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Standard Chartered: Sri Lanka’s 2026 economy bolstered by political stability

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From left: Bingumal Thewarathanthri, CEO of Standard Chartered Bank Sri Lanka; Saurav Anand, Economist (South Asia); Madhur Jha, Global Economist and Head of Thematic Research; and Divya Devesh, CFA, Co-Head of FX Research (ASEAN and South Asia), during the Global Research Briefing in Colombo, on 20th January 2026

As Sri Lanka moves further away from its economic crisis, bolstered by an expected period of sustained political stability, the economic conditions are shifting from recovery to long-term stability, experts said at the Global Research Briefing hosted by Standard Chartered Bank in Colombo.

Calling a discussion with the financial press on 20th January, they outlined an outlook for Sri Lanka in 2026 that balances optimism with a necessary cautious view of the challenges ahead.

A primary point of discussion was the stance of the Central Bank of Sri Lanka (CBSL). Analysts believe the CBSL will maintain a cautious outlook throughout 2026. This vigilance is largely driven by sustained private-sector credit growth, which is currently trending above 20%. While such growth often signals a reviving economy, it carries the risk of an adverse impact on external-sector stability. Specifically, a surge in credit could fuel a spike in consumption imports, potentially straining the country’s hard-earned reserves.

The researchers’ report highlights that Sri Lanka’s 2026 outlook is significantly bolstered by political stability and policy continuity. Following the 2024 parliamentary elections, where the president’s party secured a more than two-thirds majority, the legislative path for continued reforms appears clear. Although provincial elections are anticipated in the first half of 2026, researchers suggest these are unlikely to derail the current policy trajectory, providing a predictable environment for both domestic and foreign investors.

In the foreign exchange markets, a gradual depreciation of the Sri Lankan Rupee (LKR) against the US Dollar (USD) is expected as the year progresses. Standard Chartered has maintained its USD-LKR forecasts at 309 for mid-2026, reaching 315 by the end of the year.

This shift is closely linked to the narrowing of the current account (C/A) surplus. While the C/A is expected to remain in positive territory, it is projected to narrow to approximately 1% of GDP in 2026, down from an estimated 1.8% in 2025. This narrowing is a byproduct of a strong growth recovery which naturally drives up demand for both consumption and investment-related imports. However, this pressure will be partially mitigated by a decline in car imports, they believe.

They further note that:

Despite the narrowing surplus, two critical pillars of the Sri Lankan economy – tourism and remittances – remain robust. Tourism is forecasted to grow by 5-10% in 2026, continuing its role as a vital supporter of the current account. Similarly, worker remittances are expected to stay strong, even as growth rates moderate from the high 20% levels seen in 2025.

In summary, the consensus from the briefing was clear: ‘Stay the course on reforms because that’s the essential ‘brick by brick’ strategy required to ensure the sustainability of Sri Lanka’s economic future.

By Sanath Nanayakkare



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IMF approves USD695 million for Sri Lanka

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AFP –The International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) board approved two reviews of Sri Lanka’s loan programme, making USD695 million in additional loans immediately available to the island nation.

It is the latest tranche in the country’s four-year USD3 billion bailout, with the Fund warning of further risks due to the economic impact of the Middle East conflict.

Surging oil prices due to the conflict have heavily impacted many import-dependent Asian countries.

“Sri Lanka’s strong implementation under the EFF arrangement has continued despite challenging circumstances,” said the IMF’s Deputy Managing Director and Acting Chair Kenji Okamura.

“Gains from the economic reform programme helped preserve economic resilience and provided room to respond to cyclone Ditwah and the Middle East conflict. The latter, however, has significantly worsened Sri Lanka’s economic outlook and tilted risks to the downside.”

The IMF projects 2026 growth to slow to three per cent, with higher oil prices increasing inflation and weighing on the current account balance.

The board’s approval was contingent on Sri Lanka adjusting certain energy market subsidies issued in the wake of the conflict.

The statement said the Sri Lankan authorities had met the Fund’s requirements on fuel and electricity prices meeting cost-recovery criteria.

Criteria on ensuring no new external debts and on not imposing or intensifying import restrictions “were not observed”, however.

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Cambridge College honours students at awards ceremony

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Guests with an award winner at the certificate and medal awarding ceremony Hindu Cultural Hall in Kandy

The Cambridge College of English Language Training recently held a certificate and medal awarding ceremony to recognize the academic achievements of students who successfully completed Cambridge English examinations.

The ceremony was held at the Hindu Cultural Hall in Kandy with the Vice Chancellor of the University of Peradeniya, Prof. W.M.T. Madhujith, attending as the Chief Guest, while Kandy Mayor Chandrasiri Wijenayake participated as the Guest of Honour.

Founded on March 1, 2024, by English tutor, author and Cambridge TKT lecturer T. Ravichandran, the institution has emerged as a leading centre for Cambridge English examination preparation in Kandy.

Beginning with an initial intake of 30 students, the college has expanded rapidly and currently serves more than 300 students.

The institution’s achievements were further recognized when it received the “Emerging Star Award 2025” at the Annual Coordinators Conference 2025 (South Asia).

The college provides training for students between the ages of seven and 18 across six stages of Cambridge English examinations, including Young Learners English (YLE) Starters, Movers and Flyers, as well as KET, PET and FCE examinations.

Cambridge English qualifications are internationally recognized and are designed to assess language proficiency in line with the Common European Framework of Reference for Languages (CEFR).

The ceremony concluded with the presentation of certificates and medals to students in recognition of their academic performance and commitment.

Text and Pic by SK Samaranayake

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ABC Australia, Maharaja Media Network ink MoU to expand Indo-Pacific media collaboration

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The Australian Broadcasting Corporation (ABC Australia) has signed a Memorandum of Understanding with Sri Lanka’s Maharaja Media Network (MMN), marking a significant expansion of media cooperation aimed at strengthening content exchange, co-productions and professional collaboration across the Indo-Pacific.

The agreement builds on an initial broadcast partnership established in 2022 and an expanded licensing arrangement in 2023, under which ABC programming was made available free-to-air to Sri Lankan audiences through MTV Channel (Private) Limited, part of the Capital Maharaja Group.

Under the new framework, the two organisations will collaborate across television, radio and digital platforms, with a focus on co-produced content, editorial exchange, training opportunities and joint storytelling initiatives.

MMN, Sri Lanka’s largest media network, operates across television, radio, digital media, music and film, including MTV Channel (Private) Limited and MBC Networks (Private) Limited.

Australian High Commission officials described the agreement as a deepening of regional media ties. “This will cover co-production, content sharing and broader cooperation across the Asia-Pacific in telling stories that speak to both countries,” said Matthew Duckworth.

ABC International Head Claire M. Gorman said the partnership reflected a shared commitment to public-interest media and stronger regional storytelling.

Capital Maharaja Group Director Chevaan Daniel said the relationship, which began during Sri Lanka’s economic crisis in 2022, had grown through continued collaboration, including during the 2025 Ditwah cyclone response.

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