Features
Mess in energy sector
By Eng. Parakrama Jayasinghe
parajayasinghe@gmail.com
Over the years, I have published articles, originally addressing particular segments of the energy sector, in the hope of some sanity emerging in the sector in the broader interest of the consumers and Sri Lanka in general. But, of late, I have tried to focus on the entire sector, which is vital to the national interest by the very nature of the Sri Lankan energy scene and its ramifications that are unfolding. A major flaw in the thinking and actions of the energy authorities is their inability to understand that the Energy Sector is not limited to Electricity, but spans a much wider scope. Focusing on individual segments is a recipe for disaster, which has been proven more than once and are staring in our faces right now.
A few of these articles are listed below, which is only a small fraction of all I have published:
CEB wants to be a follower of old technology – August 2018
Losses due to blockage of RE Projects
– February 2020
The Origin and Way out of the Energy Crisis
– April 2019
The Sri Lankan Energy Sector – A Mill Stone –
August 2023
The focus on particular aspects individually, which is the present practice, is not logical for a visionary and sustainable development and maintenance of this vital sector of the economy. The responsibility of the two major sectors of Electricity and Petroleum being under a single Minister has not yielded the desired outcome.
I feel obliged to provide some justification for the events that led to my conclusion and the validity of my title for this article, to pre-empt the loud objections that are bound to be levelled against me, by those whose noses would burn in recognizing their culpability of taking Sri Lanka to this abyss.
A cost reflective electricity tariff?
The massive hike in consumer tariff in February 2023 was the most socially-insensitive proposal. Fortunately, it was corrected somewhat in the July revision. But everyone is apprehensive about what will happen in January 2024. This massive hike, touted as a cost-reflective tariff, obviously at the behest of the IMF, was supposed to be an essential adjustment to make CEB financially independent of the annual rescue moves by the Treasury (read rescue by the consumers, who have been carrying this burden indirectly year after year). But did this happen?
We see news reports on the CEB demanding further tariff hikes immediately, purportedly to avert losses for the current year, too, amounting to 50 Billion rupees or more. So, who will be held responsible and accountable for this highway robbery?
The answer is obvious, judging by the past practices. Who should be held responsible for running up a financial deficit of near a trillion rupees over the past decade, all of which were passed on to the public with no one held accountable or made to feel any slightest pain of their own?
Continued dependence on Emergency Power
One may think the need for dependence on expensive emergency power occurs only in case of emergencies. But whoever heard of adding emergency power as a component of future energy plans? What price the least-cost option being the primary principle of the 20-year-long-term generation plan? If that is the only solution that can be offered by the planners or the designers, they lack competence to continue to serve in such positions. Even more damaging is the fact that those who are supposed to govern the sector, both at the CEB and at the Ministry, accept such retrogressive and damaging solutions to meet the national electricity demand, which is predicted many years in advance. A substantial amount of emergency power, at highly enhanced cost, has been approved by the Cabinet and even by the PUCSL for the year 2024 already. Obviously, no one is demanding nor the CEB is offering any viable alternative. The easy solution has been to pass the burden of the added cost on to the public, as has been done for years in the past. Uninterrupted supply of electricity 24/7 irrespective of cost?
The unprecedented power crisis in early 2022 made Sri Lankans realise the dangers of over dependence on imported resources for energy. The two major streams of energy demand ground to a halt for want of foreign exchange to pay for imports. In parallel, even the kitchen fires went out due to lack of LPG. Everyone had to accept the many hours of power cuts and long queues for fuel. The efforts of the government to mitigate the crisis must be appreciated. But the consumers are burdened with tariff hikes as the price.
However, the role of any responsible government and those in authority on the entire energy sector, regardless of which Ministry they serve under, should be much more visionary and proactive, at least to minimize this danger in the short term and then eliminate it entirely in the medium term.
The developments in the energy sector, worldwide, and the much-delayed recognition of the bounty that mother nature has bestowed on Sri Lanka, should have been the greatest incentive for this process to be expedited. The fact that on some days Sri Lanka was powered with zero dependence on oil-based generation and much-reduced use of coal as well as the drain on exchange for import of transport fuels saw a significant reduction was the best driver for a government with the longer term interests of the country at heart to initiate and follow that path. The people would have come to terms with a two-and-a-half-hour power cut and the rationing of fuel longer if they had been convinced that there was plan to achieve energy security. (See figure 1)
However, the Ministry of Power and Energy, or the state institutions under it, does not seem to have recognised this as their responsibility or has chosen to ignore it entirely. Instead, its actions appear to be driven purely by a political agenda. The present practice of ensuring an uninterrupted electricity supply by using the most expensive option of oil-based power, and removing all controls on supply of transport fuels with no consideration of costs, both in rupees and even more prodigal expenditure of dollars that we don’t have, is deplorable.
The public is to face a heavier burden, going by the media reports appearing, which predicts a loss of over Rs 50 Billion for the CEB, in 2023, in spite of the massive hike in consumer tariff. The increase in the country’s foreign debt due to this kind of expenditure is not yet known.
Is Sri Lanka helpless?
In spite of the many problems and difficulties, one area where Sri Lanka has been endowed with ample resources is energy. While issues of costs and lack of funds and technologies prevented harnessing this bounty in the past, the circumstances have changed in our favour during the past decade or so. While some enterprising individuals and companies came to the forefront and practically demonstrated this viability, several state organisations with monopoly rights and the lack of governance by the Ministries and the government have landed Sri Lanka’s energy sector in the present sorry state. It is being claimed in some quarters that Sri Lanka cannot raise the funds for renewable energy projects and does not have the technical capability to develop them. But this is an untruth aimed at bringing in foreign entities to the sector. Even a 100 MW solar plant consists of about 175,000 of individual solar panels, a pair of panels with capacity 1 kW being viable as a unit. There is absolutely no reason to lump them together to capacities over say 10 MW just to shut out the local entrepreneurs and technology companies and add the long transmission lines as an added infrastructure requiring more investments by the state. In case of wind power, the unit size has grown up to about 5.0 MW only. The success of the Suryabala Sangramaya, which has already led to the development of over 700 MW of solar energy to the grid is a case in point. That source alone could provide 5,000 MW of generation capacity and 7,000 GWh of energy to the national grid, if the CEB takes it upon themselves to champion it rather than finding excuses to deter the potential “prosumers”. ([RJ4])
There is a need to attract foreign investments and tap the many green funds already available. But these must be done on our terms. Any attempt to pay dollars for the supply of electricity for our consumption cannot be accepted under any circumstances.
Are we to buy our solar energy with dollars?
It is feared that this is what may have been agreed with the Indian investor for the project in Mannar and Purnaryn, the agreements on it being totally in violation of the provisions of the Electricity Act. But all state officials are bending over backwards to help this company; they are even obstructing the processing of projects nearby by local developers.
(Sri Lankan energy sector as millstone around nation’s neck
https://island.lk/sri-lankan-energy-sector-as-millstone-around-nations-neck/)
These resources are sufficient to meet our renewable energy needs forever and earn foreign exchange. The much-talked about power link to India is technically and financially viable, provided it is designed and executed to meet Sri Lanka’s interests and not as part of the ongoing privatization programme. The government’s move to hand over large tracts of lands to foreigners cannot be accepted under any circumstances.
Under these bleak conditions the award of the 100 MW solar project in Siyambalanduwa to two local companies provides a ray of hope. As we proposed some time ago, it should have been a 4 x 25 MW system, which could have been funded locally.
It is time Sri Lankans insisted that the energy sector remain an indigenous industry geared to develop its own indigenous renewable resources so as to ensure long-term national energy security and also to be a major driver of economic growth. Our capability to do so has already been proven. (See Figure 2)
It is the duty of all chambers of commerce and industrial associations and most importantly for the media to highlight this without delay, before our resources are handed over to foreigners just for the benefit of the few individuals or companies.
The recent court ruling on the Solar Project in Vavuniya exposes the mismanagement and misuse of powers by the two state institutions mandated to develop the sector, rather than obstructing it. The company concerned deserves praise for its perseverance and eventual success of the legal battle.
One may also recall that the CEB has blocked the development of all renewable energy projects from 2016, citing a lacuna in the Electricity Act of 2009, amended in 2013. This did not deter them from allowing the Indian company to develop 500 MW wind and solar without any tender procedures.
Let us hope that the above judgement and some favourable changes seen in the management hierarchy of the CEB would lead to the much-desired paradigm shift in the mindset and actions of those mandated to serve the country and not individual interests.
Conclusion
We have ample indigenous renewable energy resources to meet all our energy needs, and surplus can be used to earn foreign exchange.
At a recent public lecture, the newly appointed General Manager of CEB, presented the essential elements that should be observed in a proper Energy Market…
Freedom of Choice
Economic Efficiency
Social Equity
Transparency
We hope that he will have the courage and strength to ensure that these principles are adopted in the CEB that he now heads.
I have confined my comments to the electricity sector. The bigger culprit, which is the transport energy, needs a separate analysis. Meanwhile, the readers are requested to refer my previous below.
https://www.bioenergysrilanka.lk/transport-policy-and-vision-for-the-future/[RJ5]
Features
Ranking public services with AI — A roadmap to reviving institutions like SriLankan Airlines
Efficacy measures an organisation’s capacity to achieve its mission and intended outcomes under planned or optimal conditions. It differs from efficiency, which focuses on achieving objectives with minimal resources, and effectiveness, which evaluates results in real-world conditions. Today, modern AI tools, using publicly available data, enable objective assessment of the efficacy of Sri Lanka’s government institutions.
Among key public bodies, the Supreme Court of Sri Lanka emerges as the most efficacious, outperforming the Department of Inland Revenue, Sri Lanka Customs, the Election Commission, and Parliament. In the financial and regulatory sector, the Central Bank of Sri Lanka (CBSL) ranks highest, ahead of the Securities and Exchange Commission, the Public Utilities Commission, the Telecommunications Regulatory Commission, the Insurance Regulatory Commission, and the Sri Lanka Standards Institution.
Among state-owned enterprises, the Sri Lanka Ports Authority (SLPA) leads in efficacy, followed by Bank of Ceylon and People’s Bank. Other institutions assessed included the State Pharmaceuticals Corporation, the National Water Supply and Drainage Board, the Ceylon Electricity Board, the Ceylon Petroleum Corporation, and the Sri Lanka Transport Board. At the lower end of the spectrum were Lanka Sathosa and Sri Lankan Airlines, highlighting a critical challenge for the national economy.
Sri Lankan Airlines, consistently ranked at the bottom, has long been a financial drain. Despite successive governments’ reform attempts, sustainable solutions remain elusive.
Globally, the most profitable airlines operate as highly integrated, technology-enabled ecosystems rather than as fragmented departments. Operations, finance, fleet management, route planning, engineering, marketing, and customer service are closely coordinated, sharing real-time data to maximise efficiency, safety, and profitability.
The challenge for Sri Lankan Airlines is structural. Its operations are fragmented, overly hierarchical, and poorly aligned. Simply replacing the CEO or senior leadership will not address these deep-seated weaknesses. What the airline needs is a cohesive, integrated organisational ecosystem that leverages technology for cross-functional planning and real-time decision-making.
The government must urgently consider restructuring Sri Lankan Airlines to encourage:
=Joint planning across operational divisions
=Data-driven, evidence-based decision-making
=Continuous cross-functional consultation
=Collaborative strategic decisions on route rationalisation, fleet renewal, partnerships, and cost management, rather than exclusive top-down mandates
Sustainable reform requires systemic change. Without modernised organisational structures, stronger accountability, and aligned incentives across divisions, financial recovery will remain out of reach. An integrated, performance-oriented model offers the most realistic path to operational efficiency and long-term viability.
Reforming loss-making institutions like Sri Lankan Airlines is not merely a matter of leadership change — it is a structural overhaul essential to ensuring these entities contribute productively to the national economy rather than remain perpetual burdens.
By Chula Goonasekera – Citizen Analyst
Features
Why Pi Day?
International Day of Mathematics falls tomorrow
The approximate value of Pi (π) is 3.14 in mathematics. Therefore, the day 14 March is celebrated as the Pi Day. In 2019, UNESCO proclaimed 14 March as the International Day of Mathematics.
Ancient Babylonians and Egyptians figured out that the circumference of a circle is slightly more than three times its diameter. But they could not come up with an exact value for this ratio although they knew that it is a constant. This constant was later named as π which is a letter in the Greek alphabet.
It was the Greek mathematician Archimedes (250 BC) who was able to find an upper bound and a lower bound for this constant. He drew a circle of diameter one unit and drew hexagons inside and outside the circle such that the sides of each hexagon touch the sides of the circle. In mathematics the circle passing through all vertices of a polygon is called a ‘circumcircle’ and the largest circle that fits inside a polygon tangent to all its sides is called an ‘incircle’. The total length of the smaller hexagon then becomes the lower bound of π and the length of the hexagon outside the circle is the upper bound. He realised that by increasing the number of sides of the polygon can make the bounds get closer to the value of Pi and increased the number of sides to 12,24,48 and 60. He argued that by increasing the number of sides will ultimately result in obtaining the original circle, thereby laying the foundation for the theory of limits. He ended up with the lower bound as 22/7 and the upper bound 223/71. He could not continue his research as his hometown Syracuse was invaded by Romans and was killed by one of the soldiers. His last words were ‘do not disturb my circles’, perhaps a reference to his continuing efforts to find the value of π to a greater accuracy.
Archimedes can be considered as the father of geometry. His contributions revolutionised geometry and his methods anticipated integral calculus. He invented the pulley and the hydraulic screw for drawing water from a well. He also discovered the law of hydrostatics. He formulated the law of levers which states that a smaller weight placed farther from a pivot can balance a much heavier weight closer to it. He famously said “Give me a lever long enough and a place to stand and I will move the earth”.
Mathematicians have found many expressions for π as a sum of infinite series that converge to its value. One such famous series is the Leibniz Series found in 1674 by the German mathematician Gottfried Leibniz, which is given below.
π = 4 ( 1 – 1/3 + 1/5 – 1/7 + 1/9 – ………….)
The Indian mathematical genius Ramanujan came up with a magnificent formula in 1910. The short form of the formula is as follows.
π = 9801/(1103 √8)
For practical applications an approximation is sufficient. Even NASA uses only the approximation 3.141592653589793 for its interplanetary navigation calculations.
It is not just an interesting and curious number. It is used for calculations in navigation, encryption, space exploration, video game development and even in medicine. As π is fundamental to spherical geometry, it is at the heart of positioning systems in GPS navigations. It also contributes significantly to cybersecurity. As it is an irrational number it is an excellent foundation for generating randomness required in encryption and securing communications. In the medical field, it helps to calculate blood flow rates and pressure differentials. In diagnostic tools such as CT scans and MRI, pi is an important component in mathematical algorithms and signal processing techniques.
This elegant, never-ending number demonstrates how mathematics transforms into practical applications that shape our world. The possibilities of what it can do are infinite as the number itself. It has become a symbol of beauty and complexity in mathematics. “It matters little who first arrives at an idea, rather what is significant is how far that idea can go.” said Sophie Germain.
Mathematics fans are intrigued by this irrational number and attempt to calculate it as far as they can. In March 2022, Emma Haruka Iwao of Japan calculated it to 100 trillion decimal places in Google Cloud. It had taken 157 days. The Guinness World Record for reciting the number from memory is held by Rajveer Meena of India for 70000 decimal places over 10 hours.
Happy Pi Day!
The author is a senior examiner of the International Baccalaureate in the UK and an educational consultant at the Overseas School of Colombo.
by R N A de Silva
Features
Sheer rise of Realpolitik making the world see the brink
The recent humanly costly torpedoing of an Iranian naval vessel in Sri Lanka’s Exclusive Economic Zone by a US submarine has raised a number of issues of great importance to international political discourse and law that call for elucidation. It is best that enlightened commentary is brought to bear in such discussions because at present misleading and uninformed speculation on questions arising from the incident are being aired by particularly jingoistic politicians of Sri Lanka’s South which could prove deleterious.
As matters stand, there seems to be no credible evidence that the Indian state was aware of the impending torpedoing of the Iranian vessel but these acerbic-tongued politicians of Sri Lanka’s South would have the local public believe that the tragedy was triggered with India’s connivance. Likewise, India is accused of ‘embroiling’ Sri Lanka in the incident on account of seemingly having prior knowledge of it and not warning Sri Lanka about the impending disaster.
It is plain that a process is once again afoot to raise anti-India hysteria in Sri Lanka. An obligation is cast on the Sri Lankan government to ensure that incendiary speculation of the above kind is defeated and India-Sri Lanka relations are prevented from being in any way harmed. Proactive measures are needed by the Sri Lankan government and well meaning quarters to ensure that public discourse in such matters have a factual and rational basis. ‘Knowledge gaps’ could prove hazardous.
Meanwhile, there could be no doubt that Sri Lanka’s sovereignty was violated by the US because the sinking of the Iranian vessel took place in Sri Lanka’s Exclusive Economic Zone. While there is no international decrying of the incident, and this is to be regretted, Sri Lanka’s helplessness and small player status would enable the US to ‘get away with it’.
Could anything be done by the international community to hold the US to account over the act of lawlessness in question? None is the answer at present. This is because in the current ‘Global Disorder’ major powers could commit the gravest international irregularities with impunity. As the threadbare cliché declares, ‘Might is Right’….. or so it seems.
Unfortunately, the UN could only merely verbally denounce any violations of International Law by the world’s foremost powers. It cannot use countervailing force against violators of the law, for example, on account of the divided nature of the UN Security Council, whose permanent members have shown incapability of seeing eye-to-eye on grave matters relating to International Law and order over the decades.
The foregoing considerations could force the conclusion on uncritical sections that Political Realism or Realpolitik has won out in the end. A basic premise of the school of thought known as Political Realism is that power or force wielded by states and international actors determine the shape, direction and substance of international relations. This school stands in marked contrast to political idealists who essentially proclaim that moral norms and values determine the nature of local and international politics.
While, British political scientist Thomas Hobbes, for instance, was a proponent of Political Realism, political idealism has its roots in the teachings of Socrates, Plato and latterly Friedrich Hegel of Germany, to name just few such notables.
On the face of it, therefore, there is no getting way from the conclusion that coercive force is the deciding factor in international politics. If this were not so, US President Donald Trump in collaboration with Israeli Rightist Premier Benjamin Natanyahu could not have wielded the ‘big stick’, so to speak, on Iran, killed its Supreme Head of State, terrorized the Iranian public and gone ‘scot-free’. That is, currently, the US’ impunity seems to be limitless.
Moreover, the evidence is that the Western bloc is reuniting in the face of Iran’s threats to stymie the flow of oil from West Asia to the rest of the world. The recent G7 summit witnessed a coming together of the foremost powers of the global North to ensure that the West does not suffer grave negative consequences from any future blocking of western oil supplies.
Meanwhile, Israel is having a ‘free run’ of the Middle East, so to speak, picking out perceived adversarial powers, such as Lebanon, and militarily neutralizing them; once again with impunity. On the other hand, Iran has been bringing under assault, with no questions asked, Gulf states that are seen as allying with the US and Israel. West Asia is facing a compounded crisis and International Law seems to be helplessly silent.
Wittingly or unwittingly, matters at the heart of International Law and peace are being obfuscated by some pro-Trump administration commentators meanwhile. For example, retired US Navy Captain Brent Sadler has cited Article 51 of the UN Charter, which provides for the right to self or collective self-defence of UN member states in the face of armed attacks, as justifying the US sinking of the Iranian vessel (See page 2 of The Island of March 10, 2026). But the Article makes it clear that such measures could be resorted to by UN members only ‘ if an armed attack occurs’ against them and under no other circumstances. But no such thing happened in the incident in question and the US acted under a sheer threat perception.
Clearly, the US has violated the Article through its action and has once again demonstrated its tendency to arbitrarily use military might. The general drift of Sadler’s thinking is that in the face of pressing national priorities, obligations of a state under International Law could be side-stepped. This is a sure recipe for international anarchy because in such a policy environment states could pursue their national interests, irrespective of their merits, disregarding in the process their obligations towards the international community.
Moreover, Article 51 repeatedly reiterates the authority of the UN Security Council and the obligation of those states that act in self-defence to report to the Council and be guided by it. Sadler, therefore, could be said to have cited the Article very selectively, whereas, right along member states’ commitments to the UNSC are stressed.
However, it is beyond doubt that international anarchy has strengthened its grip over the world. While the US set destabilizing precedents after the crumbling of the Cold War that paved the way for the current anarchic situation, Russia further aggravated these degenerative trends through its invasion of Ukraine. Stepping back from anarchy has thus emerged as the prime challenge for the world community.
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