Business
Sri Lanka’s economy at a crossroads: Fiscal improvement amid trade and demand woes
Sri Lanka’s fiscal health showed signs of improvement in early 2025, with the budget deficit narrowing to Rs. 86.6 billion in the first two months of the year, down from Rs. 129.3 billion in the same period last year. This was supported by a rise in government revenue and a decline in domestic borrowing, signaling cautious optimism in the country’s economic recovery.
Net domestic financing dropped to Rs. 96.8 billion, a significant reduction from Rs. 144.8 billion in early 2024, while foreign debt repayments continued, albeit at a slower pace. The Treasury bill and bond markets remained stable, with strong investor interest auctions were oversubscribed by 2 to 3 times. Foreign holdings of government securities also saw a slight uptick, reflecting cautious confidence in Sri Lanka’s debt instruments.
Meanwhile, lending rates edged lower, with the Weekly Average Weighted Prime Lending Rate (AWPR) dipping to 8.36%, supporting hopes of easier credit conditions. The stock market also saw modest gains, with the All Share Price Index (ASPI) rising 0.7% by early May.
Deflation persisted but softened in April 2025, with prices declining by 2.0% year-on-year – a slight improvement from previous months.
Food prices rose by 1.3%, while non-food categories continued to see deflation (-3.6%). Core inflation, which excludes volatile items, remained low at 0.8%, suggesting weak underlying demand.
Global oil prices fell amid concerns over slowing growth, particularly due to US trade policies, with Brent crude dropping by over $4 per barrel. However, Sri Lanka’s import costs for crude oil in March 2025 were slightly higher than the previous year, posing a challenge for energy-dependent sectors.
Export earnings grew by 5.3% in the first quarter of 2025, driven by strong performances in textiles, spices, and tea. However, import expenditure surged by 11.1%, led by machinery, oils, and dairy products, widening the trade deficit to $1.54 billion.
The Sri Lankan rupee depreciated by 2.3% against the US dollar this year, though the Central Bank bolstered reserves with 160.8 million in net foreign exchange purchases in April.
Gross official reserves stood at 6.53 billion by end-March, including funds from the PBOC swap arrangement.
While fiscal consolidation and stable debt markets provide some relief, Sri Lanka’s economy faces headwinds from global uncertainties and domestic demand weakness. The easing deflation trend and lower interest rates may support recovery but managing the trade deficit and sustaining export growth remain key challenges. In a broader context, the Central Bank figures depict neither a recession nor a boom. These figures suggest instead an economy grappling with persistent challenges and lacking clear momentum in either direction,” a source told The Island on condition of anonymity.
Reported using data from Central Bank.
By Sanath Nanayakkare
Business
Oil tops $116 a barrel as Iran accuses US of preparing invasion
Oil prices have surged to their highest level in nearly two weeks amid escalation on multiple fronts of the US-Israel war on Iran.
Brent crude, the global benchmark, rose more than 3 percent on Monday morning to top $116 a barrel.
The latest climb took the global benchmark to its highest point since March 19, when it briefly touched $119 a barrel.
The surge came after Iran said it was prepared for a US ground invasion, with the speaker of the country’s parliament warning that Tehran was waiting for the arrival of US troops to “set them on fire” and “punish” their regional allies.
Tehran’s warning came as the conflict deepened over the weekend, with the Iranian-backed Houthis launching missiles at Israel for the first time in the war, and Israel expanding its invasion of southern Lebanon.
Asia’s main stock indexes fell sharply in morning trading, with Japan’s Nikkei 225 and South Korea’s KOSPI both down more than 4 percent as of 1:30 GMT.
Iran’s effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz in retaliation for the US-Israel war has disrupted about one-fifth of global oil and liquified natural gas (LNG) supplies, plunging the world into its biggest energy crisis in decades.
Oil prices have risen nearly 60 percent since the start of the war, driving up fuel prices worldwide and forcing numerous countries to adopt emergency measures to conserve energy.
Analysts have warned that oil prices are likely to keep rising unless maritime traffic returns to normal levels in the strait.
US President Donald Trump has threatened to “obliterate” Iran’s energy infrastructure if Tehran does not relinquish its stranglehold on the waterway by a deadline of April 6.
Trump, who on Thursday extended his deadline by 10 days, has proposed a 15-point plan for ending the war with Iran and insisted that the two sides are making progress towards a deal in indirect talks being mediated by Pakistan.
Tehran has flatly rejected Trump’s plan and proposed its own terms for a ceasefire, including war reparations and recognition of Iran’s right to control the strait.
Greg Newman, CEO of Onyx Capital Group, which began as an oil derivatives trading house, said energy consumers were only beginning to feel the true fallout of the turmoil.
“Physical oil moves around the world in loading cycles, and Europe has taken around three weeks to really start feeling the effects of the oil shortage,” Newman told Al Jazeera.
“Brent is starting to reflect the reality, and we think it’s a steady rise from here towards $120 and beyond.”
Newman said the scale of the disruption had yet to be fully appreciated.
“No one in the market has ever seen the outages we are now suffering from – physical premiums are the highest ever. There is still a sense that the macro world is not taking this seriously enough, but it is worse than anything that has come before it,” he said.
“The reality will come out in the economic numbers over the coming months.”
While Iran has been allowing a growing number of transits by ships that are not aligned with the US or Israel, traffic remains a fraction of pre-war levels.
On Saturday, Pakistani Minister of Foreign Affairs Ishaq Dar announced that Tehran had agreed to allow 20 Pakistani-flagged vessels to pass the strait in what he described as a “meaningful step toward peace”.
Malaysian Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim said last week that Iran had granted an unspecified number of Malaysian vessels permission to clear the strait.
Seven non-Iranian vessels passed the strait on Thursday, up from five on Wednesday and four on Tuesday, according to maritime intelligence firm Windward.
Before the start of the war on February 28, the strait saw an average of 120 daily transits, according to Windward.
[Aljazeera]
Business
SLT-MOBITEL turnaround signals new era for SOEs, says deputy minister
The era of privatising loss-making state-owned enterprises may be drawing to a close, with SLT-MOBITEL emerging as proof that strategic management can deliver profitability without a change in ownership, Deputy Minister of Digital Economy Eng. Eranga Weeraratne said.
“There was a massive public outcry asking the previous governments to sell the loss-making state-owned enterprises. Now it is not there as it was used to be heard,” Weeraratne said. “SLT-MOBITEL has proven that the proper management strategy can turn any loss-making SOE into profit. Gone are the days we heard ‘sell, sell, sell’.”
The remarks came as Sri Lanka’s national ICT provider reported a decisive financial turnaround in FY 2025, driven by disciplined cost management, operational efficiency, and steady growth across fixed and mobile businesses.
The company has simultaneously rolled out a pioneering 24/7 operational model – the industry’s first – with 14 Outside Plant Maintenance Centres operating round-the-clock in metro areas, Kandy, and Jaffna to ensure uninterrupted connectivity.
“Our strong financial results reflect the resilience of SLT-MOBITEL and the trust customers place in us,” said Dr. Mothilal de Silva, Chairman, SLT Group. “With the roll-out of the 24/7 OPMC operations, we are raising the bar for service reliability.”
SLT-MOBITEL has also made 5G publicly available in Sri Lanka and continues to support the Ministry of Digital Economy with secure data centre infrastructure, reinforcing its role as a catalyst of national development.
By Sanath Nanayakkare
Business
Kia Tasman arrives in Sri Lanka: A pickup built for work and comfort
Kia Motors Lanka has launched the all-new Kia Tasman, the brand’s first-ever pickup truck – engineered to redefine the double cab segment by combining rugged capability with SUV-like refinement.
Built on a robust body-on-frame platform, the Tasman offers best-in-class strength with a payload capacity of 1,151kg, towing up to 3,500kg, and water wading up to 800mm. Advanced 4WD systems and terrain modes ensure unmatched off-road performance.
Inside, the cabin surprises with best-in-class rear legroom, sliding and reclining rear seats – a segment-first – and a panoramic display with premium Harman Kardon sound.
Powered by a 2.2-litre diesel engine (210PS, 441Nm), the Tasman is backed by a 5-year or 150,000km warranty.
“This is a vehicle conceived without compromise,” said Kia Motors Lanka Chairman Mahen Thambiah. “For customers who demand durability, capability, and everyday comfort, the Tasman delivers on every front.”
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