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Human capital and natural resources are the real assets of Sri Lanka, not its SOEs: Suresh Shah

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  • Dividends paid to government by SOEs including State Banks is a mere 0.5% of state revenue

  • Privatisation is a sensitive call undertaken in the interest of 22 million people

  • Restructuring crucial public entities more difficult than privatising SOEs

  • Finalising transaction advisors for entities identified for privatisation underway

  • Says government monopolies will not be converted into private sector monopolies

By Sanath Nanayakkare

Suresh Shah, Head of State Owned Enterprises (SOE) Restructuring Unit of the Ministry of Finance said last week that Sri Lanka’s true national assets are in its human capital and natural resources, so it needs to be correctly understood that state-owned enterprises are not the real national assets.

He made this remark while addressing a webinar on “Charting a New Course: Expert Perspectives on Restructuring State-Owned Enterprises” – which had been organised by the Centre for Banking Studies of the Central Bank of Sri Lanka.

His keynote speech also made the revelation that despite the fact some government entities are profitable, figures show that as an average over the past 10 years, the total dividend payout made to the government by all profitable SOEs including the State Banks had been a mere 0.5% of the total revenue of the government.

“None of these SOEs are national assets. National assets are elsewhere. Our true national assets are in our human capital, youth talent and natural capital such as rivers, forests and our ocean. We need to harness the potential of those national assets if we are to build the country we want,” he noted.

Further speaking he said:

“SOE restructuring goes much beyond privatising than many people would think. The real objective of the restructuring process is to provide improved products and services to the citizens of the country at the right price when and where they want them. SOE restructuring is all about enabling those elements within a competitive economic framework than at any given time. In other words, it is about providing the citizens with quality products and services at better prices with widespread availability. In this process, there will be some institutions that will be privatized and there will be some that will remain within government. The fundamental question in this context is how we are going to carry out this sensitive call.

The exercise will be about how the end-consumer would benefit as a result of it. Would the consumer be better served by privatizing a certain SOE or would it be better to leave it unchanged from government control? How does one make the decision? Many people talk about profit-making entities and loss-making entities but that’s not the way in which this decision should be made. The real decision should be made on whether there is a market failure or not. A market failure happens when goods and services are provided to consumers, but the provision of those goods and services don’t actually take place in a competitive environment favourable to the consumer.

It could be that there is a monopoly supplier at play or there are a few cohorts because of whom consumers don’t receive a fair and decent deal in terms of quality, price and availability. Ideally the government needs to look at the regulatory framework to ensure that citizens have unhindered access to essential services they need rather than non-essential goods and services. The government doesn’t necessarily have to be in business to deal with market failure because it can do so with regulatory mechanisms and thus ensure proper operation in the market and safeguard the consumer.”

“The opinion that is doing the round is; loss-making SOEs need to be privatised and profit-making SOEs need to remain unchanged in government control. This is a fallacy surrounded by misinformation. Something that a lot of people tend to forget is that the profit an SOE makes doesn’t belong to the shareholder, in this case the government. What come to the shareholder are the dividends and not the profits. The profits remain within that company. So if a 100% government-owned entity makes a profit of Rs. one billion and declares a dividend of Rs. 100 million, the Rs. 900 million will remain with that entity and the government would get only Rs. 100 million.

If you look at the past 10-years, the average of the dividends declared by all SOEs to the government, as a component of the government’s total revenue works out to about 0.5%. And this includes the dividends that have been declared by the State Banks as well. So what the government gets in cash flow terms from profit-making SOEs is a very, very small component of its total revenue.”

” If we divest a listed government entity at the market price (without a premium) and you invest the proceeds of that in fixed deposits, the chances are that fixed deposit interest you will earn from those proceeds would be about 4 to 5 times the dividends that entity would declare in any given year. So if you look at it from a purely cash flow terms, it makes sense to divest these entities”.

“Another point to remember is the government collects taxes from private and public entities; 15% of a company’s revenue as VAT, 2.5% as social security levy and 30% on its profit as income tax comes to the government. In addition, a public sector entity will provide the government with dividends. When you move these entities into the private sector, they will increase their productivity and efficiency. What you lose from the dividend component, you will be more than compensated through taxation. So from a purely cash flow point of view, this story about profit-making entities and loss-making entities simply doesn’t hold water. And the biggest danger in making the case for profit -making enterprises and loss-making enterprises is that we are pushing the government to focus on profit.

When that happens it tends to ignore its fundamental responsibility of providing services to the citizens. You can’t have a profitable police department or national education system or healthcare system. So, getting the government to focus on profit is extremely dangerous because it has it obligations to the general public. Profit should be the purview of the private sector. This is why we need to move certain SOEs to the private sector and retain critical public services in government control. When non-critical SOEs are privatised, the government will have the taxation system at its disposal to raise enough revenue to provide critical public services on its own account.”

“We need to have a proper system to manage those entities unchanged from the government control. This will be more difficult than privatizing other SOEs.”

“SOEs have failed mainly because we have parked the losses that came from politically-driven subsidies within these SOEs. Such subsidies must be taken on the government’s balance sheet rather than the balance sheet of the entity through which the subsidies are provided. Cases in point are the CEB and CPC where subsidies were given on electricity and fuel respectively. As a result of that, those entities had poor balance sheets and when it came to a crunch, we faced fuel shortages and power cuts. And very recently we had dramatic increases in energy prices.

So we need to have a system where we don’t park subsidies within these entities. SOEs have also failed because of poor management system. We need to appoint fit and proper people to their boards. And also we created jobs in SOEs that were not really there and made them overstaffed. Further, government management procedures are cumbersome, unproductive and take a long time whereas the private sector can make decisions more much more efficiently than the government. The restructuring process will carefully take all these into account in order to make SOEs commercially-oriented ventures.”

Suresh Shah emphasized that he is aware that his unit is dealing with the interests of 22 million people who are stakeholders of these entities and he and his team would do the job in a very responsible and transparent manner.

“At present we are shortlisting or trying to finalize transaction advisors for entities that have been identified for privatization. Once that is done, once the advisors are appointed then they will help us with the due diligence and with valuations. They will help us create data rooms for review of potential investors. And then we will open up the EOI and RFP process once again to invite bids from anyone who is interested in making a proposal for any one of these entities.”

He asserted that his unit would try its best to ensure that in the process of restructuring, government monopolies would not be turned into private sector monopolies.

Manjula de Silva, Former Secretary General and CEO of the Ceylon Chamber of Commerce said,” Privatization is not the only option. In some cases, you would want to keep the state entities going but open the market for other players by liberalizing it. I think that is what is happening in the petroleum distribution sector. What is important is creating a level playing field for everyone. For example, the Petroleum Ministry is setting policy for the petroleum industry while operating CPC. So we need to separate policy making, regulating and commercial operations to ensure that the market environment is fair for everyone.”

Prof. Rohan Samarajiva, Chairperson of LIRNEasia who has been a longtime proponent of SOE restructuring and privatization said,” I have been advocating this for many years on my own account for my own purposes. For one thing, I want a better country for my grandchildren to live in. So, getting the entire purpose of this privatization exercise effectively communicated to the general public is vital. We have got to let the people know that by doing this good things can happen for the benefit of every one. A case in point is Lanka Hospitals Plc. Who would have thought the government would get into the health sector as a private player? It just happened because Lanka Hospitals fell in the lap of the government accidentally. If we can spread the success story of that chance-happening and its positive results across the society, I think that would be a wonderful start in our communication journey.”

Dhananath Fernando, Chief Executive Officer of Advocata Institute moderated the webinar.



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Seylan Bank well-positioned for growth as core performance strengthens

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Seylan Bank PLC has delivered a resilient financial performance for 2025, surpassing market forecasts and signaling a steady recovery in its underlying credit profile, according to a recent equity research update by First Capital Holdings PLC.

The bank recorded a net profit of LKR 12.2 billion for the full year 2025, marking a significant 20.3% year-on-year increase. Performance in the final quarter was particularly notable, with net profit reaching LKR 3.8 billion, a 9.4% rise compared to the same period in 2024. This result exceeded analysts’ expectations by 5.4%, underscoring the bank’s strengthening fundamentals.

Core banking operations remained a primary driver of growth. Net interest income (NII) expanded by 18.3% year-on-year to LKR 11.3 billion in 4Q2025. This was supported by an 8.3% increase in interest income and a marginal contraction in interest expenses, reflecting highly favorable funding dynamics.

Total operating income surged by 51.1% in the final quarter, a sharp jump largely attributed to the absence of International Sovereign Bond (ISB) restructuring losses that had impacted the previous year’s performance. Fee and commission income also saw robust growth of 21.8%, fueled by increased activity in cards, remittances, and international trade.

A standout highlight for the period was the aggressive expansion of the bank’s loan book, which grew by 29.6% year-on-year to reach LKR 599.8 billion by the end of 2025. The deposit base also grew by 13.3%.

Asset quality showed marked improvement as the bank successfully navigated the tail-end of the economic recovery. The Stage 3 loan ratio, a key indicator of credit risk, fell to 1.03% in 4Q2025, down significantly from 2.10% a year earlier. This was further bolstered by a 95.1% contraction in impairment charges on loans and advances, reflecting a move toward more stable provisioning.

Seylan Bank’s capital and liquidity positions remain a source of strength, staying comfortably above regulatory requirements. The bank’s Total Capital Ratio stood at a healthy 17.89%, while the liquidity coverage ratio remained elevated at nearly 230%, providing ample buffers to support future lending.

Looking ahead, First Capital projects a more moderated pace of growth as the broader economic momentum eases and the monetary easing cycle reaches its trough. Nevertheless, analysts remain optimistic, projecting net profits to rise to LKR 15.9 billion in 2026 and LKR 18.4 billion in 2027.

While the bank’s estimated fair value for 2026 has been revised to LKR 140 per share to reflect market re-rating trends, the stock still offers a compelling total return of approximately 37%. A newly introduced 2027 fair value of LKR 155 implies an even higher potential return of 52%. Citing these strong fundamentals and the significant upside potential, the First Capital report maintains a “Buy” recommendation on Seylan Bank.

By Sanath Nanayakkare

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Bank of Ceylon reinforces national economic vision with 2025 Annual Report presentation

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In a significant moment reflecting renewed confidence in Sri Lanka’s economic recovery and forward-looking national strategy, the Bank of Ceylon (BOC) formally presented its 2025 Annual Report to His Excellency President Anura Kumara Dissanayake. The occasion reaffirmed the Bank’s role as the nation’s leading financial institution and a key pillar of economic stability.

The report was officially handed over by Chairman Mr. Kavinda De Zoysa and General Manager/Chief Executive Officer Mr. Y. A. Jayathilaka, who outlined the Bank’s performance, resilience, and strategic direction during a pivotal phase for Sri Lanka’s financial sector.

BOC’s 2025 Annual Report highlights a strong financial performance, with PBT reaching Rs. 120.8 billion, reinforcing its position as one of the most profitable single entities in the country. Beyond profitability, the Bank made a substantial contribution to the national economy, remitting approximately Rs. 77 billion in taxes underscoring its vital role in supporting fiscal stability and national development.

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Govt. assures policy consistency in energy sector

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Minister Anura Karunathilake assumes duties.

Despite a reshuffle at the helm of energy sector, the government has moved swiftly to reassure markets, investors, and industry stakeholders that policy continuity—not disruption—will define the road ahead.

Newly appointed Power and Energy Minister Anura Karunathilake, assuming duties at a moment of heightened scrutiny, made it clear that the administration’s core commitment remains unchanged: uninterrupted supply of electricity and fuel, regardless of political transitions.

His remarks come at a critical juncture for the country’s energy economy—still recovering from past volatility, navigating global price pressures, and attempting to build investor confidence in long-term infrastructure and generation projects.

Addressing journalists following his appointment, Karunathilake struck a notably measured tone, signaling stability rather than reformist disruption.

“The national energy policy is anchored in long-term objectives. There is no shift in direction,” he said, in what analysts interpret as a deliberate message to both domestic and foreign investors wary of policy reversals.

Energy economists note that Sri Lanka’s power and fuel sectors remain deeply sensitive to political signals. Even minor uncertainty can ripple through procurement cycles, independent power producer (IPP) negotiations, and fuel hedging strategies.

By emphasizing continuity, the government appears intent on avoiding the stop-start policy cycles that have historically plagued the sector.

The transition follows the resignation of former Minister Eng. Kumara Jayakody and Ministry Secretary Prof. Udayanga Hemapala on April 17, a move widely viewed as an attempt to ensure the independence of an ongoing Presidential Commission probing coal procurement processes.

From a governance perspective, the resignations may serve to reinforce institutional credibility—particularly at a time when transparency in energy procurement is under intense public and political scrutiny.

Karunathilake acknowledged opposition criticism regarding transparency but responded with a firm challenge: present concrete evidence to investigative authorities rather than litigating issues through media narratives.

Perhaps the most market-sensitive assurance came in the Minister’s outright rejection of imminent power cuts.

Energy supply stability remains a cornerstone of economic recovery. From export manufacturing to tourism and digital services, uninterrupted electricity is non-negotiable.

Karunathilake indicated that groundwork laid by his predecessors—including generation planning and fuel supply arrangements—has already mitigated immediate risks.

“If those plans are implemented effectively, there will be no need for power cuts,” he said, positioning his role as one of policy support and execution oversight rather than structural overhaul.

Industry observers point out that this continuity is crucial. Any disruption in electricity supply could directly impact industrial output, SME operations, and investor sentiment—particularly as Sri Lanka courts foreign direct investment in energy-intensive sectors.

On the fuel front, the minister acknowledged the reality that global price movements—exacerbated by geopolitical tensions in the Middle East—remain beyond Sri Lanka’s control.

For businesses, especially logistics operators, fisheries, and agriculture, fuel price predictability is as critical as supply continuity. Sudden spikes can erode margins and disrupt planning cycles.

Karunathilake’s assurance that supply will remain uninterrupted, regardless of external shocks, is therefore likely to be welcomed by key economic sectors.

By Ifham Nizam

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