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Taiwan: Will it retain independence or be taken over?

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After the fall of Afghanistan to the Taliban, there continues over there a painful period of adjustment and as we hear, grave shortages of essentials to the general population. There also seem to be Afghans eligible to migrate to the US awaiting permission to go. The G7 has promised help and President Biden specifically stated much financial and other aid would come to the people of Afghanistan but through international aid agencies.

The current hot spot of probable conflict and growing tension is Taiwan, and yes, if inflamed, could be much worse than the Afghan conflagration. On October 10, President of Taiwan, Tsai Ing-wen, insisted in her speech at the National Day celebrations in Taipei, that Taiwan would not succumb to Chinese dominance nor join mainland China as a unified nation. Tsai emphasized “resilience, unity, diversity, competitiveness, and renewed confidence and pledged to defend Taiwan’s sovereignty and denounced unprecedented challenges brought by China’s recent military coercion.”

At the same time, China staged a massive show of force in celebration of the 110th anniversary of the revolution that established the first Chinese Republic. Chinese President Xi Jinping made it almost militantly clear that China calls for “Taiwan’s peaceful reconciliation with China in Taiwan’s best interests.” He urged the island state to “stand on the right side of history.” This statement was denounced by Taiwan’s President as a “distortion of history” and called on Beijing to stop threatening the island.

In The Island of October 13, Gwynne Dyer gives a fine analysis of the problem and says that China will baulk at the prospect of invading Taiwan because it will face blocking of all sea routes on which its trade is totally dependent. Western nations, Japan, Korea, even India will not stand by and merely watch a military invasion by Chinese forces of independent Taiwan.

Support for Taiwan

The G7 at the end of its meeting in Cornwall in June 2021, affirmed the “importance of peace and stability across the Taiwan Strait” and their strong opposition to any “unilateral attempts to change the status quo and increase tensions.” China immediately denounced G7 for interfering. “For the Chinese Communist Party, the status of Taiwan is a sensitive topic. Together with Tibet, and the massacre in Tiananmen Square in 1989, foreign visitors to China are routinely advised to avoid any discussion of it. To China’s leaders, Taiwan is an indivisible part of the ‘big Motherland’, a ‘renegade province’ that will eventually, by persuasion, coercion or force if necessary, be ‘reunited’ with mainland China. Alternative views are firmly suppressed.”

Taiwan, smaller in area than the Netherlands, is considered to be on par with Australia in its economy and population. “For a country that in 1950 was poor, overwhelmingly agricultural and exported labour to the Philippines, this has been a huge achievement and one that owes nothing to China.”

History

Reading about Taiwan was very interesting. That island was originally named Formosa, which dates from 1542 when Portuguese sailors sighted an uncharted island and named it ‘Ilha Formosa’ – beautiful island. In 1625, the Dutch East India Company established a base in Taiwan.

The Ming rulers in China were increasingly preoccupied with a growing threat from the Manchu, or Qing, to the north. In 1644, Beijing fell and the Ming dynasty ended, succeeded by the Qing who ruled Formosa too. In 1911, the Qing Dynasty collapsed and that date is when the Republic of China in the island was established.

In 1861, Great Britain opened the first consulate on the island and “early consular reports are peppered with frustration at the unwillingness or outright refusal of government representatives on the island to adhere to agreements set down in bilateral treaties.”

The Japanese had controlled Taiwan for 50 years (1895-1945) with Tokyo sending 19 governors general to rule Taiwan. Upon the defeat of Japan in August 1945, Chiang Kai-shek, who was head of China sent troops and administrators to take control of Taiwan. “The Taiwanese had been expecting liberation from Japanese rule to lead to self-government, not the imposition of another regime. The move was far from popular, dissatisfaction only compounded by Chiang’s handling of it. Corruption, nepotism and minor altercations grew, and hardly any locals spoke Mandarin, yet overnight this was imposed as the official language. Not surprisingly, resentment grew while the economy collapsed, culminating in major riots at the end of February 1947. These were brutally put down. By some estimates as many as 20,000 Taiwanese lost their lives.”

Beginnings of modern Taiwan

Chiang was an ally to the Brits and Americans, helping them to defeat Japan in WW II. Then came the civil war with the communists led by Mao Zedong and Chiang’s Nationalists were defeated in 1948. The next year his government and army retreated to Taiwan where he presided over a tumultuous period of martial law, social reforms and economic prosperity. He was President of the Republic of China for five six-year terms and also Director General of the Kuomintang until his death in 1975. It was a rival government to China and the world’s nations had to choose between the two. Most recognised mainland China. “Just 15 nations, most of them small island states in the Caribbean or Pacific, have diplomatic relations with Taiwan.” Between 1946 and 1949 an estimated one million mainland Chinese fled to Taiwan, whose own population in 1940 had been less than six million.

After Chiang died in 1975, his son and successor, Chiang Ching-kuo, sensing the changing tide of global opinion in favour of the People’s Republic of China, took the first steps towards the introduction of democratic government. Martial law was lifted in 1987 and in 1996 the Taiwanese were finally able to choose their own president through direct elections. Since then, democratic governance has taken firm root and the present President is the fourth and first woman to head the nation. Opinion polls show a growing majority consider themselves Taiwanese, not Chinese; proud of their country’s history and identity.

Mao Zedong, once he came into power, had aimed at bringing Taiwan under the party’s control as part of the ‘Motherland’. “Mao might have succeeded, too, had he not intervened in support of Kim Il-sung in the Korean War in 1950, prompting the US to move to support Chiang on Taiwan.”

The San Francisco Conference of 1951 was convened to conclude the peace agreement with Japan and agree on the post-war order in Asia. “Although Japan renounced its claim to Taiwan, with the US and UK recognising different Chinese governments, both of which were excluded from the conference, no agreement was reached and a decision on the status of Taiwan was shelved. As far as Britain was concerned, de jure sovereignty over Taiwan remained undetermined, while the US recognised Chiang’s Republic of China in Taipei as the legitimate Chinese government, a position that only changed in 1979.”

Taiwanese companies are among the biggest investors, exporters and employers in China. “The rapprochement reached its pinnacle in 2015 in Singapore, with the first ever meeting between the leaders of China and Taiwan. The move was widely interpreted in Taiwan as an attempt to boost the prospects of a ‘China-friendly’ president in the election due in early 2016; which misfired badly. After Tsai Ing-wen’s victory, China largely cut off official contact and stepped up its threats and intimidation against the island. In 2020 Tsai was re-elected in a landslide, her success widely attributed to Taiwanese reactions to China’s clampdown in Hong Kong in the preceding months.” And now unless mainland China, it is said, can bring itself to accept reality, the Taiwan Strait will remain one of the world’s potential flashpoints.

NOTE:

Facts given above are mainly from a long article by Michael Reilly, who is a non-resident Senior Fellow in the Taiwan Studies Programme at the University of Nottingham. From 2005-09, he was the British representative in Taiwan. He is the author of The Great Free Trade Myth: British Foreign Policy and East Asia Since 1980 (Palgrave Macmillan, 2020). The article I quote from is ‘Between China and a Hard Place’ in History Today, Vol 71:10, Oct 2021.



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From Manifesto to Action without delay

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The prison violence in Negombo has become the first major crisis to confront the government since it came to power. The government may or may not be responsible for creating the conditions that have accumulated over decades and made the prison system a powder keg. The fact is the government’s Ratama Ekata anti-drug crackdown boosted the countrywide prison population from 28,000, in late 2024, to 41,000, in 2026. The conditions of imprisonment include chronic overcrowding, poor infrastructure, inadequate staffing, the penetration of organised crime and drug networks into prisons, and the long neglect of prison reform by successive governments. The Negombo Prison was housing approximately 2,600 inmates at the time of the clashes although it was built for only about 650. By the time order was restored, 29 people, including seven prison officers, had lost their lives and more than 100 others had been injured.

Justice Minister Harshana Nanayakkara accepted responsibility before Parliament, visited the Prison and announced immediate measures, including legislative changes to facilitate bail and alternatives to remanding prisoners. The NPP government needs to accept responsibility for its failure to anticipate the danger, to respond with sufficient speed and competence once the problem had erupted. A dangerous situation can be observed countrywide with more than 42,000 prisoners being held in prisons designed to accommodate about 10,000 inmates. The magnitude of the Negombo Prison tragedy needs to be understood not merely as an isolated incident but as a warning that the government cannot postpone structural reforms indefinitely. A government elected on the promise of changing the system cannot justify repeating the failures of its predecessors on the basis that it is sincere and uncorrupt unlike them.

The failure to move beyond promises has become evident in several other sectors as well. Farmers continue to agitate over unresolved problems. Plantation workers continue to seek meaningful integration into national life. Many of them, who were victims of Cyclone Ditwah, continue to live in miserable conditions due to the government’s slowness in dealing with their problems of their lack of ownership of lands and homes. The Mylathamadu cattle farmers of Batticaloa have issues once again even after two presidents, President Ranil Wickremesinghe and now President Anura Kumara Dissanayake ordered evacuation of intruders in terms of court orders. But the local police and the Mahaweli Authority officials seem slow to take any actions, even to the extent of not complying with judicial decisions. Victims of past human rights violations and thousands of families of missing persons are still waiting for justice. The promised repeal of the Prevention of Terrorism Act has yet to materialise. Prison reform has now joined this growing list of deferred commitments.

NPP Pledges

The National People’s Power election manifesto promised not merely honest government but systemic transformation. Under the section dealing with prisons, it pledged to restructure the prison system, reduce overcrowding, expand open prison facilities, strengthen rehabilitation through education, vocational training and psychological support, establish a formal parole system and transform prisons from places of punishment into centres of rehabilitation and reintegration. Those promises reflected international best practice and recognised that a humane prison system is essential to a democratic society. Yet nearly two years into its term little visible progress has been made in implementing these reforms.

Sri Lanka has witnessed different types of prison violence. Some have erupted spontaneously because of intolerable prison conditions, overcrowding and frustration. Others have occurred under circumstances that raised alarming questions about state complicity. The massacre of 53 Tamil political prisoners inside Welikada Prison during the anti-Tamil violence of July 1983 remains one of the darkest chapters in the country’s history. Those prisoners were not protected despite being under state custody. The Mahara Prison violence of November 2020, in which 11 inmates were killed after protests over Covid conditions, similarly generated serious allegations regarding the targeted use of weapons and led to widespread calls for an independent investigation.

Following the deadly violence at Mahara Prison during the Covid pandemic, then Opposition party leader Anura Kumara Dissanayake declared in Parliament that “those who are remanded and imprisoned are under the custody of the state. Therefore, the primary responsibility for the safety of the lives of the prisoners and detainees who are in state custody lies with the government.” He further said that “it is entirely unacceptable in a democratic nation that upholds human rights for prisoners, who are under the protection of the state, to be gunned down while in government custody.” But in the Negombo tragedy once again the state, with President Dissanayake at the helm, was unable to protect the inmates though there is no evidence that the government orchestrated the violence. Being in power for two years there is a rightful expectation that it could have taken better preventive action.

Urgency Needed

There are two special conditions, however, that make the Negombo Prison tragedy a possible turning point rather than merely another episode in Sri Lanka’s long history of prison violence. The first is that until these events the country had enjoyed an extended period without major organised political or communal violence. This improvement was recognised internationally when Sri Lanka rose 30 places in the 2025 Global Peace Index to rank 67 among 163 countries. The Index measures countries on three broad indicators, namely the level of societal safety and security, the extent of ongoing domestic and international conflict, and the degree of militarisation. The improvement reflects the country’s recovery from the years of political upheaval and economic collapse and suggests that Sri Lanka is moving towards a more peaceful future.

The second distinguishing feature is that the present government has no known links to organised crime or the underworld that has so often been associated with sections of the political establishment in the past. This is one of its greatest strengths. President Anura Kumara Dissanayake has spoken publicly about the nexus between organised crime, drug trafficking, money laundering and politics, and has challenged political parties to take action against members who maintain links with criminal networks. That willingness to confront organised crime gives the government a credibility that previous governments lacked. But integrity by itself is not enough. Honest intentions must be matched by administrative competence and political will. A government that seeks to change the system must demonstrate that it can reform and manage the institutions of the state more effectively than those who came before it. The Negombo tragedy suggests that this remains a major challenge.

The government’s greatest asset remains the trust that the public has placed in its sincerity. Unlike many previous governments, it is not burdened by allegations of protecting organised crime or profiting from corruption. That gives it a unique opportunity to undertake reforms that others could not credibly pursue. But it must not rest on its laurels in the belief it is superior to the rest. The Negombo Prison tragedy should become the catalyst for implementing the wider programme of reform promised in the election manifesto. Prison reform cannot be viewed in isolation. It is part of the broader commitment to change the system, strengthen public institutions and ensure that the state serves the people with competence as well as integrity. The reforms promised to rice farmers, cattle herders, plantation communities, victims of past human rights violations and all those who looked to the government for a new beginning deserve the same sense of urgency. Other priorities cannot justify postponing the structural changes that the NPP promised and the country has waited for decades.

by Jehan Perera

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Chandi: The one-tusked rebel who defied captivity and became a symbol of Sri Lanka’s wild spirit

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The story of Chandi (T081), the legendary one-tusked elephant of Galgamuwa, is not merely the tale of a wild tusker. It is the remarkable chronicle of an animal whose lifelong struggle for freedom challenged conventional wildlife management, captivated conservationists and villagers alike, and ultimately became one of the most inspiring chapters in Sri Lanka’s wildlife history.

Known affectionately as “Chandi”—a Sinhala name signifying courage, toughness and fearlessness—the iconic tusker earned his place among the country’s most celebrated wild elephants through sheer determination rather than physical grandeur. Born with only one tusk, he repeatedly demonstrated that true strength lies not in appearance but in resilience.

Wildlife photographer and conservationist Chandika Lakmal, founder of Wild Tuskers of Sri Lanka, believes Chandi’s life offers valuable lessons for wildlife conservation and the management of human-elephant conflict.

“Chandi was much more than an elephant.

He became the embodiment of freedom. Every chapter of his life reflected an extraordinary determination to return to the forests where he was born. He showed us that elephants possess deep memories and emotional connections to their homeland that cannot simply be erased through translocation.”

Lakmal said Chandi’s story deserves to be preserved not only as wildlife history but also as a reminder that conservation strategies must be guided by science and compassion.

Unlike most Sri Lankan tuskers, Chandi possessed only his right tusk after being born without the other. Yet that single tusk became an extraordinary tool in his battle against electric fences and other barriers erected across his traditional range.

For decades, Chandi roamed the forests and agricultural landscapes surrounding Galgamuwa, including Mudiyannegama, Ehatuwewa, Kaduru Wewa and Siyambalangamuwa. As cultivation expanded and natural habitats became increasingly fragmented, his encounters with people became more frequent.

Authorities first captured him around 2009 and transported him nearly 200 kilometres away to the Somawathiya National Park in an attempt to reduce conflict between villagers and wildlife.

Many believed the relocation marked the end of Chandi’s association with Galgamuwa.

They were mistaken.

Displaying one of the most extraordinary examples of elephant navigation recorded in Sri Lanka, Chandi travelled through unfamiliar forests and settlements before eventually finding his way back to his birthplace.

“His return astonished everyone,” Lakmal recalled. “Very few animals could accomplish such a journey. Chandi demonstrated the incredible navigational abilities of elephants and their unwavering attachment to familiar landscapes.”

Years later, renewed crop-raiding incidents resulted in another decision to remove him from his home.

This time, he was sent to the Horowpathana Elephant Holding Ground, where elephants considered troublesome are kept under confinement.

For many wildlife observers, Horowpathana represented a final destination.

Numerous elephants transferred there had struggled to adapt to restricted movement and limited access to natural feeding grounds.

Few expected Chandi ever to return.

Yet the fearless tusker once again surprised the nation.

He escaped.

Breaking through barriers that were believed to be secure, Chandi returned to Galgamuwa, reclaiming the forests that had shaped his life.

His remarkable escape became one of the most talked-about wildlife stories in Sri Lanka.

As Chandi aged, deteriorating eyesight increasingly drove him towards cultivated lands in search of food.

Concerned about renewed conflict, authorities captured him once more around 2018 and transferred him back to Horowpathana.

This time, however, every conceivable measure had been taken to prevent another escape.

Massive reinforced concrete pillars were embedded deep underground. Heavy steel cables linked the posts while multiple rows of electric fencing surrounded the enclosure. Steel spikes were fixed atop the pillars.

It was considered escape-proof.

Nevertheless, within months Chandi once again appeared in Galgamuwa.

To this day, nobody knows exactly how he managed to escape.

“That second escape has become one of the greatest mysteries in Sri Lanka’s wildlife history,” Lakmal said. “Despite all the engineering, Chandi proved once again that the desire for freedom can never be underestimated.”

Lakmal believes Chandi’s repeated returns challenged long-held assumptions about elephant translocation.

“His life clearly demonstrated that moving elephants away from their traditional home ranges is not always an effective long-term solution. Many elephants attempt to return, sometimes travelling hundreds of kilometres and creating even greater risks for themselves and people.”

In his twilight years, Chandi became noticeably calmer.

Poor eyesight reduced his movements, and instead of covering extensive distances he remained within a relatively small range around Galgamuwa.

Villagers frequently encountered him standing quietly in reservoirs, resting beneath trees or walking peacefully along rural roads.

Despite his formidable reputation from earlier years, he rarely displayed aggression toward people.

His calm demeanour transformed him into one of Sri Lanka’s favourite photographic subjects.

Wildlife enthusiasts travelled long distances simply to witness the legendary one-tusked giant.

According to Lakmal, Chandi developed an almost mythical status among elephant lovers.

“People admired him because he represented resilience.

He survived repeated captures, difficult relocations and confinement, yet never surrendered. His determination inspired thousands who followed his story.”

Local folklore added another colourful chapter to Chandi’s reputation.

Villagers often joked that the giant tusker occasionally developed a taste for “goda”, the illicit liquor brewed near remote village tanks.

Whether fact or folklore, the tale only strengthened his legendary status among local communities.

Towards the end of 2023, proposals surfaced once again to relocate Chandi, this time to Maduru Oya.

The proposal was met with strong opposition from conservationists, wildlife photographers and local residents.

Many argued that after spending a lifetime defending his homeland, Chandi deserved the dignity of living out his final years where he belonged.

Fortunately, the relocation never took place.

Instead, Chandi remained in Galgamuwa until the end.

His final battle came not against humans but against nature itself.

In late 2024, he suffered fatal injuries during a confrontation with another dominant tusker, Ratta (T079), near Kaduru Wewa.

He was believed to have been approximately 55 years old.

His death marked the end of an extraordinary life that had captured the imagination of wildlife lovers across Sri Lanka.

Lakmal says Chandi’s greatest legacy extends far beyond his individual story.

“Future generations should remember Chandi as the elephant who repeatedly chose freedom over captivity. His life teaches us that conservation is not simply about fencing animals or relocating them.

It is about understanding their behaviour, respecting their natural movements and protecting the landscapes that sustain them.”

He added that Sri Lanka’s escalating human-elephant conflict requires more scientific planning, habitat restoration and landscape-level conservation rather than relying solely on translocation.

For many conservationists, Chandi will forever remain one of the greatest symbols of the island’s wild heritage—a fearless survivor whose determination inspired a nation.

His story is ultimately one of resilience, belonging and freedom.

Long after his footprints have faded from the dusty roads of Galgamuwa, the legend of Chandi—the one-tusked rebel who refused to surrender his homeland—will continue to echo through Sri Lanka’s forests, reminding future generations that the spirit of the wild cannot easily be confined.

By Ifham Nizam

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Rethinking retirement ages: A case for judicial and public sector reform

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The current debate on increasing the retirement age of judges has attracted considerable public attention. While some people support the proposal as a means of retaining experienced members of the judiciary, others argue that extending the tenure of senior judges would unfairly delay promotional opportunities for younger judges.

This argument, though frequently repeated, overlooks a far more important question. The issue is not whether promotions will be delayed. The real question is whether Sri Lanka should deprive itself of the services of highly experienced professionals simply because they have reached a predetermined age.

The judiciary exists to serve the people, not to provide a career ladder for judges. Every decision relating to judicial appointments and retirement must therefore be guided by one overriding principle – the public interest.

Sri Lanka currently requires Supreme Court judges to retire at the age of sixty-five, Court of Appeal judges at sixty-three, High Court judges at sixty-one and Magistrates and District Judges at sixty. These retirement ages are considerably lower than those found in many developed countries.

Canada requires federally appointed judges to retire at seventy-five. Australia, New Zealand, Belgium, Denmark, Ireland, Japan, the Netherlands, Norway and Spain generally prescribe retirement at seventy, while Germany and France have retirement ages around sixty-seven. The United States goes even further by granting life tenure to federal judges, including Supreme Court Justices, subject to good behaviour.

These countries have adopted such policies because they recognise a simple reality. The value of a judge lies not in physical strength but in wisdom, maturity, independence, integrity and decades of accumulated legal knowledge.

Unlike many occupations where physical ability may decline with age, judicial competence often improves through experience. Every constitutional interpretation, every commercial dispute and every criminal appeal benefits from the judgment of individuals who have spent decades applying the law under diverse and often difficult circumstances.

Life expectancy has increased significantly throughout the world. Advances in healthcare have enabled many professionals to remain mentally alert and physically active well into their seventies. Society has readily accepted this reality. Distinguished surgeons continue to perform complex operations. University professors continue to teach and conduct research. Engineers continue to supervise major infrastructure projects. Senior accountants, architects and consultants continue to advise governments and multinational corporations. There is no convincing reason why judges, whose principal contribution is intellectual rather than physical, should be treated differently.

Opponents of extending judicial retirement often argue that doing so would reduce promotional opportunities for younger judges. While understandable from an individual career perspective, this argument should not determine national policy.

Promotions are not an end in themselves. Nor should vacancies be artificially created merely to accelerate career advancement.

No successful private corporation dismisses its most capable Chief Executive Officer simply because younger executives are waiting for promotion. Universities do not ask distinguished professors to retire to create vacancies for lecturers. Hospitals do not remove highly respected consultants because junior doctors are ready to advance. International engineering firms do not compel their most experienced engineers to leave office solely to facilitate promotions.

The objective of every successful institution is to retain capable people for as long as they continue to perform effectively. The judiciary should be no exception.

Indeed, experienced judges provide an invaluable service beyond deciding cases. They mentor younger judges, preserve institutional memory, maintain consistency in judicial standards and uphold the traditions and independence of the courts. Their guidance helps shape the next generation of judges and contributes directly to the quality of justice delivered to the public.

Another important consideration is Sri Lanka’s substantial backlog of litigation. Delays in the disposal of cases continue to frustrate litigants and undermine public confidence in the justice system. Retaining experienced judges for a few additional years could contribute significantly to reducing these delays while ensuring continuity and stability within the courts.

Naturally, extending the retirement age should not mean automatic continuation in office. Every extension should be subject to periodic medical examinations, continued professional competence, impeccable ethical standards and satisfactory performance. Those who are no longer able to discharge their responsibilities effectively should retire regardless of age.

More importantly, this discussion should not be confined to the judiciary.

Sri Lanka should undertake a comprehensive review of retirement policies throughout the public sector.

Our country has invested enormous public resources in educating and training doctors, engineers, university academics, scientists, accountants, administrators and numerous other specialists. Many of these professionals remain exceptionally capable long after reaching the current retirement age. Yet the nation often loses their services at precisely the stage when their knowledge, judgment and experience are at their highest.

This represents not merely a loss to the individual concerned but a significant loss to the country.

The argument that senior officers should retire simply to create promotional opportunities for juniors is equally unconvincing in every sector.

Promotions should be based on merit, competence, leadership and organisational need, not merely on vacancies created by compulsory retirement.

A well-managed institution should be capable of retaining outstanding senior professionals while simultaneously identifying, training and promoting younger officers on merit. Effective succession planning, mentoring and professional development are the proper solutions, not the premature loss of experience.

Public institutions exist to serve the people. Their primary responsibility is to deliver efficient, impartial and professional services. Every policy decision relating to retirement should therefore be assessed according to one simple question: Will this improve the quality of public service?

If the answer is yes, reform should be seriously considered.

If Sri Lanka wishes to strengthen its institutions and improve governance, it must make better use of one of its greatest national assets—the experience of its senior professionals.

Retirement should no longer be viewed simply as a matter of chronological age. It should increasingly be based on continued competence, medical fitness, integrity and the ability to contribute meaningfully to national development.

Such a policy would strengthen the judiciary, improve public administration, preserve invaluable institutional knowledge and ensure that Sri Lanka benefits fully from the wisdom and experience of those who have dedicated their lives to public service.

The objective should never be to retain people because they are senior.

The objective should be to retain the best people for as long as they remain capable of serving the nation with distinction.

by K. R. Pushparanjan

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