
Sarvajana Balaya issues warning
Sarvajana Balaya, consisting of ex-SLPP constituents and Mawbima Janatha Peramuna (MJP), has emerged as the only party (not a registered party yet) to publicly oppose the Indo-US game plan here that should be examined taking into consideration current geopolitical developments.
One-time JVP firebrand, Wimal Weerawansa, MP, recently repeated what he sees as the mounting Indian threat to the country’s political and economic independence. Weerawansa and his colleagues on the Sarvajana Balaya platform, at their inaugural meeting, explained how President Ranil Wickremesinghe pursued his Indian agenda with the support of the ruling SLPP.
In a way we can understand the behaviour of the Rajapaksas, especially after how they suffered at the hands of the Aragalaya storm troopers, who were described as peaceful protesters by Ambassador Julie Chung, especially on the night of May 09, 2022. They were more like the US-sponsored Nazi ‘storm troopers’ who took part in the Maidan coup in Ukraine in 2014 and thereafter.
Perhaps, Sarvajana Balaya’s most important declaration, at the Nugegoda rally, was nothing but the claim the new alliance genuinely represented the interests of the Gotabaya Rajapaksa’s electorate at the 2019 Presidential Poll. Having declared that India intended to transform Sri Lanka into a vassal state, MP Weerawansa explained how India gradually took over the country with the backing of the political party system here.
But the actual issue or rather the daunting challenge faced by Sarvajana Balaya is whether the new coalition could convince the electorate that MJP represented the interests of people who voted for Gotabaya Rajapaksa and the SLPP at the 2019 Presidential and 2020 General Elections, respectively. That wouldn’t be an easy task. In fact, Sarvajana Balaya appears to have so far failed to fathom the gravity of the developing situation. Whatever the treacherous crimes that had been perpetrated by those who exercised political authority over the years, the electorate time after time elected the most corrupt at all levels.
The frequency of Dr. Jaishankar’s visit underscores the pivotal importance New Delhi has attached to its Sri Lanka project. Dr. Jaishankar has visited Sri Lanka four times – in January 2021, March 2022, January 2023 and October 2023. The recently concluded visit is the fifth and perhaps the last before the next Presidential Poll later this year.
During his latest visit, Dr. Jaishankar and President Wickremesinghe jointly commissioned the virtual ceremony Maritime Rescue Coordination Centre (MRCC), a nerve centre for Search and Rescue operations at sea established with an Indian grant of USD 6 million. The project is of strategic importance though Sri Lanka never bothered at least to properly examine the MRCC project. What is MRCC? How does it function? And who really benefited from such an endeavour? These are some of the pertinent questions that need lucid answers.
Sri Lanka entered into a MoU with India for the setting up of MRCC on March 28, 2022, just three days before an externally-backed violent protest campaign was launched with the first demonstration at Pangiriwatte, Mirihana, outside President Gotabaya Rajapaksa’s private residence. That agreement had been signed between Sri Lanka and Bharat Electronics Limited (BEL), Bangalore.
The following is the relevant section from the factsheet released by the Indian High Commission on June 20 along with the press release on Dr. Jaishankar’s visit: “The project envisaged expanding the MRCC at Sri Lanka Navy (SLN) Headquarters in Colombo with Maritime Rescue Sub Centre (MRSC) in Hambantota, as well as unmanned installations at seven sub stations at Galle, Arugam Bay, Batticaloa, Trincomalee, Kallarawa, Point Pedro and Mollikulam. All these substations are networked to both the centres using leased lines for remote operation and monitoring of radio sets. The HF transmitters are installed in Welisara and Hambantota.
The hardware for the project was delivered between September 2023 and January 2024. Installation commenced soon thereafter and was completed expeditiously in end February 2024 meeting the agreed timelines. Extensive trials were undertaken prior to the formal commissioning today. The Agreement also includes Annual Maintenance Contract (AMC) support for a period of five years by BEL.
The establishment of this facility is expected to greatly enhance the capability of SLN to receive and respond to distress calls from vessels operating in Sri Lanka’s SAR region of responsibility including from Sri Lankan fishing boats fitted with VHF/ MF/ HF radios. The system also helps broadcast weather warnings and security information, thus mitigating danger and saving lives.”
Over 15 years after the successful conclusion of the war, an unprecedented challenge has emerged. Actually, emerging foreign policy challenges should be carefully examined and addressed taking into consideration national interests. The foreign policy should be a priority issue for major presidential contenders President Ranil Wickremesinghe, SJB leader Sajith Premadasa and JVP/JJB leader Anura Kumara Dissanayake. Sarvajana Balaya, though it has yet to officially announce its candidate entrepreneur Dilith Jayaweera is widely believed to be its choice.
External manipulations
Sri Lanka never investigated external interventions in President Gotabaya Rajapaksa’s ouster in July 2022. The Wickremesinghe-Rajapaksa government is determined not to do so for obvious reasons. The Human Rights Commission, as well as Parliament, indicated in no uncertain terms that March 31-July 14, 2022 events wouldn’t be probed at any level and whatever the new disclosures in respect of the ‘GotaGoHome’ movement, they would turn a blind eye.
Speaker Mahinda Yapa Abeywardena must have regretted a thousand times his decision to reveal external interventions meant to take control of the country by having an interim President answerable to the conspirators. Abeywardena, who had been elected from the Matara district at the last parliamentary poll conducted in August 2020, was the consprators’ choice. Perhaps, doing away with the Rajapaksa government not entirely subservient to the US-led camp had been their major priority.
A recent statement attributed to the next US Ambassador to Colombo Elizabeth K. Horst emphasized that they expected Sri Lanka to toe their line in return for various favours bestowed on the bankrupt country. There cannot be a better example than the US influenced ban on visits by foreign research vessels during the 2024 period.
Former Minister and top Sarvajana Balaya spokesman Udaya Gammmanpila explained how the US manipulated the Wickremesinghe-Rajapaksa government at will. Referring to the controversy over CIA Chief William J. Burns’ clandestine visit to Colombo in February 2023, the next US Ambassador to Colombo Elizabeth K. Horst had revealed that Sri Lanka announced a one-year ban on foreign research vessels’ entry into Sri Lankan waters, beginning January 1 this year, at the behest of Washington.
The government never responded to this shocking revelation. Horst made the disclosure when she appeared before the US Senate Foreign Relations Committee on 09 May.
The former Power and Energy Minister said that Horst’s initial statement and her responses to questions raised by members of the committee could be accessed from www.senate.gov
During her testimony, Horst stressed the need to monitor Chinese research vessels in the Indian Ocean.
“We have huge concerns and we have asked for that moratorium. We think it is in Sri Lanka’s best interest,” she said.
The Ambassador Nominee stressed the importance of collaborating with Sri Lanka to enhance its maritime patrol capabilities to safeguard sovereignty and regional stability. Gammanpila said the Foreign Ministry owed an explanation regarding the disclosure made by Horst.
Declaring that the US targeted China, Attorney-at-Law Gammanpila noted that however the US and German research vessels were allowed into Sri Lanka this year. The ex-Minister emphasized that the government’s stand that US and German vessels had been allowed for only replenishment wasn’t acceptable and the ban imposed at the US demand jeopardized Sri Lanka’s relations with China. If Sri Lanka for whatever reason decided to deny entry to research vessels, that should apply to all countries, the former Minister said.
Perhaps, brief statement made by Defence Attaché at the United States Embassy in Colombo, Lieutenant Colonel Anthony Nelson, at the event at the Katunayake air base, on June 12, where they handed over equipment and spares worth USD 3 mn, explained the situation. A statement issued by Air Force Headquarters quoted the US official as having said: “Today’s USD 3 million equipment transfer marks another important milestone in our long-standing partnership with Sri Lanka. Enhancing Sri Lanka’s security contributes to regional stability and peace, benefiting everyone. We are proud to support initiatives that strengthen our ties in ways that help Sri Lanka safeguard their waters, promote regional security, and ensure the prosperity and safety of the Sri Lankan people.”
Maybe an overview of the country’s security status is a necessity. Especially against the backdrop of the overthrow of President Gotabaya Rajapaksa two years ago, whatever the blunders made by his administration, post-Aragalaya security overview is a must. The country cannot ignore ousted President Gotabaya Rajapaksa’s allegations that the security establishment deliberately failed him due to external interventions. The former President, who had served the Army in his younger days and retired having reached the rank of Lt. Colonel, declared that external powers influenced the rapid collapse of his administration. The government treated the accusation the same way it dealt with Wimal Weer0awansa’s high profile revelation regarding foreign intervention and Speaker Abeywardena’s confirmation of the same a year later.
Midweek Review
July 09: An inexcusable overall security failure and exceptional contingency plan
Ulugetenne
The Sri Lanka Navy, on 04 June, commissioned SLNS Samudravijaya, formerly United States Coast Guard Cutter Decisive. It is the fourth mothballed US Coast Guard cutter transferred to the SLN through the US Excess Defence Articles Programme. President Anura Kumara Dissanayake attended the ceremony at the Colombo Port. The US Embassy in Colombo, in a statement issued on the same day, quoted Defence Attaché Lieutenant Colonel Matthew House as having said: “Few partners have demonstrated the commitment to maintaining and operating these vessels as successfully as the Sri Lanka Navy. The outstanding condition and operational performance of SLNS Samudura, SLNS Gajabahu, and SLNS Vijayabahu are a testament to the professionalism and technical expertise of Sri Lankan sailors. Their stewardship of these vessels helped build the confidence that made this fourth transfer possible.” The first of the four vessels SLNS Samudura was commissioned on 19 February, 2005, during Chandrika Bandaranaike Kumaratunga’s tenure as the President. Milinda Moragoda, Economic Reforms and Science and Technology Minister of the previous UNP-led UNF government, played a significant role in acquiring that vessel. SLNS Samudura boosted SLN and participated in numerous operations, including the high profile hunt for LTTE floating warehouses, during the Eelam War IV. But, the US refrained from transferring any more big ships during the war though on the then Navy Commander Vice Admiral Wsantha Karannagoda’s request to provide intelligence and Washington obliging, made the successful hunt for LTTE floating arsenals in the last stages of the war possible. The transfer of the second vessel took place 19 years after the end of the war. Ex USCG Sherman was commissioned 06 June, 2019, as SLNS Gajabahu (P626). The third vessel was transferred to the Sri Lanka Navy on October 26, 2021, as the country was heading towards an unprecedented economic crisis. That vessel was commissioned as SLNS Vijayabahu at the Colombo Port with the participation of President Ranil Wickramasinghe and US Ambassador to Sri Lanka Julie Chung on November 20, 2022. Ironically SLNS Gajabahu, one of the ex-US vessels prominently figured in the contingency plan to save President Gotabaya Rajapaksa, but whose downfall was engineered by the US.
By Shamindra Ferdinando
The moment President Gotabaya Rajapaksa decided to take up residence at the President’s House (Janadhipathi Mandiraya), Fort, in the first week of April, 2022, the Navy had no option but to prepare a thorough contingency plan, in case the regime change project posed a realistic threat to the life of the President.
The President, in consultation with senior military officers, made his move within 48 hours after violence erupted outside his private residence at Pangiriwatte, Mirihana, on the night of 31 March, 2022. That decision seemed realistic and sensible at that time.
But, in the wake of the disastrous overall armed forces response to the coordinated violence unleashed by the regime change project on 09 May, 2022, in the aftermath of the Temple Trees ordered attack on Galle Face protesters, the top brass must have recognised the urgent need for total overhauling of security strategy. But, unfortunately, that hadn’t been the case. With violent crowds overwhelming the armed forces, deployed to block them, rapidly approaching the President’s House, those who had been at the makeshift Operations Room there were stunned.
In hindsight, the President’s decision to remain at the President’s House, regardless of the near failure on the part of the armed forces to repulse the raid on Temple Trees, on 09 May, seemed unwise. The rescue operation could have gone wrong and the war-winning President Mahinda Rajapaksa could have ended up in the hands of an angry mob.
Perhaps, the conspirators envisaged the President’s move, from Pangiriwatte to the President’s House, situated walking distance away from the Galle Face protest site, where they could draw additional strength.
The failure on the part of the government to take tangible measures, in the wake of the President’s House becoming the sole target on that fateful day, is a contentious issue that needs to be properly investigated. Don’t forget that the court case filed over the 09 May attacks on the residences and properties belonging to SLPP politicians, and some supporters ,was later withdrawn. The Wickremesinghe-Rajapaksa government never investigated the 09 May incidents.
Exactly two months after the mobs almost succeeded in breaking through defences at Temple Trees, on the night of 09 May/10, where Prime Minister Mahinda Rajapaksa was residing, they mounted the assault on the President’s House.
In the wake of the 09 May mayhem, President Gotabaya Rajapaksa named Lt. Gen. Vikum Liyanage as the Commander of the Army. He succeeded General Shavendra Silva who served as the CDS but was out of the country when all-out mayhem was unleashed by the Aragalaya mobs on 09 July, 2022, to oust the sitting government.
In spite of a direct and growing threat to the President’s House, on 09 July, 2022, the President felt confident in meeting the challenge. The President issued a directive to the Secretary, Ministry of Defence, General (retd.) Kamal Gunaratne, to shift the Operations Room from the Defence Force Headquarters, at Akuregoda, to the President’s House. Having shifted the Operations Room on 08 July, 2022, to the President’s House, as directed by the President, the top brass prepared to face the challenge.
Maj. General K.B. Egodawela, who served as an Additional Secretary (Administration) to the President, from the day the President moved to the President’s House, till he vacated on 09 July, 2022, in his memoirs ‘Aragalaya: Adarayen Prachandathwayata’ (From Love to Violence) revealed that though the top brass opposed the shifting of the Operations Room they carried out the directive. While the President felt that the top brass could collectively work at the President’s House to bring the situation under control, Gen Gunaratne proposed that the President should move to Akuregoda Defence Forces Headquarters, according to Egodawela. In fact, Gunaratne, who had been with Gotabaya Rajapaksa from the very beginning of the sinister campaign, strongly opposed the President’s decision to remain there.
Obviously, the President’s House pathetically failed to ascertain the scale of the protest and the rapidity with which protesters overwhelmed troops deployed outside the President’s House stunned the top brass. Had they swiftly reached consensus on Gen. Gunaratne’s suggestion, perhaps the 09 July regime change operation could have been thwarted. The armed forces could have resorted to tougher measures to prevent a march on Akuregoda Defence Forces Headquarters had the President agreed to move there.
Within two hours after the protest, targeting the President’s House began, video footage provided by drones indicated that troops couldn’t hold the rampaging mobs any longer. According to Egodawela, the top brass had been prepared to remove the President, even without his consent, by landing a helicopter in the Colombo harbor or by ship. Finally, they resorted to the second option. As the President and First Lady Ayoma got into a vehicle and took the rear exit into the adjoining former Navy Headquarters, mobs entered the President’s House. Another vehicle carrying several other persons followed.
The then Navy Commander Vice Admiral Nishantha Ulugetenne who had been with the President at the President’s House got into the vehicle carrying the President. Had they stayed at the President’s House for 10 more minutes, the consequences could have been devastating. https://island.lk/gotabayas-escape-from-aragalaya-mob-in-rti-spotlight/
Egodawela, who had been with the President from the very beginning of the presidential term, alleged that the raiders planned to kill the President and several others and display their bodies. The author quoted an unidentified intelligence officer as having told him that the raiders wanted to display the bodies the way LTTE leader Velupillai Prabhakaran’s body was shown.
Perhaps shifting the Operations Room from Akuregoda Defence Force Headquarters to the President’s House had been a risky move that, in a way, facilitated the regime change operation. The rationale in bringing those who had been tasked with countering the impending threat to one place (President’s House) to be with the target (Gotabaya Rajapaksa) seems unbelievably a dicey move. The President had been influenced by what he described as inordinate and unforgivable delay on the part of the Akuregoda Operations Room to carry out timely evacuation of Prime Minister Mahinda Rajapaksa on the night of 09 May from Temple Trees. Most probably, the President wanted to oversee the 09 July counter operation personally. But, in hindsight, the decision to shift the Operations Room from Akuregoda to the President’s House obviously hadn’t been a clever move.
SLN preparations
When mobs threatened to overwhelm the President’s security at Pangiriwattta, on 31 March, additional police and STF contingents were brought in. They were followed by the Navy and Air Force. The Army arrived at the scene, subsequently.
As pointed out by the President himself, the situation at Temple Trees, on 09 May, had been far worse and the combined police and armed forces response revealed that they hadn’t taken precautionary/counter measures, even after the Pangiriwatta fiasco.
At the time of the incidents, the overall Temple Trees security deployment included about 60 elite Special Boat Squadron (SBS) personnel deployed within the premises and were supplemented by seven SLN platoons. The Army also moved in to strengthen Temple Trees defences but the mobs pressed on till troops fired blank ammunition.
The top brass, directing counter measures from Akuregoda Defence Force Headquarters, had to act swiftly and decisively to evacuate those at the Temple Trees or face the consequences. As there hadn’t been any other alternative place of living proposed, Prime Minister Mahinda Rajapaksa, wife Shiranthi and their eldest son Namal were escorted to nearby former Air Force Headquarters and from there flown to the Trincomalee Navy base. VA Ulugetenne, over the phone, issued instructions to the relevant officer in Trincomalee to make arrangements as two helicopters carrying the group took off from the helipad on the top of the former Air Force Headquarters. The helicopters departed around 04 in the morning.
They had stayed at Trincomalee Navy House for about a week and, as requested by the Navy, paid for their stay because by then Mahinda Rajapaksa had resigned. Perhaps, they could have taken refuge at the Panagoda Army cantonment or at Saliyapura, home to the Gajaba Regiment, but, at the end, sought the protection at the Trincomalee Navy base.
Ironically, President Gotabaya Rajapaksa, too, had to take refuge at the Trincomalee Navy base, exactly two months later. Ever since the President moved into the President’s House, Fort, the Navy had been on their toes to meet any eventuality. The daunting task of arranging evacuation by sea fell on the shoulders of VA Ulugetenne, who, meticulously, planned the operation with his staff.
Having informed the President of the contingency plans, VA Ulugetenne stationed two Advanced Offshore Patrol Vessels (AOPVs), namely SLNS Sindurala and SLNS Gajabahu and four Fast Attack Craft (FACs), at the Colombo Port. It would be pertinent to mention that SLNS Sindurala, built at the Goa shipyard, in terms of an agreement signed at the tail end of the Mahinda Rajapaksa government, was adjudged the best vessel in the SLN fleet in 2022.
Additional SBS personnel and snipers, too, had been brought in to Colombo though none of them knew exactly what their task would be. The OPV and FAC crews most probably felt that they were awaiting orders for a major anti-drug operation in the high seas.
As the decision was made to evacuate the President and the First Lady, the Chief alerted the vessels and quickly deployed tugboats to pull SLNS Sindurala and, shortly thereafter, SLNS Gajabahu, formerly of the US Coast Guard, carrying the President and the First Lady. By the time the two AOPVs moved in different directions, on the instructions of VA Ulugetenne, the hand phones of SLNS Gajabahu crew were collected to prevent them from revealing what was happening. Along with the AOPVs, two pairs of FACs had moved out to sea. (https://island.lk/ranil-reveals-bid-to-get-rid-of-him-while-gr-was-fleeing-to-trinco-on-board-slns-gajabahu/)
Nearly 12-hour journey to Trinco
The SLNS Gajabahu, formerly of the US Coast Guard, had a crew consisting of over 100 officers and men. Someone, most probably a port employee, posted a short clip of some unidentified persons taking large travelling bags into the ship but the President, First Lady and VA Ulugetenne going in were never captured on a camera.
As the vessel began its journey towards Trincomalee, it remained approximately 12 nautical miles from land and the President received many calls, some of which weren’t answered. VA Ulugetenne, too, received quite a number of calls. Those familiar with the developments at that time said that some felt that SLNS Gajabahu should move out of Sri Lankan waters. There had been suggestions that the destination should be the Maldives, India or Singapore. Regardless of such suggestions, SLNS Gajabahu proceeded towards Trincomalee where the Navy made necessary arrangements to host them.
Captain Marlon Perera, who still serves the Navy, had been the Commanding Officer of the vessel. Perera now holds the Commodore rank.
During the journey precautions were taken to ensure the safety and security of the President and the First Lady. Although the crew hadn’t been aware that they would be entrusted with such a sensitive task at a time the country was in crossroads against the backdrop of an economic collapse and sovereign default, there were fears of the crew being affected by propaganda in support of regime change operation.
The attempt made by sailor Wijemuni Vijitha Rohana de Silva to cause harm to Indian Prime Minister Rajiv Gandhi, way back in July, 1987, underscored the necessity to take precautions during the Colombo-Trincomalee journey as the possibility of anti-Gotabaya campaign having an impact on at least some members of the ship crew couldn’t be ruled out.
On July 30, 1987, during a guard of honor in Colombo, the 21-year-old naval rating struck Gandhi on the shoulder and back with the butt of his rifle. Gandhi narrowly avoided the full impact of the blow by evasive ducking.
On the invitation of VA Ulugetenne, Gotabaya Rajapaksa attended all the formalities in respect of a visit undertaken by the President to the Trincomalee Navy base. The President participated in those formalities knowing that he couldn’t attend the commissioning parade that was scheduled to be held on 15 July, 2022. The Navy was not in a position to put off the commissioning parade hence the decision to invite Defence Secretary Gunaratne as the Chief Guest.
Ulugetenne retired from active naval service on 18 December, 2022, following a distinguished career, spanning over 37 years. He received the appointment as the 24th Commander of the Navy in July, 2020, just a couple of months after Gotabaya Rajapaksa’s election as the President.
Wickremesinghe, in his capacity as Gotabaya Rajapaksa’s successor, appointed Ulugetenne as Sri Lanka’s Ambassador to Cuba. The appointment was made in late 2023 and the retired Navy Chief presented his credentials to Cuban President Miguel Díaz-Canel on 13 February, 2024 (https://island.lk/from-fonseka-convictions-to-arrest-of-ulugetenne/)
However, within weeks after the last presidential election held in late November, 2024, the NPP government recalled over a dozen top envoys appointed by the previous administration. Admiral Ulugetenne was among them. The government deprived a decorated officer, who had served the country for nearly four decades, from completing his term in Havana. Within months after his return, he became the target of a murder investigation.
Then out of the blue the retired Navy Chief became the focus of a murder investigation, that, too, post-war. The Criminal Investigation Department (CID) arrested him on 28 July, 2025, over the disappearance of a person reported in July, 2020.
Kurunegala High Court Judge Tikiri Jayatilleke, on 14 October, 2025, granted him bail. Jayatilleke declared that the CID acted in an illegal manner in respect of the former Navy Commander. His counsel Kalinga Indatissa, PC, alleged in court that his client had been apprehended only on the basis of an ex-LTTE cadre’s allegation in the absence of any evidence
The next hearing is scheduled for 08 July, 2026. Ulugetenne was held at the Kegalle Prison for four days and then transferred to the Dumbara (Pallekale) Prison. Altogether, he was in prison for 80 days, like a common criminal, despite him being a former Navy Commander with an unblemished career record.
Wartime Chief of Naval Intelligence, Rear Admiral (retd) Sarath Mohotti, who had been also arrested in connection with the same investigation, was also granted bail, a few weeks later.
Midweek Review
India should convene a regional El Niño preparedness dialogue in Delhi
El Niño events have historically been associated with weaker monsoons in South Asia, erratic rainfall patterns, and increased risks of droughts and floods.
The coming months could bring South Asia and the wider Indian Ocean region a dangerous mix of climate shocks, economic strain, and geopolitical instability. At the centre of this looming challenge is the anticipated El Niño event, which is likely to disrupt monsoon patterns, intensify weather extremes, and place additional pressure on already fragile food, water, and energy systems.
But El Niño will not arrive in isolation. It will intersect with continuing global disruptions—from the war in Ukraine to instability in the Middle East—each of which continues to reverberate through energy markets, food supply chains, and shipping routes. The combined effect is likely to be cumulative, not linear.
This is, therefore, a moment that calls for anticipatory regional coordination rather than fragmented national responses.
A record of regional first response
There is already a clear precedent for such coordination in the region.During the COVID-19 pandemic, India emerged as a key first responder, supplying vaccines, medicines, and logistical support across the neighbourhood under its “Neighbourhood First” policy. This helped establish a practical framework for regional cooperation in times of systemic stress.
More recently, India played a similar role during the economic crisis in Sri Lanka, providing critical financial assistance, fuel, and essential supplies at a moment of acute vulnerability. India has also been among the first responders during major climate-related disasters, including cyclone events such as Cyclone Ditwa, delivering rapid humanitarian assistance.
These are not isolated gestures. They reflect an emerging pattern in which India increasingly functions as a stabilising force in the wider region.
This trajectory is reflected in India’s evolving regional frameworks—from Neighbourhood First, to SAGAR (Security and Growth for All in the Region), and now the broader MAHASAGAR vision, which signals an expanded maritime and regional engagement architecture.
Why El Niño is different this time
El Niño events have historically been associated with weaker monsoons in South Asia, erratic rainfall patterns, and increased risks of droughts and floods. In a region where agriculture remains highly climate-sensitive, even modest deviations can translate into inflation, rural distress, and fiscal pressure.
This year, however, the risks are compounded by global fragilities:
* Persistent food and fertilizer price volatility
* Elevated energy costs linked to geopolitical tensions
* Supply chain disruptions in key commodities
* High debt burdens in several neighbouring economies
Together, these factors reduce the resilience of national systems and increase the risk of cascading shocks across borders.It is also important to recognise that social instability in some fragile countries in the region should be kept in mind, as climate shocks and economic pressures can quickly reinforce each other and create wider humanitarian and political consequences.
The case for a Delhi-based regional initiative
Against this backdrop, there is a strong case for India to convene a regional El Niño preparedness dialogue in Delhi, bringing together neighbouring countries, key development partners, and multilateral institutions.
This should not be limited to South Asia alone. The impacts of El Niño extend across the wider Indo-Pacific and Indian Ocean region. Participation could include:
* Neighbouring states in South and Southeast Asia
* The United Nations system
* The World Bank and Asian Development Bank
* Key bilateral partners such as Japan and others active in regional resilience
Given its geographic position, institutional capacity, and experience as a first responder, it is both natural and appropriate for India to chair such an initiative.
What the initiative should focus on
The objective should be practical coordination rather than declaratory statements. Three areas stand out:
1. Shared forecasting and early warning systems
Strengthening real-time exchange of climate data, monsoon projections, and sectoral risk mapping, particularly for agriculture, water, and fisheries.
2. Contingency planning for essential supplies
Coordinating regional approaches to food reserves, fertilizer availability, and energy supply buffers during climatic disruptions.
3. Disaster response and financing coordination
Improving interoperability among disaster management systems, and exploring rapid-response financing through multilateral development banks for climate-related shocks.
From Neighbourhood First to MAHASAGAR
India’s regional doctrine has steadily evolved—from Neighbourhood First to SAGAR, and now MAHASAGAR—reflecting a broader conception of responsibility in the Indian Ocean region.Each stage has expanded the scope of engagement: from immediate neighbourhood assistance, to maritime cooperation and growth, to a wider vision of regional interconnectedness.
A structured El Niño preparedness initiative would be a natural continuation of this trajectory, embedding climate resilience into the region’s evolving strategic architecture.
Climate as regional security
The distinction between climate events and security outcomes is increasingly blurred. A failed monsoon in one country can trigger food inflation in another; a cyclone can disrupt trade routes; droughts can accelerate migration pressures and fiscal instability.
El Niño should therefore be seen not only as a meteorological phenomenon but as a systemic stress test for regional resilience.
India is already widely seen in the region as a first responder in times of crisis. The experiences of COVID-19, the Sri Lankan economic emergency, and climate-related disasters have reinforced this role in practical terms.
The next step is to move from reactive response to anticipatory coordination.
A Delhi-based regional El Niño preparedness meeting—anchored by India and supported by multilateral institutions and key bilateral partners—would be a timely and pragmatic initiative. In an era of compounding global risks, regional cooperation is no longer optional; it is essential.
(Milinda Moragoda is the Founder of the Pathfinder Foundation. Can be contacted via email@milinda.org, courtesy wionews.com.
by Milinda Moragoda
Midweek Review
Beyond Harsha’s IMF “Revelations”
“A demagogue is one who preaches doctrines he knows to be untrue to men he knows to be idiots.” — H.L. Mencken
Summary
During a recent television appearance (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s0QWfenCFlk) , opposition MP and Committee on Public Finance (COPF) Chair Dr. Harsha de Silva dramatically brandished the latest IMF Letter of Intent (LoI, 13 May 2026), pointing to the signatures of President Anura Kumara Dissanayake and Central Bank Governor Dr. Nandalal Weerasinghe as proof of a “secret” alignment with austerity and cost-reflective utility pricing. However, for serious students of Sri Lankan macroeconomics, this “revelation” contained no new information. The legal, structural, and institutional mandate for cost-reflective pricing was codified long before the current administration took office—embedded in the IMF Extended Fund Facility (EFF) of 2023, the 2023 IMF Governance Diagnostic, and the Economic Transformation Act of 2024. This article argues that veteran economists in parliament must move beyond theatrical “gotcha” moments designed for political popularity and instead fulfill their true duty: educating the public on the non-negotiable continuity of structural adjustment programmess.
Anatomy of a Non-Revelation
The recent spectacle of Dr. Harsha de Silva presenting the IMF Letter of Intent on live television was framed as a grand exposure of the current administration’s hidden fiscal policy. With theatrical emphasis, Dr. de Silva pointed to the signatures of President Anura Kumara Dissanayake (AKD) and the Central Bank Governor, declaring that the government had bound the public to the bitter pill of cost-reflective electricity and fuel pricing.
Yet, to anyone who understands the mechanics of central banking and sovereign debt restructuring, this performance revealed nothing that was not already part of (i) the public, (ii) legal, and (iii) institutional reality. A Letter of Intent is a standard operational requirement of the IMF review process; it is not a newly minted policy conceived in secret. By treating a routine administrative continuity as a shocking disclosure, Dr. de Silva engaged in political showmanship rather than economic education.
Legacy of Cost-Reflective Pricing
The narrative that cost-reflective utility pricing is a novel concession by the AKD administration is factually incorrect. The institutional architecture to eliminate non-commercial losses within the Ceylon Electricity Board (CEB) and Ceylon Petroleum Corporation (CPC) was firmly established under the previous administration of Ranil Wickremesinghe.
The structural benchmarks were explicitly laid out in (i) the March 2023 IMF EFF Agreement and (ii) re-emphasized in the September 2023 IMF Governance Diagnostic Report. This framework was further consolidated by the legislature through (i) the Economic Transformation Act of 2024 and (ii) the new Sri Lanka Electricity Act. When the current administration assumed office, the fiscal tracks had already been laid. President AKD is merely operating the machinery of state within the legal and economic boundaries inherited from his predecessor Ranil Wickremesinghe to prevent a secondary default.
The Myth of the Solitary Saviour
There is a troubling tendency among Sri Lanka’s technocratic elite to engage in a saviour complex—positioning themselves on television screens as the singular authorities capable of managing public finance or navigating international waters. Dr. de Silva’s presentation was less about unveiling unknown data and more about projecting an image of unrivaled smartness in public finance.
When veteran economists resort to these manoeuvers, they diminish their own professional standing. Sri Lanka’s economic recovery does not hinge on the brilliant insights of a single individual or party; it depends on (i) institutional discipline, (ii) data-driven planning, and (iii) structural continuity. Pretending that routine compliance documents are exclusive intelligence updates serves only to feed personal political popularity at the expense of public intellectual growth.
Real Politics behind the Screen
Why, then, did Dr. de Silva choose to make a mountain out of an administrative molehill? The answer lies in pure political strategy. The National People’s Power (NPP) platform ascended to governance on strong anti-austerity rhetoric, promising relief from the heavy tax and tariff burdens imposed by the previous regime.
By holding up the signed LoI, Dr. de Silva sought a political checkmate. His objective was to expose the contradiction between the NPP’s populist election promises and its executive actions. While highlighting this policy convergence is fair game in partisan politics, framing it as a “new discovery” misleads the electorate into believing that the IMF programme is an optional, arbitrarily signed document rather than a legally binding national framework that leaves any sitting President with zero alternative manoeuvers.
True Mandate of Parliament’s Financial Oversight
During the broadcast, the fundamental boundary of the Committee on Public Finance (COPF) was brought into question. Dr. de Silva correctly noted that COPF does not formulate state policy—that remains the strict prerogative of the Executive and its chosen advisors. COPF’s true mandate is oversight: ensuring transparency, accountability, and the efficient monitoring of state revenues and expenditures.
If the head of our public finance oversight body wishes to protect the national interest, that energy should be (ii) directed toward evaluating the actual performance scorecards of state institutions, (ii) tracking structural benchmarks, and (iii) monitoring the real-time efficiency of economic programs. Using the platform of technical oversight to score quick points on a talk show blurs the vital line between a state auditor and a political campaigner.
Conclusion: The Need for Institutional Candour
Sri Lanka has paid a catastrophic price for populist rhetoric and the manipulation of economic facts for electoral gain. What the public requires from veteran economists and seasoned politicians today is not more political theater but radical candor.
The truth is simple: Sri Lanka is locked into a long-term, institutional structural adjustment programme that transcends whoever sits in the presidential secretariat. President AKD is executing pre-existing state commitments because the alternative is immediate economic isolation. Rather than trying to convince the public that they alone possess the secret key to salvation, opposition technocrats owe it to the nation to elevate the discourse. It is time to replace television showmanship with (i) honest, (ii) evidence-based planning, (iii) acknowledging that while politicians change, the arithmetic of national survival remains exactly the same.
(The writer, among many, served as the Special Advisor to the Office of the President of Namibia from 2006 to 2012 and was a Senior Consultant with the UNDP for 20 years. He was a Senior Economist with the Central Bank of Sri Lanka (1972-1993). He can be reached via asoka.seneviratne@gmail.com)
By Prof. Asoka S. Seneviratne
-
News6 days agoWomen’s T20 World Cup 2026 warm-up: Chamari Athapaththu’s 94 helps Sri Lanka beat Pakistan
-
News6 days agoLankan-Canadian inducted to Toronto Sports Hall of Fame
-
News7 days agoAsst. Manager, security officer arrested over Rs 30 mn snatch at Horana PB branch
-
Editorial5 days agoProbe Sallay’s complaint
-
News3 days agoLocal firms move millions of dollars overseas for phantom imports: Govt.
-
Editorial6 days agoPrez in the dock
-
Features6 days agoEntering MIT for my Ph.D program, coping with harsh Boston winter and breasting the tape
-
News7 days agoNo blanket ban on musical performances; only those promoting LTTE

