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Taiwan: Will it retain independence or be taken over?

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After the fall of Afghanistan to the Taliban, there continues over there a painful period of adjustment and as we hear, grave shortages of essentials to the general population. There also seem to be Afghans eligible to migrate to the US awaiting permission to go. The G7 has promised help and President Biden specifically stated much financial and other aid would come to the people of Afghanistan but through international aid agencies.

The current hot spot of probable conflict and growing tension is Taiwan, and yes, if inflamed, could be much worse than the Afghan conflagration. On October 10, President of Taiwan, Tsai Ing-wen, insisted in her speech at the National Day celebrations in Taipei, that Taiwan would not succumb to Chinese dominance nor join mainland China as a unified nation. Tsai emphasized “resilience, unity, diversity, competitiveness, and renewed confidence and pledged to defend Taiwan’s sovereignty and denounced unprecedented challenges brought by China’s recent military coercion.”

At the same time, China staged a massive show of force in celebration of the 110th anniversary of the revolution that established the first Chinese Republic. Chinese President Xi Jinping made it almost militantly clear that China calls for “Taiwan’s peaceful reconciliation with China in Taiwan’s best interests.” He urged the island state to “stand on the right side of history.” This statement was denounced by Taiwan’s President as a “distortion of history” and called on Beijing to stop threatening the island.

In The Island of October 13, Gwynne Dyer gives a fine analysis of the problem and says that China will baulk at the prospect of invading Taiwan because it will face blocking of all sea routes on which its trade is totally dependent. Western nations, Japan, Korea, even India will not stand by and merely watch a military invasion by Chinese forces of independent Taiwan.

Support for Taiwan

The G7 at the end of its meeting in Cornwall in June 2021, affirmed the “importance of peace and stability across the Taiwan Strait” and their strong opposition to any “unilateral attempts to change the status quo and increase tensions.” China immediately denounced G7 for interfering. “For the Chinese Communist Party, the status of Taiwan is a sensitive topic. Together with Tibet, and the massacre in Tiananmen Square in 1989, foreign visitors to China are routinely advised to avoid any discussion of it. To China’s leaders, Taiwan is an indivisible part of the ‘big Motherland’, a ‘renegade province’ that will eventually, by persuasion, coercion or force if necessary, be ‘reunited’ with mainland China. Alternative views are firmly suppressed.”

Taiwan, smaller in area than the Netherlands, is considered to be on par with Australia in its economy and population. “For a country that in 1950 was poor, overwhelmingly agricultural and exported labour to the Philippines, this has been a huge achievement and one that owes nothing to China.”

History

Reading about Taiwan was very interesting. That island was originally named Formosa, which dates from 1542 when Portuguese sailors sighted an uncharted island and named it ‘Ilha Formosa’ – beautiful island. In 1625, the Dutch East India Company established a base in Taiwan.

The Ming rulers in China were increasingly preoccupied with a growing threat from the Manchu, or Qing, to the north. In 1644, Beijing fell and the Ming dynasty ended, succeeded by the Qing who ruled Formosa too. In 1911, the Qing Dynasty collapsed and that date is when the Republic of China in the island was established.

In 1861, Great Britain opened the first consulate on the island and “early consular reports are peppered with frustration at the unwillingness or outright refusal of government representatives on the island to adhere to agreements set down in bilateral treaties.”

The Japanese had controlled Taiwan for 50 years (1895-1945) with Tokyo sending 19 governors general to rule Taiwan. Upon the defeat of Japan in August 1945, Chiang Kai-shek, who was head of China sent troops and administrators to take control of Taiwan. “The Taiwanese had been expecting liberation from Japanese rule to lead to self-government, not the imposition of another regime. The move was far from popular, dissatisfaction only compounded by Chiang’s handling of it. Corruption, nepotism and minor altercations grew, and hardly any locals spoke Mandarin, yet overnight this was imposed as the official language. Not surprisingly, resentment grew while the economy collapsed, culminating in major riots at the end of February 1947. These were brutally put down. By some estimates as many as 20,000 Taiwanese lost their lives.”

Beginnings of modern Taiwan

Chiang was an ally to the Brits and Americans, helping them to defeat Japan in WW II. Then came the civil war with the communists led by Mao Zedong and Chiang’s Nationalists were defeated in 1948. The next year his government and army retreated to Taiwan where he presided over a tumultuous period of martial law, social reforms and economic prosperity. He was President of the Republic of China for five six-year terms and also Director General of the Kuomintang until his death in 1975. It was a rival government to China and the world’s nations had to choose between the two. Most recognised mainland China. “Just 15 nations, most of them small island states in the Caribbean or Pacific, have diplomatic relations with Taiwan.” Between 1946 and 1949 an estimated one million mainland Chinese fled to Taiwan, whose own population in 1940 had been less than six million.

After Chiang died in 1975, his son and successor, Chiang Ching-kuo, sensing the changing tide of global opinion in favour of the People’s Republic of China, took the first steps towards the introduction of democratic government. Martial law was lifted in 1987 and in 1996 the Taiwanese were finally able to choose their own president through direct elections. Since then, democratic governance has taken firm root and the present President is the fourth and first woman to head the nation. Opinion polls show a growing majority consider themselves Taiwanese, not Chinese; proud of their country’s history and identity.

Mao Zedong, once he came into power, had aimed at bringing Taiwan under the party’s control as part of the ‘Motherland’. “Mao might have succeeded, too, had he not intervened in support of Kim Il-sung in the Korean War in 1950, prompting the US to move to support Chiang on Taiwan.”

The San Francisco Conference of 1951 was convened to conclude the peace agreement with Japan and agree on the post-war order in Asia. “Although Japan renounced its claim to Taiwan, with the US and UK recognising different Chinese governments, both of which were excluded from the conference, no agreement was reached and a decision on the status of Taiwan was shelved. As far as Britain was concerned, de jure sovereignty over Taiwan remained undetermined, while the US recognised Chiang’s Republic of China in Taipei as the legitimate Chinese government, a position that only changed in 1979.”

Taiwanese companies are among the biggest investors, exporters and employers in China. “The rapprochement reached its pinnacle in 2015 in Singapore, with the first ever meeting between the leaders of China and Taiwan. The move was widely interpreted in Taiwan as an attempt to boost the prospects of a ‘China-friendly’ president in the election due in early 2016; which misfired badly. After Tsai Ing-wen’s victory, China largely cut off official contact and stepped up its threats and intimidation against the island. In 2020 Tsai was re-elected in a landslide, her success widely attributed to Taiwanese reactions to China’s clampdown in Hong Kong in the preceding months.” And now unless mainland China, it is said, can bring itself to accept reality, the Taiwan Strait will remain one of the world’s potential flashpoints.

NOTE:

Facts given above are mainly from a long article by Michael Reilly, who is a non-resident Senior Fellow in the Taiwan Studies Programme at the University of Nottingham. From 2005-09, he was the British representative in Taiwan. He is the author of The Great Free Trade Myth: British Foreign Policy and East Asia Since 1980 (Palgrave Macmillan, 2020). The article I quote from is ‘Between China and a Hard Place’ in History Today, Vol 71:10, Oct 2021.



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International Day of Democracy posers for the South

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Supporters of Donald Trump storming the Capitol Building on January 6, 2021.

September 15th marked International Day of Democracy and the aptness of reflecting on the future of democracy could not be stressed more at this juncture. The urgency of addressing this question is underscored by no less an incident of grave import than the recent second attempt, within just a few months, on the life of US presidential hopeful Donald Trump, besides other developments.

The apparent repeat attempt on the life of Trump by a lone gunman should ideally have the effect of alerting supporters of democracy the world over to the need to continually strengthen the values, processes and institutions that would ensure the continuance of this unique governance system. To begin with, globe-wide forces of democracy need to come together to unitedly voice a strong ‘No’ to the use of political violence within and outside democracies.

This is a matter that should not be treated as merely pertaining to the domestic politics of the US. If an attempt is being made to stymie democratic processes within the world’s ‘mightiest democracy’ through the use of murderous violence, the observer could not be faulted for taking the position that no state professing to be democratic could rest assured that it is free of the scourge of lurking, anti-systemic violence.

Since Sri Lanka will be conducting yet another presidential poll come September 21, it would need to take notable cognizance of the multiple dangers confronting democracy. As this is being written, reports have surfaced of a political killing and other forms of lawlessness in the country’s provinces, although the latter are of a sporadic nature currently. This ought to be a reminder that, although Sri Lanka is seen in some quarters as a successful democracy, it is a very fragile one. Democratic processes within it are in constant need of strengthening and consolidation.

Needless to say, Sri Lanka has been time and again witness to ‘nation-breaking’ violence. The 30-year, humanly highly costly ‘anti-LTTE’ war was one of these manifestations of runaway violence that could have torn the country apart. Yet, the totality of causes that led to the war remains apparently unrecognized by governments and sections of the public, rendering Sri Lanka’s democracy several-fold more fragile.

If Lankan governments are seeking a durable answer to ‘nation-breaking’ violence, there are specific democratic measures that could be taken by them to effectively manage such disruptions. One of these is substantive power devolution to the country’s North-East. Despite Sri Lanka arriving at what is considered a landmark presidential poll, this need is yet to be addressed notably.

The security forces’ military victory over the LTTE in 2009 has bred a sense of complacency among Sri Lanka’s power and social elites, which fosters the belief that the country is free of separatist violence forever, but this could prove a dangerous illusion in the absence of a durable political solution to the ethnic conflict. This state of mind is fraught with risks, considering that the roots of the conflict are remaining unaddressed.

In the case of the second attempt on Trump’s life, the world is confronted with a disquieting irony. This is on account of the fact that no less a political actor than Trump himself encouraged anarchic tendencies within the US by initially turning a blind eye on them and by even inciting his supporters to seize control of the Capitol Building on January 6, 2021, subsequent to his defeat at the hands of Joe Biden at the last presidential election. For example, he is on record as telling the US public that the ‘election had been stolen from him.’

This amounts to a gross subversion of the democratic process and to date Trump evinces no signs of his deeply regretting his supporters’ anarchic violence, although he went back on some of his initial pronouncements. Thus has democracy been undermined by a US President himself.

Besides making the democratic system of governance a laughing stock of authoritarian states, such as Russia and China, Trump has given anti-democratic forces the world over a huge fillip by failing to unreservedly accept the result of the last US presidential poll, which was seen by the relevant authorities as free of blemish.

However, the damage to democracy stemming from Trump’s incitement of anarchic violence, could be considered as already having been done in the case of the weaker democracies of the South. The admirers of Trump are far and wide and there is no doubt that they would be already seeing the violent overthrow of a democratically-constituted state as legitimate.

The appeal of populist and authoritarian political personalities, such as Donald Trump, within Southern polities should be considered quite extensive in view of the fact that the majority of the latter states are prone to personalism; that is, the irrational glorification of political leaders by the masses.

This could be seen as a Fatal Cleopatra of democratically-deficient Southern states. To the extent to which they uncritically acclaim populist political leaders in particular, to the same extent do they weaken their democratic institutions and associated value systems. The answer to this is the growth of a vibrant democratic culture which is a long-gestation project that needs to be nourished over decades.

The induction of technocratic elites into governance is not necessarily the solution to this deep-seated problem in the South. These elites could help in the economic growth process to a degree, but the fostering of democratic cultures could be made possible by only those visionary leaders who place at the heart of their development schemes social and economic equity in the truest sense. Thus far, with the exception of Mahatma Gandhi of India, it is difficult to identify any Southern leader in post-independence times who could be considered as having been a catalyst in substantive democratic development; which is essentially all about combining growth with equity.

Hopefully, these Southern polities would think deeply on these matters, going forward. A broad-based, deeply humanistic and secular education could be considered as essential to the building of Gandhi-type visionary leaders with broad sympathies. This undertaking could no longer be postponed by Southern states desirous of fostering democratic governance.

The issue is; could Sri Lanka be considered as equal to this challenge? Unfortunately, the answer at the moment is ‘No’. None of its ‘leaders’ vying for the presidency, for instance, has conceived of development for their country in strictly the above terms. We need to begin with humanity or ‘Reverence for Life’ and there don’t seem to be takers for this among Sri Lanka’s ‘leaders’.

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Love being unique than perfect

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Chit-Chat
Udani Senanayake

1. Tell me something about yourself:

Well, I’m 22 and the youngest in my family of four – that’s mom, dad and my elder brother. I’m currently an undergraduate at the University of Kelaniya, studying Microbiology, and I also work with BK Model Management as a model. I would like to consider myself as a seeker … I’m a curious person about life, nature and our existence. I am a believer in humanity and I always focus on refraining myself from judging people, and accept the diversity among each of us.

02. What made you decide to be a model?

I really had a passion for the fashion industry, and modelling, from a very young age and, in 2022, I won the title of Miss Sri Lanka for Miss Earth and that gave me the encouragement to start modelling … professionally.

03. What do you think sets you apart from other models?

I think I am blessed to have a kind of a mixed race look and this helps me as a model as I can adapt my looks to suit the occasion and I am certain I have never failed to satisfy the crew I’m working with.

04. What clothing do you prefer to model?

I love trying out different clothing styles … apart from lingerie.

05. What do you think is the most important aspect of modelling?

I would say respect and appreciation. The beauty scene has widened and the industry has expanded. Maintaining a mutual understanding and avoiding making others to feel uncomfortable is important.

06. If you could change one thing about yourself, what would it be?

So far, nothing, I would say. None of us are perfect and I believe that makes ourselves unique. I would love being unique than being perfect.

07. School?

I am from Anuradhapura and I completed my primary education at Swarnapali Girls’ College and then, up to the Advanced level, I studied at Central College Anuradhapura. I was privileged to be the school captain, and I represented my school as a student parliament. I was a member of the school soccer team. I did music and stage drama, as well. I was able to bring fame to my school from oratory, singing and drama competitions. I must say I did almost everything one could do during their school time.

08. Happiest moment?

I can’t pick one particular moment because I always try to find myself something that makes me happy in every situation. But the day I got selected to do Microbiology was a really special one.

09. What is your idea of perfect happiness?

When we stop trying to find happiness from others we will have perfect happiness.

10. Your ideal guy?

A guy with a pleasant smile is an ideal type. And, of course, a person who can smoothly adapt to the different phases in life and someone who would never get bored of me and appreciate me all the time. I love a simple, kind and a caring person.

11. Which living person do you most admire?

My mom, of course. She’s the strongest person I’ve seen in the whole world. I believe the strength and vision I have with me is from her. She never restricted me from experiencing the world; she always had faith in me, and what I am today it’s all because of her. She always guided me to bring out the best in me.

12. Which is your most treasured possession?

It’s my heart. I would try my best to keep it healthy and happy. I do have a big heart to help the world and I must treasure it in order to do better things.

13. If you were marooned on a desert island, who would you like as your companion?

It would be my partner because I won’t feel bored and I will feel secured.

14. Your most embarrassing moment?

Well, I’m not so good at initiating a conversation, and I often feel embarrassed of asking wired stuff from strangers.

15. Done anything daring?

Many … but I’ll mention the time I represented my country at the Miss Earth International competition. Winning the title was unexpected because I participated in the pageant to get some experience and to polish up myself to initiate my passion for modelling. I’m from a really normal family and the time period I had to prepare for the pageant was less than one month. I had to find the expenses, design my clothing and train myself within that short period. I had no sponsors and I didn’t have any connections in the field to seek help at that point in time. I couldn’t afford to have a personal trainer, or hire expensive attires, and I had to do it all alone, with the help of my family. I was young, alone and I had zero experience but somehow with the encouragement I got from my family, and my closest friends, I was able to participate in the international competition, in the Philippines, and, honestly, I received lots of love over there and it gave me all the confidence I needed. Sometimes I still can’t imagine that I did it.

16. Your ideal vacation?

Somewhere, with good food, closer to nature, and away from many people. I don’t prefer going on a vacation alone so, of course, if I have my loved ones with me it would be ideal.

17. What kind of music are you into?

I don’t have anything specific. Let’s say it depends on my mood.

18. Favourite radio station?

Sorry, I don’t listen to the radio. No time for radio.

19. Favourite TV station?

Sri Lanka Rupavahini Corporation because I used to work there as a news anchor. I got the opportunity of learning things in this field and my confidence, in front of the camera, was boosted … thanks to the time I worked there.

20. Any major plans for the future?

I am planning to pursue my career in Microbiology, after graduating. I will continue doing my best to stabilise myself in the modelling industry, as well. I will work for my advocacy, I initiated, during my time as Miss Sri Lanka Earth, with the help of the exposure I get, through my modelling career.

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Sugar scrub

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Yes, it’s scrub time, this week, too, as lots of readers did indicate to me that they would like to see a few more body scrub beauty tips. Okay, here we go then…

You will need 1/2 cup of brown sugar and 1/4 cup extra virgin or regular olive oil.

In an air tight storage container, pour in the olive oil and scoop in the brown sugar and mix well, with a fork or metal spoon. Make sure to smash out the clumps. The mixture is now ready when it looks like wet sand.

This scrub can be used anywhere that you are having dry skin issues or want to just do a great exfoliation on. Apply a small amount of the sugar scrub to the area and begin lightly massaging it in circles. You don’t need to press down hard or apply much pressure to this scrub as the granules from the sugar will work to get the dead skin off. By simply massaging it into the area for a few seconds and rinsing it under warm water in the shower, your skin will feel silky and soft.

If using it on the feet, simply soak your feet in the bathtub, while sitting on the edge, for about 10 minutes or so. Then use the scrub and rinse

Use this scrub once a week if applying to the same area, and not more than that, especially if used on the face or other sensitive areas. You can use it up to 02-03 times a week on rough extra dry skin areas of the body, such as feet, elbows, hands, or knees. Store the mixture in an air-tight container and keep in a cool dry place. This recipe will keep for up to three months. By the way, the oil might rise to the top of the sugar. If this happens, simply take a spoon and stir to mix it up before using.

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