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Editorial

Of those jumpers

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Monday 8th January, 2024

The dawn of 2024 has marked the beginning of the season of defections. Politicians, including those who are so horizontally-gifted that they can hardly stand erect, are amply demonstrating their acrobatic skills. They remind us of Tom Stoppard’s play, Jumpers, which is a satirical exploration of complexities of human thought and behaviour, albeit in a different philosophical context and setting. However, the unfolding political drama in this country is also absurdist and brings into focus, among other things, some questions about morality, reality and ethics.

Defectors are widely considered politicians of easy virtue, and the late JVP leader Somawansa Amarasinghe famously called those who solicited their services ‘political kerb-crawlers’. Despite social stigma attached to defections, crossovers have come to characterise Sri Lankan politics over the decades.

Frogs cannot make the heavens open by croaking aloud and leaping about aggressively, but their ribbiting choruses coupled with intense hopping are thought to portend rain. Similarly, the political frogs, as it were, cannot turn public opinion in favour of any political party with their croaks and leaps, but such a frenetic pace of activity generally indicates which way the wind is blowing on the political front. Hence the significance of the crossovers since the beginning of this election year.

Some of the politicians who rode on the coattails or the satakas of the Rajapaksas and entered or re-entered Parliament in 2020, and remained in the SLPP, despite last year’s political upheavals, have switched their allegiance to President Ranil Wickremesinghe. Thus, the political liabilities in the SLPP are now divided between the Rajapaksas and Wickremesinghe. The pro-Wickremesinghe faction of the SLPP consists of the likes of SLPP MP Nimal Lanza, who received a bear hug from President Mahinda Rajapaksa, in 2011, following a police raid on his house, and caused the latter to incur the wrath of the public as a result. Nothing could be more disadvantageous to a presidential candidate than his or her association with such characters, some of whom are greeted by the public with loud boos wherever they go.

Having engineered some crossovers from the government parliamentary group, SJB leader Sajith Premadasa and his lieutenants are in seventh heaven. They are labouring under the misconception that defectors will be able to deliver block votes to the SJB at future elections. It may be recalled that in the run-up to the 2015 presidential election, the then UNP General Secretary Tissa Attanayake himself defected to the UPFA, but President Mahinda Rajapaksa’s re-election bid came a cropper.

Crossovers can deprive a government of its parliamentary majority, but they work electorally for a political party only in situations where other factors are favourable to it, as was the case in 2001. The regime change in that year came in the wake of mass crossovers from the SLFP-led People’s Alliance government to the UNP. The Chandrika Kumaratunga regime had ruined things for itself big time, and it would have collapsed anyway with or without defections from its ranks. The lead-up to the fall of the Yahapalana administration also saw a spate of crossovers from the UNP-UPFA parliamentary group to the SLPP, but what actually led to the end of that regime was a tide of anti-government sentiments, which had welled up for years owing to rampant corruption, abuse of power and the deterioration of national security. Crossovers are no substitute for serious political work coupled with manifestly doable, pro-people agendas.

There is no way a political party can shore up its electoral prospects in the long run solely by effecting defections from its rivals although they help boost the egos of political leaders who benefit therefrom.

The JVP, which is trying to make itself out to be different from other political parties in a bid to woo the public, continues to espouse threadbare ideological shibboleths, and makes a public display of its commitment to its brand of Marxism while claiming to be a modern political outfit. It seems to think that it can sway public opinion with the help of click farms and its cadres acting as shills on social media platforms. Clicks and shilling do not necessarily translate into votes, as can be seen from the past electoral performance of the JVP.

The ordinary Sri Lankans, who have apparently learnt from their blunders at past elections and are calling for the ouster of all 225 members of Parliament, are believed to be more concerned about the economy than ever. They have also realised the value of proper economic management. Those who offer to play a messianic role to improve the people’s lot and fortify the country’s future will have to unveil an alternative economic programme which is pragmatic and devoid of traces of unachievable and anachronistic ideological goals. Populist gimmicks, such as holding protests, making promises and engineering crossovers, will not work.



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Editorial

‘Sleeping Tigers’ and barking govt.

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Thursday 12th February, 2026

President Anura Kumara Dissanayake once spoke of a ‘shadow state’ run by powerful crime syndicates and vowed to dismantle it. The general consensus is that such an unseen, parallel power structure really exists and must be eliminated as a national priority. However, criminals are not alone in running ‘parallel governments’. Extremely powerful business cartels also challenge the writ of the state and exploit the public, with impunity.

Transport Minister Bimal Rathnayake has evinced a keen interest in bringing order out of chaos in the passenger transport sector. He deserves praise and public support for his efforts. He has taken upon himself the onerous task of safeguarding the interests of commuters and ensuring road safety. His attempts to bring the private industry to heel have run into stiff resistance, with the bus mudalalis issuing warnings and even threats.

Minister Rathnayake has warned that the tough measures under consideration to make roads safer include the cancellation of the route permits of the buses whose drivers and conductors are addicted to narcotics. Desperate situations are said to call for desperate measures. In 2021, the then State Minister of Transport Dilum Amunugama made a chilling revelation: about 80% of private bus drivers in Colombo and its suburbs were addicted to drugs. The situation must be more or less the same in other parts of the country as well. A survey conducted by the Lanka Private Bus Owners’ Association (LPBOA) has revealed that 45% of private bus drivers are addicted to narcotics. Their addiction to relatively new drugs such as ICE (crystal methamphetamine) is on the rise, according to the police, who disclosed in 2023 that out of 1,781 drivers subjected to drug tests in the Western Province about 100 had been found to be under the influence of dangerous drugs; most of them were ICE addicts. LPBOA President Gemunu Wijeratne himself has said that about 50% of bus workers are addicted to narcotics.

The severity of drug addiction among bus drivers and conductors may have compelled Minister Rathnayake to consider deterrent measures, such as the cancellation of route permits, as a way out. Private bus owners’ associations have condemned the proposed move and threatened to stage a countrywide strike.

Wijeratne did not mince his words when he tore into the government, at a media briefing, the other day. Insisting that bus owners must not be penalised for what their workers did, he said they had no way of finding out whether drivers and conductors were under the influence of drugs. “Would Minister Rathnayake resign if his driver was found to be using illicit drugs?” Wijeratne rhetorically asked, accusing the government of selectively implementing the law. He cited several instances where NPP politicians and their cronies had got away with serious transgressions.

Wijeratne’s arguments are not without merit. The legal process was blatantly subverted to let former Speaker Asoka Ranwala off the hook following a road accident he caused two months ago, as Wijeratne said. Ranwala was not made to undergo a blood-alcohol test for more than 12 hours, and the police audaciously claimed that they had run out of breathalyser test kits. No legal action has been taken against the questionable release of as many as 323 high-risk containers, without Customs inspection, from the Colombo Port. A mega coal scam has gone uninvestigated. When a cannabis plantation on a plot of land belonging to an NPP MP’s relative was raided, it was the police officers responsible for the raid who had to face disciplinary and legal action. The JVP supporters who parked buses on the Southern Expressway in violation of traffic laws last year have got off scot-free. So, Wijeratne may have struck a responsive chord with the public when he highlighted how the government itself was undermining the rule of law. However, the fact that the incumbent administration shields transgressors within its ranks is no reason why the private bus operators should be allowed to enjoy the freedom of the wild ass. Wijeratne seems to think two wrongs make a right.

The government should not make hasty decisions when handling sensitive issues. It ought to respect the fundamental legal maxim, audi alteram partem, and listen to what the bus operators have to say. However, the imperious private bus associations must not be allowed to intimidate a democratically elected government. Wijeratne has warned that the government’s efforts to cancel the route permits of buses driven by drug addicts will be its undoing, for the bus operators will launch a countrywide strike. He has asked the government not to rouse ‘sleeping tigers’. In saying so, he has made an unintentional allusion to the Liberation Tigers of Tamil Eelam militarily neutralised by a previous government. It remains to be seen whether the incumbent administration with a supermajority is equal to the task of taming the ‘sleeping tigers’, safeguarding the interests of the public and ensuring road safety while redressing the legitimate grievances of the bus operators.

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Editorial

When a picture speaks volumes

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Wednesday 11th February, 2026

Today’s front-page photo in this newspaper shows former President Mahinda Rajapaksa and Foreign Minister and JVP stalwart Vijitha Herath in conversation at a Chinese New Year reception in Colombo on Monday. This picture speaks volumes. Its significance and irony may not have escaped astute political observers familiar with Sri Lanka’s political marriages of convenience during the past several decades.

The JVP made a public show of its antipathy towards the Rajapaksas to win elections in 2024. It vowed to throw them behind bars immediately after forming a government. Some Opposition bigwigs have claimed that it was to settle political scores with Mahinda that the JVP-led NPP government made former Presidents leave their official residences. The JVP leaders continue to inveigh against Mahinda and other members of the Rajapaksa family, much to the glee of their cadres. They pretend that they have had nothing to do with the former ruling family. But the truth is otherwise.

The aforesaid photo may remind political observers of the pivotal role played by Herath and other JVP seniors, including Anura Kumara Dissanayake, in enabling Mahinda to achieve his presidential dream in 2005. The SLFP, which fielded Mahinda as its presidential candidate, did not throw its weight behind him in the presidential race; in fact, the then President Chandrika Kumaratunga did her best to queer the pitch for him, without success. The JVP campaigned extremely hard for him and ensured his victory.

The present-day JVP leaders are seen in some videos of Mahinda’s 2005 presidential election campaign, waving the Mahinda Chinthanaya policy framework at campaign rallies and portraying it as a silver bullet capable of helping Sri Lanka solve all its problems and achieve progress. Herath was among the key speakers at Mahinda’s election rallies. Perhaps, it would have been the end of the road for the Rajapaksas in national politics had Mahinda lost the 2005 presidential election. Thus, it may be seen that the blame for what the JVP accuses Mahinda, his family members and his cronies of having done since 2005 should be apportioned to the JVP leaders who made his elevation to the presidency possible.

The JVP fell out with President Rajapaksa as he did not fulfil some of his key promises, especially his pledge to abolish the executive presidency. It joined forces with the UNP, etc., thereafter and strove to defeat Mahinda in the 2010 presidential election, but in vain. However, it realised that goal by helping Maithripala Sirisena, who promised to scrap the executive presidency, win the 2015 presidential election. He reneged on his pledge.

Ironically, the Rajapaksas created conditions for the JVP’s meteoric rise to power, albeit unwittingly. After their return to power, they indulged in corruption, suppressed the rule of law, and, above all, bankrupted the economy in 2022, when the JVP had only three MPs and its national vote share had shrunk to a meagre 3%. The JVP effectively harnessed public anger over economic hardships to regain lost ground and win elections. It also promised to do away with the executive presidency. This pledge appears on page 109 of the NPP’s policy programme, A Thriving Nation: A Beautiful Life.

Today, the JVP is in a position to do what it pressured Mahinda and Sirisena to do in 2005 and 2015 respectively—abolishing the executive presidency. The NPP government led by the JVP has a two-thirds majority, and the Opposition is also demanding that the executive presidency be scrapped forthwith. So, the question is why the JVP is dragging its feet on its pledge to do so.

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Editorial

PC polls: A bid to exploit Ditwah impact?

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Tuesday 10th February, 2026

The Opposition has accused the government of seeking to exploit the impact of Cyclone Ditwah to postpone the much-delayed Provincial Council (PC) elections. It has challenged the JVP-led NPP to hold the PC polls immediately. Pivithuru Hela Urumaya leader and former minister Udaya Gammanpila told the media yesterday that the government was all out to avoid an electoral contest on some pretext or another because its vote share had dropped drastically, according to a recent survey.

The government’s approval rating must be decreasing. Otherwise, it would have amended the PC Elections Act promptly and held the PC polls under the Proportional Representation system. However, this does not mean that the Opposition is ready for an election and in a position to turn the tables on the government. Both the government and the Opposition are afraid of facing an election any time soon.

It amounts to a blatant subversion of democracy for a government to meddle with the country’s election calendar. Elections must not be advanced or postponed to suit anyone’s political agenda. Ideally, there should be midterms, which help gauge public perception of the performance of a government. The PC polls are expected to act as a referendum on the incumbent administration’s performance.

It is only wishful thinking that a government can win elections by postponing them. A poll postponement is counterproductive in that it causes public anger to well up and find expression in massive protest votes resulting in electoral anomalies, such as the return of corrupt politicians to power or huge majorities for untested political entities. One may recall that in 1977, the SLFP-led United Front government suffered a crushing defeat after postponing a general election. The UNP won an unprecedented five-sixths majority in Parliament. The SLFP could not make a comeback for 17 long years. The second term of President Jayewardene, who retained the UNP’s steamroller majority by replacing a general election due in 1982 with a heavily rigged referendum, became a disaster. The UNP-led Yahapalana government also postponed the Provincial Council elections in 2017, unable to face them, but lost the 2018 local government (LG) polls and collapsed the following year. President Gotabaya Rajapaksa also blundered by postponing the LG polls in 2022. If he had mustered the courage to hold them, the SLPP would have lost, but the people would have canalised their pent-up anger in the form of a protest vote, and the SLPP government would have been able to make a course correction. President Ranil Wickremesinghe made the same mistake the following year. Neither the SLPP nor the UNP could avoid electoral disasters by postponing the LG polls.

The NPP government finds itself in a dilemma. It has suffered a string of defeats in cooperative society elections, which the main political parties have turned into shows of strength. The LG election results did not meet the NPP’s expectations, which were extremely high. It emerged the winner, but failed to arrest a drop in its vote share and bag a considerable number of hung councils where it secured pluralities. There has been an erosion of its support base, with some powerful state sector trade unions turning against the government. The NPP would not have been in this predicament if it had held the PC polls early last year, when its popularity was high, and the Opposition was in total disarray. Its strategists should be blamed for missing that opportunity.

The government cannot go on postponing the PC polls indefinitely. It has to grasp the nettle. It is lucky that its political rivals are equally wary of facing an election, and have therefore stopped short of cranking up pressure on it to hold the PC elections. Their campaign against the postponement of the PC election is all sizzle and no steak, a wag says.

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