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There is no such person as ‘one- armed economist’

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by Jayampathy Molligoda

The Sri Lankan government adopted a relaxed monetary policy coupled with lower taxes to stimulate economic growth since 2020 (beginning) till end of 2021. The objective was to provide relief to people and businesses in order to overcome negative effects due to COVID 19 and Easter Sunday attack in April 2019. However, whether the economy really produced goods and services to the extent that is required is questionable. It is true that during the year 2021 they have been able to convert the negative growth rate of 3.6% in 2020 into a positive growth rate of 3.7% in 2021. Commencing 2022, Central Bank (CBSL) has adopted a policy of tightening the monetary policy by increasing the interest rates and increase income tax and indirect taxes such as VAT and social security contribution levy in order to reduce inflation and inflationary expectations. One can argue that all these contrasting policy measures are in accordance with the accepted macro- economic theories put forward by eminent economists.

This year Nobel Price goes to Economist, Bernanke, Ex-Chief of Central bank, US:

Eminent economist, Ex-Fed reserve, Chief, US, Ben Bernanke, together with two other eminent economists, won the Economics Nobel price this October on the role of banks, particularly during financial crises and how to regulate financial markets. “In his role as Chief of the Central Bank, US, Bernanke was able to put knowledge from research into policy during the financial crisis of 2008-2009” the Nobel Committee said.

Bernanke has been previously credited and hailed for the Fed’s unorthodox response of slashing interest rates and flooding the financial system with liquidity and thus successfully handling the recovery after the 2008 recession, but at the same time, criticised for doing little to avert it, allowing investment bank Lehman Brothers to collapse. The award winners also showed how the financial institutions were vulnerable to so called bank runs. “If a large number of customers (savers) simultaneously run to the bank to withdraw their money, the rumour may become a self-fulfilling prophecy – a bank run occurs and the bank collapses” the Nobel Committee said. The Committee added this dangerous dynamic can be avoided by governments providing credit and giving banks a life-line by becoming a lender of last resort. “In a nutshell, the theory says that banks can be tremendously useful but they are only guaranteed to be stable if they are properly regulated,” Nobel committee chairman added.

Solutions to great depression in the 1930s:

This reminds me ‘Keynesian’ economics, which involves government expenditures while economics believe that government spending causes inflation and therefore need to control the supply of money that flows into the economy. In contrast, Keynesian economists believe that a troubled economy continues in a downward spiral unless a government intervention drives consumers to buy more goods and services. They believe in consumption, government expenditure and to change the state of the economy. In short, governments should balance out the cyclical movement of the economy by spending more in downturns and less in prosperous times (thereby preventing inflation). In fact, Keynes begins his general theory by attacking Say’s law, the view that ‘supply creates its own demand’. Keynes proceeded to turn Say’s law on his head, arguing that aggregate demand determines the supply of output and level of employment. (Post-Keynesian Economics (PKE) is a school of economic thought which builds upon John Maynard Keynes’s argument that effective demand is the key determinant of economic performance.) In the field of monetary theory, ‘post-Keynesian’ economists were among the first to emphasise that money supply responds to the demand for bank credit, so that Central Banks cannot control the quantity of money, but only manage the interest rate by managing the quantity of monetary reserves.

By the way, Bernanke previously received awards for his analysis, conducted in the early 1980s, of the ‘Great Depression’ in the 1930s, the worst economic crisis. For Keynesian economists, the experience of Great Depression provided impressive confirmation of Keynes’s idea which is consistent with Keynes’s argument. A sharp reduction in aggregate demand had gotten the trouble started. A reduction in aggregate demand took the economy from above its potential output to below its potential output, and, as we see in below the recessionary gap created by the change in aggregate demand had persisted for more than a decade, but expansionary fiscal policy had put an end to the worst macroeconomic nightmare.

The dark-shaded area shows real GDP from 1929 to 1942, the upper line shows potential output, and the light-shaded area shows the difference between the two—the recessionary gap. The gap nearly closed in 1941 The chart suggests that the recessionary gap remained very large throughout the 1930s.

Inflation, money printing and unemployment:

Under the Monetary Law Act 1949 as amended, the economic and price stability and financial system stability were made the core objectives of the CBSL. Therefore, it should focus on maintaining stable price levels, means containing inflation and inflationary expectations. In order to attain ‘price stability’, CBSL is required to keep liquidity and money supply of the country at appropriate levels so that the total demand for goods and services known as the ‘aggregate demand’ is more or less equal to the total supply of goods and services called ‘aggregate supply’.

In 1958, economist A W Phillips published an article in the British journal of economica that would make him famous covering a relationship between unemployment and inflation. Phillips curve showed negative correlation between rate of unemployment and the inflation. When inflation is high, the rate of unemployment is low and vice versa. Practically policy makers use this by altering monetary & fiscal policies in influencing ’aggregate demand’ in the short run and achieve trade -off between employment and rate of inflation. The ‘Nobel Price’ winner in 2001, Economist George Akerlof once said “probably the single most important macroeconomic relationship is the Phillips curve.

New Keynesian approach has emerged as the preferred approach:

Steeply rising prices is a bigger threat to businesses than high interest rates which will have to be maintained for a time until inflation start to ease, Central Bank Governor Dr. Nandalal Weerasinghe said recently. He was quoted by the local media as saying. “Sri Lanka was now experiencing the result of past money printing and if rates are cut now, runaway inflation could be the result. Higher interest rates are cost to business, but inflation drives up all costs,” Governor Weerasinghe explained addressing concerns of businesses on high interest rates and raising taxes. However, the Columbia University professor, author of “The Price of Inequality” and “Globalisation and Its Discontents,” Joseph Stiglitz argued that the overwhelming source of inflation is supply-side disruptions leading to higher prices in oil and food. “Will raising interest rates lead to more oil, lower prices of oil, more food, lower prices of food? Answer is clearly not”.

This is in response to recent announcements by Federal Reserve officials in the US indicating that interest rate hikes will continue in order to bring down rising prices — but this may intensify inflationary pressures, according to the Nobel Prize-winning economist. “The real worry in my mind is, will they increase interest rates too high, too fast, too far?” Joseph Stiglitz told CNBC recently at a Forum in Italy. In fact, the real risk is it will make it worse; Why? Because what we need to do is to make investments to relieve some of these supply-side bottlenecks that are causing such havoc on our economy. It’s going to make it more difficult.” Unquote. According to Joseph Stiglitz, raising interest rates in non-competitive markets may lead to even more inflation.

While there is less consensus on macroeconomic policy issues than on issues in the microeconomic and international areas, surveys of economists generally show that the new Keynesian approach has emerged as the preferred approach to macroeconomic analysis. The finding that about 80% of economists agree that governments’ expansionary fiscal measures can deal with recessionary gaps certainly suggests that most economists can be counted in the new Keynesian camp. Neither monetarist nor new classical analysis would support such measures. At the same time, there is considerable discomfort about actually using discretionary fiscal policy, as the same survey shows that about 70% of economists feel that discretionary fiscal policy should be avoided and that the business cycle should be managed by the Fed (Fuller & Geide-Stevenson, 2003). Just as the new Keynesian approach appears to have won support among most economists, it has become dominant in terms of macroeconomic policy.

Conflicting theories on macro-economic policies put in to practice:

As can be seen, Sri Lankan policy makers tend to adopt economic policies going into two extreme ends, namely; relaxed monetary policy, coupled with government expenditure through excessive money printing and lower taxes on the one hand, and tight monetary policies coupled with high Income Tax and indirect taxes on the other hand. When interest rates are raised, availability of bank credit reduces and consequently overall economic activities tend to slow down. If they continue to adopt tight monetary policy framework and fiscal (high taxation) policies, it’s likely the aggregate supply will contract and may lead to lower production, which in turn end up in ‘stagflation’ or it could even end up in a recession. The economy is expected to contract this year around 8-9 percent of gross domestic product (GDP) as investment and consumption falls. Nevertheless, at the IMF and World bank annual sessions in Washington this October, the State Finance Minister Shehan Semasinghe was quoted as saying; “Sri Lanka’s ongoing IMF-prescribed reforms to come out of an unprecedented economic crisis will not be reversed in future unlike in the past as there is somewhat consensus among the current lawmakers for such reforms”; Unquote. Already the micro and small and medium enterprises have serious issues, where they cannot afford to borrow any more or repay the debts already taken. As a result, household indebtedness may gradually increase to unprecedented levels. This may intern, increase the instability of the financial and banking system. How the present government is going to address those serious socio/ economic issues is yet to be seen.

We need to reiterate the fact that the Sri Lankan economy can only be re-built in the medium term by successfully addressing the structural weaknesses, increase exports as a % of GDP and thus eliminating the twin deficits, namely government budget deficit and balance of payments with rest of the world. Simultaneously, the above stated vulnerabilities; household indebtedness, banking system stability etc. must be arrested in order to make a sustainable economic recovery possible. However, the challenge is the time it can take for the economy to adjust to these changes and how to manage the cash flows and social unrest during the interim period. USA President Harry S. Truman (33rd President serving from 1945 to 1953) hated what he termed two-armed economists, those who would advise him first “on the one hand” and then “on the other hand.” Give me a one-armed economist, he demanded, an adviser who wouldn’t waffle.



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Rebuilding Sri Lanka Through Inclusive Governance

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Management Committee of the 'Rebuilding Sri Lanka' Fund Appointed with Representatives from the Public and Private Sectors - PMD

In the immediate aftermath of Cyclone Ditwah, the government has moved swiftly to establish a Presidential Task Force for Rebuilding Sri Lanka with a core committee to assess requirements, set priorities, allocate resources and raise and disburse funds. Public reaction, however, has focused on the committee’s problematic composition. All eleven committee members are men, and all non-government seats are held by business personalities with no known expertise in complex national development projects, disaster management and addressing the needs of vulnerable populations. They belong to the top echelon of Sri Lanka’s private sector which has been making extraordinary profits. The government has been urged by civil society groups to reconsider the role and purpose of this task force and reconstitute it to be more representative of the country and its multiple  needs.

 The group of high-powered businessmen initially appointed might greatly help mobilise funds from corporates and international donors, but this group may be ill equipped to determine priorities and oversee disbursement and spending. It would be necessary to separate fundraising, fund oversight and spending prioritisation, given the different capabilities and considerations required for each. International experience in post disaster recovery shows that inclusive and representative structures are more likely to produce outcomes that are equitable, efficient and publicly accepted. Civil society, for instance, brings knowledge rooted in communities, experience in working with vulnerable groups and a capacity to question assumptions that may otherwise go unchallenged.

 A positive and important development is that the government has been responsive to these criticisms and has invited at least one civil society representative to join the Rebuilding Sri Lanka committee. This decision deserves to be taken seriously and responded to positively by civil society which needs to call for more representation rather than a single representative.  Such a demand would reflect an understanding that rebuilding after a national disaster cannot be undertaken by the state and the business community alone. The inclusion of civil society will strengthen transparency and public confidence, particularly at a moment when trust in institutions remains fragile. While one appointment does not in itself ensure inclusive governance, it opens the door to a more participatory approach that needs to be expanded and institutionalised.

Costly Exclusions

 Going  down the road of history, the absence of inclusion in government policymaking has cost the country dearly. The exclusion of others, not of one’s own community or political party, started at the very dawn of Independence in 1948. The Father of the Nation, D S Senanayake, led his government to exclude the Malaiyaha Tamil community by depriving them of their citizenship rights. Eight years later, in 1956, the Oxford educated S W R D Bandaranaike effectively excluded the Tamil speaking people from the government by making Sinhala the sole official language. These early decisions normalised exclusion as a tool of governance rather than accommodation and paved the way for seven decades of political conflict and three decades of internal war.

Exclusion has also taken place virulently on a political party basis. Both of Sri Lanka’s post Independence constitutions were decided on by the government alone. The opposition political parties voted against the new constitutions of 1972 and 1977 because they had been excluded from participating in their design. The proposals they had made were not accepted. The basic law of the country was never forged by consensus. This legacy continues to shape adversarial politics and institutional fragility. The exclusion of other communities and political parties from decision making has led to frequent reversals of government policy. Whether in education or economic regulation or foreign policy, what one government has done the successor government has undone.

 Sri Lanka’s poor performance in securing the foreign investment necessary for rapid economic growth can be attributed to this factor in the main. Policy instability is not simply an economic problem but a political one rooted in narrow ownership of power. In 2022, when the people went on to the streets to protest against the government and caused it to fall, they demanded system change in which their primary focus was corruption, which had reached very high levels both literally and figuratively. The focus on corruption, as being done by the government at present, has two beneficial impacts for the government. The first is that it ensures that a minimum of resources will be wasted so that the maximum may be used for the people’s welfare.

Second Benefit

 The second benefit is that by focusing on the crime of corruption, the government can disable many leaders in the opposition. The more opposition leaders who are behind bars on charges of corruption, the less competition the government faces. Yet these gains do not substitute for the deeper requirement of inclusive governance. The present government seems to have identified corruption as the problem it will emphasise. However, reducing or eliminating corruption by itself is not going to lead to rapid economic development. Corruption is not the sole reason for the absence of economic growth. The most important factor in rapid economic growth is to have government policies that are not reversed every time a new government comes to power.

 For Sri Lanka to make the transition to self-sustaining and rapid economic development, it is necessary that the economic policies followed today are not reversed tomorrow. The best way to ensure continuity of policy is to be inclusive in governance. Instead of excluding those in the opposition, the mainstream opposition in particular needs to be included. In terms of system change, the government has scored high with regard to corruption. There is a general feeling that corruption in the country is much reduced compared to the past. However, with regard to inclusion the government needs to demonstrate more commitment. This was evident in the initial choice of cabinet ministers, who were nearly all men from the majority ethnic community. Important committees it formed, including the Presidential Task Force for a Clean Sri Lanka and the Rebuilding Sri Lanka Task Force, also failed at first to reflect the diversity of the country.

 In a multi ethnic and multi religious society like Sri Lanka, inclusivity is not merely symbolic. It is essential for addressing diverse perspectives and fostering mutual understanding. It is important to have members of the Tamil, Muslim and other minority communities, and women who are 52 percent of the population, appointed to important decision making bodies, especially those tasked with national recovery. Without such representation, the risk is that the very communities most affected by the crisis will remain unheard, and old grievances will be reproduced in new forms. The invitation extended to civil society to participate in the Rebuilding Sri Lanka Task Force is an important beginning. Whether it becomes a turning point will depend on whether the government chooses to make inclusion a principle of governance rather than treat it as a show of concession made under pressure.

by Jehan Perera

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Reservoir operation and flooding

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Floods caused by Cyclone Ditwah

Former Director General of Irrigation, G.T. Dharmasena, in an article, titled “Revival of Innovative systems for reservoir operation and flood forecasting” in The Island of 17 December, 2025, starts out by stating:

“Most reservoirs in Sri Lanka are agriculture and hydropower dominated. Reservoir operators are often unwilling to acknowledge the flood detention capability of major reservoirs during the onset of monsoons. Deviating from the traditional priority for food production and hydropower development, it is time to reorient the operational approach of major reservoirs operators under extreme events, where flood control becomes a vital function. While admitting that total elimination of flood impacts is not technically feasible, the impacts can be reduced by efficient operation of reservoirs and effective early warning systems”.

Addressing the question often raised by the public as to “Why is flooding more prominent downstream of reservoirs compared to the period before they were built,” Mr. Dharmasena cites the following instances: “For instance, why do (sic) Magama in Tissamaharama face floods threats after the construction of the massive Kirindi Oya reservoir? Similarly, why does Ambalantota flood after the construction of Udawalawe Reservoir? Furthermore, why is Molkawa, in the Kalutara District area, getting flooded so often after the construction of Kukule reservoir”?

“These situations exist in several other river basins, too. Engineers must, therefore, be mindful of the need to strictly control the operation of the reservoir gates by their field staff. (Since) “The actual field situation can sometimes deviate significantly from the theoretical technology… it is necessary to examine whether gate operators are strictly adhering to the operational guidelines, as gate operation currently relies too much on the discretion of the operator at the site”.

COMMENT

For Mr. Dharmasena to bring to the attention of the public that “gate operation currently relies too much on the discretion of the operator at the site”, is being disingenuous, after accepting flooding as a way of life for ALL major reservoirs for decades and not doing much about it. As far as the public is concerned, their expectation is that the Institution responsible for Reservoir Management should, not only develop the necessary guidelines to address flooding but also ensure that they are strictly administered by those responsible, without leaving it to the arbitrary discretion of field staff. This exercise should be reviewed annually after each monsoon, if lives are to be saved and livelihoods are to be sustained.

IMPACT of GATE OPERATION on FLOODING

According to Mr. Dhamasena, “Major reservoir spillways are designed for very high return periods… If the spillway gates are opened fully when reservoir is at full capacity, this can produce an artificial flood of a very large magnitude… Therefore, reservoir operators must be mindful in this regard to avoid any artificial flood creation” (Ibid). Continuing, he states: “In reality reservoir spillways are often designed for the sole safety of the reservoir structure, often compromising the safety of the downstream population. This design concept was promoted by foreign agencies in recent times to safeguard their investment for dams. Consequently, the discharge capacities of these spill gates significantly exceed the natural carrying capacity of river(s) downstream” (Ibid).

COMMENT

The design concept where priority is given to the “sole safety of the structure” that causes the discharge capacity of spill gates to “significantly exceed” the carrying capacity of the river is not limited to foreign agencies. Such concepts are also adopted by local designers as well, judging from the fact that flooding is accepted as an inevitable feature of reservoirs. Since design concepts in their current form lack concern for serious destructive consequences downstream and, therefore, unacceptable, it is imperative that the Government mandates that current design criteria are revisited as a critical part of the restoration programme.

CONNECTIVITY BETWEEN GATE OPENINGS and SAFETY MEASURES

It is only after the devastation of historic proportions left behind by Cyclone Ditwah that the Public is aware that major reservoirs are designed with spill gate openings to protect the safety of the structure without factoring in the consequences downstream, such as the safety of the population is an unacceptable proposition. The Institution or Institutions associated with the design have a responsibility not only to inform but also work together with Institutions such as Disaster Management and any others responsible for the consequences downstream, so that they could prepare for what is to follow.

Without working in isolation and without limiting it only to, informing related Institutions, the need is for Institutions that design reservoirs to work as a team with Forecasting and Disaster Management and develop operational frameworks that should be institutionalised and approved by the Cabinet of Ministers. The need is to recognize that without connectivity between spill gate openings and safety measures downstream, catastrophes downstream are bound to recur.

Therefore, the mandate for dam designers and those responsible for disaster management and forecasting should be for them to jointly establish guidelines relating to what safety measures are to be adopted for varying degrees of spill gate openings. For instance, the carrying capacity of the river should relate with a specific openinig of the spill gate. Another specific opening is required when the population should be compelled to move to high ground. The process should continue until the spill gate opening is such that it warrants the population to be evacuated. This relationship could also be established by relating the spill gate openings to the width of the river downstream.

The measures recommended above should be backed up by the judicious use of the land within the flood plain of reservoirs for “DRY DAMS” with sufficient capacity to intercept part of the spill gate discharge from which excess water could be released within the carrying capacity of the river. By relating the capacity of the DRY DAM to the spill gate opening, a degree of safety could be established. However, since the practice of demarcating flood plains is not taken seriously by the Institution concerned, the Government should introduce a Bill that such demarcations are made mandatory as part of State Land in the design and operation of reservoirs. Adopting such a practice would not only contribute significantly to control flooding, but also save lives by not permitting settlement but permitting agricultural activities only within these zones. Furthermore, the creation of an intermediate zone to contain excess flood waters would not tax the safety measures to the extent it would in the absence of such a safety net.

CONCLUSION

Perhaps, the towns of Kotmale and Gampola suffered severe flooding and loss of life because the opening of spill gates to release the unprecedented volumes of water from Cyclone Ditwah, was warranted by the need to ensure the safety of Kotmale and Upper Kotmale Dams.

This and other similar disasters bring into focus the connectivity that exists between forecasting, operation of spill gates, flooding and disaster management. Therefore, it is imperative that the government introduce the much-needed legislative and executive measures to ensure that the agencies associated with these disciplines develop a common operational framework to mitigate flooding and its destructive consequences. A critical feature of such a framework should be the demarcation of the flood plain, and decree that land within the flood plain is a zone set aside for DRY DAMS, planted with trees and free of human settlements, other than for agricultural purposes. In addition, the mandate of such a framework should establish for each river basin the relationship between the degree to which spill gates are opened with levels of flooding and appropriate safety measures.

The government should insist that associated Agencies identify and conduct a pilot project to ascertain the efficacy of the recommendations cited above and if need be, modify it accordingly, so that downstream physical features that are unique to each river basin are taken into account and made an integral feature of reservoir design. Even if such restrictions downstream limit the capacities to store spill gate discharges, it has to be appreciated that providing such facilities within the flood plain to any degree would mitigate the destructive consequences of the flooding.

By Neville Ladduwahetty

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Listening to the Language of Shells

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The ocean rarely raises its voice. Instead, it leaves behind signs — subtle, intricate and enduring — for those willing to observe closely. Along Sri Lanka’s shores, these signs often appear in the form of seashells: spiralled, ridged, polished by waves, carrying within them the quiet history of marine life. For Marine Naturalist Dr. Malik Fernando, these shells are not souvenirs of the sea but storytellers, bearing witness to ecological change, resilience and loss.

“Seashells are among the most eloquent narrators of the ocean’s condition,” Dr. Fernando told The Island. “They are biological archives. If you know how to read them, they reveal the story of our seas, past and present.”

A long-standing marine conservationist and a member of the Marine Subcommittee of the Wildlife & Nature Protection Society (WNPS), Dr. Fernando has dedicated much of his life to understanding and protecting Sri Lanka’s marine ecosystems. While charismatic megafauna often dominate conservation discourse, he has consistently drawn attention to less celebrated but equally vital marine organisms — particularly molluscs, whose shells are integral to coastal and reef ecosystems.

“Shells are often admired for their beauty, but rarely for their function,” he said. “They are homes, shields and structural components of marine habitats. When shell-bearing organisms decline, it destabilises entire food webs.”

Sri Lanka’s geographical identity as an island nation, Dr. Fernando says, is paradoxically underrepresented in national conservation priorities. “We speak passionately about forests and wildlife on land, but our relationship with the ocean remains largely extractive,” he noted. “We fish, mine sand, build along the coast and pollute, yet fail to pause and ask how much the sea can endure.”

Through his work with the WNPS Marine Subcommittee, Dr. Fernando has been at the forefront of advocating for science-led marine policy and integrated coastal management. He stressed that fragmented governance and weak enforcement continue to undermine marine protection efforts. “The ocean does not recognise administrative boundaries,” he said. “But unfortunately, our policies often do.”

He believes that one of the greatest challenges facing marine conservation in Sri Lanka is invisibility. “What happens underwater is out of sight, and therefore out of mind,” he said. “Coral bleaching, mollusc depletion, habitat destruction — these crises unfold silently. By the time the impacts reach the shore, it is often too late.”

Seashells, in this context, become messengers. Changes in shell thickness, size and abundance, Dr. Fernando explained, can signal shifts in ocean chemistry, rising temperatures and increasing acidity — all linked to climate change. “Ocean acidification weakens shells,” he said. “It is a chemical reality with biological consequences. When shells grow thinner, organisms become more vulnerable, and ecosystems less stable.”

Climate change, he warned, is no longer a distant threat but an active force reshaping Sri Lanka’s marine environment. “We are already witnessing altered breeding cycles, migration patterns and species distribution,” he said. “Marine life is responding rapidly. The question is whether humans will respond wisely.”

Despite the gravity of these challenges, Dr. Fernando remains an advocate of hope rooted in knowledge. He believes public awareness and education are essential to reversing marine degradation. “You cannot expect people to protect what they do not understand,” he said. “Marine literacy must begin early — in schools, communities and through public storytelling.”

It is this belief that has driven his involvement in initiatives that use visual narratives to communicate marine science to broader audiences. According to Dr. Fernando, imagery, art and heritage-based storytelling can evoke emotional connections that data alone cannot. “A well-composed image of a shell can inspire curiosity,” he said. “Curiosity leads to respect, and respect to protection.”

Shells, he added, also hold cultural and historical significance in Sri Lanka, having been used for ornamentation, ritual objects and trade for centuries. “They connect nature and culture,” he said. “By celebrating shells, we are also honouring coastal communities whose lives have long been intertwined with the sea.”

However, Dr. Fernando cautioned against romanticising the ocean without acknowledging responsibility. “Celebration must go hand in hand with conservation,” he said. “Otherwise, we risk turning heritage into exploitation.”

He was particularly critical of unregulated shell collection and commercialisation. “What seems harmless — picking up shells — can have cumulative impacts,” he said. “When multiplied across thousands of visitors, it becomes extraction.”

As Sri Lanka continues to promote coastal tourism, Dr. Fernando emphasised the need for sustainability frameworks that prioritise ecosystem health. “Tourism must not come at the cost of the very environments it depends on,” he said. “Marine conservation is not anti-development; it is pro-future.”

Dr. Malik Fernando

Reflecting on his decades-long engagement with the sea, Dr. Fernando described marine conservation as both a scientific pursuit and a moral obligation. “The ocean has given us food, livelihoods, climate regulation and beauty,” he said. “Protecting it is not an act of charity; it is an act of responsibility.”

He called for stronger collaboration between scientists, policymakers, civil society and the private sector. “No single entity can safeguard the ocean alone,” he said. “Conservation requires collective stewardship.”

Yet, amid concern, Dr. Fernando expressed cautious optimism. “Sri Lanka still has immense marine wealth,” he said. “Our reefs, seagrass beds and coastal waters are resilient, if given a chance.”

Standing at the edge of the sea, shells scattered along the sand, one is reminded that the ocean does not shout its warnings. It leaves behind clues — delicate, enduring, easily overlooked. For Dr. Malik Fernando, those clues demand attention.

“The sea is constantly communicating,” he said. “In shells, in currents, in changing patterns of life. The real question is whether we, as a society, are finally prepared to listen — and to act before silence replaces the story.”

 

By Ifham Nizam

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