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State Minister Cabraal dispels fears about Sri Lanka’s debt service capacity
State Minister of Money and Capital Markets and State Enterprise Reforms Ajith Nivard Cabraal has said nobody should harbour fears of Sri Lanka’s ability to service its debt. Fears being expressed in some quartes are unfounded he has said, issuing a media statement.
Following is a statement issued by the State Minister of Money & Capital Markets and State Enterprise Reforms Ajith Nivard Cabraal on 30th October 2020 “With the spread of the COVID-19 pandemic, all countries including Sri Lanka, observed a contraction in economic activity, reduction in foreign exchange earnings, decrease in revenue collection, and increase in health and welfare related expenditure. However, the prompt and measured policy support provided by the Government and the Central Bank enabled Sri Lanka to contain the unfavourable effects of Covid-19 to a great extent, and return the economy to near-normalcy by mid-May 2020. In fact, most economic activities have displayed a notable revival from May onwards, and this recovery is on-going. The recent detection of a new Covid cluster is now being decisively addressed by the Government, and this wave is also expected to be short-lived. Accordingly, the expansion of the fiscal deficit and the increase in debt levels in 2020, should not be generalised as a prolonged debt distress, but rather as a “one-off” deviation from the clear fiscal consolidation path that has been well articulated in the new Government’s policy framework.
“The election of a new President in mid November 2019 and the formation of a single-party Government with a sizable majority in August 2020, has enable the new Government to address the uncertainties in the political and policy spheres observed during the period 2015 to 2019. Consequently, Sri Lanka has been able to address public health concerns swiftly, as well as take difficult economic decisions with greater confidence. For example, when the Government was of the view that it was necessary to conserve forex, given the likelihood of low foreign exchange earnings due to the pandemic, and the need to prioritize foreign debt service obligations, the Sri Lankan authorities imposed restrictions on non-essential imports from March 2020. Such decisive and bold action, along with the reduction in global petroleum prices, resulted in a substantial saving of nearly US$ 3 billion in terms of expenditure on merchandise imports in the first nine months of the year, compared to the same period of the previous year. This saving, along with the better-than-expected outcomes in terms of merchandise exports, services exports other than tourism, and workers’ remittances, is now projected to compress the external current account deficit to below 1.5% of GDP in 2020.
“It would also be noted that capital flows and official reserves were also affected during the early months of the global outbreak of Covid-19. However, growing business confidence due to decisive action by the Government and the Central Bank has enabled the country to stabilize the exchange rate with only a marginal depreciation of around 1.5% so far this year, even while the Central Bank was able to purchase/absorb US$ 300 million from the domestic foreign exchange market during the year. As a result, official reserves remain close to US$ 6 billion, after settling foreign debt service repayments of around US$ 4 billion thus far during the year, including the repayment of the matured International Sovereign Bond of US$ 1 billion in October 2020. In the meantime, it would be further noted that the Sri Lankan authorities are presently negotiating a loan of USD 700 million from the China Development Bank which is expected to be at an interest rate and terms of repayment that are significantly more favourable than the USD 1 billion Sovereign Bond that was just re-paid. In addition, an attractive, exchange rate risk-free, Forex SWAP facility has been introduced for any foreign investor who invests in Sri Lankan government securities, which is expected to boost foreign exchange inflows particularly from the Middle-East, in the period ahead.
“In terms of growth performance, Sri Lanka is once again set to embark on a growth path, following the setback in the first half of 2020 caused by the pandemic. The formulation of the new Government Cabinet and State Ministerial structure, with clear performance indicators has been geared towards improving the efficiency and effectiveness of the economy. These new governance structures are bound to enhance agriculture and agro-based and mineral-based industries, increase export opportunities, as well as facilitate large projects within the Port City, Hambantota Port, and dedicated industrial zones. The expected revitalization of state owned enterprises, together with the private sector-led growth projects would also revert the Sri Lankan economy to the high growth path that was observed prior to 2015 whereby annual growth rates of over 6.5% were regularly recorded.
“In the meantime, Sri Lanka’s entire local debt stock of about Rs. 7.7 trillion (USD 42 billion) as at end July 2020 is being rolled-over and re-priced now at interest rates which are almost half of what was paid in 2019, while the Rupee remains stable. It may also be noted that a new trend has been established where greater reliance is being placed on domestic financing, and that strategy has already improved the “domestic: foreign” ratio of the debt from 51:49 at end 2019 to 56:44 now, which trend the authorities are keen to improve further in the period ahead. It is therefore clear that the Government’s commitment and support towards better debt management, both directly and indirectly, has already started to take effect.
“Sri Lanka is justifiably proud of its immaculate debt service record, without a single default. It would also be noted that Sri Lanka has experienced similar challenging circumstances previously, with high levels of debt. For instance, during 2001-2004, the country’s debt to GDP ratio was well over 100%, and by end 2005, it was at 91%. Nevertheless, Sri Lanka was able to gradually reduce the debt to GDP ratio to just 72% by end 2014 through decisive and innovative action.”
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Bosnian Serb convicted war criminal Ratko Mladic dies
Bosnian Serb General Ratko Mladic, who was serving a life sentence for genocide, war crimes, and crimes against humanity during the bloody 1992-1995 war in Bosnia and Herzegovina, has died.
Mladic, the so-called “butcher of Bosnia” died at the age of 84, the Serbian state RTS television and the official Bosnian Serb television reported. His death was also confirmed by a UN official speaking to the Reuters news agency.
The reports said that Mladic died in a UN prison hospital in The Hague, Netherlands.
A family member of Mladic confirmed the reports and told the Associated Press that Mladic’s son, Darko Mladic, was on his way to The Hague.
Mladic was convicted of genocide for orchestrating the 1995 massacre of at least 8,000 Bosniak men and boys in a UN-designated “safe area” of Bosnia, in Europe’s worst atrocity since World War II.
He spent his last years in jail after he was convicted in 2017 for crimes the tribunal said at the time were “amongst the most heinous known to humankind”.
Former UN rights chief Zeid Ra’ad al Hussein described him as “the epitome of evil” after his conviction.
The former communist officer-turned nationalist warlord, was one of the most notorious figures of the conflict in which more than 100,000 people were killed and more than one million were driven from their homes.
He commanded his troops to “scorch the brains” of the Bosniaks and boasted of being a “Serbian god”.
When the Bosnian war started in 1992, Mladic became the commander of the Bosnian Serb troops and took control of large swaths of the country in an attempt to form a Serb mini-state.
Serbs under Mladic’s control laid siege to the capital, Sarajevo, and other cities and villages, established camps for detained Bosniaks and enemy soldiers, and systematically killed prisoners.
The killings, recognised as a genocide, were the culmination of a war that had lasted over three years, in which the Mladic pounded the besieged capital Sarajevo daily with the artillery, tanks, mortars and heavy machine guns of his nationalist Serb army, killing 10,000 people.
The dead from Srebrenica were bulldozed into mass graves over four days in July 1995, some of them dug up and relocated to remote mountains so as to hide evidence of the killings.
The goal, as determined by the UN International Criminal Tribunal for the former Yugoslavia (ICTY), was “ethnic cleansing” — the forcible expulsion of Bosniaks, Croats and other non-Serbs to clear Bosnian lands for a Greater Serbia.
The tribunal found that Mladic, together with late Serbian President Slobodan Milosevic and Bosnian Serb political leader Radovan Karadzic, were part of a criminal conspiracy to implement the plan.
Defiant to the end, Mladic said “I do not recognise this court,” at an ICTY hearing of his case in 2014.
When he was sentenced to life in prison in 2017 he shouted: “This is all lies, you are all liars!”
[Aljazeera]
News
Patali alleges NPP conspiring to put off elections indefinitely
* Govt. lacks plan to meet IMF targets
By Shamindra Ferdinando
United Republican Front (URF) leader Patali Champika Ranawaka has alleged that the 22nd Amendment is aimed at enabling the National People’s Power (NPP) to perpetuate its rule without conducting elections.
The former Minister was addressing the media at the Flower Road Office of UNP leader Ranil Wickremesinghe on Tuesday (25). Alleging that the Pelawatte-based ‘red junta’ spearheaded the operation to enact the controversial 22nd Amendment, the ex-parliamentarian pointed out that neither President Anura Kumara Dissanayake nor Health and Media Minister Dr. Nalinda Jayathissa, who is also the Cabinet spokesman, never denied declarations made by various members of the NPP parliamentary group that elections wouldn’t be conducted for 10, 20 years.
The President and the Cabinet spokesman never clarified that such declarations were not the position of the government, Ranawaka said. The URF leader pointed out that some NPP/JVP members told those receiving appointments that they would also retire under the same administration.
Addressing the media after former External Affairs Minister Prof. G. L. Peiris, convenor of the Joint Opposition, said that the government recognised them as the real opposition. Referring to Dr. Jayathissa’s recent claim that they conspired at the residence of Prof. Peiris and challenged them to come on to the streets, ex-lawmaker Ranawaka thanked the Minister for the recognition at the expense of the Samagi Jana Balawegaya (SJB). The government accepted the challenge posed by them in spite of the main Opposition party, in Parliament, having 40 MPs, the URF Chief said, urging the government to reveal the identities of those who clandestinely led the ruling party.
The former MP said that the country was now aware of their conspiracies during the past six decades. Blaming the government for its inordinate delay in conducting the Provincial Council polls, and the failure to take tangible measures to do away with the executive presidency, as repeatedly promised in the run-up to the national elections in 2024, Ranawaka alleged that the government was busy conspiring to roll back the electoral map. He also alleged that President Dissanayake was leading the operation.
According to Ranawaka the government was keen to postpone elections indefinitely as its members feared to face the law under a different government.
Commenting on the economic situation, Ranawaka explained how under President Wickremesinghe tough measures were taken during the 2022 to 2024 period to stabilise the country with the backing of the International Monetary Fund (IMF). “However, the country cannot go on beyond 2027 under the current setup. In terms of the agreement with the IMF, the debt repayment was stopped. However, the country will have to start repayment in 2028,” the ex-MP said, pointing out the country’s reserves were down to USD 6.4 bn.
The ex-MP said the IMF expected Sri Lanka to maintain foreign reserves at USD 6.8 bn and to increase the reserves to USD 12 bn next year. In terms of the IMF’s recommendations, the foreign reserves have to be increased to USD 15 bn by 2028, Ranawaka said, recollecting how former President Ranil Wickremesinghe, at a recent book launch, explained the daunting challenges faced by the country on the economic front.
Ranawaka was referring to Wickremesinghe’s speech at the launch of former Minister Ranjith Siyambalapitiya’s book launch at the BMICH, where the former President warned of dire consequences if the government failed to adhere to the IMF formula.
The former Minister disputed the government’s much touted claim that corruption was dealt with. The person who caused an unprecedented gas crisis, in 2021, by promising to supply gas at a much lower price than what was paid by the then government at that time and ended up causing countrywide panic due to “accidental” blasts of domestic gas cylinders, received protection from this government.
The government conveniently refrained from initiating action against that person, Ranawaka said. Referring to the developments leading to President Gotabaya Rajapaksa’s government declaration of bankruptcy in April 2022, the ex-Minister claimed that the IMF, in a letter dated 7 March, 2022, alerted the Secretary to the President, the Finance Ministry and the Central Bank, of the impending economic collapse. The NPP government failed to take action against those responsible for creating the 2022 crisis, Ranawaka said.
News
August 15 Super Dvora tragedy: Search continues for missing officer’s body
Navy headquarters yesterday said it was continuing the search for Lt. Thilina Udayapriya, second-in-command of the Super Dvora Mark III Fast Attack Craft (FAC), which sank in the seas off Angulana, on 15 August, 2026. Of the 12-member crew, 11 were rescued but so far SLN efforts to locate the missing officer’s body had failed, sources said.
They said that the salvage operation of the sunken craft, taken delivery from Israel after the end of the war, is continuing amidst gruelling weather and rough sea conditions, and the sunken vessel is now off Bambalapitiya.
Sources said that the vessel collided with a sunken ship MV Thermopylae Sierra that sank in August 2012, during a monsoon storm. The ill-fated Super Dvora Mk III has gone over the ship wreck in spite of it being clearly demarcated in the nautical chart, aka hydrographic chart available to the ill-fated vessel’s crew. But authorities had failed to mark the site with a buoy to warn maritime traffic, in spite of public appeals. (SF)
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