Business
Sri Lankan banks, conglomerates hold ground despite weak country credit profile, says Fitch Ratings
Fitch Ratings’ latest update on Sri Lanka’s credit landscape shows that the country’s leading commercial banks and well- managed conglomerates continue to hold stable national ratings despite the weak record of the government’s credit metrics.
As at 31 August 2025, Commercial Bank of Ceylon, Hatton National Bank, Sampath Bank, and People’s Bank retained investment-grade national ratings between AA-(lka) and A(lka) with stable outlooks. This reflects sound capital adequacy and stable deposit franchises despite a tough operating environment. Union Bank of Colombo remains an outlier with a BBB-(lka) rating on a negative outlook, while Cargills Bank was affirmed at A(lka) with a negative outlook, pointing to asset quality pressures and thinner buffers.
Fitch’s update also highlights a divergence between the strength of leading corporates and the sovereign’s fragile external position. The sovereign rating stands at CCC+, with a country ceiling of B-, indicating continued constraints on cross-border risk exposure.
In contrast, blue-chip firms such as Hayleys PLC, Lion Brewery, and Melstacorp enjoy the highest AAA(lka) national ratings, supported by diversified earnings streams and market leadership.
The plantation sector continues to lag, with Kotagala Plantations stuck at CCC(lka), a reminder of deep structural challenges.
Meanwhile, Sri Lanka Telecom is on a Rating Watch Positive (RWP) at AA-(lka), signaling potential upgrades if operational improvements and balance sheet strengthening persist.
Market analysts note that while the sovereign’s credit trajectory remains tied to the success of ongoing debt restructuring and fiscal reforms, the stability of domestic banks and corporates provides a measure of reassurance to investors and creditors.
Fitch’s findings show that Sri Lankan banks and well-managed institutions with diversified income bases remain insulated to a degree from macro headwinds, a message that wouldn’t shatter confidence in Sri Lanka’s capital markets at least for the time being.
By Sanath Nanayakkare
Business
Sri Lanka’s 2026 economic growth predicted to be around 4-5 percent
Sri Lanka’s economic growth for 2026 will be around 4-5 percent, Central Bank Governor Dr. Nandalal Weerasinghe said.
The Governor indicated the estimated economic growth while announcing the Central Bank’s policy agenda for this year, last Thursday.
‘The Central Bank’s 2026 growth estimation is higher than the growth prediction of the IMF and the World Bank and is achievable, the Governor told the media while announcing the Central Bank’s policy agenda for 2026.
Dr. Weerasinghe added: ‘The Central Bank will introduce a benchmark intra-day reference exchange rate this year to ensure transparency in the foreign exchange market.
‘The absence of a reference exchange rate has held back the expansion of the Sri Lankan forex market and discouraged the trading of rupee-denominated derivatives Governor said.
‘The Central Bank last year carried out the necessary preliminary work to implement the benchmark spot exchange rate.
‘The benchmark intra-day reference exchange rate will be introduced in 2026 to foster a transparent foreign exchange market.
‘This benchmark will guide market participants, help reduce volatility and promote more competitive pricing on a given date, thereby enabling the introduction of more innovative products in the foreign exchange market.
‘Sri Lanka’s foreign exchange market has limited derivatives like currency swaps and options aiming to deepen markets and attract inflows.
‘However, these instruments failed after a lack of reliable reference exchange rate amid concerns over excessive speculation, rupee over-appreciation risks and interventions distorting clean floating rates.’
Meanwhile, currency dealers welcomed the move and said it will help to deepen the market.
“This will expand the market with more products and promote rupee-denominated derivatives, a currency dealer from a local bank said.
“It is something the market wanted to fix in derivative prices. This is a pricing mechanism for the rupee, he added.
By Hiran H Senewiratne ✍️
Business
Sevalanka Foundation and The Coca-Cola Foundation support flood-affected communities in Biyagama, Sri Lanka
With funding support from The Coca-Cola Foundation (TCCF), the Sevalanka Foundation has launched a humanitarian relief programme to support flood-affected communities in Biyagama. The initiative focuses on restoring access to safe water, healthcare services, and essential public facilities during the critical recovery period following the Cyclone Ditwah.
Working closely with the Divisional Secretariat, the program prioritizes the cleaning and rehabilitation of contaminated dug and tube wells, helping address the urgent post-flood challenge of access to safe water. This intervention will also support the cleaning and reopening of essential public spaces, including schools, and Grama Niladhari (GN) offices, enabling authorities and communities to resume daily activities safely. The Sevalanka Foundation and TCCF, as part of the initial response, have also donated water pumps to the Divisional Secretariat to support immediate water extraction and clean-up efforts.
In addition, as the second main component of the project, and based on the guidance of the Medical Officer of Health (MOH), support is being provided to MOH-operated healthcare facilities to restore access to emergency and essential medical services. This support includes sanitization, debris removal, hazard stabilization, and the provision of emergency medical supplies such essential medicines and hygiene products. Medical camps staffed by doctors and senior nurses will be conducted through MOH offices to provide prioritized groups of persons with health, nutrition and hygiene related relief items.
Business
Bourse radiates optimism as UK grants tariff-free concession to local apparel exports
CSE activities were extremely bullish yesterday mainly due to the UK government’s announcement on tariff free access for local apparel sector exports into the UK coupled with Central Bank Governor Dr Nandalal Weerasinghe’s positive outlook on the economy this year.
Amid those developments the turnover level also improved and the All Share Price Index moved up to the 23500 mark during the trading day.
The All Share Price Index went up by 127.17 points, while the S and P SL20 rose by 56.75 points. Turnover stood at Rs 8.5 billion with 18 crossings.
Top seven crossings were: LOLC Holdings two million shares crossed to the tune of Rs 1.18 billion; its shares traded at Rs 575, Renuka Agri 45 million shares crossed to the tune of Rs 594 million; its share price was Rs 13.20, Sampath Bank 1.4 million shares crossed for Rs 215 million and its shares traded at Rs 154.35, Renuka Holdings 1.5 million shares crossed for Rs 75 million; its shares traded at Rs 50, Hayleys 200,000 shares crossed to the tune of Rs 41.3 million; its shares traded at Rs 207, Tokyo Cement (Non-Voting) 400,000 shares crossed for Rs 37.8 million; its shares sold at Rs 50 and NTB 100,000 shares crossed for Rs 326 million; its shares sold at Rs 326.
In the retail market top seven companies that contributed to the turnover were; LOLC Rs 340 million (591,000 shares traded), Sampath Bank Rs 310 million (two million shares traded), Renuka Agri Foods Rs 275 million (19.4 million shares traded), ACL Cables Rs 238 million (2.3 million shares traded), Overseas Realty Rs 215 million (4.9 million shares traded), CIC Holdings (Non Voting) Rs 180 million (6.3 million shares traded) and Wealth Trust Equity Rs 132 million (8.2 million shares traded). During the day 269.3 million share volumes changed hands in 47852 transactions.
It is said the banking and financial sectors performed well, especially Sampath Bank, while a top diversified company, LOLC Holdings, also performed well.
Yesterday, the rupee opened at Rs 309.15/30 to the US dollar in the spot market relatively flat from Rs 309.10/50 the previous day, having depreciated in recent weeks, dealers said, while bond yields opened higher.
The telegraphic transfer rates for the dollar were 305.8500 buying, 312.8500 selling; the British pound was 409.7568 buying, and 421.1186 selling, and the euro was 354.0809 buying, 365.4441 selling.
By Hiran H Senewiratne ✍️
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