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Editorial

Making sense of the U.S. election

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To many of us in Sri Lanka, born and bred in the Westminster tradition of ‘One Man One Vote’, the Electoral College system of electing the President of the United States makes little sense. The USA is a country that prides itself as the cradle of democracy, condemning other systems of elections as inferior, authoritarian, even dictatorial. Proponents of the Electoral College claim, according to a Google search, that “the nationally popular system promotes political stability, preserves the Constitutional role of the states in presidential elections; and fosters a broad-based, enduring and generally moderate political party system”.

This theory does not seem to reflect the real problems of a system which was created in a bygone era with a vastly different political and racial climate. The Electoral College is not only unique to the United States, but the system is only used to elect the presidency, and is the only election in the US in which the candidate who gets the highest number of votes does not necessarily win. They have in 90% of the elections, proponents claim. But who can forget Trump won last time round after polling nearly three million fewer votes than Hillary Clinton.

The origin of the system is also unique in its purpose, which was hardly democratic. It was designed to ensure that the president of the United States would come from the then largest state, Virginia, and the slave states would be able to use their slave population to influence the election of the president. The Electoral College is made up of representatives of each of the 50 states, and the District of Columbia. When the American voter casts his ballot for his choice of the president, he is really voting for a candidate of his party in the state, known as an elector. There are 538 such electors nationwide, who then cast their votes for the president on behalf of the voters in the state.

These electors are chosen on the basis of the number of congressional districts in each state, plus two additional votes representing the state’s Senate seats. Washington D.C., though not a state, is also assigned three electoral votes. The total number of electoral votes is supposed to reflect the populations of these states; however, the least populous states, like the Dakotas and the states of New England tend to be over-represented because of the mandatory minimum of three votes for each state. The most populous states, like California, Texas and Florida are under-represented in the electoral college.

Also, the Electoral College operates on a winner-take-all system, where the candidate with a majority of votes in the election in each state is awarded all of that state’s electoral votes. As an example, Donald Trump won Florida in 2016 with a margin of 2.2% over Clinton, and claimed all of Florida’s 29 Electoral College votes. Two of the four presidential elections held in this century have resulted in the candidate who won the popular vote losing the presidency; Clinton beat Trump by 2.9 million national votes and Al Gore beat Bush by approximately 500,000 votes. If the archaic Electoral College had been retired to the dustbin of history, Democrats would have very likely had consecutive presidents for the past 20 years.

The election of Donald Trump with a minority vote proved to be a tragic outcome, not only for the United States, but also for the world outside. Trump has earned universal contempt, and relinquished America’s mantle as the Leader of the Free World. Strangely, the 2020 elections which are currently in progress shows that Trump’s popularity in the United States has not been overly diminished. Biden currently has a popular vote lead of over four million votes, but Trump has also exceeded the 60 million votes he received in 2016. To paraphrase one of our regular columnists who makes no secret of his hatred for Donald Trump, the demographic composition of American society has been undergoing rapid changes, and the “brown invasion” touted by Trump has made for a large swathe of white Americans fearful of losing the white privilege they had enjoyed for centuries.

Although the official result of the election will be known only sometime next week, Biden’s success, both in terms of the popular vote and the Electoral College, have been accepted. Though not by Trump, who has been ranting and tweeting that the election was a fraud and has been rigged. He has demanded recounts in states like Michigan and Wisconsin, which Biden has won fairly comfortably. He has already filed a slew of lawsuits contesting the election in many of the battleground states, some of which have admittedly been very close. He is also inciting his “militia” of white supremacists and the alt-right Proud Boys to post-election violence, which some alarmists have predicted would end in a second civil war.

The strange concept of a Lame Duck presidency, also unique to the United States, where the defeated president remains in office, with all the awesome powers of the presidency from the date his defeat is announced to the inauguration of the newly elected president on January 21, 2021, may cause unforeseen legal problems, even violence. A hostile Republican Senate, with a pliant six/three majority in the Supreme Court, will only help Trump in his efforts to subvert and destabilize the political process. Sri Lanka has also had sporadic instances of post-election violence in the past. But the violence which could be wrought in the USA, with private militia armed to the teeth with military style weapons, will make anything we have encountered in the past seem like a walk in the park.



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Editorial

Fuel: Feints, hooks and rhetoric

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Monday 23rd March, 2026

The fuel price revision on the eve of the reintroduction of the QR-based fuel quota system the other day was only a feint, and the killer hook followed on Saturday, when massive fuel price hikes sent the public reeling. Curiously, Cabinet Spokesman and Minister Dr. Nalinda Jayatissa has said that despite the latest fuel price increases, “the Treasury is still bearing a cost of Rs. 100 per litre of diesel and Rs. 20 per litre of petrol, resulting in an estimated monthly subsidy expenditure of approximately Rs. 20 billion”. This claim lacks clarity. If it is true that fuel is still subsidised, the government ought to present a cost analysis based on landed costs of imported fuel, refining or processing costs, if any, administrative and distribution costs, dealer margins, and government taxes and levies. Mere words won’t do.

A statement made by President Anura Kumara Dissanayake on fuel pricing, in Parliament last Friday, runs counter to the Cabinet Spokesman’s aforesaid claim. What one gathered from the President’s speech was that the government would increase fuel prices in such a way as to make them cost-reflective. The President said the Ceylon Petroleum Corporation (CPC) accounted for 57% of the country’s fuel supply, and if it had been the sole supplier, world market price fluctuations could have been managed by offsetting current losses with future profits.

He said the private sector now controlled 43% of the market, and its position was that if retail prices did not reflect the current landed costs of fuel, it would stop imports. Emphasising that the contribution of the private sector was essential to maintaining the national fuel supply, the President noted that the private companies would participate only if they could sell fuel at cost-reflective prices. In other words, his position was that it was not possible to subsidise fuel. So, if the fuel prices determined by the CPC are not cost-reflective, due to subsidies, they will compel the private companies in the fuel trade to vote with their feet. It will be interesting to see whether they will do so. They have already matched the CPC prices.

Meanwhile, there are some measures that the government can adopt immediately to grant relief to the public. As we argued in last Saturday’s comment, the government should seriously consider suspending the loss-recovery levy of Rs. 50 per litre embedded in fuel prices, and imposing it again, if at all, when oil prices stabilise in the world market. This levy must also be replaced with a special commodity tax, which can be imposed on the private companies engaged in the fuel trade; at present they do not transfer the proceeds from loss-recovery levy to the Treasury, unlike the CPC, according to some former Petroleum ministers. Expanding the base of the loss-recovery levy in the form of a cess will help reduce its quantum. Surprisingly, this issue has not been taken up in Parliament.

There is also a pressing need for a car-pooling system to address the issue of soaring fuel prices and low-occupancy vehicles on the road. There are some car-pooling platforms in Sri Lanka, but they are not widely used. Car-pooling apps and similar services operate across Europe, Asia and Latin America in countries, such as France, Germany, Spain, Italy, Belgium, Poland, the UK, Turkey, India, Russia, Brazil and Mexico.

Successive governments have not cared to increase the country’s strategic petroleum reserves. The incumbent dispensation has failed to be different. In April 2020, world oil prices turned negative for the first time in history, with the oil producers paying buyers to remove the commodity owing to a fear that they would run out of storage facilities. Sri Lanka could not benefit from that windfall. The SLPP was in power at the time. If the Trinco oil tank farm had been repaired and made operational by then, the CPC would have been able to make huge profits and even turn itself around.

Speaking in Parliament, President Dissanayake recently lamented the limited oil storage facilities in Sri Lanka. No country can absorb oil price shocks unless it maintains strategic petroleum reserves. Only a few of the 99 oil tanks in Trincomalee have been developed. The Indian Oil Company (IOC) has been given 14 tanks, and the CPC 24 tanks, which remain unused; 61 tanks are to be developed under a joint venture between the CPC and the IOC. Each tank has a capacity of about 10,000 MT. There are no signs of the CPC-owned tanks in Trinco being made operational any time soon despite the JVP-led NPP’s election pledge to rehabilitate them fast as a national priority. Rhetoric is no substitute for strategic planning.

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Editorial

President in Parliament

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President Anura Kumara Dissanayake is often seen in Parliament, making special statements and long speeches in defence of his government. It is being argued in some quarters that no other President attended Parliament so frequently. This, however, is a moot point. We once commented on President Mahinda Rajapaksa’s regular presence in Parliament, asking whether he was trying to remind the Legislature that he was the boss. Why should the Presidents attend and address Parliament regularly?

President Dissanayake is apparently labouring under the misconception that he can shore up the government’s image single-handedly by attending Parliament and displaying his oratorical skills. Whenever he is sighted in Parliament, everybody knows that the government has blotted its copybook again and is badly in need of his help to distract the public from its blunders and misdeeds. President Dissanayake spoke in Parliament yesterday as well, stressing his government’s ‘neutral foreign policy’, among other things, for the umpteenth time.

Sri Lanka’s Constitution works the way it should only when the Executive is in a position to control the Legislature. When the President and the Prime Minister happen to represent two different political parties, the latter undermines the former, as was the case between 2001 and 2004, with President Chandrika Kumaratunga and Prime Minister Ranil Wickremesinghe leading the SLFP-led People’s Alliance and the UNP-led UNF, respectively. They were at loggerheads, and President Kumaratunga finally went so far as to sack the UNF government and hold a snap general election, which her party won, helping her consolidate her power by regaining control of Parliament. President Maithripala Sirisena faced a similar situation after breaking ranks with the UNP-led UNF in 2018. Thus, the Presidents do everything in their power to keep the Legislature under their thumb lest alternative power centres should form around the Prime Ministers in Parliament even when their own parties are in power.

The President is constitutionally required to attend Parliament once every three months. Article 32 (3) of the Constitution says: “The President shall, by virtue of his office, attend Parliament once in every three months ….” Article 32 (4) says: “The President shall by virtue of his office also have the right to address and send messages to Parliament. The President also has the power to make the Statement of Government Policy in Parliament at the commencement of each session of Parliament and preside over ceremonial sittings of Parliament, according to Article 33.

These constitutional provisions are widely thought to be aimed at ensuring periodic engagement between the Executive and the Legislature, thereby promoting accountability, communication, and constitutional balance in a presidential system. The Executive President’s regular presence in Parliament theoretically signals his or her respect for the legislature and helps reinforce the notions of accountability and constitutionalism, but it can also be interpreted as a form of ‘soft power projection’ when it is intended to shape political narratives in favour of the ruling party.

The Executive should be mindful of the time constraints faced by the Legislature. An oft-heard complaint in Parliament is that the members of both the government and the Opposition are denied sufficient time to speak. Their anger is directed at the Speaker. Not all of them come out with anything sensible in their speeches and during debates, which more often than not descend into slanging matches and even fisticuffs; they are known to say very little in so many words and often go off on a tangent. However, their right to express their views in Parliament as elected people’s representatives cannot be questioned. It is their time that the Executive uses to make speeches and statements in the House to further the interests of his or her party. The Executive ought to render unto the legislators what is theirs and refrain from trying to overshadow the Legislature.

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Editorial

More shocks in the pipeline

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Saturday 21st March, 2026

Trouble is said to come in threes. For Sri Lankans, it seems to come in multiples of three. Close on the heels of crippling fuel price hikes, speculation is rife that electricity tariff increases are on the cards. The government is said to be contemplating another round of fuel price hikes as well.

The JVP/NPP talked the talk in the run-up to the 2024 elections, but it is now unable to walk the walk. In fact, the sobering economic reality has compelled it to do the very antithesis of what it promised during its Opposition days. It made a solemn pledge to bring down the cost of living immediately after forming a government and even tackle the country’s debt crisis expeditiously, without aggravating the people’s lot. There seems to be no end in sight to its about-turns, which are legion.

There is reason to believe that many people voted for the JVP/NPP, expecting it to fulfil its promise to lower taxes and tariffs among other things. Now that the government has reneged on that pledge and increased taxes and electricity and fuel prices substantially, they must be feeling that they were taken for a ride. Winning elections by making all the promises in the world is one thing, but fulfilling them to live up to the people’s expectations is quite another. There was no way the NPP government could slash taxes and tariffs, given the perilous state of the economy and the IMF bailout conditions, which are aimed at increasing state revenue severalfold and bring about debt sustainability. President Gotabaya Rajapaksa’s government blundered by slashing taxes and fuel prices. Interim President Ranil Wickremesinghe had to rectify those colossal policy blunders that ruined the economy. However, the public naturally becomes livid when governments do not make good on their promises and they are left without the promised relief and benefits.

The Opposition has said President Anura Kumara Dissanayake yesterday made a case for another round of fuel price hikes while addressing Parliament. A spokesman for fuel distributors has gone on record as saying that more fuel prices are in the pipeline. Such statements only cause panic among consumers and drive filling stations operators to hide their stocks with a view to profiteering. Yesterday, many of them claimed they had run out of fuel. There is no one the public can turn to. Unsurprisingly, when many filling stations claim to have no fuel, queues of vehicles near the others where stocks are available grow longer. It behoves the President, other government politicians and fuel distributors to refrain from predicting fuel prices hikes. It is also a mistake for them to predict price reductions, for the filling station owners do not place orders until the fuel prices are lowered. What the politicians and others should do is to guard their tongues and allow fuel prices to be lowered or increased.

Further fuel price increases will make the cost of living even more unbearable for the ordinary people. The government, which came to power, promising to do away with the taxes on fuel and halve the petroleum prices, ought to consider lowering the loss-recovery levy on fuel, amounting to Rs. 50 a litre, until the global oil market stabilises with prices returning to the pre-Middle East conflict levels. Thereafter, that levy may be re-imposed but in the form of a special commodity tax so that the Indian Oil Company, Sinopec, etc., which are said to control 43% of the local fuel market, will have to pay it, and the Treasury will gain. At present, the loss-recovery levy helps increase the profits of the private companies, ironic as it may sound.

It is hoped that government politicians and their officials will talk less and work more to increase the country’s oil storage capacity. The need to increase oil buffer stocks as a national priority cannot be overstated. Allowing the government’s private sector cronies to import oil cannot be considered a solution to the current energy crisis.

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