Connect with us

Business

Reform or perish, it’s not too late

Published

on

Sri Lankan economy in historic crisis

By K.D.D.B Vimanga and Naqiya Shiraz

The Sri Lankan economy faces a historical crisis. The root causes are the twin deficits. First, the persistent fiscal deficit – the gap between government expenditure and income. Second, the external current account deficit – the gap between total exports and imports. The problems have been festering for too long. Without urgent reforms, the crisis could easily morph into a full-blown debt crisis.

Sovereign debt workouts are extremely painful for citizens. A mangled debt restructuring can perpetuate the sense of crisis for years or even decades. A return to normal economic activity may be delayed, credit market access frozen, trade finance unavailable.

With the global pandemic, these are unusual and difficult times. The next five years are going to be crucial for the country. The problems can no longer be avoided and should be faced squarely. The journey ahead is going to be painful but the longer these are delayed the worse the problem becomes and the magnitude of the damage compounds.

State of the Economy

The new government inherited a fragile economy, battered by the Easter attacks of 2019, the constitutional crisis of October 2018 and the worst drought in 40 years in 2017. With the pandemic in 2020 Sri Lanka’s economy shrank by 3.6% with all sectors of the economy contracting.

Yet, the pandemic is not the sole cause – it only accelerated the decline of Sri Lanka’s economy that was weak to begin with. The country has long been plagued by structural weaknesses, with growth rates in the last few years even below the average growth rate during the war. Mismanaged government expenditure coupled with a long term decline in revenue have characterised Sri Lanka’s fiscal policy. As of 2020 total tax as a percentage of GDP fell to just 8%, while recurrent expenditure increased.

Borrowing to finance the persistent budget deficits is proving to be unsustainable. Total government debt rose to 101% of GDP in 2020 and has grown since. Sovereign downgrades have shut the country from international debt markets. The foreign reserves declined from US$ 7.6 bn in 2019 to US$ 5.7bn at the end of 2020 and to US$ 2.8 bn by July 2021. This level of reserves is equivalent to less than two months of imports. With future debt obligations also in need of financing, the situation is dire.

The import restrictions placed to combat this foreign exchange crisis have failed to achieve their purpose and are doing more harm than good. imports rose 30% in the first half of 2021 compared to 2020 despite stringent restrictions.

The problem lies not in the trade policy but in loose fiscal and monetary policy that has increased demand pressures within the economy, drawing in imports and leading to the balance of payments crisis and consequently the depreciation of the currency.

Measures by the Central Bank to address this by exchange rate controls and moral suasion have caused a shortage of foreign currency leading to a logjam in imports.

Fundamental and long-running macroeconomic problems were intensified by the pandemic.Import restrictions, price and exchange controls do not address the real causes.

Treating symptoms instead of the underlying causes is a recipe for disaster.

The continuation of such policies will lead to the deterioration of the economy, elevate scarcities, disadvantage the poor who are more vulnerable and in the long run lead to even higher prices and lower output due to lack of investment.

Sri Lanka’s GDP growth over the last decade has been alternating between short periods of high growth and prolonged periods of low growth. This is a result of the state-led, inward looking policies of the last decade.

A comprehensive reform agenda must be built around five fundamental pillars:

i) fiscal consolidation – The need to manage government spending within available resources and to reduce debt are paramount. Revenue mobilization must improve but the control of expenditure cannot be ignored. Budgetary institutions must be strengthened and there must be reviews not only of the scale of spending but also the scope of Government.

ii) Much of government expenditure is rigid – the bulk comprises salaries, pensions and interest so reducing these is a long term process. Reforming State Enterprises, especially in the energy sector and Sri Lankan Airlines is less difficult and could yield substantial savings. Continued operation of inefficient and loss-making SOE’s is untenable under such tight fiscal conditions. Financing SOE’s from state bank borrowings and transfers from government reduces the funds available for vital and underfunded sectors such as healthcare and education. Excessive SOE debt also weakens the financial sector and increases the contingent liabilities of the state. Therefore SOE reforms commencing with improving governance, transparency, establishing cost reflective pricing and privatisation are necessary. This can take a significant weight off the public finances and by fostering competition contribute to improvements in overall economic productivity.

iii) Tighten monetary policy and maintain exchange rate flexibility. Immediate structural reforms include, Inflation targeting, ensuring the independence of the central bank by way of legislation and enabling the functioning of a flexible exchange rate regime. Further significant attention has to be placed on the financial sector stability with a cohesive financial sector consolidation plan, with special emphasis on restructuring of SOE debt.

iv) Supporting trade and investment. Sri Lanka cannot achieve economic growth without international trade which means linking to global production sharing networks. Special focus has to be given to reducing Sri Lanka’s high rates of protection which creates a domestic market bias in the economy along with measures to improve trade facilitation and attract new export oriented FDI.

Attempts to build local champions supported by high levels of protection have

(a) diverted resources away from competitive businesses,

(b) created a hostile environment for foreign investment,

(c) been detrimental to consumer welfare,

(d) dragged down growth

v) Structural reforms to increase productivity and attract FDI – Productivity levels in Sri Lanka have not matched pace with the rest of the growing economies. The reforms mentioned above are extensively discussed in Advocata’s latest publication “Framework for Economic Recovery”.

Sri Lanka stumbled into the coronavirus crisis in bad shape,with weak finances; high debt and widening fiscal deficits. It no longer has the luxury to delay painful reforms. Failure to do so will not only jeopardize the economy; it could even spawn social and humanitarian crises.

Naqiya Shiraz is the Research Analyst at the Advocata Institute and can be contacted at naqiya@advocata.org.K.D.D.B. Vimanga is a Policy Analyst at the Advocata Institute. He can be contacted at kdvimanga@advocata.org.



Continue Reading
Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Business

Unlocking Sri Lanka’s hidden wealth: A $2 billion mineral opportunity awaits

Published

on

Surveys have indicated that minerals such as thorianite and uranium-bearing minerals are present in Sri Lanka

Sri Lanka stands on the brink of an economic transformation, powered not by traditional exports, but by the vast, untapped mineral wealth lying beneath its soil and off its shores. According to a comprehensive new business report launched by the Pathfinder Foundation in collaboration with the Australian Trade and Investment Commission, on 17th December in Colombo, the island’s mineral sector holds a staggering unrealised export potential of up to USD 2 billion.

Currently, Sri Lanka exports most of its high-purity minerals including world-renowned vein graphite, rare earth elements (REEs), and mineral sands in raw or semi-processed form, capturing only a fraction of their true value. The report reveals that while current exports to top destinations total about USD 389 million, the achievable potential is estimated at USD 778 million, with the full downstream value-add opportunity reaching several times that figure.

“Sri Lanka has great potential for exports,” stated Australian High Commissioner Matthew Duckworth at the report’s launch. “It is not only about mining but also about refining – moving up the value chain to get significantly higher export earnings.”

The nation is endowed with critical resources essential for global clean energy and high-tech supply chains. This includes an estimated 5 million tonnes of graphite (with purity up to 99.9%), over 600 million tonnes of mineral sands containing REEs like neodymium, and the massive Eppawala phosphate deposit, which alone holds 60 million tonnes of phosphate-bearing material. Experts believe even these numbers may be conservative due to a lack of island-wide surveys, pointing to major exploration opportunities.

However, realising this potential requires urgent action. The report identifies systemic barriers: a fragmented regulatory framework involving over 18 agencies, slow licensing, infrastructure gaps, and outdated mining methods. These challenges have discouraged investment and prevented value addition.

The path forward is clear. The government is already moving to modernise the approval process via a unified digital platform and is crafting a national critical minerals strategy. The report emphasises that success hinges on attracting foreign expertise and investment, particularly in downstream processing – turning graphite into battery-grade material, refining rare earths, and processing mineral sands domestically.

Australia, with its global leadership in sustainable mining and technology, is positioned as a key partner. Australian METS (Mining Equipment, Technology, and Services) companies can bring advanced technology, ESG-compliant practices, and training, potentially reducing operational costs by 30-40% while improving recovery rates.

“For Sri Lanka, the stakes are high. Developing a modern, sustainable mineral sector can diversify the economy, create high-value jobs, build resilience, and integrate the nation into strategic global supply chains,” the Australian High Commissioner noted. The message from the report is one of urgent optimism: the resources are here, the international partners are ready, and the roadmap is laid out. Now is the time for policymakers, investors, and stakeholders to come together to unlock this buried treasure for the benefit of all Sri Lankans.

By Sanath Nanayakkare

Continue Reading

Business

Environmental damage now a direct threat to telecom operations, SLT chief warns at 2026 calendar launch

Published

on

Dignitaries at the launch of the SLT calendar

Environmental destruction is no longer an abstract environmental concern but a direct business risk, Sri Lanka Telecom/Mobitel Chairman Dr. Mothilal de Silva warned, as the national telecom giant launched its 2026 corporate calendar linking climate change, marine degradation and network stability.

Unveiling the calendar, Dr. de Silva said the initiative was not a ceremonial exercise but a corporate statement on responsibility and survival. “Today we are not just unveiling a calendar; we are sharing a story — a story of beauty, resilience and profound responsibility,” he said, stressing that environmental protection had become business-integral for SLT.

The 2026 SLT-Mobitel desk and digital calendar takes viewers beneath Sri Lanka’s seas, focusing on the intricate forms of marine shells and clams. Created by renowned artists Pulasthi Ediriweera and Nalin Jayarathna, the artworks portray seashells as both natural marvels of design and lasting symbols of fragile marine life.

“Each shell is a protective home — a permanent memorabilia left by gentle creatures,” Dr. de Silva said. “In their form and pattern, they send us a silent message about their presence and their urgent need for protection.”

Drawing a direct link between ecological degradation and recent climate-related disasters, Dr. de Silva rejected attempts to mask environmental realities. “You cannot cover this up with fake news. The destruction of forests, hill-country ecosystems, tea estates and irresponsible land use has created these calamities,” he said, referring to recent cyclonic events and flooding.

He warned that climate change and rising sea levels were already affecting SLT’s core infrastructure. Sri Lanka’s international connectivity depends on five subsea communication cables landing in Colombo and Matara. “Unusual sea-level rise and abnormal tides have already caused network outages. When the sea is disturbed, it directly affects the quality and reliability of our network,” he said.

Dr. de Silva said SLT and its international consortium partners follow strict environmental safeguards when laying, maintaining and even disposing of subsea cables. These include detailed environmental surveys, route planning to avoid sensitive marine ecosystems and specialised installation techniques. Cable repair operations based in Galle, he added, also adhere to stringent environmental standards.

“Our work is fundamentally about connection — connecting people, businesses and nations. But this connection must be built with care for the environment that hosts it,” he said, noting that sustainability was not merely a corporate social responsibility obligation but essential to business continuity.

Marine naturalist Dr. Malik Fernando, addressing the launch, highlighted Sri Lanka’s rich but inadequately studied seashell diversity. He said several marine and freshwater mollusc species were protected under existing laws, yet continued to appear in markets due to weak enforcement.

Some shells, including cone shells, are highly venomous and capable of causing human fatalities, Dr. Fernando noted, underscoring the risks posed by unregulated collection. While many mollusc species are widely dispersed due to larval movement, he said certain rare species recorded from limited locations could be near-endemic and vulnerable to extinction.

Dr. Fernando also pointed to the broader challenge of biodiversity research, noting that many species remain unidentified due to the lack of systematic field studies, despite improved access to global scientific resources through digital platforms.

In concluding remarks, Dr. de Silva called on the media to play a responsible role in conveying environmental truths to the public and suggested that the calendar be shared internationally, including at future UN climate conferences. “A digitally empowered Sri Lanka must go hand in hand with preserving its natural wonders,” he said. “This calendar is a reminder that protecting the environment is not optional — it is essential for our future.”

By Ifham Nizam

Continue Reading

Business

Tokyo Cement Group honoured for impactful CSR at SLIM Brand Excellence 2025

Published

on

Tokyo Cement team accepting the Merit Award for CSR Brand of the Year at SLIM Brand Excellence 2025 Awards ceremony

Tokyo Cement Group’s longstanding commitment to social progress and sustainability was honoured with a CSR Brand of the Year Merit Award at the SLIM Brand Excellence 2025 Awards ceremony held recently. The accolade recognises the Group’s flagship environmental conservation and community empowerment initiatives, designed to drive national transformation through meaningful, measurable CSR initiatives.

The Tokyo Cement led environmental stewardship programmes appraised by the award includes mangrove restoration, forest plant nurseries, coral reef rehabilitation, and marine biodiversity conservation projects, aimed at creating a sustainable and greener future. Through decades of collaborative engagement with expert project partners Tokyo Cement has delivered remarkable milestones in each focus area. This includes planting nearly 100,000 mangrove saplings along the Northern and Eastern coastlines and supplying over 116,000 forest trees nurtured at its own nurseries. The company’s Coral Reef Rehabilitation project, which upcycles ready-mixed concrete waste, has deployed more than 1,000 Reef Balls that act as artificial reef substrates at critical reef restoration sites around the island.

Among Tokyo Cement’s most influential sustainability initiatives is its Renewable Energy Programme that makes its entire local manufacturing process 100% energy independent through an installed capacity of 24MW. With the support of nearly 2,500 farming families across the Mahiyangana, Badulla, Monaragala, Trincomalee, Kilinochchi, and Jaffna districts, who have helped plant more than 10 million Gliricidia trees, the company plays a key role in mobilising the country’s rural economy.

Continue Reading

Trending