Features
Trump and his tariffs: What can we do?
The never-ending soap opera of Trump and his tariffs continues to engross the world, with nations around the world wary of provoking or alienating Trump while awaiting the next Trumpian dictum which could make or break their economies. Trump likes to keep the world in suspense as to what final rates he would decide on. We cannot even be sure whether the threatened tariffs would ever be implemented as they have been postponed time and again since the beginning of April. Trump’s tariffs do take up some of the space in the local political scene with the government claiming the reduction from 44% (based on half the trade balance deficit) to 20% as a massive victory while the opposition is claiming that a lower rate could have been got if we had negotiated better or demeaned ourselves before Trump on bended knee with Ranil Wickremesinghe even suggesting that we appeal to Trump for mercy as we are stuck with the IMF programme.
What they don’t seem to understand is that Trump as The Island editor once pointed out “is impervious to reasoning and acts whimsically.” Furthermore, Trump is a bully and according to psychiatrist Robert Lifton, a solipsist (self-centered or selfish) which is worse than being a narcissist. A solipsist makes no attempt at faking interest in other people as he cannot really see them from his self-centred position. Trump wants to bully other nations to fashion their economic, international and even domestic policies into what he believes is best for the United States, his own fortune and his political and business friends, home and abroad.
Negotiating Tariffs – Does it work?
The trade balance between the US and Sri Lanka, on which Trump based his original 44% tariff on Lankan goods while being heavily weighted in our favour does not reflect the balance of payments situation between the two countries as it does not take into account the largely invisible financial trade – the dividends paid to US shareholders and companies, the interest paid on US dollar loans, payments to US based businesses like PayPal, Uber, Airbnb and Starlink, and for internet-based purchases, college and payments for other services in the US paid from Sri Lanka.
Every time you use Lanka Super or Havoline lubricants in your vehicle, travel or pick up food using Uber, book or let a room through Airbnb, buy a hotel room or air ticket through the internet, use Paypal or pay fees to an American college or even change Sri Lankan rupees into US dollars, you are contributing to the US economy but your payments are not reflected in the trade balance.
The so-called negotiations are also not carried out in good faith as Trump makes a unilateral final decision aimed at showing the US and the world that he is the master of the deal. Although he claimed that the US has gained from the deals he has made so far, the only signed agreement which has been made public so far has been with Britain and it does not seem to conform with his claims.
A reduction of tariffs for the European Union was based according to Trump on a promise of 600 million USD investment in the US. Some of the deals appear to smack of bribery. The 350 billion USD Korea plans to invest in the US will, according to Trump, be directed to any industry he chooses. Pakistan’s ‘massive oil resources’ which was unheard of until then is to be explored by a US company chosen by Trump and the huge UAE investment in crypto through companies close to the Trump family do not appear to be above board.
Trump also used tariffs as revenge to help his friends abroad like the threat of 50% tariff on some Brazilian goods as ‘they are subjecting former President Bolsonaro to a witch-hunt’ and so is the increase in tariffs on countries recognizing Palestine or criticizing the ethnic cleansing being carried out by Netanyahu. Trump is complicit with the ethnic cleansing and starvation in Gaza as it is aimed at providing Trump with a Gaza free of Palestinians that can be developed by Trump into a Riviera.
Actions of a plutocrat
People are made to believe that the USA is a bastion of democracy. However, its constitution itself prevents equal representation of people in its Senate. While California with a population of 39.5 million elects two members of the Senate, so does Wyoming with a population of 600,000. Washington DC, Puerto Rico, American Samoa and Guam although tax-paying territories of the US have no right to elect Senators. Since most of the smaller states mainly have a white population, they are better represented in the Senate. Thanks to gerrymandering black populations in many Southern states are less represented in the House as well.
Where the proportion of blacks in a state are such that they could elect two or three representatives, electorates are drawn carefully so that one electorate has a very high black population while blacks in all the other electorates are kept in a minority. Further, the Citizens United ruling of the Supreme Court has allowed unrestricted expenditure on election campaigns with wealthy donors and corporations permitted to make anonymous contributions to fund campaigns.
Total funding on mid-term election campaigns which stood at around 100 m. USD before Citizens United now exceed 1.5b. Elon Musk, we know spent a quarter of a billion dollars on the Trump campaign. These developments are moving the United States into a plutocracy, a government run by the wealthy and Trump’s economic policies are indeed weighted towards the wealthy.
The US government led the campaign to form the World Trade Organization (WTO) claiming it will bolster free trade. But Trump’s tariffs break all WTO rules. These tariffs unlike our duties and cess on imports do not treat all countries equally, the rate depending on his often lopsided view of the country and its policies.
The consequences of Trump’s tariffs on the world economy would be greater unemployment, a decrease in global trade and worldwide reductions in economic growth. But the tariffs will also lead to higher inflation in the US, loss of employment there and may even lead to a recession. Trump may be wary of this possibility as he keeps postponing the imposition of tariffs.
Their effect would be to lower his and his party’s approval ratings leading possibly to a loss of majorities in the Senate and the House in the mid-term. Trump may be able to live with this as the inbuilt 6-3 majority he has in the Supreme Court ensures the approval of all his actions although lower courts routinely go against him. There is however a possibility that Trump may rethink the tariff strategy if the political consequences in the mid-term are adverse.
Fighting Tariffs
While wealthier countries and those with larger populations have many strategies to alleviate the effects of tariffs, developing countries are in a tighter bind. China has decreased its number of factories after Covid boosted local demand, expanded its markets abroad, and invested heavily in Information Technology (IT) and Artificial Intelligence (AI). It has imposed reciprocal tariffs on the US and has restricted or delayed the export of rare earths to the US, creating problems for US industry.
Canada is reducing some of its imports like steel from the US and expanding its trade with the European Union. India appears to be ready to face any consequences and continues to buy Russian oil in spite of Trump’s threats. Brazil has refused to interfere in the Bolsonara case and President Lula da Silva has reminded Trump that he was elected President of the USA, not the emperor of the world.
Trump has also targeted BRICS because he is worried about its attempt to displace the US dollar with a new currency for trade among themselves. Apart from the US’s economic success, it is the role of the US dollar as the international currency of trade that has given the US its immense economic power.
Unite against Trump
A strategy that may succeed would be for the rest of the World to unite against Trump which may be easier when his economic policies prove disastrous for the US. The USA should be expelled from the WTO, which should redouble efforts at promoting free trade among other countries.
Trump’s high tariffs on BRICS members suggests that he is worried about the BRICS plan to develop a currency as an alternative to the dollar for international trade. However, none of the BRICS countries have a freely exchangeable currency and since the only currency which can displace the dollar today is the euro, BRICS members should promote the euro as an alternative to the dollar.
For years the US has warned the world of the dangers from Chinese IT services as their unrestricted penetration of the West would allow them to collect private data of citizens of other countries and use them to further the nefarious aims of ‘Communist’ China. This is probably a strategy to maintain the dominance of US companies in this field. The US has therefore routinely prevented the export of high tech IT equipment to China, but in spite of these restrictions Chinese companies have shown their superiority in many high-tech fields like IT, AI and battery technology.
If these Chinese companies are allowed to compete in a level playing field, they will put the Metas, the Googles, the Apples, the Microsofts and the Xs to shame. There is no difference between Chinese companies using our data and their US counterparts who too steal our data for sale to commercial enterprises. Countries outside the US should promote the use of Chinese high-tech products like Huawei and Baidu and make a truly competitive marketplace for high technology consumer goods in their countries.
However to develop a unified strategy against Trump, China and Russia should be magnanimous in settling the territorial disputes with their neighbours. Scrambling to maintain their rights to an uninhabited island in the South China sea is self-defeating as it promotes alienation and guarantees an American military presence in the neighborhood. China should also recognize Taiwan’s role in high technology and allow it to have an independent existence and partner it in its commercial ventures. Russia should negotiate with Ukraine in good faith and arrive at a fair settlement. These actions will provide the environment for closer collaboration of the countries opposing the US.
What Trump should realize is that no empire lasts forever, whether it be the Greeks the Romans, the Ottomans, the Austro-Hungarian or the British. Their collapse was hastened by internal problems of governance or the economy. Trump’s present policies threaten the continuance of US dominance in the world, which of course is not a bad thing for countries like ours.
(Vijaya Kumar is an Emeritus Professor of the University of Peradeniya and former Dean of the Faculty of Science)
by Vijaya Kumar ✍️
Features
Civilizational dialogue proving a remote possibility as realpolitik rages
Looking back over the years since the 9/11 catastrophe, it could be said that barring former Iranian President Mohammad Khatami no world political leader of note has made an earnest effort to change the nature of global political discourse for the better. Khatami won world acclaim for his pronouncement that the time is right to launch and sustain a ‘Dialogue among Civilizations’.
This was in marked contrast to US political scientist Samuel P. Huntingdon’s epochal theses, formulated in the wake of 9/11 and other global political tumults that the Post Cold War era is essentially one of conflicts among civilizations. That is, people’s identity markers, such as culture and religion, are the prime shaping forces of international conflicts.
From a Political Realism standpoint, Huntingdon’s theory may seem to have gained in credibility over the years but it is Khatami’s pronouncement that has evoked an empathetic response in the hearts and minds of publics world wide. So much so, 2001 was proclaimed by the UN General Assembly as the ‘Year of Dialogue among Civilizations’.
It could be said that the latter proclamation was an endeavour to give back to humans their essential identity of peace-makers. It was an eschewing of the position that war and conflict are central to the human condition and amounted to upholding constructive dialogue among peoples and civilizations as a path to peace.
That things have not worked out in the world in keeping with the expectations of peace makers does not in any way invalidate the thesis that peace is the essential propensity of humans.
If peace-making is seemingly ineffective it is primarily because the path to peace is narrow, tortuous and time-consuming. On the other hand, violence usually misleadingly recommends itself to the human as the more expedient, cost-effective way out of a conflictual situation. However, the ultimate cost of the latter approach is prohibitive because it brutalizes the human beyond recognition.
Some of the evidence is before our eyes. The Trump administration, for example, has, minus much forethought, unleashed what may be described as a ‘quick-fix’ war against Iran but is now finding that it is in a veritable military quagmire in West Asia. The priority for the administration now seems to be a face-saving escape strategy. Such are the costs of the war option.
However, there is no denying that much remains to be done by the world community to bring peoples and cultures together with a view to enabling them to work as one for the cause of a less dangerous world.
Meanwhile, the broad divisions in international politics continue and past political polarities are lingering to the detriment of enhanced international understanding. The East and the West and the South and the North, for instance, are continuing to work in separate collectives, more or less, and no notable efforts are being made by the international community to bring these sides together for the purpose of united constructive action that could usher greater international well being.
The recent Shanghai Cooperation Organization Summit, 2026, held in Kyrgyztan was a replication of the above broad trends but there were some statements at the forum by Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi that deserve special scrutiny and comment.
Modi was quoted saying among other things: ‘The land of Gandhi and the land of Buddha share a single message: the path to peace!..We must move away from endless war towards an end to the war. This is essentially for the well being of humanity. A peaceful resolution to all issues at the earliest is the call of humanity, and this is India’s message.’
The above is the language of international peace and unity. It is such language that will help in building bridges among civilizations and advance the cause of world peace. Besides, it will help bring a measure of understanding between North and South.
In this regard, the Trump administration could take a leaf or more from the Modi government. Unless it makes a ‘U turn’, as it were, in the direction of peace and reconciliation it is very unlikely that the US and the world would experience any stability worth speaking of.
Right now the US is savaging the sovereignty of Venezuela. It is a question of the ‘Empire striking back’ but Venezuela is a far cry from Iran. Iran has outsmarted the US on the battle field and is in a position to influence broad trends in the world economy since it still has control over the Hormuz Straits. That is, Iran could exercise a determining influence over world oil, gas and energy prices. In short, the US consumer’s future peace of mind is very much in the hands of Iran.
Given the above backdrop it should have dawned on the US political leadership that working towards cordial relations with Iran is the most advisable option. The US, simply, has too much to lose otherwise.
Likewise, Russia too needs to take a leaf from India. It is plain to see that its invasion of Ukraine is proving totally ineffective. It has not brought any measure of peace for the Russian people. Russia is right now experiencing a rerun of its military misadventure in Afghanistan. On the other hand, sections of the peoples concerned have been victimized and even brutalized.
Accordingly, there needs to be a coming together of democratic opinion worldwide for a fresh consideration of the options facing humanity. There is a dire need for value-based politics to take the place of Realpolitik. Besides, the language of peace and humanity needs to replace current divisive discourse with its stress on polarities and antagonisms.
International organizations of the stature of the UN need to take the lead in spearheading the above initiatives. Right now the UN gives the impression of being a spent force. This columnist hopes that he would be proved wrong on this score because the UN remains the only hope of the poor and victimized. It will be in the interests of all peoples for the UN to rejuvenate itself and dedicate itself increasingly enthusiastically to the cause of international peace.
Whether it be the South or North, dynamic, visionary political leadership and direction emerges as essential. The need is for voices that would espouse peace and accord across boundaries and divisions. For South Asia, India and Pakistan have the potential to fill this lacuna.
Features
Sri Lanka’s constitutional test: Judicial independence beyond immediate political moment
by Shelton Dharmaratne
Sri Lanka has reached an important constitutional moment.
The proposed 22nd Amendment has moved beyond political debate and into the constitutional process through which its validity will be examined. That development should change the character of the national discussion.
That is understandable in a politically contested environment. But Sri Lanka should now resist reducing a question of constitutional design to a contest over political positions.
The deeper issue concerns the relationship between constitutional reform, judicial independence and public confidence in the institutions of the State.
The Supreme Court will determine the constitutional questions before it. Public commentators should therefore exercise restraint in predicting, interpreting or seeking to influence that determination. But restraint does not require silence. It requires a more rigorous discussion of the institutional principles at stake.
A narrower constitutional question than the political debate suggests
The proposed amendment principally concerns the retirement ages of judges of the Supreme Court and Court of Appeal, together with an increase in the maximum number of judges permitted on the Court of Appeal.
Under the proposal, the retirement age of Supreme Court judges would rise from 65 to 67 and that of Court of Appeal judges from 63 to 65. The maximum number of Court of Appeal judges would also increase from 19 to 24.
Other proposed changes concerning the retirement ages of judges in the lower courts arise under separate legislation. This distinction matters because the public debate has sometimes treated the wider package of judicial reform as though it formed a single constitutional proposal.
Nor should the central issue be reduced to whether retaining experienced judges is inherently good or inherently dangerous. Both propositions are too simplistic.
Sri Lanka faces a substantial burden of pending litigation, and delays in the administration of justice impose significant costs on citizens, businesses and the State. Experienced judges represent an institutional resource. Continuity, accumulated knowledge and familiarity with complex areas of law cannot always be replaced immediately.
Those are legitimate policy considerations.
But the opposing concern is equally important: judicial tenure is not merely an employment condition. It is a structural component of judicial independence.
The real question is institutional
The critical question is not whether an individual judge is capable of acting impartially. It is whether the constitutional structure provides adequate protection against circumstances in which judicial tenure could become connected, directly or indirectly, with political authority.
That is an institutional question, not an accusation against individual judges.
A judge may be entirely conscientious and independent while the institutional arrangements surrounding the judiciary nevertheless create public doubts about independence. Constitutional democracies therefore cannot depend solely on the personal integrity of office-holders. They must construct institutions capable of preserving independence even when governments, individuals and political circumstances change.
This is particularly relevant when constitutional reform concerns the tenure of serving members of the superior judiciary.
The institutional sensitivity of such a proposal should neither be exaggerated into an allegation of improper motive nor dismissed as irrelevant. The appropriate response is transparency, procedural fairness and confidence in constitutional safeguards.
Legitimate objectives do not settle constitutional questions
The government has stated that its objectives include strengthening the administration of justice, addressing delays, retaining judicial experience and increasing institutional capacity.
Those objectives deserve serious consideration. Sri Lanka needs judicial reform. Citizens waiting years for their cases to be concluded experience the justice system very differently from those discussing it in Parliament, courtrooms or universities.
A government is therefore entitled to propose reforms designed to improve judicial efficiency.
But legitimate objectives do not automatically resolve constitutional objections. The relevant question is whether the means chosen are compatible with the constitutional structure and whether sufficient safeguards exist against unintended institutional consequences.
That is precisely why constitutional scrutiny matters.
The concerns of the Bar Association of Sri Lanka (BASL) should likewise be examined without political labelling. Opposition to the proposed changes should not automatically be characterised as opposition to judicial reform or an attempt to obstruct the government. At the same time, invoking judicial independence does not place any argument beyond scrutiny.
The appropriate questions are straightforward:
Does extending judicial tenure strengthen the administration of justice?
What risks, if any, could it create for judicial independence?
Are adequate institutional safeguards in place?
Does the proposal operate prospectively, or does it affect judges already serving?
Could the same objectives be achieved by filling vacancies, increasing judicial capacity, improving court administration and strengthening case management?
These questions can be examined rationally without attributing improper motives to either side.
Judicial vacancies and institutional confidence
Recent concerns raised by the BASL regarding judicial vacancies add another dimension to the debate. The BASL has argued that vacancies in the Supreme Court contributed to the retirement of a senior Court of Appeal judge without promotion to the Supreme Court, despite vacancies having existed. It has also raised concerns regarding forthcoming judicial retirements and the need for timely consideration of appointments.
Such matters should not be treated as evidence of the motives behind the proposed amendment. They do, however, illustrate a broader principle.
Judicial independence is shaped not only by the retirement age written into the Constitution. It is also influenced by how vacancies are filled, how promotions are determined, how seniority and merit are assessed, and whether judicial officers and the public believe that institutional decisions are made according to transparent and defensible criteria.
The government has an opportunity to address these concerns constructively.
Prompt appointments based on publicly defensible principles would strengthen confidence in the judiciary irrespective of the eventual outcome of the constitutional debate.
Seniority, merit and transparent criteria
The controversy also exposes a longstanding question concerning judicial appointments.
Seniority has traditionally carried considerable weight in judicial advancement. Yet seniority alone need not be the sole measure of merit. Conversely, replacing established practices with undefined assessments of “merit” could create another institutional problem.
If governments or appointing authorities can determine which judges are sufficiently meritorious without clear and objective criteria, uncertainty itself may become a source of institutional anxiety.
Sri Lanka would therefore benefit from clearer, objective and defensible standards governing judicial appointments and promotions.
Such standards would protect judges as well as appointing authorities. They would reduce opportunities for favouritism, strengthen institutional confidence and make it harder for political actors to portray every appointment as politically motivated.
Institutional rules are stronger safeguards than assurances of good intentions.
The State is larger than any government
One principle deserves particular emphasis: a government is not the State.
Governments are temporary. The constitutional State is continuing. Political parties change, parliamentary majorities change and political priorities change. The judiciary, however, must continue to function independently of whoever occupies the government benches.
The judiciary is neither a government institution in the political sense nor an Opposition institution. It is an institution of the State whose legitimacy depends upon its independence from both.
For that reason, governments should exercise particular caution when proposing constitutional changes affecting the judiciary, even where the policy objectives are legitimate.
The stronger a government is politically, the greater its responsibility to demonstrate institutional restraint.
That is not political weakness. It is constitutional maturity.
Public confidence is a constitutional asset
The most consequential issue may ultimately be neither retirement age nor judicial capacity, but public confidence.
Courts do not possess political power in the conventional sense. Their authority rests substantially on the acceptance of their decisions as legitimate.
Citizens will sometimes disagree with judicial decisions. But where the judiciary is perceived as independent, even unpopular decisions can command respect. If judicial institutions are perceived as being shaped by political convenience, even legally sound decisions may become vulnerable to suspicion.
Constitutional reform affecting judicial tenure must therefore be evaluated not only by its immediate administrative benefits but also by its effect on institutional credibility.
A reform that produces short-term efficiency while weakening confidence in judicial independence could impose a greater long-term cost. Conversely, reform that improves efficiency while preserving independence can strengthen both justice and public trust.
The challenge is not to choose between judicial efficiency and judicial independence. It is to achieve both.
If a referendum arises …
If the constitutional process ultimately requires approval by the people at a referendum, the debate should rise above the conventional government versus Opposition contest.
The electorate should be given a clear constitutional question and sufficient information to assess it.
Citizens should understand what problem the amendment seeks to address, why the proposed mechanism is considered necessary, what institutional risks have been identified, what safeguards exist and whether alternative measures could achieve the same objectives.
A constitutional referendum deserves a higher standard of public discussion than an ordinary election campaign.
The people would not merely be choosing a political side. They would be deciding the institutional framework within which political power and judicial authority operate.
Beyond who wins
The most important question arising from the proposed Twenty-Second Amendment is therefore not simply whether the government succeeds or whether the Opposition and BASL prevail.
Nor is it ultimately whether judicial retirement ages become 67 and 65 or remain unchanged.
Those are immediate constitutional questions. The deeper issue is what Sri Lanka learns from the controversy.
If the government seeks to modernise and strengthen the justice system, that objective deserves serious consideration. If the BASL and others warn that particular reforms may affect judicial independence, those concerns deserve equally serious examination.
Neither side strengthens the country by assuming that the other is acting in bad faith.
The constitutional system is strongest when legitimate disagreements are resolved through institutions rather than political pressure.
Whatever the eventual constitutional outcome, Sri Lanka will still face the underlying challenges of judicial vacancies, case delays, institutional capacity, judicial appointments and public confidence. Those problems will not disappear with a judicial determination, nor should the national conversation end there.
Sri Lanka should instead seek a broader consensus around a fundamental proposition:
Judicial reform and judicial independence are not competing objectives.
The real challenge is to pursue reform in a manner that strengthens the judiciary without placing its independence under suspicion.
That requires sound legislation, transparent appointments, adequate resources, efficient court administration, responsible political conduct and safeguards capable of surviving changes of government.
The present controversy will eventually pass. Political arguments surrounding it will fade.
But constitutional arrangements can endure for decades.
That is why Sri Lanka must look beyond the immediate political contest.
The ultimate test is not who wins today’s constitutional argument. It is whether, when the political moment has passed, Sri Lanka has a judiciary that is more efficient, more accessible and more trusted—while remaining sufficiently independent to hold every government, including future governments, within the boundaries of the Constitution.
Features
Farewell to a Fashion Icon
Sri Lanka’s fashion world lost one of its brightest stars Monday morning – veteran model, actress, and elite pageant trainer Chulpadmendra “Chula” Kumarapathirana.
Her sudden demise has certainly come as a shock to many.
Chula had just completed a major event on Sunday (30th August), and was no more in the land of the living the following day (31st August).
Born in Colombo, she was an old girl of Buddhist Ladies’ College and later studied at the National Institute of Business Management, and has many awesome achievements to her credit.
In 2006, she won the “Miss Tourism Model of the World Press Award” in Tanzania.
She entered the entertainment industry, as an actress, and gained popularity through the teledrama “Wahinna Muthu Wessak.”
Chulpadmendra has been on TV, and many Sri Lankan hip-hop music videos, including “Hanthane” and “Heena Hirimal”, and has had several other minor acting jobs since then.
She hosted the Derana Miss Sri Lanka for Miss World 2008 and even participated in the reality TV show Sirasa Dancing Star.
For over 25 years Chula was active in local and international fashion and founded the Chulpadmendra Catwalk Studio to train young newcomers
She trained hundreds of models for runway, photoshoots, auditions, and international pageants.
She was known as a fierce mentor who believed in “not just learning to walk, but learning to command the runway”.
Many young models called graduating from her studio their “happiest moment.”

Chulpadmendra “Chula” Kumarapathirana: Many young models called graduating
from her studio their “happiest moment.” (L)/ Won the “Miss Tourism Model of the World Press Award” in Tanzania (R)
Chula was very fond of The Island newspaper and kept in touch with us on a regular basis.
Her last message to The Island was a ‘thank you’ note for the article ‘New benchmark in pageant industry’:
“Thank you, Ivan, for writing such a beautiful article about me. Your unwavering support, encouragement, and belief in me throughout my career mean more than words can express. I am truly grateful for your kindness and generosity.
“My heartfelt thanks also go to The Island newspaper for featuring the article. It is a great honour, and I sincerely appreciate the recognition and support.
“Thank you once again.”
In fact, just a couple weeks ago, she sent a photo of herself for our Glam Scene and that picture I publish today, as part of this story.
May she rest in peace. Our deepest condolences to her family, students, and all who loved her.
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