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Ceylon Tobacco Company PLC: Fags ignite bottom-line boost

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Gross Revenue of CTC is estimated to accelerate to achieve a CAGR of 6% during the period 2022E2024E mainly attributing to continuous price hikes and swift bounce back in the tourism sector which was significantly curbed since 2020. Gross Revenue of CTC is expected to enhance in 2022E amidst the current economic crisis on account of VAT rate hike by 4.0%, which consequently increased the price of a cigarette by LKR 5.00 reflecting a rise in price by 6.3%-7.1% in major brands of CTC. In line with the past trend, we anticipate an annual tax hike in cigarettes resulting in further price hikes which will be far greater than the tax increase as the pricing power the company holds as the Tobacco Monopolist allows to pass on such increases to the consumer. We estimate the Gross Revenue of CTC to set on a marginal growth of 1.2% to LKR 135.9Bn in 2022E compared to LKR 134.4Bn in 2021, with volumes reacting negatively to the unfavourable economic climate. However, growth in turnover would expedite in 2023E as turnover is expected to rise by 5.3% to LKR 143.3Bn and by 6.4% to LKR 152.5Bn in 2024E with easing economic conditions improving purchasing power of consumers and positive developments in the political front and expected financial assistance from external parties bringing in hope for revamp in tourism and recovery of volumes.

It is expected for CTC’s margins (Net Revenue/Gross Revenue) to increase narrowly to 25.1% for 2022E while reaching 26.5% for 2023E (+146bps) and 28.4% for 2024E (+186bps). Moreover, operating profit margin of CTC too is expected to increase marginally to 78.0% in 2022E compared to 77.7% in 2021 (+30bps). A possible shift in demand from domestic consumers to low margin products from high margin products and an overall decline in volumes coupled with a probable rise in demand for illicit beedi market as a result of depleting disposable income has a potential of hampering margins of CTC in the short term. However, the potential negative impact from this is offset by the escalation indemand for high margin products of CTC owing to the revival in the tourism sector in 2022 with tourist arrivals expected to rise beyond 800,000 by the end of 2022 while it has already crossed the 400,000 level for the period of January-June for the first time after 2019. Although, we expect volumes to decline by 12.0% in the current financial year, volumes would normalize by 2023E as the demand for cigarettes is expected to rebound due to its inelastic nature following the past trend of consumers adjusting to price hikes at a rapid pace. Thus, bottom line of CTC is expected to grow by 2.1% in 2022E and record at LKR 16.5Bn while it is expected to grow at 10.7% in 2023E recording an earnings of LKR 18.2Bn.

CTC is more likely to maintain its average payout of c.90.0% in order to repatriate profits to its parent company British American Tobacco which owns 84% of CTC while providing a dividend yield of 13.4% and 14.8% in 2022E and 2023E respectively.

In FY22E, we expect CTC to record a profit of LKR 16.5Bn (2%YoY) while FY23E net profit is expected to record at LKR 18.2Bn (11%YoY). For FY22E, CTC is expected to deliver a total return of 94.3% including a DY of 13.4% while for FY23E a total return of 103.8% is expected inclusive of 14.8% DY.

-First Capital Research



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Cargills Kist transforms wartime battlefield into thriving Kilinochchi agri-belt

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Aloe vera cultivation in Mankulam, empowered by Cargills Kist

When the doors of the Cargills Kist primary food processing plant first opened in Kilinochchi’s Ariviyal Nakaram area in 2013, there were no advertisements, public announcements, or grand promotional campaigns. Yet, stretching down the dusty road, a long, quiet queue of local residents had formed. They were war-battered northerners looking desperately for a fresh start, and among them, an overwhelming majority were young women and war widows.

On that single day, 70 women were interviewed and hired, stepping into a facility that promised the exact same salaries, perks, and allowances as the Kist plant in Colombo. Today, thirteen years after the factory first opened its doors, many of those senior employees still walk just a kilometer or two from their homes to the factory floor every morning. They stand as living monuments to a corporate intervention that chose to build futures where everything else had been flattened. Enhancing the vibrancy on the factory floor, a new generation of young employees now works closely alongside these original mentors.

Sowing Hope in Scorched Earth

When the Cargills team first arrived in Kilinochchi after the war concluded, it was a town in name only; not a single roof remained standing, shops were non-existent, and the population survived in displacement camps. A baseline survey of 2,000 locals conducted by the company revealed a profound disconnect: an entire generation had been completely separated from agriculture and lacked the know-how, seeds, or market access to restart their lives. However, they possessed one hidden, resilient asset – hardy Jaffna mango trees that had miraculously survived the crossfire.

Partnering with international agencies like USAID and IFAD, Cargills spent three grueling years navigating the absence of a proper civil administration to construct the Kilinochchi primary processing facility. They taught locals how to harvest and pack mangoes without bruising, introduced commercial passion fruit cultivation to the region, and established a reliable buyback system for the outgrowers. Today, the plant absorbs 30 to 35 tons of local fruits and vegetables daily from them -including woodapple, melon, passion fruit, and now, aloe vera – pumping direct liquidity into a community once starved of cash.

Aloe vera extraction process on Cargills Kist Factory Floor in
Kilinochchi. (Pix by Nishan S. Priyantha)

The Financial Architecture of Inclusion

With its 70-year legacy of providing nutritious, farm-fresh products to consumers, Kist’s latest project in Kilinochchi highlights how structural corporate responsibility can systematically erase regional disparities. A year ago, the company identified a rising global and local demand for aloe vera, an ingredient heavily used in beverages and personal care items that Sri Lanka was frequently forced to import. To root the supply chain locally, Cargills selected 100 stay-at-home women in Kilinochchi to pioneer commercial aloe vera cultivation. But the barriers to entry were steep: setting up a single quarter-acre required an initial capital of roughly Rs. 200,000 – an impossible sum for a low-income family. Worse, nearly 60% of smallholder farmers in Sri Lanka are blacklisted by the Credit Information Bureau (CRIB) due to past unpaid debts or a lack of physical collateral, locking them out of traditional banking ecosystems.

Female farmer cum owner
Vigneswaran Kamalanayaki at
work

To bypass this systemic gridlock, Cargills Food & Beverage Limited Managing Director Arjuna Kumarasinghe stepped forward with a corporate guarantee from the parent company, enabling Cargills Bank to issue micro-loans without demanding collateral.

Alongside technical assistance and irrigation equipment funded by the German development agency (GIZ) – a collaboration facilitated by Haridas Fernando, Group Manager of Agribusiness at Cargills Ceylon PLC – Cargills Bank rolled out mobile banking units to bring true financial inclusion directly to the doorsteps of the North.

To further insulate farmers from volatile market forces, the company integrated a dual-channel model. When market prices spike, farmers are entirely free to sell to any buyer of their choice. However, if the market crashes or surpluses build up, Cargills honours a guaranteed floor price of Rs. 90 per kilo at its processing plant, absorbing the risk and ensuring the farmer never loses.

The Rise of the Agripreneur

Arjuna
Kumarasinghe,
Managing Director,
Cargills Food &
Beverage Limited

The real-world metrics of this intervention are vividly visible in the backyards of Mankulam. Vigneswaran Kamalanayakie, a 37-year-old mother, manages a quarter-acre aloe vera plot adjacent to her home while caring for her young child. Utilising a modern “rain hose” irrigation system that waters the entire plot in just a few minutes, she has fundamentally altered her family’s financial trajectory. Even before her first formal leaf harvest, Kamalanayakie earned Rs. 50,000 simply by selling the aloe vera shoots generated by her crop. With her initial leaf harvest projected to bring in Rs. 100,000, she is entering a monthly earning cycle that scales up to an estimated Rs. 1,200,000 annually. She is already making active plans to double her plot to secure a multi-million rupee income.

Through Agronomy Extension Officers and dedicated field animators, these women are coached in crop management, pest control, and year-round continuous harvesting methods. They are no longer subsistence farmers vulnerable to the whims of middleman collectors; they have transitioned into bankable agripreneurs.

A Solid Pulp of Purpose

Haridas Fernando,
Group Manager,
Agribusiness,
Cargills Ceylon PLC

By leveraging its 14 collection centers across Sri Lanka, its main manufacturing facility in Katana, and over 500 retail outlets operating across all 25 districts, Cargills has built an incredibly resilient, closed-loop domestic supply chain.The Kilinochchi factory stands as the ultimate thesis statement for this corporate strategy.

Without beating the drums of self-adulation, Kist has blended humanity, national duty, corporate responsibility, and business ingenuity into a solid pulp.

In doing so, it has proven that the most delicious and wholesome aspect of a brand’s legacy isn’t just the product it puts on store shelves, but the dignity it restores to the people who grow it.

By Sanath Nanayakkare

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Sampath Bank recognised with three prestigious banking accolades at World Finance

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Sampath Bank PLC has received three major honors at the World Finance Banking Awards 2026, being named Sri Lanka’s Best Retail Bank, Best Commercial Bank, and Best Corporate Governance – Sri Lanka. Presented by the UK-based World Finance magazine, these awards recognize excellence in performance, innovation, customer value, leadership, sustainability, and governance. This marks the 12th consecutive year that Sampath Bank has won the retail and commercial banking titles, underscoring its long-standing ability to serve individuals, businesses, and communities effectively. The new governance accolade highlights the bank’s strong commitment to transparency, accountability, ethical leadership, and responsible stewardship.

Managing Director Sanjaya Gunawardana expressed pride in the achievements, noting they reflect customer trust, employee dedication, and stakeholder confidence. He emphasized that while the retail and commercial awards recognize consistent value and innovation, the governance honor affirms the strong principles guiding the bank’s decisions. World Finance uses a rigorous evaluation process based on financial performance, innovation, customer experience, sustainability, and leadership. Sampath Bank’s governance recognition stems from robust Board oversight, proactive risk management, and a culture of responsibility. Together, these awards reinforce the bank’s mission to build a resilient, future-ready institution that contributes to Sri Lanka’s progress.

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People’s Bank marks its 65th anniversary

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CaptionPeople's Bank Chairman Prof. Narada Fernando and CEO/GM Clive Fonseka.

People’s Bank commemorated its 65th Anniversary on 1st July. The Bank commenced its anniversary celebrations with a special event held at People’s Tower in Colombo.

The gathering was addressed by the Chairman of People’s Bank, Prof. Narada Fernando, and the Chief Executive Officer/General Manager, Clive Fonseka. Coinciding with its 65th Anniversary celebrations, People’s Bank also launched the latest edition of the Economic Review magazine under the theme, ‘Sri Lanka’s Export Renaissance: Diversification, Innovation and Global Competitiveness’.

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