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Vaccine War!

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by Dr Upul Wijayawardhana

Friday 29th January was a very significant day for two countries I hold dear. It was an auspicious day for Sri Lanka as it started the vaccination campaign against Covid-19 with the Oxford vaccine manufactured by AstraZeneca, the first recipient being Dr Ananda Wijewickrama, rightly so. After all, he gave able leadership to the treatment of patients with Covid-19 keeping the mortality rate very low compared to many countries. I am sure Sri Lanka will win the Covid-war too because former war-winning Defence Secretary is now the President. Although the latest arsenal against this nasty virus was the gift of our Big Brother, I am sure President Gota would find ways to vaccinate all in need.

The UK, however, faced a different fate alltogether. It had a war declared on it by the European Union, the bone of contention being the same Oxford A/Z vaccine! Perhaps, the EU is fuming because the UK has instituted one of the best vaccination programmes while the unelected bureaucracy in Brussels has failed miserably in obtaining adequate supplies for the member states. Although the UK could have joined the joint-purchase programme devised in Brussels, it opted to go on its own utilising the new freedom obtained following Brexit, which has paid dividends.

The UK failed initially in controlling the spread of the epidemic, but it was the first country in the world to start vaccination, giving the very first dose of the Pfizer Covid-19 jab to Margaret Keenan on 8th December, a week before her 91st birthday. Interestingly, concerns were expressed at that stage too, both by the EU and the US that the UK approved the vaccine too soon! Since then, over 8 million, almost 13% of the population, have received their first dose. Population in UK is placed in 10 groups, according to risk, and almost all in the first two groups (Group 1-Residents in a care home for older adults and staff working in care homes for older adults and Group 2-All those aged 80 years and older and frontline health and social care workers) have received the first jab and those in group 3, those over 75 years, are now offered the first jab.

Glancing through the headlines of the British Newspapers, on Saturday 30th January, I was astonished at the idiocy of the unelected bureaucracy of the European Council. I was happy that I had voted for Brexit. Some articles were critical of people like me who had voted for Brexit. They blamed us, old nationalists, for voting to sacrifice the future of the young! If the young did not care to vote, whose fault was it? I remember a piece written by a Canadian journalist based in London who mocked Britain by claiming that the EU was free at last! If I remember right, he stated that 48% of turkeys did not vote for Christmas, the usual liberalist twist when democracy does not favour their choice! He conveniently forgot that percentagewise, more voted for Brexit than for the spectacular win of Biden: 51.9 and 51.3 respectively!

BBC News website said it all under title “Newspaper headlines: ‘EU vaccine war explodes’, and Macron ‘attacks’ Oxford jab’. The tabloid, Daily Express had the headline “EU chiefs behaving like the mafia” Not to be outdone another tabloid, Daily Mail had the banner headline “EU vaccines war explodes” and went on to state that the EU was accused of dramatically escalating the ‘vaccine war’ against the UK. The headline in the Daily Telegraph was “Fury at Macrons attack on Oxford jab”, which focused on the “fury” provoked by Emmanuel Macron’s suggestion that the Oxford/AstraZeneca jab is “quasi-ineffective” in the over 65s. Macron was criticised by experts for not understanding science.

In an interview with The Guardian, which is vehemently anti-Brexit, Macron warned Boris Johnson’s government to decide where its alliances lie – be it with the EU, the US or Singapore! In fact, The Guardian chose to ignore the furore and headlined the interview with “EU will seek to control jab exports, Macron warns UK”!

What was this furore about? Does it concern Sri Lanka? Yes, it does because it is all about the Oxford jab manufactured by AstraZeneca, the Anglo-Swedish drug giant based in the UK. Oxford researchers signed an agreement with AstraZeneca on the understanding that their vaccine would be launched on no-profit basis. This had made it substantially cheaper and has the added advantage that it could be kept in a fridge for weeks.

Whilst trials were in progress, the UK placed the order last May, but the European Council, which got agreement from all states for a joint-purchase plan, placed the order in August. However, the EU regulator approved the Oxford jab only on the day all problems arose. The day before, the German regulator approved it for those under 65, as they were of the opinion that data for over 65s was not strong enough in spite of the Oxford group pointing out that though sufficient numbers of over 65s were not included as the trial was conducted in double quick time, the antibody response in all age groups was similar making it very likely that the vaccine is effective in over 65s as well. EU regulator has accepted this though the German regulator did not! Macron who knows more than experts has his own view!

When AstraZeneca said that due to problems in the manufacturing facility in Belgium, there might be a delay in supply, the EU threatened legal action and allowed member states to prevent export of other vaccines manufactured in their countries to UK. On Friday morning, the EU Council announced the imposition of a hard border between Ireland and Northern Ireland, which is a part of UK, to prevent back-door transport of the vaccines to the UK! During Brexit negotiations, the EU insisted on not having a hard border as it would contravene the Good Friday agreement signed in 1988 ending the violence in Northern Ireland. However, there was a clause in the Brexit agreement that under exceptional circumstances either the EU or the UK could impose this. That exactly is what the EU Council did, even without informing the Prime Ministers of Ireland and UK! Hard to choose between arrogance and stupidity for such an action which had to be reversed soon, as there were protests from all sides! Instead of negotiations, the EU declared war on the UK. Maybe, the EU is envious of the UK, which is doing well.

Giving absolute power to an unelected and unaccountable bureaucracy has created all these problems. What Brits voted for, when they joined the EU, was for a common market, not a political union. Now that it is free, the UK can have as many alliances as it likes. Macron can preach. Who cares: the UK is free at last!



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Features

Ranking public services with AI — A roadmap to reviving institutions like SriLankan Airlines

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Efficacy measures an organisation’s capacity to achieve its mission and intended outcomes under planned or optimal conditions. It differs from efficiency, which focuses on achieving objectives with minimal resources, and effectiveness, which evaluates results in real-world conditions. Today, modern AI tools, using publicly available data, enable objective assessment of the efficacy of Sri Lanka’s government institutions.

Among key public bodies, the Supreme Court of Sri Lanka emerges as the most efficacious, outperforming the Department of Inland Revenue, Sri Lanka Customs, the Election Commission, and Parliament. In the financial and regulatory sector, the Central Bank of Sri Lanka (CBSL) ranks highest, ahead of the Securities and Exchange Commission, the Public Utilities Commission, the Telecommunications Regulatory Commission, the Insurance Regulatory Commission, and the Sri Lanka Standards Institution.

Among state-owned enterprises, the Sri Lanka Ports Authority (SLPA) leads in efficacy, followed by Bank of Ceylon and People’s Bank. Other institutions assessed included the State Pharmaceuticals Corporation, the National Water Supply and Drainage Board, the Ceylon Electricity Board, the Ceylon Petroleum Corporation, and the Sri Lanka Transport Board. At the lower end of the spectrum were Lanka Sathosa and Sri Lankan Airlines, highlighting a critical challenge for the national economy.

Sri Lankan Airlines, consistently ranked at the bottom, has long been a financial drain. Despite successive governments’ reform attempts, sustainable solutions remain elusive.

Globally, the most profitable airlines operate as highly integrated, technology-enabled ecosystems rather than as fragmented departments. Operations, finance, fleet management, route planning, engineering, marketing, and customer service are closely coordinated, sharing real-time data to maximise efficiency, safety, and profitability.

The challenge for Sri Lankan Airlines is structural. Its operations are fragmented, overly hierarchical, and poorly aligned. Simply replacing the CEO or senior leadership will not address these deep-seated weaknesses. What the airline needs is a cohesive, integrated organisational ecosystem that leverages technology for cross-functional planning and real-time decision-making.

The government must urgently consider restructuring Sri Lankan Airlines to encourage:

=Joint planning across operational divisions

=Data-driven, evidence-based decision-making

=Continuous cross-functional consultation

=Collaborative strategic decisions on route rationalisation, fleet renewal, partnerships, and cost management, rather than exclusive top-down mandates

Sustainable reform requires systemic change. Without modernised organisational structures, stronger accountability, and aligned incentives across divisions, financial recovery will remain out of reach. An integrated, performance-oriented model offers the most realistic path to operational efficiency and long-term viability.

Reforming loss-making institutions like Sri Lankan Airlines is not merely a matter of leadership change — it is a structural overhaul essential to ensuring these entities contribute productively to the national economy rather than remain perpetual burdens.

By Chula Goonasekera – Citizen Analyst

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Features

Why Pi Day?

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International Day of Mathematics falls tomorrow

The approximate value of Pi (π) is 3.14 in mathematics. Therefore, the day 14 March is celebrated as the Pi Day. In 2019, UNESCO proclaimed 14 March as the International Day of Mathematics.

Ancient Babylonians and Egyptians figured out that the circumference of a circle is slightly more than three times its diameter. But they could not come up with an exact value for this ratio although they knew that it is a constant. This constant was later named as π which is a letter in the Greek alphabet.

Archimedes

It was the Greek mathematician Archimedes (250 BC) who was able to find an upper bound and a lower bound for this constant. He drew a circle of diameter one unit and drew hexagons inside and outside the circle such that the sides of each hexagon touch the sides of the circle. In mathematics the circle passing through all vertices of a polygon is called a ‘circumcircle’ and the largest circle that fits inside a polygon tangent to all its sides is called an ‘incircle’. The total length of the smaller hexagon then becomes the lower bound of π and the length of the hexagon outside the circle is the upper bound. He realised that by increasing the number of sides of the polygon can make the bounds get closer to the value of Pi and increased the number of sides to 12,24,48 and 60. He argued that by increasing the number of sides will ultimately result in obtaining the original circle, thereby laying the foundation for the theory of limits. He ended up with the lower bound as 22/7 and the upper bound 223/71. He could not continue his research as his hometown Syracuse was invaded by Romans and was killed by one of the soldiers. His last words were ‘do not disturb my circles’, perhaps a reference to his continuing efforts to find the value of π to a greater accuracy.

Archimedes can be considered as the father of geometry. His contributions revolutionised geometry and his methods anticipated integral calculus. He invented the pulley and the hydraulic screw for drawing water from a well. He also discovered the law of hydrostatics. He formulated the law of levers which states that a smaller weight placed farther from a pivot can balance a much heavier weight closer to it. He famously said “Give me a lever long enough and a place to stand and I will move the earth”.

Mathematicians have found many expressions for π as a sum of infinite series that converge to its value. One such famous series is the Leibniz Series found in 1674 by the German mathematician Gottfried Leibniz, which is given below.

π = 4 ( 1 – 1/3 + 1/5 – 1/7 + 1/9 – ………….)

The Indian mathematical genius Ramanujan came up with a magnificent formula in 1910. The short form of the formula is as follows.

π = 9801/(1103 √8)

For practical applications an approximation is sufficient. Even NASA uses only the approximation 3.141592653589793 for its interplanetary navigation calculations.

It is not just an interesting and curious number. It is used for calculations in navigation, encryption, space exploration, video game development and even in medicine. As π is fundamental to spherical geometry, it is at the heart of positioning systems in GPS navigations. It also contributes significantly to cybersecurity. As it is an irrational number it is an excellent foundation for generating randomness required in encryption and securing communications. In the medical field, it helps to calculate blood flow rates and pressure differentials. In diagnostic tools such as CT scans and MRI, pi is an important component in mathematical algorithms and signal processing techniques.

This elegant, never-ending number demonstrates how mathematics transforms into practical applications that shape our world. The possibilities of what it can do are infinite as the number itself. It has become a symbol of beauty and complexity in mathematics. “It matters little who first arrives at an idea, rather what is significant is how far that idea can go.” said Sophie Germain.

Mathematics fans are intrigued by this irrational number and attempt to calculate it as far as they can. In March 2022, Emma Haruka Iwao of Japan calculated it to 100 trillion decimal places in Google Cloud. It had taken 157 days. The Guinness World Record for reciting the number from memory is held by Rajveer Meena of India for 70000 decimal places over 10 hours.

Happy Pi Day!

The author is a senior examiner of the International Baccalaureate in the UK and an educational consultant at the Overseas School of Colombo.

by R N A de Silva

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Features

Sheer rise of Realpolitik making the world see the brink

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A combined US-Israel attack on Iran.(BBC)

The recent humanly costly torpedoing of an Iranian naval vessel in Sri Lanka’s Exclusive Economic Zone by a US submarine has raised a number of issues of great importance to international political discourse and law that call for elucidation. It is best that enlightened commentary is brought to bear in such discussions because at present misleading and uninformed speculation on questions arising from the incident are being aired by particularly jingoistic politicians of Sri Lanka’s South which could prove deleterious.

As matters stand, there seems to be no credible evidence that the Indian state was aware of the impending torpedoing of the Iranian vessel but these acerbic-tongued politicians of Sri Lanka’s South would have the local public believe that the tragedy was triggered with India’s connivance. Likewise, India is accused of ‘embroiling’ Sri Lanka in the incident on account of seemingly having prior knowledge of it and not warning Sri Lanka about the impending disaster.

It is plain that a process is once again afoot to raise anti-India hysteria in Sri Lanka. An obligation is cast on the Sri Lankan government to ensure that incendiary speculation of the above kind is defeated and India-Sri Lanka relations are prevented from being in any way harmed. Proactive measures are needed by the Sri Lankan government and well meaning quarters to ensure that public discourse in such matters have a factual and rational basis. ‘Knowledge gaps’ could prove hazardous.

Meanwhile, there could be no doubt that Sri Lanka’s sovereignty was violated by the US because the sinking of the Iranian vessel took place in Sri Lanka’s Exclusive Economic Zone. While there is no international decrying of the incident, and this is to be regretted, Sri Lanka’s helplessness and small player status would enable the US to ‘get away with it’.

Could anything be done by the international community to hold the US to account over the act of lawlessness in question? None is the answer at present. This is because in the current ‘Global Disorder’ major powers could commit the gravest international irregularities with impunity. As the threadbare cliché declares, ‘Might is Right’….. or so it seems.

Unfortunately, the UN could only merely verbally denounce any violations of International Law by the world’s foremost powers. It cannot use countervailing force against violators of the law, for example, on account of the divided nature of the UN Security Council, whose permanent members have shown incapability of seeing eye-to-eye on grave matters relating to International Law and order over the decades.

The foregoing considerations could force the conclusion on uncritical sections that Political Realism or Realpolitik has won out in the end. A basic premise of the school of thought known as Political Realism is that power or force wielded by states and international actors determine the shape, direction and substance of international relations. This school stands in marked contrast to political idealists who essentially proclaim that moral norms and values determine the nature of local and international politics.

While, British political scientist Thomas Hobbes, for instance, was a proponent of Political Realism, political idealism has its roots in the teachings of Socrates, Plato and latterly Friedrich Hegel of Germany, to name just few such notables.

On the face of it, therefore, there is no getting way from the conclusion that coercive force is the deciding factor in international politics. If this were not so, US President Donald Trump in collaboration with Israeli Rightist Premier Benjamin Natanyahu could not have wielded the ‘big stick’, so to speak, on Iran, killed its Supreme Head of State, terrorized the Iranian public and gone ‘scot-free’. That is, currently, the US’ impunity seems to be limitless.

Moreover, the evidence is that the Western bloc is reuniting in the face of Iran’s threats to stymie the flow of oil from West Asia to the rest of the world. The recent G7 summit witnessed a coming together of the foremost powers of the global North to ensure that the West does not suffer grave negative consequences from any future blocking of western oil supplies.

Meanwhile, Israel is having a ‘free run’ of the Middle East, so to speak, picking out perceived adversarial powers, such as Lebanon, and militarily neutralizing them; once again with impunity. On the other hand, Iran has been bringing under assault, with no questions asked, Gulf states that are seen as allying with the US and Israel. West Asia is facing a compounded crisis and International Law seems to be helplessly silent.

Wittingly or unwittingly, matters at the heart of International Law and peace are being obfuscated by some pro-Trump administration commentators meanwhile. For example, retired US Navy Captain Brent Sadler has cited Article 51 of the UN Charter, which provides for the right to self or collective self-defence of UN member states in the face of armed attacks, as justifying the US sinking of the Iranian vessel (See page 2 of The Island of March 10, 2026). But the Article makes it clear that such measures could be resorted to by UN members only ‘ if an armed attack occurs’ against them and under no other circumstances. But no such thing happened in the incident in question and the US acted under a sheer threat perception.

Clearly, the US has violated the Article through its action and has once again demonstrated its tendency to arbitrarily use military might. The general drift of Sadler’s thinking is that in the face of pressing national priorities, obligations of a state under International Law could be side-stepped. This is a sure recipe for international anarchy because in such a policy environment states could pursue their national interests, irrespective of their merits, disregarding in the process their obligations towards the international community.

Moreover, Article 51 repeatedly reiterates the authority of the UN Security Council and the obligation of those states that act in self-defence to report to the Council and be guided by it. Sadler, therefore, could be said to have cited the Article very selectively, whereas, right along member states’ commitments to the UNSC are stressed.

However, it is beyond doubt that international anarchy has strengthened its grip over the world. While the US set destabilizing precedents after the crumbling of the Cold War that paved the way for the current anarchic situation, Russia further aggravated these degenerative trends through its invasion of Ukraine. Stepping back from anarchy has thus emerged as the prime challenge for the world community.

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