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Is Sri Lanka on right path for economic and social recovery?

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By Prof. Sunil Wimalawansa,
MD, PhD, MBA, DSc.,
Prof of Medicine

Elected governments are temporary caretakers of national assets; they have no right to sell these to foreigners without a nationwide referendum. A simple majority of parliamentarians selected the current temporary president—not by constituents. The unelected executive branch and the conflicted cabinet rushing to privatize national resources, public assets, and state-owned enterprises threaten the security and sovereignty of Sri Lanka. Besides, such actions will harm the recovery, the longer-term economy, and the country’s sustenance. Are these sales (and long-term leases) done to benefit the public or for the personal gains of the executives and their political survival?

Flaud policies of the caretaker government

Besides, instead of economic recovery and job creation programs, why is the government desperate to create new legislation to centralize and strengthen its power base to protect itself? Why would they be so interested in selling national assets suppress are not entitled to), contracting unwarranted and unnecessary mega-projects to benefit themselves and their cronies, and suppressing freedom of speech, unity, progress, and growth of the country? These short-sighted acts threaten the unitary nature and sovereignty of Sri Lanka.

With lost priorities, the caretaker government continues to make significant financial and policy errors that harm the country, continue with untransparent secret deals, and deliberately take destructive and risky actions that harm the country and its people. With such a pitiful history and flawed policies designed to benefit themselves and stay in power at any cost, could voters trust any members of parliament and the president?

Constitutional amendments

None of the constitutional amendments enacted by the parliament during the past two decades were directed to help the country, economy, or its citizens. Nor have they been designed to alleviate food and energy insecurity or overcome curses associated with healthcare, education, and agriculture. The poorly crafted constitution in 1978 was now tainted with multiple rotten amendments to strengthen the political authority and control over the public, facilitate the looting of the treasury, and open additional doors for corruption. None of these benefit “we the people.”

Missed operations and out-of-focus plans

Many of the expensive and potentially unconstitutional stunts are designed to strengthen their partisan base. It has not taken a single credible step to reduce government expenses, increase GDP and value-added exports, leverage growth, and systematically reduce the debt-to-GDP ratio (i.e., comparing what a country owes with what it produces) to a sustainable level—e.g., bring down to less than 90%. Lowering government costs and/or increasing productivity and the GDP would reduce this ratio. This would allow the repayment of loans, balancing the budget, reducing the deficit, and re-establishing the prosperity of Sri Lanka, as well as the unity and happiness of its people. However, to date, the current government has not achieved these. In addition, debt restructuring has not been successful.

The caretaker government had two years to implement a firm, effective economic program to get Sri Lanka out of the economic crisis, but it failed. Apart from enforcing multiple tax burdens on people, it has done little to revamp the growth and recovery of the economy or reduce governmental expenditure. The unelected president and conflicted cabinet continue to fail to take crucial, fundamental steps toward debt reduction and a sustainable economic recovery. Despite the bankruptcy, its expenses have increased, and it still relies on taking additional loans to run the government, which is insanity. The trend of continuing to take loans is a disastrous path that any fool can take—there is no need for economic advisors and a finance minister.

International Monetary Fund mess

The current IMF offer accepted by Sri Lankan political leaders is not just a debt trap but a “death trap,” as shown by its historical dealings with other developing countries. Its officials are expert manipulators—keeping developing countries poor, expanding internal markets to benefit the West, allowing product dumping, reducing the growth rate (GDP) partly via increasing exorbitant taxes and tightening regulations, and even forcing (unconstitutional) changes in recipient countries’ laws to benefit themselves.

Few people know that, as part of the agreement, a significant portion of the IMF loan in 2023 was paid back to the IMF to service “previous” loans–particularly from 2016. So, the priority of the IMF was to recover its loaned money with interest, not solve the economic crisis in the recipient country. The current involvement with the IMF is like holding the ‘tiger’s tail.’ However, it provides one benefit—a platform for the government to negotiate loan repayment structures with other entities. As usual, the IMF’s prescription was not to cure the disease but to prolong the suffering. It has little to foster developments in Sri Lanka to increase GDP and facilitate loan payments—especially high-interest commercial loans.

Surprisingly, none have yet exposed this dual interest of the IMF. Besides, it uses paid consultants (formerly known as iNGOs, now disguised under a fancy name) to propagate and entice the falsehoods about the importance and value of IMF conditions that perpetuate poverty, shortages, and disharmony in Sri Lanka, forcing her to take more loans for sustenance.

Qualities of the leaders Sri Lanka needs now

To protect and recover the sinking ship—Sri Lanka—it is time for the younger generation to take leadership positions and let the current entrenched older lot retire. The country’s next leader must be young, preferably less than 55, intelligent and able to multi-task, a true patriot who practises five-prefects (so no wrong-doings will be done), and a champion of honesty and integrity. He or she must be fully conversant with macroeconomics, transparent and accountable, uphold freedom of speech and the country’s laws, treat all Sri Lankans equally, and promise to protect the sovereignty and unitary nature of the country, leading to prosperity.

The new leader (and his or her team) must be educated with a university degree, with at least 15 years of business and international experience, and willing to take out-of-the-box but data-driven informed actions. These qualities would allow the restoration of the economy and the confidence in all elected democratic institutions, appointed bodies, and the judiciary—i.e., protecting the interests of all Sri Lankans—united under one law, one flag, and one anthem. It must re-establish a “United Sri Lanka” by replacing the current constitution as early as possible.

Unfortunately, none of the current party leaders possess these qualities. The country had a 76-year history of party-political maneuvering by such failed leaders to maintain power and benefit themselves. For them, people and the country come last. So, why would any Sri Lankan trust or vote for the current lot of politicians?

Unelected President and his playbook

The unelected, self-serving leader and the cabinet have made no tangible contribution to restoring the economy and balancing the budget. They have

accepted the conditions imposed by the IMF mindlessly to stay in power despite such conditions harming the country and its people. The only major contribution was enforcing a broader range of tax burdens on individuals and industries. It failed to reduce government expenses, pay off govt loans, or stop taking additional loans.

The lack of specific and effective policies to reverse the economic crisis and the absence of truthful nationalistic speeches and policies by politicians and administrators are striking. Evidence indicates there are no true patriots among the 225+1 politicians. They focus on short-term gains and retaining power—often through deception, blind-siding the naïve public, and painting a rosy picture to get votes.

Blatant failures of the government

None of the political parties have proposed tangible, practical, and effective economic policies and solutions to alleviate the fiscal crisis. They do not even have a plan to ensure food, medicine, and fuel adequacy at an affordable cost to the public in the short- and longer term. They failed to establish a safety net for people experiencing poverty, job recovery/unemployment, reversing people’s distress, means of paying off debt without taking additional loans, reducing government expenses by at least 35% (out of the current employment of 1.54 million people), and encouraging private sector growth.

Education, healthcare, and agriculture policies, infrastructure, communication, and technologies are outdated. How would the new government reform them? Where are the cost analyses and expected outcomes? The public has heard nothing about these. Apart from taxes, the only area that has increased is tourism, but this is driven by private sector initiatives, not by the government. The private sector has launched major campaigns to popularize destinations, increasing tourism. However, this could be a temporary peak.

Economic shocks and misplaced priorities could threaten Sri Lanka’s tourism and growth

As seen in early 2020, economic shocks—whether external or internal—can swiftly devastate tourism, a vital income source for the government. This collapse has a cascading effect on related industries, such as travel, hotels, and restaurants. Without genuine growth, business-friendly deregulations, access to global markets for Sri Lankan products, reduced government expenses, and increased value-added exports, the growth rate (GDP) will be insufficient to service the current debt. The government has missed crucial priorities for the country’s development and people. Meanwhile, the unelected president and conflicted cabinet focus on extending their tenure by a year by attempting to postpone the presidential election unconstitutionally.



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Disaster-proofing paradise: Sri Lanka’s new path to global resilience

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iyadasa Advisor to the Ministry of Science & Technology and a Board of Directors of Sri Lanka Atomic Energy Regulatory Council A value chain management consultant to www.vivonta.lk

As climate shocks multiply worldwide from unseasonal droughts and flash floods to cyclones that now carry unpredictable fury Sri Lanka, long known for its lush biodiversity and heritage, stands at a crossroads. We can either remain locked in a reactive cycle of warnings and recovery, or boldly transform into the world’s first disaster-proof tropical nation — a secure haven for citizens and a trusted destination for global travelers.

The Presidential declaration to transition within one year from a limited, rainfall-and-cyclone-dependent warning system to a full-spectrum, science-enabled resilience model is not only historic — it’s urgent. This policy shift marks the beginning of a new era: one where nature, technology, ancient wisdom, and community preparedness work in harmony to protect every Sri Lankan village and every visiting tourist.

The Current System’s Fatal Gaps

Today, Sri Lanka’s disaster management system is dangerously underpowered for the accelerating climate era. Our primary reliance is on monsoon rainfall tracking and cyclone alerts — helpful, but inadequate in the face of multi-hazard threats such as flash floods, landslides, droughts, lightning storms, and urban inundation.

Institutions are fragmented; responsibilities crisscross between agencies, often with unclear mandates and slow decision cycles. Community-level preparedness is minimal — nearly half of households lack basic knowledge on what to do when a disaster strikes. Infrastructure in key regions is outdated, with urban drains, tank sluices, and bunds built for rainfall patterns of the 1960s, not today’s intense cloudbursts or sea-level rise.

Critically, Sri Lanka is not yet integrated with global planetary systems — solar winds, El Niño cycles, Indian Ocean Dipole shifts — despite clear evidence that these invisible climate forces shape our rainfall, storm intensity, and drought rhythms. Worse, we have lost touch with our ancestral systems of environmental management — from tank cascades to forest sanctuaries — that sustained this island for over two millennia.

This system, in short, is outdated, siloed, and reactive. And it must change.

A New Vision for Disaster-Proof Sri Lanka

Under the new policy shift, Sri Lanka will adopt a complete resilience architecture that transforms climate disaster prevention into a national development strategy. This system rests on five interlinked pillars:

Science and Predictive Intelligence

We will move beyond surface-level forecasting. A new national climate intelligence platform will integrate:

AI-driven pattern recognition of rainfall and flood events

Global data from solar activity, ocean oscillations (ENSO, MJO, IOD)

High-resolution digital twins of floodplains and cities

Real-time satellite feeds on cyclone trajectory and ocean heat

The adverse impacts of global warming—such as sea-level rise, the proliferation of pests and diseases affecting human health and food production, and the change of functionality of chlorophyll—must be systematically captured, rigorously analysed, and addressed through proactive, advance decision-making.

This fusion of local and global data will allow days to weeks of anticipatory action, rather than hours of late alerts.

Advanced Technology and Early Warning Infrastructure

Cell-broadcast alerts in all three national languages, expanded weather radar, flood-sensing drones, and tsunami-resilient siren networks will be deployed. Community-level sensors in key river basins and tanks will monitor and report in real-time. Infrastructure projects will now embed climate-risk metrics — from cyclone-proof buildings to sea-level-ready roads.

Governance Overhaul

A new centralised authority — Sri Lanka Climate & Earth Systems Resilience Authority — will consolidate environmental, meteorological, Geological, hydrological, and disaster functions. It will report directly to the Cabinet with a real-time national dashboard. District Disaster Units will be upgraded with GN-level digital coordination. Climate literacy will be declared a national priority.

People Power and Community Preparedness

We will train 25,000 village-level disaster wardens and first responders. Schools will run annual drills for floods, cyclones, tsunamis and landslides. Every community will map its local hazard zones and co-create its own resilience plan. A national climate citizenship programme will reward youth and civil organisations contributing to early warning systems, reforestation (riverbank, slopy land and catchment areas) , or tech solutions.

Reviving Ancient Ecological Wisdom

Sri Lanka’s ancestors engineered tank cascades that regulated floods, stored water, and cooled microclimates. Forest belts protected valleys; sacred groves were biodiversity reservoirs. This policy revives those systems:

Restoring 10,000 hectares of tank ecosystems

Conserving coastal mangroves and reintroducing stone spillways

Integrating traditional seasonal calendars with AI forecasts

Recognising Vedda knowledge of climate shifts as part of national risk strategy

Our past and future must align, or both will be lost.

A Global Destination for Resilient Tourism

Climate-conscious travelers increasingly seek safe, secure, and sustainable destinations. Under this policy, Sri Lanka will position itself as the world’s first “climate-safe sanctuary island” — a place where:

Resorts are cyclone- and tsunami-resilient

Tourists receive live hazard updates via mobile apps

World Heritage Sites are protected by environmental buffers

Visitors can witness tank restoration, ancient climate engineering, and modern AI in action

Sri Lanka will invite scientists, startups, and resilience investors to join our innovation ecosystem — building eco-tourism that’s disaster-proof by design.

Resilience as a National Identity

This shift is not just about floods or cyclones. It is about redefining our identity. To be Sri Lankan must mean to live in harmony with nature and to be ready for its changes. Our ancestors did it. The science now supports it. The time has come.

Let us turn Sri Lanka into the world’s first climate-resilient heritage island — where ancient wisdom meets cutting-edge science, and every citizen stands protected under one shield: a disaster-proof nation.

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The minstrel monk and Rafiki the old mandrill in The Lion King – I

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Why is national identity so important for a people? AI provides us with an answer worth understanding critically (Caveat: Even AI wisdom should be subjected to the Buddha’s advice to the young Kalamas):

‘A strong sense of identity is crucial for a people as it fosters belonging, builds self-worth, guides behaviour, and provides resilience, allowing individuals to feel connected, make meaningful choices aligned with their values, and maintain mental well-being even amidst societal changes or challenges, acting as a foundation for individual and collective strength. It defines “who we are” culturally and personally, driving shared narratives, pride, political action, and healthier relationships by grounding people in common values, traditions, and a sense of purpose.’

Ethnic Sinhalese who form about 75% of the Sri Lankan population have such a unique identity secured by the binding medium of their Buddhist faith. It is significant that 93% of them still remain Buddhist (according to 2024 statistics/wikipedia), professing Theravada Buddhism, after four and a half centuries of coercive Christianising European occupation that ended in 1948. The Sinhalese are a unique ancient island people with a 2500 year long recorded history, their own language and country, and their deeply evolved Buddhist cultural identity.

Buddhism can be defined, rather paradoxically, as a non-religious religion, an eminently practical ethical-philosophy based on mind cultivation, wisdom and universal compassion. It is  an ethico-spiritual value system that prioritises human reason and unaided (i.e., unassisted by any divine or supernatural intervention) escape from suffering through self-realisation. Sri Lanka’s benignly dominant Buddhist socio-cultural background naturally allows unrestricted freedom of religion, belief or non-belief for all its citizens, and makes the country a safe spiritual haven for them. The island’s Buddha Sasana (Dispensation of the Buddha) is the inalienable civilisational treasure that our ancestors of two and a half millennia have bequeathed to us. It is this enduring basis of our identity as a nation which bestows on us the personal and societal benefits of inestimable value mentioned in the AI summary given at the beginning of  this essay.

It was this inherent national identity that the Sri Lankan contestant at the 72nd Miss World 2025 pageant held in Hyderabad, India, in May last year, Anudi Gunasekera, proudly showcased before the world, during her initial self-introduction. She started off with a verse from the Dhammapada (a Pali Buddhist text), which she explained as meaning “Refrain from all evil and cultivate good”. She declared, “And I believe that’s my purpose in life”. Anudi also mentioned that Sri Lanka had gone through a lot “from conflicts to natural disasters, pandemics, economic crises….”, adding, “and yet, my people remain hopeful, strong, and resilient….”.

 “Ayubowan! I am Anudi Gunasekera from Sri Lanka. It is with immense pride that I represent my Motherland, a nation of resilience, timeless beauty, and a proud history, Sri Lanka.

“I come from Anuradhapura, Sri Lanka’s first capital, and UNESCO World Heritage site, with its history and its legacy of sacred monuments and stupas…….”.

The “inspiring words” that Anudi quoted are from the Dhammapada (Verse 183), which runs, in English translation: “To avoid all evil/To cultivate good/and to cleanse one’s mind -/this is the teaching of the Buddhas”. That verse is so significant because it defines the basic ‘teaching of the Buddhas’ (i.e., Buddha Sasana; this is how Walpole Rahula Thera defines Buddha Sasana in his celebrated introduction to Buddhism ‘What the Buddha Taught’ first published in1959).

Twenty-five year old Anudi Gunasekera is an alumna of the University of Kelaniya, where she earned a bachelor’s degree in International Studies. She is planning to do a Master’s in the same field. Her ambition is to join the foreign service in Sri Lanka. Gen Z’er Anudi is already actively engaged in social service. The Saheli Foundation is her own initiative launched to address period poverty (i.e., lack of access to proper sanitation facilities, hygiene and health education, etc.) especially  among women and post-puberty girls of low-income classes in rural and urban Sri Lanka.

Young Anudi is primarily inspired by her patriotic devotion to ‘my Motherland, a nation of resilience, timeless beauty, and a proud history, Sri Lanka’. In post-independence Sri Lanka, thousands of young men and women of her age have constantly dedicated themselves, oftentimes making the supreme sacrifice, motivated by a sense of national identity, by the thought ‘This is our beloved Motherland, these are our beloved people’.

The rescue and recovery of Sri Lanka from the evil aftermath of a decade of subversive ‘Aragalaya’ mayhem is waiting to be achieved, in every sphere of national engagement, including, for example, economics, communications, culture and politics, by the enlightened Anudi Gunasekeras and their male counterparts of the Gen Z, but not by the demented old stragglers lingering in the political arena listening to the unnerving rattle of “Time’s winged chariot hurrying near”, nor by the baila blaring monks at propaganda rallies.

Politically active monks (Buddhist bhikkhus) are only a handful out of  the Maha Sangha (the general body of Buddhist bhikkhus) in Sri  Lanka, who numbered just over 42,000  in 2024. The vast majority of monks spend their time quietly attending to their monastic duties. Buddhism upholds social and emotional virtues such as universal compassion, empathy, tolerance and forgiveness that protect a society from the evils of tribalism, religious bigotry and death-dealing religious piety.

Not all monks who express or promote political opinions should be censured. I choose to condemn only those few monks who abuse the yellow robe as a shield in their narrow partisan politics. I cannot bring myself to disapprove of the many socially active monks, who are articulating the genuine problems that the Buddha Sasana is facing today. The two bhikkhus who are the most despised monks in the commercial media these days are Galaboda-aththe Gnanasara and Ampitiye Sumanaratana Theras.  They have a problem with their mood swings. They have long been whistleblowers trying to raise awareness respectively, about spreading religious fundamentalism, especially, violent Islamic Jihadism, in the country and about the vandalising of the Buddhist archaeological heritage sites of the north and east provinces. The two middle-aged monks (Gnanasara and Sumanaratana) belong to this respectable category. Though they are relentlessly attacked in the social media or hardly given any positive coverage of the service they are doing, they do nothing more than try to persuade the rulers to take appropriate action to resolve those problems while not trespassing on the rights of people of other faiths.

These monks have to rely on lay political leaders to do the needful, without themselves taking part in sectarian politics in the manner of ordinary members of the secular society. Their generally demonised social image is due, in my opinion, to  three main reasons among others: 1) spreading misinformation and disinformation about them by those who do not like what they are saying and doing, 2) their own lack of verbal restraint, and 3) their being virtually abandoned to the wolves by the temporal and spiritual authorities.

(To be continued)

By Rohana R. Wasala ✍️

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US’ drastic aid cut to UN poses moral challenge to world

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An UN humanitarian mission in the Gaza. [File: Ashraf Amra/Anadolu Agency]

‘Adapt, shrink or die’ – thus runs the warning issued by the Trump administration to UN humanitarian agencies with brute insensitivity in the wake of its recent decision to drastically reduce to $2bn its humanitarian aid to the UN system. This is a substantial climb down from the $17bn the US usually provided to the UN for its humanitarian operations.

Considering that the US has hitherto been the UN’s biggest aid provider, it need hardly be said that the US decision would pose a daunting challenge to the UN’s humanitarian operations around the world. This would indeed mean that, among other things, people living in poverty and stifling material hardships, in particularly the Southern hemisphere, could dramatically increase. Coming on top of the US decision to bring to an end USAID operations, the poor of the world could be said to have been left to their devices as a consequence of these morally insensitive policy rethinks of the Trump administration.

Earlier, the UN had warned that it would be compelled to reduce its aid programs in the face of ‘the deepest funding cuts ever.’ In fact the UN is on record as requesting the world for $23bn for its 2026 aid operations.

If this UN appeal happens to go unheeded, the possibilities are that the UN would not be in a position to uphold the status it has hitherto held as the world’s foremost humanitarian aid provider. It would not be incorrect to state that a substantial part of the rationale for the UN’s existence could come in for questioning if its humanitarian identity is thus eroded.

Inherent in these developments is a challenge for those sections of the international community that wish to stand up and be counted as humanists and the ‘Conscience of the World.’ A responsibility is cast on them to not only keep the UN system going but to also ensure its increased efficiency as a humanitarian aid provider to particularly the poorest of the poor.

It is unfortunate that the US is increasingly opting for a position of international isolation. Such a policy position was adopted by it in the decades leading to World War Two and the consequences for the world as a result for this policy posture were most disquieting. For instance, it opened the door to the flourishing of dictatorial regimes in the West, such as that led by Adolph Hitler in Germany, which nearly paved the way for the subjugation of a good part of Europe by the Nazis.

If the US had not intervened militarily in the war on the side of the Allies, the West would have faced the distressing prospect of coming under the sway of the Nazis and as a result earned indefinite political and military repression. By entering World War Two the US helped to ward off these bleak outcomes and indeed helped the major democracies of Western Europe to hold their own and thrive against fascism and dictatorial rule.

Republican administrations in the US in particular have not proved the greatest defenders of democratic rule the world over, but by helping to keep the international power balance in favour of democracy and fundamental human rights they could keep under a tight leash fascism and linked anti-democratic forces even in contemporary times. Russia’s invasion and continued occupation of parts of Ukraine reminds us starkly that the democracy versus fascism battle is far from over.

Right now, the US needs to remain on the side of the rest of the West very firmly, lest fascism enjoys another unfettered lease of life through the absence of countervailing and substantial military and political power.

However, by reducing its financial support for the UN and backing away from sustaining its humanitarian programs the world over the US could be laying the ground work for an aggravation of poverty in the South in particular and its accompaniments, such as, political repression, runaway social discontent and anarchy.

What should not go unnoticed by the US is the fact that peace and social stability in the South and the flourishing of the same conditions in the global North are symbiotically linked, although not so apparent at first blush. For instance, if illegal migration from the South to the US is a major problem for the US today, it is because poor countries are not receiving development assistance from the UN system to the required degree. Such deprivation on the part of the South leads to aggravating social discontent in the latter and consequences such as illegal migratory movements from South to North.

Accordingly, it will be in the North’s best interests to ensure that the South is not deprived of sustained development assistance since the latter is an essential condition for social contentment and stable governance, which factors in turn would guard against the emergence of phenomena such as illegal migration.

Meanwhile, democratic sections of the rest of the world in particular need to consider it a matter of conscience to ensure the sustenance and flourishing of the UN system. To be sure, the UN system is considerably flawed but at present it could be called the most equitable and fair among international development organizations and the most far-flung one. Without it world poverty would have proved unmanageable along with the ills that come along with it.

Dehumanizing poverty is an indictment on humanity. It stands to reason that the world community should rally round the UN and ensure its survival lest the abomination which is poverty flourishes. In this undertaking the world needs to stand united. Ambiguities on this score could be self-defeating for the world community.

For example, all groupings of countries that could demonstrate economic muscle need to figure prominently in this initiative. One such grouping is BRICS. Inasmuch as the US and the West should shrug aside Realpolitik considerations in this enterprise, the same goes for organizations such as BRICS.

The arrival at the above international consensus would be greatly facilitated by stepped up dialogue among states on the continued importance of the UN system. Fresh efforts to speed-up UN reform would prove major catalysts in bringing about these positive changes as well. Also requiring to be shunned is the blind pursuit of narrow national interests.

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