Business
Implementing budget proposals and reform measures crucial for SL – CBSL Governor
Hiran H. Senewiratne
Sri Lanka needs to implement budget proposals and reform measures to start earning crucial foreign exchange to help stabilize its economy and ensure it does not return to crisis, Governor of the Central Bank, Dr. Nandalal Weerasinghe said.
“The situation in the island nation is stable but at a very low point and the Sri Lankan economy can turn around by the end of 2023 if budget policies are implemented, which are not limited to the International Monetary Fund’s recommendations, Dr Weerasinghe said at a post-budget panel discussion held at Central Bank auditorium yesterday titled, ‘Dissecting the Budget 2023’. The event was organized by the Centre for Banking Studies of the Central Bank of Sri Lanka, Rajagiriya.
Dr. Weerasinghe added: ‘The budget has to look at what reforms are needed to ensure Sri Lanka remains stable and does not return to crisis, expecting relief from creditors in the process. But in order to convince them to share the pain we also have to show them that we are taking a share of the pain as well.
‘The soaring inflation, a weakening currency and low foreign exchange reserves have left the island of 22 million people struggling to pay for imports of essentials, such as, food, fuel and medicine and is in dire need of an IMF bailout.
‘Sri Lanka signed a staff-level agreement with the IMF in early September but needs to get financing assurances from multiple creditors, including China and Japan, to secure disbursements.
‘The next crucial step is to get financing assurances and the IMF programme and additional financial support so that Sri Lanka can eventually return to a growth path.
‘Sri Lanka needs to reform its loss-making state-owned enterprises so they cease being a burden on the banks, the government and the people.’
Treasury Secretary K. M. Mahinda Siriwardana said at the same event that stabilizing the economy remained a challenge and the private sector must perform its role in aiding the government in pulling the economy out of crisis.
He said the government was setting up a Presidential Committee to monitor and ensure timely implementation of budget proposals.
‘Sri Lanka needs to stop depending on debt for its financing requirements and implement measures to bring in foreign exchange. At present the government has Rs 200 billion in unpaid bills, which need to be settled as soon as possible.
‘Addressing the chronic fiscal and current account deficits, while also collecting more revenue and maintaining a reasonable level of sovereign debt, were all going to be crucial.
‘The economy cannot be reformed overnight. That is a painful process. The next challenge is to implement the budget according to a timeline, Siriwardena added.
Sujeewa Mudalige, Chief Executive Officer, PwC Sri Lanka said that Sri Lanka’s revenue to GDP ratio is around 8.3 per cent, which is the lowest in the world. Further, it is 20 per cent of the budget deficit, which is very unstable.
Mudalige added: “My worry is that our estimated revenue for the 2023 of a 64 per cent increase in revenue expectations was highly optimistic because our economy is going through a contraction. But at this juncture we have to encourage US dollar- earning companies to invest here.
‘ A very high export tax of 30 per cent has really discouraged our exporters and they are now in the process of relocating their operations to other destination like Ethiopia, Bangladesh, Vietnam, Kenya and Egypt, which offer very low taxes for foreign investors.
‘Sri Lanka is spending Rs 500 billion to maintain its three armed forces and police, which would soon touch Rs one trillion. If the government allocated 10 per cent of that Rs 500 billion for health and education we could see a major transformation in the country.
Chairman, Jetwing Group, Hiran Cooray said at the panel discussion that present day youngsters don’t believe in the budget, because they are now unwilling to remain in Sri Lanka due to the uncertainty in it.
“As a country we need to protect our human resources. Therefore, we need to have a proper system to retain our youth in the country, if not we will be left with an aging population.
Executive Director of the Institute of Policy Studies of Sri Lanka (IPS) Dr. Dushni Weerakoon said that revenue targets set by the budget would not be achievable unless we strengthen our political and economic institutions.
‘Macro- economic stability, enhanced productivity and competencies, strengthened factor endowment ensure growth in every sector. This will not be achieved overnight but some genuine effort will take the country into proper growth trajectory.’
Business
Sri Lanka’s 2026 economic growth predicted to be around 4-5 percent
Sri Lanka’s economic growth for 2026 will be around 4-5 percent, Central Bank Governor Dr. Nandalal Weerasinghe said.
The Governor indicated the estimated economic growth while announcing the Central Bank’s policy agenda for this year, last Thursday.
‘The Central Bank’s 2026 growth estimation is higher than the growth prediction of the IMF and the World Bank and is achievable, the Governor told the media while announcing the Central Bank’s policy agenda for 2026.
Dr. Weerasinghe added: ‘The Central Bank will introduce a benchmark intra-day reference exchange rate this year to ensure transparency in the foreign exchange market.
‘The absence of a reference exchange rate has held back the expansion of the Sri Lankan forex market and discouraged the trading of rupee-denominated derivatives Governor said.
‘The Central Bank last year carried out the necessary preliminary work to implement the benchmark spot exchange rate.
‘The benchmark intra-day reference exchange rate will be introduced in 2026 to foster a transparent foreign exchange market.
‘This benchmark will guide market participants, help reduce volatility and promote more competitive pricing on a given date, thereby enabling the introduction of more innovative products in the foreign exchange market.
‘Sri Lanka’s foreign exchange market has limited derivatives like currency swaps and options aiming to deepen markets and attract inflows.
‘However, these instruments failed after a lack of reliable reference exchange rate amid concerns over excessive speculation, rupee over-appreciation risks and interventions distorting clean floating rates.’
Meanwhile, currency dealers welcomed the move and said it will help to deepen the market.
“This will expand the market with more products and promote rupee-denominated derivatives, a currency dealer from a local bank said.
“It is something the market wanted to fix in derivative prices. This is a pricing mechanism for the rupee, he added.
By Hiran H Senewiratne ✍️
Business
Sevalanka Foundation and The Coca-Cola Foundation support flood-affected communities in Biyagama, Sri Lanka
With funding support from The Coca-Cola Foundation (TCCF), the Sevalanka Foundation has launched a humanitarian relief programme to support flood-affected communities in Biyagama. The initiative focuses on restoring access to safe water, healthcare services, and essential public facilities during the critical recovery period following the Cyclone Ditwah.
Working closely with the Divisional Secretariat, the program prioritizes the cleaning and rehabilitation of contaminated dug and tube wells, helping address the urgent post-flood challenge of access to safe water. This intervention will also support the cleaning and reopening of essential public spaces, including schools, and Grama Niladhari (GN) offices, enabling authorities and communities to resume daily activities safely. The Sevalanka Foundation and TCCF, as part of the initial response, have also donated water pumps to the Divisional Secretariat to support immediate water extraction and clean-up efforts.
In addition, as the second main component of the project, and based on the guidance of the Medical Officer of Health (MOH), support is being provided to MOH-operated healthcare facilities to restore access to emergency and essential medical services. This support includes sanitization, debris removal, hazard stabilization, and the provision of emergency medical supplies such essential medicines and hygiene products. Medical camps staffed by doctors and senior nurses will be conducted through MOH offices to provide prioritized groups of persons with health, nutrition and hygiene related relief items.
Business
Bourse radiates optimism as UK grants tariff-free concession to local apparel exports
CSE activities were extremely bullish yesterday mainly due to the UK government’s announcement on tariff free access for local apparel sector exports into the UK coupled with Central Bank Governor Dr Nandalal Weerasinghe’s positive outlook on the economy this year.
Amid those developments the turnover level also improved and the All Share Price Index moved up to the 23500 mark during the trading day.
The All Share Price Index went up by 127.17 points, while the S and P SL20 rose by 56.75 points. Turnover stood at Rs 8.5 billion with 18 crossings.
Top seven crossings were: LOLC Holdings two million shares crossed to the tune of Rs 1.18 billion; its shares traded at Rs 575, Renuka Agri 45 million shares crossed to the tune of Rs 594 million; its share price was Rs 13.20, Sampath Bank 1.4 million shares crossed for Rs 215 million and its shares traded at Rs 154.35, Renuka Holdings 1.5 million shares crossed for Rs 75 million; its shares traded at Rs 50, Hayleys 200,000 shares crossed to the tune of Rs 41.3 million; its shares traded at Rs 207, Tokyo Cement (Non-Voting) 400,000 shares crossed for Rs 37.8 million; its shares sold at Rs 50 and NTB 100,000 shares crossed for Rs 326 million; its shares sold at Rs 326.
In the retail market top seven companies that contributed to the turnover were; LOLC Rs 340 million (591,000 shares traded), Sampath Bank Rs 310 million (two million shares traded), Renuka Agri Foods Rs 275 million (19.4 million shares traded), ACL Cables Rs 238 million (2.3 million shares traded), Overseas Realty Rs 215 million (4.9 million shares traded), CIC Holdings (Non Voting) Rs 180 million (6.3 million shares traded) and Wealth Trust Equity Rs 132 million (8.2 million shares traded). During the day 269.3 million share volumes changed hands in 47852 transactions.
It is said the banking and financial sectors performed well, especially Sampath Bank, while a top diversified company, LOLC Holdings, also performed well.
Yesterday, the rupee opened at Rs 309.15/30 to the US dollar in the spot market relatively flat from Rs 309.10/50 the previous day, having depreciated in recent weeks, dealers said, while bond yields opened higher.
The telegraphic transfer rates for the dollar were 305.8500 buying, 312.8500 selling; the British pound was 409.7568 buying, and 421.1186 selling, and the euro was 354.0809 buying, 365.4441 selling.
By Hiran H Senewiratne ✍️
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