Features
BRICS, SCO, and the Global South: Is Sri Lanka interested?
The lack of high-level representation from Sri Lanka at the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO) summit in Tianjin (31 August – 01 September) and the eightieth anniversary of China’s victory in the War Against Japanese Aggression and the World Antifascist War (03 September) was a missed opportunity to re-orient the country’s foreign policy and position it at the heart of a new mood in the Global South.
This absence was arguably the biggest foreign policy misstep since the newly elected National Peoples Power (NPP) failed to send a high-level representative to the BRICS summit in Kazan, back in October 2024. During a discussion at the Bandaranaike Centre for International Studies, in May, Russian Ambassador to Sri Lanka, Levan Dzhagaryan, recounted how he personally handed over a letter of invitation to the Kazan summit, from Russian President Vladimir Putin, to President Anura Kumar Dissanayake. In response to a question about whether Sri Lanka would ever join BRICS, Dzhagaryan candidly said that the Sri Lankan side had to take practical steps to make it happen, “Are you interested? I don’t think so”.
This lack of interest in external affairs could itself be read as a reflection of total inertia in domestic affairs. A programmatic system change necessarily requires an external component – to break away from US-led neoliberal globalisation (and its cocktail of debt, austerity, de-industrialisation, and hybrid wars) necessitates forging an alternative framework through South-South cooperation (with suitable institutional alternatives for finance, technology transfers, and regional security). If countries as vast in geography, population, and natural resources as Brazil and South Africa see a need for such processes, Sri Lanka can be no exception.
Security and Development
Starting out as the ‘Shanghai Five’ in 1996 (comprising China, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Russia, and Tajikistan), the SCO was established in 2001 and has since grown to encompass 10 member states, including India, Pakistan, and Iran. Sri Lanka gained the status of dialogue partner in 2010 (ahead of South Asian peers Nepal and the Maldives), but has showed no effort or interest in upgrading to full membership since. The SCO is part of a new process of regionalism and multilateralism driven primarily by and for the Global South. It has been successful in removing US military bases in Central Asia, an example that should be learned from as the Indian Ocean remains host to US military bases in the occupied Chagos Islands – in violation of the Sri Lanka-sponsored United Nations General Assembly Resolution which declared the Indian Ocean as a Zone of Peace in 1971.
More pragmatically, the member states of the SCO are economic powerhouses in terms of their combined pool of natural resources, technology, and markets. Given the fact that Sri Lanka now has one of the highest electricity tariff rates in South Asia, and that the majority of the population endured excruciating 13-hour blackouts in 2022, the complementary between a small energy-dependent country and an organisation of countries encompassing huge potential for energy in various forms (from oil and gas to renewables to nuclear power) is obvious. During the summit in Tianjin, China pledged to establish platforms for cooperation in energy, green industry, and the digital economy – all areas where Sri Lanka lags behind technologically and could use a boost. Meanwhile, the announcement of an SCO development bank in Tianjin was another positive step in the process of building multilateral financing mechanisms outside of the Global North-dominated framework.
Most interestingly, the summit in Tianjin became the stage on which India-China relations (the most significant bilateral relationship in the world for Sri Lanka) thawed. Much of Sri Lanka’s developmental potential depends on these two countries getting along and the ability of Sri Lankan leaders and diplomats to navigate this triangular dynamic with skill and sensitivity. From this perspective alone, Sri Lanka’s absence at the Tianjin summit was a loss.
Sovereignty and Multipolarity
Twenty-six world leaders were present at China’s Victory Day celebrations in Beijing, including the leaders of communist countries, like the DPRK, Vietnam, Laos and Cuba. However, this was by no means an exclusively communist event. From non-communist Southeast Asia, Cambodia, Indonesia, Malaysia, Myanmar, and Singapore were represented. From South Asia, SAARC (South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation) members Nepal, Pakistan and the Maldives were represented.
Sri Lanka should have been there for various reasons. First, because of our close historical relationship with China: Sri Lanka was China’s first trading partner outside the communist bloc (the Rubber-Rice pact of 1952 helped China bypass a crippling US embargo) and was an early signatory and beneficiary of China’s the Belt and Road Initiative. Meanwhile, China is Sri Lanka’s biggest bilateral lender and was also the first to enter into a debt restructuring agreement after the country defaulted on its external debts.
Second, it would have provided President Dissanayake an opportunity to position Sri Lanka (and his administration) among major powers of the Global South, particularly at a time when the US has doubled down on unilateralism and protectionism. For a country that was brought to its knees by debt dependency, poverty, and brain drain – and where the policy prescriptions of the IMF remain deeply unpopular – the image of the President Dissanayake in Beijing would at the very least have provided a boost to morale.
China’s Victory Day celebrations occur in the context of ongoing efforts in the Global North to distort history and downplay the contributions of China and the former Soviet Union in eradicating the threat of Nazism and fascism, thereby the opening the door to a wave of national liberation movements (of which Sri Lanka, too, was a beneficiary). Over 20 million Chinese people died during the World Anti-Fascist War, a death toll second only to the Soviet Union’s 27 million. It is worth noting that Imperial Japan is the only foreign force that has actually bombed Sri Lanka in modern times (the Easter Sunday raid on Colombo and Trincomalee of 05 April 1942) – China’s victory against the Japanese helped ensure that Sri Lanka would not suffer the same fate as the Koreans, Indonesians, and Burmese did under the Japanese.
A Short-Sighted Calculation
It is likely that the calculation at play in these strategic absences is that too bold a move in the international arena would lead to retaliation by the US. In July, President Trump threatened to apply a 100 percent tariff on BRICS countries if they attempted to de-dollarise. The concessions that led to US tariffs on Sri Lanka declining from an initial 44 percent to 20 percent are not known. One can only speculate that staying well away from challenges to US-dominance of the global order were factored in.
But such a calculus is short-sighted. The Global North is no longer a growing economy and reliable export destination. Similarly, the specific economic activities that were allocated to Sri Lanka in the international division of labour have run their course. There is little growth potential or dynamism left in exporting garments to Europe and North America – a reorientation is necessary and inevitable. Chinese Ambassador Qi Zhenhong said it best during a briefing with local journalists and researchers before the SCO summit: “don’t be too happy that the tariff you get is lower than your neighbour’s today, it is still higher than it was yesterday”.
Just as Narendra Modi’s India found itself facing a 50 percent tariff in August, despite deepening security ties and signing a 10-year defence cooperative framework with the US, just months earlier, it is only a matter of time before Sri Lanka, too, will have to deal with the late Henry Kissinger’s warning: “It may be dangerous to be America’s enemy, but to be America’s friend is fatal.”
Domestic Constraint, External Restraint
Political developments, since 2022, have objectively constrained domestic policy space for any alternative to neoliberalism. Defaulting on external debt locked Sri Lanka into an austere embrace with IMF as there is no other international institution to mediate between a debtor nation and its creditors. The 2023 Supreme Court verdict, charging members of the former SLPP government with ‘economic mismanagement,’ marked an unprecedented intrusion of the judiciary (a traditionally conservative force in Sri Lanka and most former British colonies) into the field of economic policy – the chilling effect of this judgement is yet to be fully appreciated. Add to this the slew of legislation during the interim Presidency of Ranil Wickremesinghe – the Central Bank Act which constrains monetary policy autonomy, the Public Financial Management Act which constrains fiscal policy autonomy, and the Economic Transformation Act stand out as examples.
That the NPP functions within this constrained policy space is incontestable. Yet even within such constraints there are always possibilities. The most obviously space for manoeuvring is in the churning global order and processes like the BRICS and SCO. Governments labelled as ‘progressive’ or ‘populist’ coming to power and continuing along a preset path of neoliberalism is nothing new. What is unusual is for such a government to pay so little attention to creating the external conditions for a break from neoliberal globalisation. Judging by the way it conducts foreign policy, Sri Lanka seems to have forgotten that it has been subject to 520 years of colonialism and neo-colonialism (the Portuguese arrived here in 1505), and that its historical destiny is tied with the Global South.
(Shiran Illanperuma is a researcher at Tricontinental: Institute for Social Research and a co-editor of Wenhua Zongheng: A Journal of Contemporary Chinese Thought. He is also a co-convenor of the Asia Progress Forum, which can be contacted at asiaprogressforum@gmail.com).
by Shiran Illanperuma
Features
Immediate industrial reforms critical for Sri Lanka’s future
Sri Lanka’s industrial sector has historically been an engine of growth, employment, and exports. Yet today, many industries face structural challenges, outdated practices, and intense global competition. Immediate and comprehensive policy reforms are, therefore, both urgent and essential—not only to revive growth but also to secure the future prosperity of the country.
Strengthening economic growth and diversification
Industries contribute significantly to GDP and export earnings. They create value-added products, reduce import dependency, and improve trade balances. Sri Lanka’s economy remains overly reliant on a few traditional sectors, such as garments and tea. Industrial reforms can encourage diversification into higher-value manufacturing, technology-driven production, and knowledge-based industries, increasing resilience against global shocks.
Job creation and social stability
The industrial sector is a major source of formal employment, particularly for youth and women. Small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) provide both direct and indirect jobs. Without reforms, job creation is limited, pushing young people to seek opportunities abroad, which drains talent and exacerbates social and economic inequality. By modernising industries and supporting SME growth, the country can create high-quality, sustainable employment, reduce migration pressures, and promote social stability.
Competitiveness and export expansion
Sri Lanka faces stiff competition from countries such as Vietnam, Bangladesh, and India in textiles, garments, and other manufacturing exports. Many local industries struggle with outdated technology, high production costs, and weak supply chains. Urgent reforms—such as improving industrial infrastructure, incentivising technology adoption, and simplifying trade regulations—are critical to enhancing competitiveness, retaining market share, and expanding exports.
Attracting domestic and foreign investment
Investors require clarity, stability, and efficient regulatory processes. Complex licensing, bureaucratic delays, and inconsistent policies deter both domestic and foreign investment. By implementing transparent and predictable industrial policies, the government can attract capital, encourage innovation, and accelerate industrial modernisation. Investment is not just about funding production—it is also about transferring technology and upgrading skills, which is essential for long-term industrial development.
Promoting innovation and technological upgrading
Many Sri Lankan industries continue to rely on outdated production methods and low-value processes, limiting productivity, efficiency, and global competitiveness. Comprehensive industrial reforms can incentivise research and development, digitalisation, automation, and adoption of green technologies, enabling local industries to move up the value chain and produce higher-value goods. This is particularly urgent as global competitors are rapidly implementing Industry 4.0 standards, including AI-driven production, smart logistics, and sustainable manufacturing. Without modernisation, Sri Lanka risks not only losing export opportunities but also falling permanently behind in technological capabilities, undermining long-term industrial growth and economic resilience.
Strengthening supply chains and local linkages
Effective industrial reform can improve integration between agriculture, services, and manufacturing. For example, better industrial policies can ensure that local raw materials are efficiently used, logistics systems are modernised, and SMEs are integrated into global supply chains. This creates multiplier effects across the economy, stimulating productivity, innovation, and competitiveness beyond the industrial sector itself.
Environmental sustainability and resilience
Global trends demand green and sustainable industrial practices. Sri Lanka cannot afford to ignore climate-friendly production methods, energy efficiency, or waste management. Reforms that promote sustainable manufacturing, circular economy principles, and renewable energy adoption will future-proof industries, improve international market access, and ensure compliance with global trade standards.
Institutional capacity and governance
Industrial reforms are not just about incentives; they require strong institutions capable of policy design, monitoring, and enforcement. Weak governance, policy inconsistency, and politicisation have historically undermined industrial development in Sri Lanka. Strengthening industrial institutions, simplifying bureaucracy, and ensuring accountability are essential components of meaningful reform.
Responding to global technological and trade shifts
The industrial landscape is rapidly changing due to digitalisation, automation, AI, and new global trade patterns. Sri Lanka must adapt quickly to benefit from global industrial trends rather than risk falling behind regional competitors. Immediate reform will allow industries to adopt modern production systems, integrate with global value chains, and improve export competitiveness.
Conclusion
Industrial policy reforms in Sri Lanka are urgent because delays threaten employment, competitiveness, and investment. They are important because a modern, resilient industrial sector is crucial for economic growth, export expansion, technological advancement, social stability, and environmental sustainability. Strategic, forward-looking reforms will not only save existing industries but also position Sri Lanka for a prosperous, resilient, and inclusive future.
(The writer is a former senior public servant and policy specialist.)
BY Chinthaka Samarawickrama Lokuhetti
Features
How to insult friends and intimidate people!
US President Donald Trump is insulting friends and intimidating others. Perhaps. Following his rare feat of securing a non-consecutive second term, one would have expected Trump to be magnanimous, humble and strive to leave an imprint in world history as a statesman. However, considering the unfolding events, it is more likely that he will be leaving an imprint but for totally different reasons!
From the time of his re-election, Trump has apparently been determined to let the world know who the ‘boss’ is and wanted to Make America Great Again (MAGA) by economic measures that were detrimental even to his neighbours and friends, totally disregarding the impact it may have on the world economy. Some of his actions were risky and may well have backfired. Businessmen are accustomed to taking risks and he appears to behave as a businessman rather than as a politician. There was hardly any significant resistance to his arbitrary tariff increases except from China. He craved for the Nobel Peace Prize, claiming to have ended and prevented wars and, and unashamedly posed for a picture when the Nobel Peace Prize was ‘presented’ to him by the winner! To add insult to injury, Trump demonstrated his ignorance by blaming the Norwegian Prime Minister for having overlooked him for the Nobel Peace Prize. He should surely have known, before the Norwegian PM pointed out, that the awardee was chosen by a non-governmental committee.
Trump’s erratic behaviour reached its climax in Davos. He came to Davos determined to railroad the European leaders into accepting his bid to acquire Greenland and seemed to do so by hurling insults left, right and centre! Even before he started the trip to Davos, Trump had already imposed a 10% tariff on imports from seven European countries including the UK, increasing to 25% from the beginning of February, until he was able to acquire Greenland. In a rambling speech, lasting over an hour, he referred to Greenland as Iceland on four different occasions.
Exaggerating the part played by the US in World War II Trump proclaimed “Without us right now, you’d all be speaking German and a little Japanese”. After making a hideous claim that the US had handed Greenland to Denmark, after World War II, Trump said, “We want a piece of ice for world protection, and they won’t give it. You can say yes and we will be very appreciative. Or you can say no and we will remember”. A veiled threat, perhaps!
However, the remark that irked the UK most was his reference to the war in Afghanistan. He repeated the claim, made to Fox News, that NATO had sent ‘some troops’. but that they ‘had stayed a little back, a little off the front line’. On top of politicians, infuriated families of over 500 soldiers who sacrificed their lives in the front-lines in Afghanistan, started protesting which forced the British PM Keir Starmer to abandon the hitherto used tactic of flattery to win over Trump, to state that Trump’s remarks were “insulting and frankly appalling.” After a call from Starmer, Trump posted a praise on his Truth Social platform that UK troops are “among the greatest of all warriors”!
The resistance to Trump’s attempts at reverting to ‘unconstrained power of Great Powers’, which was replaced by the ‘rule-based-order’ after World War II, was spearheaded from an unlikely quarter. It was by Mark Carney, financier turned politician, PM of Canada. He was the Governor of the Bank of England, during the disastrous David Cameron administration, and left the post with hardly any impact but seems to have become a good politician. He apparently has hit Trump where it hurts most, as in his speech, Trump stated that Canada was living on USA and warned Carney about his language!
Mark Carney’s warning that this was a moment of “rupture” with the established rules-based international order giving way to a new world of Great Power politics and his rallying cry that “the middle powers” needed to act together, need to be taken seriously. What would the world come to, unless there is universal condemnation of actions like the forcible extraction of the Venezuelan President which, unfortunately, did not happen maybe because of the fear of Trump heaping more tariffs etc? What started in Venezuela can end up anywhere. Who appointed the US to be the policeman of the world?
With words, Trump gave false hope to protesters rebelling against the theocracy in Iran but started showing naval strength only after the regime crushed the rebellion by killing, according to some estimates, up to 25,000 protesters. If he decides to attack, Iran is bound to retaliate, triggering another war. In fact, Trump was crass enough to state that he no longer cares for peace as he was snubbed by the Nobel Peace committee! Trump is terrorising his own people as is happening in Minnesota but that is a different story.
Already the signs of unity, opposing Trump’s irrationalities, are visible. Almost all NATO members opposing Trump’s plans resulted in his withdrawal from Greenland acquisition plans. To save face, he gave the bogus excuse that he had reached an ever-lasting settlement! Rather than flattery, Trump’s idiosyncrasies need to be countered without fear, as well illustrated by the stance the British PM was forced to take on the Afghan war issue. For the sake of world peace, let us hope that Trump will be on the retreat from now.
Mark Carney’s pivotal speech received a well-deserved and rare standing ovation in Davos. One can only hope that he will practice what he preached to the world, when it comes to internal politics of his country. It is no secret that vote-bank politics is playing a significant role in Canadian politics. I do hope he will be able to curtail the actions of remnants of terrorist groups operating freely in Canada.
by Dr Upul Wijayawardhana
Features
Trump is a product of greed-laden American decadence
One wonders why the people of the US, who have built the most technologically and economically advanced country, ever elected Donald Trump as their President, not once, but twice. His mistakes and blunders in his first term are too numerous to mention, but a few of the most damaging to the working people are as follows:
Trump brought in tax cuts that overwhelmingly favour the wealthy over the average worker. The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) signed into law, at the end of 2017, provides a permanent cut in the corporate income tax rate that will overwhelmingly benefit capital owners and the top one percent. His new laws took billions out of workers’ pockets by weakening or abandoning regulations that protect their pay. In 2017 the Trump administration hurt workers’ pay in many ways, including acts to dismantle two key regulations that protect the pay of low- to middle-income workers. These failures to protect workers’ pay could cost workers an estimated $7 billion per year. In 2017, the Trump administration—in a virtually unprecedented move—switched sides in a case before the US Supreme Court and fought on the side of corporate interests and against workers.
Trump’s policies on climate change could ruin the global plans to cut down emissions and reduce warming, which has already affected the US equally badly as anywhere else in the world. Trump ridiculed the idea of man-made climate change, and repeatedly referred to his energy policy under the mantra “drill, baby, drill”. He said he would increase oil drilling on public lands and offer tax breaks to oil, gas, and coal producers, and stated his goal for the United States to have the lowest cost of electricity and energy of any country in the world. Trump also promised to roll back electric vehicle initiatives, proposed once again the United States withdrawal from the Paris Agreement, and rescind several environmental regulations. The implementation of Trump’s plans would add around 4 billion tons of carbon dioxide to the atmosphere by 2030, also having effects on the international level. If the policies do not change further, it would add 15 billion tons by 2040 and 27 billion by 2050. Although the exact calculation is difficult, researchers stated: “Regardless of the precise impact, a second Trump term that successfully dismantles Biden’s climate legacy would likely end any global hopes of keeping global warming below 1.5C.” ( Evans, et al, 2024). Despite all these anti-social policies Trump was voted into power for a second term.
Arguments suggesting the USA is a decadent society, defined as a wealthy civilisation in a state of stagnation, exhaustion, and decline, are increasingly common among commentators. Evidence cited includes political gridlock, economic stagnation since the 1970s, demographic decline, and a shift toward a “cultural doom loop” of repeating past ideas (Douthat, 2024, New York Times).
First, we will look at the economic aspect of the matter though the moral and spiritual degradation may be more important, for it is the latter that often causes the former . The reasons for the economic decline, characterised by increase in inequality, dates back to the seventies. Between 1973 and 2000, the average income of the bottom 90 percent of US taxpayers fell by seven percent. Incomes of the top one percent rose by 148 percent, the top 0.1 percent by 343 percent, and the top 0.01 percent rose by 599 percent. The redistribution of income and wealth was detrimental to most Americans.
If the income distribution had remained unchanged from the mid-1970s, by 2018, the median income would be 58 percent higher ($21,000 more a year). The decline in profits was halted, but at the expense of working families. Stagnant wages, massive debt and ever longer working hours became their fate.
Since 1973, the US has experienced slower growth, lower productivity, and a diminished share of global manufacturing, notes the (American Enterprise Institute). Despite the low growth, the rich have doubled their wealth. In our opinion this is due to the “unleash of a culture of greed” that Joseph Stiglitz spoke about.
Nobel Prize winning economist Joseph Stiglitz has frequently argued that the United States has unleashed a culture of greed, selfishness, and deregulation, which he blames for extreme inequality, financial crises, and environmental destruction.
Income stagnation is not the only quality of life indicator that suffered. In 1980, life expectancy in the US was about average for an affluent nation. By the 2020s, it dropped to the lowest among wealthy countries, even behind China or Chile, largely due to the stagnation of life expectancy for working-class people. With regard to quality of life the US has fallen to 41st in global, UN-aligned, sustainable development rankings, highlighting issues with infrastructure and social systems, (The Conversation). The political system is described as trapped in a “stale system” with high polarisation, resulting in inaction rather than progress, (Douthat, New York Times).
It is often the moral and spiritual degradation that causes an overall decline in all aspects of life, including the US economy. Statistics on crime, drug and alcohol addiction, suicide rate and mental health issues in the US, which are the indicators for moral and spiritual status of a society, are not very complimentary. The Crime Index in the US is 49 while it is 23 in China and 32 in Russia. Drug abuse rate is 16.8% in the US and alcohol addiction is 18%. Mental illness in adults is as common as 23%. Only about 31% follow a religion. Erich Fromm in his book, titled “Sane Society,” refers to these facts to make a case that the US and also other countries in the West are not sane societies.
Let us now look at Joseph Stiglitz’s thoughts on greed which is the single most important factor in the aetiology of moral degradation in the US society. Stiglitz has directly linked corporate greed and the pursuit of immediate, short-term profits to accelerating climate change and economic failure for the majority of Americans. He argues that “free” (unregulated) markets in the US have not led to growth, but rather to the exploitation of workers and consumers, allowing the top 1% to siphon wealth from the rest of society. Stiglitz argues that neoliberalism, which he calls “ersatz capitalism,” has fostered a moral system where banks are “too big to fail, but too big to be held accountable,” rewarding greedy, risky behaviour. He contends that US economic policies have been designed to favour the wealthy, creating a “rigged” economy where the middle class is shrinking. In essence, Stiglitz argues that the US has allowed a “neoliberal experiment” to turn capitalism into a system focused on greed, which is harming the economy, the environment, and the social fabric.
Big oil companies spent a stunning $445m throughout the last election cycle to influence Donald Trump and Congress, a new analysis has found. These investments are “likely to pay dividends”, the report says, with Republicans holding control of the White House, House and Senate – as well as some key states. Trump unleashed dozens of pro-fossil fuel executive actions on his first day in office and is expected to pursue a vast array of others with cooperation from Congress (The Guardian, Jan 2025).
Trump himself has accumulated wealth just as much as the rest of billionaires, and his poor voters are becoming poorer. He is greedy for wealth and power. He is carving up the world and is striving to annex as much of it as possible at the expense of sovereignty of other countries, the US allies, and international law.
Greed is an inherent human character which when unfettered could result in psychopathic monsters like Hitler. A new world order will have to take into serious consideration this factor of greed and evolve a system that does not depend on greed as the driver of its economy.
by N. A. de S. Amaratunga
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