Business
Weak demand for consumer electronics expected to continue for another 12-18 months
‘Consumer income has yet to adjust to the higher cost of living’
‘Increase in taxes in early 2023 has weakened purchasing power’
by Sanath Nanayakkare
The electronic products sales market in Sri Lanka is expected to show sustained weakness in the next 12-18 months due to prolonged weak demand, according to a report from Fitch Ratings.
Fitch expects Sri Lanka’s GDP to contract by 1.4% in 2023 (2022: 7.8% decline), before growing modestly by 3.3% in 2024, indicating only a gradual recovery in economic activity.
“Consumer income has yet to adjust to the higher cost of living while the increase in taxes in early 2023 weakened purchasing power”, Fitch states.
The ratings agency expects sales volumes of Singer Sri Lanka, the foremost consumer durables retailer in the country, to rise in the low single digits in the financial year 2024.
The report titled, ‘Fitch Downgrades Singer (Sri Lanka) PLC to ‘A(lka)’; Outlook Stable’, the agency points out that the downgrade reflects the sustained deterioration in Singer’s financial profile such that Fitch-forecasted EBITDAR fixed-charge cover will fall to 0.7x in the financial year ending 31 March 2024 (FY24), compared with 1.1x in FY23.
“The Stable Outlook reflects Singer’s adequate liquidity supported by its access to domestic banks. We expect that the company’s EBITDA will recover gradually in the next two years supported by a slow improvement in demand amid falling interest rates and the removal of the ban on consumer durable imports since October 2023,” Fitch says.
However, Fitch doesn’t expect Singer Sri Lanka’s fixed charge cover to improve to above 1.2x – the level commensurate with a higher rating – until after FY25.
“We forecast Singer’s sales volumes to grow by double digits in FY25, due to a gradual recovery in income supported by a revival in the agriculture sector, which accounts for 30% of the population, salary increments across the public and private sectors, and a full year’s impact of pent-up demand after the removal of a ban on consumer-durables imports in October 2023. Hire-purchase (HP) and credit sales should also rise with interest rates almost halving from the highs in FY23, and we expect Singer will selectively grow its HP book, which shrank in the last few years, to cater to this demand. We expect Singer’s EBITDAR margin to improve to around 9% in FY25, from 3.3% in 1HFY24, benefitting from revenue growth, prudent inventory management, and a shift towards high-margin product categories.
“We estimate Singer’s cash interest to reduce by 35% in FY24 as interest rates fall. Market interest rates have fallen to 13% by November 2023, from 30% a year ago. Given most of Singer’s debt is short-term, the company should be able reprice faster at favourable rates. However, we do not believe Singer’s EBITDAR generation in FY24 will be sufficient to cover the reduced interest cost,” Fitch says.
According to the report, Singer’s rating is not notched for support from its stronger parent, Hayleys PLC, as they believe Hayleys has limited incentive to provide support according to their Parent and Subsidiary Linkage Rating Criteria.
“The ‘Low’ legal incentive stems from the absence of corporate guarantees from Hayleys on Singer’s debt, and the lack of cross-default clauses between the two entities. Hayleys is a highly diversified group, resulting in limited operational synergies with Singer. Furthermore, Singer has an independent management team and its brand is separate from that of Hayleys. Therefore, the operational incentive to support is also regarded as ‘Low’, Fitch says.
Business
SpaceX IPO debuts in US markets, Musk becomes world’s first trillionaire
SpaceX has debuted on US markets with a market valuation of more than $2 trillion, minting CEO Elon Musk as the world’s first trillionaire.
Shares opened on Friday at $150 per share, marking a 11 percent increase from the initial public offering (IPO) price of $135, valuing the company at $1.96 trillion and putting the aerospace company on track to become the sixth-largest company in the United States.
The stock surged 18 percent to $159 per share, up from the $135 it had been priced at, as the trading day came to a close.
Markets more broadly ticked higher amid a possible interim peace deal between the United States and Iran that could open the Strait of Hormuz. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is up 0.6 percent, the Nasdaq is up 0.2 percent, and the S&P 500 is up 0.35 percent as trading wraps up for the week.
The company sold $75bn in shares, immediately valuing it at $1.77 trillion. The IPO was oversubscribed four times higher than was otherwise expected, according to the Reuters news agency.
Of the institutional investors allocated, according to Bloomberg News, as much as 70 percent went to what are called long-only investments — a strategy in which holders buy assets based on the expectation that their value will grow over time — and sovereign wealth funds, including those from Saudi Arabia and Kuwait as well.
SpaceX President Gwynne Shotwell and Chief Financial Officer Bret Johnsen rang the opening bell at Nasdaq MarketSite in New York City at 9:30am local time as US markets opened.
On Thursday, protesters gathered outside the MarketSite to protest the IPO amid continued allegations that Grok, part of xAI, a subsidiary of SpaceX, allowed users to create non-consensual deepfake sexualised images before the IPO debut.
Shares of SpaceX did not trade until the middle of the trading day as the exchange collected buy and sell orders and underwriters delayed trading until supply and demand were balanced.
“We would expect SpaceX to see an immediate pop in trading due to the hype around the deal, north of 20 percent perhaps,” said Samuel Kerr, global head of equity capital markets at Mergermarket. “Anything lower would actually make me nervous.”
Exchanges and trading firms are eager to avoid the technical mishaps that marred Meta’s 2012 debut. With SpaceX widely viewed as a dress rehearsal for a new generation of mega-listings, market participants will also be watching for signals on investor appetite in advance of forthcoming IPOs for AI heavyweights Anthropic and OpenAI.
The landmark listing cemented Musk’s status as the first trillionaire ever and propelled SpaceX into the ranks of the world’s most valuable companies — even though the firm posted a loss of nearly $5bn last year and generated only a fraction of the revenue brought in by similarly valued tech giants.
The surge comes amid growth driven by its Starlink subsidiary, which drives as much as 80 percent of its revenue.
On Friday, SpaceX launched its Falcon 9 rocket with 29 satellites into space from Cape Canaveral in Florida.
[Aljazeera]
Business
Indo-Lanka Chamber hosts dialogue on Sri Lanka’s investment future
The Indo-Lanka Chamber of Commerce & Industry (ILCCI), affiliated to The Ceylon Chamber of Commerce, hosted an interactive session on Sri Lanka’s Investment Future: Policy, Opportunity & Growth at Jetwing Colombo Seven. The session was attended by Dr. Satyanjal Pandey as Chief Guest, while Aritha Wickramasinghe delivered the keynote address in his capacity as Chief of Staff to the Office of the Presidential Special Envoy on Foreign Investment, Hanif Yusoof.
ILCCI President M. Raghuraman, in his remarks, expressed appreciation to Dr. Pandey for his service during his tenure in Sri Lanka and underscored the timeliness and importance of the session topic in the context of the current global economic and geopolitical climate.
Addressing the gathering, Dr. Pandey observed that in a period marked by geopolitical and economic turbulence – reliability, trustworthiness, and secure supply chains have become increasingly important. He also highlighted the strong and growing economic partnership between India and Sri Lanka, noting several significant Indian investments in Sri Lanka, including those by ITC Limited and CEAT Limited, while indicating that further investments are expected in the future.
As a representative of the state, Aritha Wickramasinghe stated that it is the responsibility of the government to ensure that, even amid global turbulence, Sri Lanka remains stable in its policy direction, credible in its economic management, and consistent in its engagement with investors. He also emphasised the opportunities available to the Sri Lankan economy through deeper engagement with India’s fast-growing economy, noting that while India and Sri Lanka are neighbours, the relationship is regarded as one of family rather than mere proximity.
The session which included a highly engaging and interactive Q&A session with the audience, concluded with a productive exchange of views between the distinguished guests, speakers and participants, reaffirming the importance of continued dialogue and collaboration in strengthening investment and economic ties between Sri Lanka and India.
Business
Australia and Sri Lanka strengthen maritime security partnership
The Australian Border Force and Sri Lanka Coast Guard have launched Disi Rela 2026, marking the third consecutive year of the joint maritime security initiative aimed at strengthening maritime surveillance, operational capability, and public awareness across Sri Lanka’s coastal regions.
This year, Disi Rela 2026 expands its community engagement and public awareness activities to Sri Lanka’s Eastern Province, following successful activations conducted in the Western and Southern Provinces in previous years.
Meaning “keeping a watchful eye over the maritime environment,” Disi Rela reflects the continued partnership between Australia and Sri Lanka to strengthen maritime security, combat transnational maritime crime, and promote safer seas across the region. Through intelligence sharing, operational cooperation, advanced equipment support, and public awareness initiatives, both countries continue to work together to address threats including people smuggling, drug trafficking, illegal fishing, and other unlawful maritime activities.
Over the past three years, the Australian Government has supported Sri Lanka’s maritime security efforts under the Disi Rela initiative through the donation of 24 surveillance drones, three all-terrain vehicles (ATVs), three Stabicraft patrol vessels, and the establishment of a dedicated 24/7 hotline number — 106.
Further strengthening Sri Lanka Coast Guard’s operational capability, the Australian Government will donate an additional five all-terrain vehicles (ATVs) under Disi Rela 2026 to support coastal surveillance and rapid response operations.
In reflecting upon the continued partnership and shared commitment of both nations to safeguard Sri Lanka’s maritime boundaries and coastal communities, the Director General of the Sri Lanka Coast Guard,
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