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Bangladesh – Sri Lanka Preferential Trade Agreement: Gains and policy challenges

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By Asanka Wijesinghe and Chathurrdhika Yogarajah

0espite enhanced trade partnerships in South Asia, intra-regional trade is far from reaching its theoretical potential. Similar production patterns and competitive sectors can be the causes. However, bilateral discussions to further lower trade costs continue. The ongoing Bangladesh-Sri Lanka discussions on a preferential trade agreement (PTA) will benefit from knowing the potential gains from reducing bilateral trade costs. In addition, knowledge of products with higher potential for export gains will help optimise the economic benefits from a trade deal.

Bangladesh – Sri Lanka Trade:
The Current Status

In 2018, when discussions on a PTA began to firm up, Sri Lanka’s exports to Bangladesh were USD 133 million, while imports from Bangladesh were USD 37 million. Despite the low trade volume, Sri Lanka’s exports to Bangladesh have grown (Figure 1). In addition, Sri Lanka records a bilateral trade surplus with Bangladesh, which is encouraging given the country’s trade deficit concerns. However, weak growth of exports from Bangladesh to Sri Lanka can be seen from 2001 to 2016 (Figure 1).

The current trade deals between the two countries are still partially restrictive. Both countries keep a sensitive list of products that are not eligible for tariff cuts. Sri Lanka maintains a list of 925 products sanctioned by SAFTA (South Asian Free Trade Area) while Bangladesh keeps 993 products. Sri Lanka’s sensitive list covers USD 6.2 million or 23.8% of imports from Bangladesh. The sensitive list of Bangladesh covers USD 77.6 million or 62% of imports from Sri Lanka. Thus, the elimination of sensitive lists may benefit Sri Lanka more.

Figure 1: Trade Intensity between Bangladesh and Sri Lanka

Source: Authors’ Illustration using Trademap Data.

Theoretically, bilateral alliances deepen trade by removing weaknesses in existing multilateral trade arrangements. A trade deal between Bangladesh and Sri Lanka can simplify trade regulations further. In addition, Bangladesh needs alternative preferential access as graduation from Least Developed Country (LDC) status will take away preferential access to its key markets. For Sri Lanka, increasing bilateral participation in production value chains, especially in the textiles sector, might be an economic motivation. Financial support extended by Bangladesh to manage Sri Lanka’s foreign currency pressures might be a political motivation for a trade deal.

Eliminating sensitive lists can lead to trade creation, although it may not happen due to political and economic reasons. When it comes to tariff cuts, both countries will act defensively as certain products in the sensitive lists are vital for employment and revenue generation. Thus, the success of a trade deal depends on how many products with high export potential are under its purview. In this direction, a group of products with specific characteristics can be identified as an offensive list. For example, Sri Lanka’s offensive list includes products that Bangladesh imports from anywhere in the world, produced by Sri Lanka with a capacity for expansion. Sri Lanka has a comparative advantage in exporting that good, and Bangladesh already has a tariff on the product.

Export Gains from Tariff Elimination

If tariffs on the sensitive lists are eliminated, there will be modest export gains for Bangladesh and Sri Lanka in absolute terms. Sri Lanka will gain USD 24.7 to 49.7 million of exports to Bangladesh, while Bangladesh will gain USD 2.1 to 4.5 million of exports to Sri Lanka. Potential export gains are given in a range due to assumptions on elasticity values used in the partial equilibrium model. Elimination of sensitive lists will generate a higher tariff revenue loss to Bangladesh, ranging between USD 13.5 million to USD 19.1 million. By contrast, Sri Lanka’s revenue loss will be slight at USD 1.4 million to USD 1.9 million.

Whatever the arrangement, it is crucial to include the products with high export potential in the offensive lists (See Table 1 for the major products). Out of 39 products in Bangladesh’s offensive list, 21 are intermediate goods, while 18 are consumption goods. Similarly, 75 out of 115 products in Sri Lanka’s offensive list are intermediate goods. Tariff cuts on intermediate products may induce fragmented production between two countries, which would harness country-specific comparative advantages. Major intermediate goods in the offensive lists are dyed cotton fabrics, cartons, boxes, and cases, plain woven fabrics of cotton, denim, natural rubber, and smoked sheets of natural rubber (Table 1).

The ex-ante estimates predict modest gains for Sri Lanka and Bangladesh in absolute terms, even after completely removing the sensitive list. But complete removal is politically challenging for both countries. Moreover, Bangladesh as an LDC may expect special and differential (S&D) treatment. Thus, the outcome can be a limited PTA in line with weaknesses in existing trade agreements governing South Asian trade. The impact on trade of regional trade agreements in force is negative primarily due to stringent general regulatory measures, including rules of origin (ROO), sensitive lists, and prolonged phasing-in. Given that the estimated modest economic gains of a Bangladesh-Sri Lanka PTA do not justify a trade deal that requires substantial resources for negotiations,the PTA should have fewer regulatory measures and tariff concessions for the products on the offensive lists to maximise the economic benefits of a PTA between the two countries.

Link to the full Talking Economics blog: https://www.ips.lk/talkingeconomics/2022/01/20/bangladesh-sri-lanka-preferential-trade-agreement-gains-and-policy-challenges/

Asanka Wijesinghe is a Research Economist at IPS with research interests in macroeconomic policy, international trade, labour and health economics. He holds a BSc in Agricultural Technology and Management from the University of Peradeniya, an MS in Agribusiness and Applied Economics from North Dakota State University, and an MS and PhD in Agricultural, Environmental and Development Economics from The Ohio State University. (Talk with Asanka – asanka@ips.lk)

Chathurrdhika Yogarajah is a Research Assistant at IPS with research interests in macroeconomics and trade policy. She holds a BSc (Hons) in Agricultural Technology and Management, specialised in Applied Economics and Business Management from the University of Peradeniya with First Class Honours. She is currently reading for her Master’s in Agricultural Economics at the Postgraduate Institute of Agriculture, Peradeniya. (Talk with Chathurrdhika: chathurrdhika@ips.lk)



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Central Bank says it merely executed government instructions

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CBSL Governor Dr. Nandalal Weerasinghe takes questions from the audience at the public seminar held at the Central Bank yesterday.

USD 2.5 million sovereign debt payment:

The Central Bank merely carried out the controversial USD 2.5 million sovereign debt payment in accordance with instructions issued by the government, Central Bank Governor Dr. Nandalal Weerasinghe said yesterday, emphasising that the institution acted solely in its capacity as banker to the state.

Addressing a question at a public seminar, Dr. Weerasinghe explained that the Central Bank’s responsibility in such transactions is operational rather than supervisory. According to him, once the Ministry of Finance or the Treasury issues a payment order, the Central Bank processes the transfer exactly as instructed, without involvement in determining the beneficiary or the broader decision-making process behind the payment.

The Governor’s remarks came in response to a query regarding the widely discussed USD 2.5 million sovereign debt repayment reportedly sent to a party in Australia and later alleged to have been siphoned off by a cyber criminal.

“The Central Bank is the banker to the government just as it is to commercial banks,” he explained. “When we receive a payment instruction from the Ministry of Finance or the Treasury, we execute that payment in line with the instructions given to us.”

He noted that the Central Bank credits the account specified by its client, in this case, the government — and subsequently informs the relevant authorities once the transaction has been completed. If a payment cannot be processed or is rejected by the banking system, the Bank notifies the client accordingly. And when a payment is successful, the client would receive a notification, he said.

However, Dr. Weerasinghe indicated that the Central Bank would not necessarily be aware if recipient details had been altered elsewhere in the chain of communication prior to the transaction reaching the Bank for execution.

The Governor also highlighted the institutional changes that took effect from January 1, 2026. He explained that when the Public Debt Department functioned under the Central Bank, the institution had a more direct role in sovereign debt management and decision-making. With the External Debt Department now operating under the Ministry of Finance, the Central Bank’s role has become largely facilitative.

Under the current arrangement, he said, the Bank simply processes payments on behalf of the government. If the Treasury provides funds in Sri Lankan rupees, the Central Bank converts them into US dollars before remitting the payment. Alternatively, the payment may be made from government accounts maintained at the Central Bank or from the country’s foreign reserves.

To simplify the explanation, Dr. Weerasinghe compared the process to an ordinary customer instructing a commercial bank to transfer money to a designated recipient. In such instances, the bank processes the transaction based on the customer’s instructions rather than independently verifying the account details of the recipient.

Through his remarks, the Governor strongly conveyed that the Central Bank had no involvement in the policy or decision-making aspects of the disputed payment and acted purely as the executing financial institution on behalf of the government.

By Sanath Nanayakkare

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Lime trees to crack HEC conundrum

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A pioneering community-based conservation initiative aimed at reducing the devastating impact of Human-Elephant Conflict (HEC) while strengthening rural livelihoods was launched on Sunday in the Anuradhapura District under the theme “Lime Trees for Peace Between Elephants and People.”

The project, spearheaded by the Elephant Human Coexistence Foundation, was officially launched in Maningamuwa Village in the Central Nuwaragam Palatha Divisional Secretariat area, marking what conservationists describe as a practical and environmentally sustainable approach to one of Sri Lanka’s gravest socio-economic and ecological crises.

As part of the inaugural phase, 1,200 lime plants were distributed among four farming families to establish bio fences around agricultural lands.

The initiative seeks to use citrus-based living barriers as a natural deterrent to elephants, reducing crop raids without harming wildlife.

Co-Founder and Director of the Foundation, Panchali Panapitiya, said the project was designed not only to protect crops, but also to transform vulnerable farming communities into active custodians of coexistence.

“Human-Elephant Conflict cannot be solved through fear, violence, or isolation,” Panapitiya told The Island Financial Review. “We believe coexistence becomes sustainable only when communities themselves are empowered as leaders and partners in conservation. This initiative combines environmental protection with livelihood security.”

She said the lime tree fences would create a “living shield” around farms while simultaneously generating long-term economic benefits for rural families.

“Coexistence grows as communities thrive. Peace takes root when livelihoods are strengthened,” she said.

Sri Lanka continues to record alarming levels of Human-Elephant Conflict annually, with both elephant and human fatalities increasing in recent years. Rural farmers in districts such as Anuradhapura, Polonnaruwa, and Moneragala frequently suffer severe crop losses, while conventional mitigation methods — including electric fencing — often remain costly, difficult to maintain, or ecologically disruptive.

Against this backdrop, conservationists say the use of lime-based bio fencing presents a low-cost and climate-friendly alternative.

The Foundation noted that similar citrus-based deterrent systems have already demonstrated success in parts of Africa and Thailand, where elephants naturally avoid strong citrus scents. The Sri Lankan initiative aims to scientifically assess the effectiveness of local lime species as protective barriers for small and medium-scale farms.

Importantly, lime tree bio fences have already been recognised in the official Anuradhapura District Plan for the Mitigation of Human-Elephant Conflict, giving the initiative institutional backing from the District Secretariat, Divisional Secretariats, and the Department of Wildlife Conservation.

Panapitiya stressed that the project also carries broader environmental and social goals beyond conflict mitigation.

“This is about restoring harmony between people, elephants, and landscapes,” she said. “At the same time, these trees contribute to carbon sequestration, biodiversity conservation, and economic resilience in farming communities.”

A notable component of the programme is its emphasis on women’s empowerment within the agriculture sector, traditionally dominated by men. The Foundation believes conservation-linked agriculture can create pathways towards financial independence for rural women while strengthening household resilience.

The project’s broader objectives include reducing fatalities linked to Human-Elephant Conflict, improving rural economic stability, increasing community participation in conservation efforts, and supporting the long-term preservation of Sri Lanka’s endangered elephant populations.

Environmentalists attending the launch described the initiative as an example of how conservation and rural development can work together rather than in opposition.

Those present at the event included Panapitiya, Co-Founder and Director Manoja Weerakkody, Co-Founder and Director Duminda Dissanayake, officials from the Central Nuwaragam Palatha Divisional Secretariat, and representatives of the Department of Wildlife Conservation.

The Foundation expressed hope that the programme would eventually be expanded throughout the Anuradhapura District and potentially replicated in other Human-Elephant Conflict hotspots across Sri Lanka.

By Ifham Nizam

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Strangers at orientation, family by finals- the story of friends at SLIIT

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“Bro” is a word you hear frequently at SLIIT. Study halls, elevators, canteens and even corridors echo with lively chatter of students either discussing project work, venting frustrations, debating the latest films or catching their breath from laughing. Almost immediately, ethnic backgrounds, religious beliefs, gender, and place of origin don’t matter when you hear “Bro, send me the notes,” or “Bro, let’s go for the match.”

The traditional idea of a family requires some form of biological relationship, but behind the gates at SLIIT, this is not necessarily the case. In a student body of over 25,000, studying more than 100 different programmes, friend groups frequently develop into something deeper: a sense of belonging that feels like family. Every year on International Day of Families (May 15), we are reminded of the importance of family in creating our identities and these close-knit groups at SLIIT are no different.

For many students, the university experience begins with uncertainty. Being surrounded by unexpected faces and new expectations can be intimidating at first. However, it is during these moments that long-term ties begin to form. A simple introduction during orientation, a shared chuckle during lectures, or teamwork in group projects are frequently the beginnings of meaningful friendships.

SLIIT’s vibrant student life is designed to foster these friendships. From faculty-led events and sports activities to student organizations and societies, students are nudged to collaborate despite their differences. Most importantly, these environments are designed to inspire growth and personal reflection even when faced with conflicting ideas. What results is a strong sense of community and students who have the skill to thrive in challenging situations.

These relationships evolve throughout time. Friends who stood in as study partners, motivators, and emotional support systems stay connected even after they graduate. For many alumni, these friendships are among the most treasured aspects of their academic experience. Even after transitioning into professional employment, these ties remain strong, forming networks of support, collaboration, and continued friendship.

According to Harshana, currently in their third year at SLIIT, it is critical to remember that family is not only defined by where we come from, but also by the ties we form. The friendships created at SLIIT teach that sometimes the strongest families are those we create for ourselves.

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