Features
From Delta to Omicron: Will there be a tsunami of patients?
Dr. Pradeep Kariyawasam
Former Epidemiologist/Chief Medical Officer of Health
Colombo Municipal Council
All over the world the Delta variant of the Covid-19 virus has been replaced by the Omicron variant. It is happening in Sri Lanka, too, according to reports issued by the Ministry of Health recently. At present it is said that between 60-90% of patients found in various parts of the country have been infected with Omicron. The percentages are higher in the cities than in the suburbs. This is because the population densities are higher in the cities and the it is easily transmitted from one person to another. The other aspect is the transmissibility of the variants, and it is said that the Omicron variant has a 1.5 times higher transmissibility rate than the Delta variant. I believe that the change from Delta to Omicron took place as there were hundreds of thousands of people infected with Delta virus and the chance of creation of mutations increased with time. Omicron has a higher transmission rate and there could be many more variants that we have to face with and already a sub-variant has surfaced.
The changeover to Omicron has happened but the numbers are low because we don’t have enough facilities to do genomic sequencing to identify the variants. It is only the Sri Jayewardenepura University that has such facilities and not even the MRI seem to be having a facility to do these investigations. This is a wake-up call to our policymakers to have proper laboratories in the country and that is to have at least one laboratory each in the North, South and Central provinces. The Western Province could be covered by the Sri Jayewardenepura University laboratory. It is a pity that no one seems to care to improve the facilities at their own laboratories. I remember meeting Prof. Sirimali Fernando the architect of this Sri Jayewardenepura university Immunology and Molecular Medicine Unit around 15 years ago when she came to see me with Professor Malavige, then a lecturer, most probably, to tell me that the dengue virus had changed to D-3 and that an epidemic was imminent as people didn’t have immunity against the D-3 virus. What I understood was that the Ministry of Health or the Epidemiology Unit were not interested in that and someone had told them to tell me. I took that seriously and started to carry out prevention and control measures. I started to improve laboratory facilities and we had a top-class laboratory then carrying out 53 types of investigations, basically helping the urban poor to get costly laboratory tests done free of charge. We were the first government laboratory to have NS1 test to identify dengue infections. Today, sad to say our laboratory network at the CMC is almost non-existent and there in no proper City Microbiologist in place and the City Analyst unit, too, was without work and hardly any work was done under the Food Act. It is interesting to note that the City Microbiological Laboratory staff are not at all involved in PCR or antigen testing when there is a global epidemic taking place, although it is a Public Health Laboratory where the plague carrier, a flea, was identified around 1918. In the past few years, it had been a difficult task to even get the much-needed chemicals to run the laboratories. The testing of food and water was stopped while such work in other cities and countries in the world are improving. We are going backwards in laboratory investigations, the regulatory work has suffered immensely, and I think we were better off 50 years ago compared with the situation in those countries then. So, forget about finding new variants on time and taking preventive measures like in advanced and not so advanced countries, as we cannot even run a normal laboratory today and provide the needed information to the patients as well as the authorities.
It is a known fact that hospitalisations and visits to clinics by patients amount to only 10% of the total number of patients suffering from a communicable disease. So, when we say there are 1185 patients on a single day now that means our daily total could be as much as 11800! This figure could be more as many of the patients don’t have symptoms as in any other communicable diseases. When one analyses the figures given out by the Ministry of Ministry of Health daily there is an increase of 5-10% of patients and therefore It is obvious that Omicron is in the community and is spreading rapidly. The hospital beds are full and ICU units are running almost at full capacity. Although Omicron is not a killer as such, compared with the Delta variant, the numbers are high and it seems those not vaccinated with the three doses that the government provided free of charge are the ones who have got the full-blown disease. The deaths due to Covid are also climbing slowly and silently and it is expected that by March we will have a break or make situation. Much depends on the vaccinated numbers and I hope the people will realise that they are helping not only themselves but also the society.
Take for example the covid-19 situations in the UK and Australia and compare them with our situation where the spread is mainly due to the Omicron variant. The UK is experiencing the winter season, Australia the summer and in Sri Lanka we are experiencing a dry hot weather. Earlier it was cold and rainy in December here in our country. On the 12th of December, 2021 the UK registered 48,000 patients for the day. Then the numbers rose sharply within three weeks and rose to reach 218,000 on 4th January 2022. That is more than a four-fold increase! Today, the daily number has gone down to 92,000 but it is still high. Now UK’s population is three times that of Sri Lanka. Take Australia a country with a population just above our country. They had just 1843 new patients on that day, 12th December 2021. By 12th January 2022 the number of new cases for the day peaked at 175,000. By the 3rd February 2022, the numbers had come down to 32,000. During this period what were the numbers here in Sri Lanka? On 12th December 2021 we had just 714 new patients for the day. By 9th January the number of cases went down to 430 and then started to gradually go up and by the 3rd of February, 2022, we had 1183. Compared with the numbers in December 2021 this is almost a three-fold increase. But then why are our numbers so low? Very few people get themselves tested for the Covid-19 virus. The laboratory facilities are difficult to get at. The private sector charges exorbitant prices. So, many wait at home, some use Ayurvedic remedies, but others go to work with the runny nose, sore throat, fever, etc. Of course, they check the temperatures at the entrances but the machines are never calibrated. The workers with the infections hide behind the masks and no one knows whether they are infected or not. There is no social distancing at work.This is so even in medical facilities. There are no proper awareness programmes even in the cities. Parties, demonstrations and meetings are held involving hundreds of people disregarding that we might have an imminent outbreak of Omicron here in the country.
What will happen in the near future? My guess is that there will be a sharp increase in the number of patients during the next few weeks and this will go on till the April holidays. The numbers will not be that high like in Aussie land or the UK due to the hot and dry weather conditions that we experience and also as many of the infected citizens will be not going to a medical facility for treatment or a laboratory for testing and we will not know the exact numbers anyway.
The country should not be locked-down at any cost and people should learn to live with it and at the same time take precautions. The tourism industry has just picked up and statistics show that hardly a tourist is infected with Covid-19 according to PCR tests although the southern coastal line has a large number of infected persons. I think it is the local tourists from Colombo and suburbs that travel to the southern areas that take the disease with them. There should be an increased awareness created among people by using the electronic media to get people’s attention to the need of taking preventive measures and staying put if they have the disease.
All government institutions and the private sector as well should first ask their staff members to get fully vaccinated as they deal with first their own members of staff and then the outsiders or customers. They should ask the staff members to keep away from work if they have a runny nose, sore-throat headache etc. The heads of these institutions should see that no infected persons come to work as bringing in one person with the virus can infect all in one division especially, when they work in a closed air-conditioned room or a hall. In each division a health officer should be appointed to check whether any infected person has come to work. If there are many persons down with covid-19 then all should undergo antigen testing. I think it is better if the government informs these institutions to keep the staff levels at work to 50-70 % during the next few weeks and watch the situation. I am totally against road-side antigen testing as that is trying to find a needle in a haystack. It is better to use the same resources to find the infected people in high-risk institutions and offices which will be more productive.
CMC which is spearheading the covid-19 control campaign should start with their own organization first and put the house in order at the Town Hall as a large number of patients are found there. Colombo and suburbs are the most important areas that the government should concentrate in the vaccination drive as almost all the communicable diseases are spread to other areas from the above areas. Take the month of January this year, out of the 200 dengue fever patients in Colombo District, the Colombo Municipality area has 166 patients. Unlike Delta Omicron infected persons’ lungs will be less affected but then if one is over 60 years of age there could be complications. Therefore, booster vaccinations are a must and the service should be taken to the people and not expectT hem to come to the centers.
So, a massive awareness campaign coupled with an intensive vaccination drive that can cover at least 80% of the eligible persons in the next few weeks will slow down the spread of Omicron variant. Government statistics show that 16.7 million persons were given the first dose of the vaccine, 14 million the second dose but only 5.6 million the third dose showing the decline in interest of citizens to get the vaccine. If this will continue the disease will rapidly spread and the numbers will be high and new variants will emerge. In that case we will have to wait it out while doing our normal day to day work risking our lives until 80% of the population has either got the disease or vaccinated to stop Covid-19. If one wishes to take the risk and not get vaccinated then it is that person’s right. But they have no right to infect others. So be conscientious and think of others, get the vaccines and all will be well.
Features
‘The devil is in the details’ in West Asian peace
It is obviously too early for an outpouring of joy over the seeming cessation of hostilities between the main antagonists in West Asia. While the prospect of there being a measure of calm in the region is being welcomed by considerable sections of the international community, what is ‘on the table’ currently is only a Memorandum of Understanding between the US and Iran to give peace a chance. The hard part in the peace effort remains to be achieved.
In the Middle East of today we have one of the most complex conflicts to break out in modern international politics and the observer would be naive in the extreme to expect a facile and early closure to the tangle. Yet, for the sake of the world’s publics who have been hurting badly in the prolonged hostilities one could only hope that the US-Iran MoU that is expected to be signed by the sides on Friday would lead eventually to a substantive peace. The world’s thanks are due to Pakistan in this connection for its sustained support in the peace drive.
While the sides have agreed to a ceasing of hostilities in the most general terms and have reached accord on the facilitation of uninterrupted oil and gas supplies to the rest of the world, for instance, the ‘devil will prove to be in the details’ in an envisaged comprehensive peace settlement. It is these details that would make or break peace if the negotiations go on in earnest.
Nevertheless, the details would need to be worked out consensually in a spirit of compromise with an eye to the greater good of the world community. Realpolitik or a narrow focus on solely the national interest among the protagonists, for example, would need to give way to a measure of humanity that would encompass within it a consideration of the overall well being of the world. In other words, it is statesmanship that would crucially matter.
The next few weeks would establish whether humanists are ‘asking for far too much’ when they broach the questions at issue in these terms. Yet it is essentially self interest and national security considerations of the first importance that drove the conflict from even prior to February this year and these questions would need to be taken up and resolved to the satisfaction of the US and Iran in the main if some headway is to be made towards a durable settlement.
The nuclear issue would prove to be the proverbial Gordian Knot. From a realistic viewpoint, Iran could not be expected to be without a potential nuclear deterrent in the face of perceived nuclear threats emanating for it from the West and Israel. In the short term, Iran would need to possess this deterrent to a measure, within a mutually agreed international legal framework maybe, until wide agreement is reached on the nuclear tangle. Specifically, Iran’s immediate threat perceptions with regard to her nuclear-powered rivals would need to be defused during initial negotiations.
Ideally it is a world free of nuclear weapons that must be aimed at but since this goal cannot be achieved in the near or medium terms, unfolding negotiations would need to ensure Iran’s absolute security in a world of powers that continue to swear by the nuclear deterrent, if it is to give up the suspected latter capability.
However, it is to the degree to which the present nuclear powers divest themselves of this capability that Iran could be put at ease on this score. Accordingly, it is nothing short of a complete elimination of nuclear weapons from the world that could dissuade keenly security conscious states from developing nuclear weapons of their own with a mass destruction capability.
This is the number one dilemma the international community needs to grapple with going forward and it is to the extent to which it resolves it that a nuclear weapons free world could be envisaged. No doubt, an uphill challenge.
Compelling Israel to support the present negotiatory process constitutes another grueling challenge for the US. Currently the Iranian position essentially is that a Middle East peace is inseparable from a normalization of the security situation in Lebanon. That is, the present Israeli attacks on the Hezbollah presence in Lebanon must cease if a comprehensive peace is to be realized in West Asia.
However, Israel is showing no signs of drawing back from its attacks on Hezbollah strongholds in Lebanon since the security of the Israeli state is being seen as threatened by the militant group. Co-opting Israel into the negotiatory effort therefore would turn out to be a matter of paramount concern for the US.
Moreover, elements in the rightist administration in Israel are seeing the current peace efforts as a ‘sell out’ to the enemies of Israel. They would have none of it. It is left to be seen how the US would be managing these virtual storm centres in the diplomatic process that could very well bring down the overall purported peace drive.
A recent pronouncement by US Vice President J.D. Vance points to yet another problem area in the US’ current peace overtures. He said that, ‘Regional peace and stability includes stopping the funding of terrorist organizations.’ He was obviously referring to the support extended by Iran to Hezbollah when he mentioned ‘terrorist organizations’ but he has given fresh life to the age-old conundrum of ‘Who is a terrorist?’ by these words.
To the Netanyahu government the Hezbollah and other militant organizations fighting Israel are ‘terrorists’ but from the viewpoint of the Iranian regime they are ‘freedom fighters’. This seemingly insurmountable definitional issue would not only stubbornly bedevil the peace effort but could even figure in bringing about its collapse, unless judiciously handled.
Thus, it’s the thorny details that need to be watched to keep the West Asian peace process afloat, once it gets going in earnest. There is no doubt that US President Trump would be receiving a considerable amount of support from the G7 in this historic peace undertaking and his personal appeals to the grouping currently meeting in France for continuous support are likely to elicit a positive response from it.
Likewise, Trump would need to appeal to also the BRICS countries if almost total global support is to be garnered for the peace drive in West Asia. BRICS’ solidarity with the US and the West is likely to carry considerable weight with Iran and other Eastern actors who are key to a sustained peace drive in the Middle East.
Features
Sri Lanka’s elephant paradox: Govt. counts tourism dollars while playing a dangerous numbers game: Expert
At a time when Sri Lanka is enjoying a resurgence in wildlife tourism, with elephants remaining the undisputed stars of the country’s national parks and one of its most marketable natural assets, elephant conservationist Supun Lahiru Prakash has sounded a stark warning: the nation is in danger of losing the very species that helps attract millions of tourism dollars while sustaining some of the island’s most important ecosystems.
Supun says repeated claims by authorities that Sri Lanka’s elephant population is increasing, despite the absence of a final survey report and amid continuing elephant deaths, risk creating a misleading narrative that could undermine conservation efforts and encourage retaliation against elephants.
According to Supun, the issue is not merely about numbers. It is about political priorities, scientific credibility and the future of one of Sri Lanka’s most iconic species.
“Repeatedly claiming that the elephant population is increasing appears to be an attempt to hide the Government’s inability to manage the rising annual elephant death rate and the complications of human-elephant conflict,” Supun said.
For decades, the Sri Lankan elephant has been a symbol of the country’s rich natural heritage. It is the centrepiece of wildlife tourism, drawing visitors from across the globe to national parks such as Yala, Udawalawe, Minneriya, Kaudulla and Wilpattu. International wildlife documentaries, tourism campaigns and social media promotions frequently place elephants at the heart of Sri Lanka’s nature tourism brand.
Yet, according to Supun, the country’s conservation policies do not reflect the value of the species.
“On one hand, the Government is enjoying increasing tourism revenue, and elephants remain one of Sri Lanka’s most important wildlife attractions. On the other hand, narratives are being promoted that could encourage retaliation against the very species that contributes significantly to the country’s tourism industry,” Supun said.
According to the First Countrywide National Survey of Elephants conducted in 2011, Sri Lanka had 5,879 elephants. However, official statistics show that 4,167 elephants died between 2012 and 2024.
Supun stressed that these figures represent only the deaths officially recorded by the Department of Wildlife Conservation.
“In a context where more than 70 percent of the country’s elephant population reported in 2011 has died within 13 years, it is difficult to accept claims that the population has increased,” Supun said.
The conservationist pointed out that elephants have the longest gestation period among land mammals and that scientific studies have reported increasing interbirth intervals among female elephants together with high calf mortality.
“When such biological realities are taken into consideration, claims of a dramatic increase in elephant numbers become difficult to understand,” Supun said.
Supun believes that repeated references to increasing elephant populations risk fuelling public hostility towards elephants, particularly among farming communities already affected by crop raids and property damage.
“Such claims can create the impression that elephant populations are exploding and thereby promote retaliation against elephants as well,” Supun said.
According to Supun, Sri Lanka’s elephant crisis cannot be understood solely through population estimates. The real issue lies in the country’s failure to address human-elephant conflict through long-term, science-based solutions.
Sri Lanka continues to record among the highest levels of human-elephant conflict in the world. Every year, hundreds of elephants and dozens of people lose their lives as competition for land and resources intensifies.
Despite the scale of the crisis, Supun says authorities continue to rely on strategies that have repeatedly failed.

Lahiru Prakash
These include driving elephants into protected areas, strengthening electric fences to confine them there and allocating additional manpower to maintain fencing systems.
Supun was also critical of several proposals that emerged from district-level discussions on conflict mitigation, including the sowing of paddy and corn using Air Force drones and the planting of fruit orchards within protected areas.
“Such proposals fail to address the real ecological and social dimensions of the conflict,” Supun said.
While welcoming reports that the Government intends appointing a national-level mechanism to tackle human-elephant conflict, Supun said the challenge required intervention at the highest level of government.
“Given the gravity, complexity and geographical spread of human-elephant conflict, appointing any committee other than a Presidential Task Force is not useful,” Supun said.
He argued that a Presidential Task Force chaired by either the President or the Secretary to the President would be better positioned to overcome the bureaucratic delays and institutional fragmentation that have hindered previous efforts.
Supun also stressed the urgent need to restore and protect elephant corridors and home ranges that allow elephants to move safely across landscapes.
He cited the Koholankala elephant corridor in Hambantota as one example where removing obstacles could help reduce conflict while improving habitat connectivity.
At the same time, Supun questioned policies that permit the allocation of forest lands in areas identified by environmental assessments as crucial elephant ranges and movement corridors.
“The opening of elephant corridors and the protection of elephant home ranges must be carried out scientifically and consistently if they are to succeed,” Supun said.
Beyond tourism, Supun emphasised the ecological importance of elephants.
“Elephants are ecosystem engineers. Through their feeding habits and movements, they help maintain habitats that support numerous other species. In many ways, they create safer and healthier environments for wildlife,” Supun said.
According to Supun, protecting elephants means protecting entire ecosystems and the biodiversity upon which Sri Lanka’s wildlife tourism industry depends.
“By protecting elephants, we are also protecting the biodiversity that makes Sri Lanka one of the world’s premier wildlife tourism destinations,” Supun said.
As Sri Lanka seeks to expand tourism earnings and strengthen its reputation as a wildlife destination, Supun believes the country faces a defining choice: continue with policies that have failed to stem elephant deaths and human-elephant conflict, or embrace a science-based conservation strategy that safeguards both people and wildlife.
Without a fundamental shift in policy and political will, Supun warned, Sri Lanka risks losing not only one of its most iconic species but also the ecological and economic benefits that elephants continue to provide.
“The suffering of both farmers and elephants will only intensify unless meaningful action replaces rhetoric,” Supun said.
By Ifham Nizam
Features
Top Model of the World 2026
Back-to-back victory for Colombia
Katherine Castaño of Colombia claimed the Top Model of the World 2026 crown, securing a historic back-to-back victory for her country. Angelica Sanchez of Puerto Rico was named first runner-up, and Eunice Deza of the Philippines finished as second runner-up.
Katherine was crowned by outgoing titleholder Natalia Garizabal Vera of Colombia.
Several special category awards, and subsidiary titles, were also presented during the Top Model of the World 2026 pageant.
These awards recognised excellence in modelling, peer support, and regional representation.
Primary Subsidiary Titles

Sri Lanka’s Netalie Withanage: Top 16 at
the grand finale
Miss Globe 2026: Valentina Tabares (Ecuador) — Awarded to the contestant who perfectly balances fashion modelling with traditional beauty queen qualities.
Queen of Europe 2026: Mia Danielle Williams (United Kingdom) — Given to the highest-ranking candidate from a European nation.
Special Awards Recognition
Audience Iconic Award: Charly (Dominican Republic) — Won via the official public online vote, granting her a fast-track direct entry into the Top 6.
Exotic Model of the World: Angel Emeka (Nigeria) — Awarded for exceptional editorial presence and strong runway performance.
Best Body Award: Thailand — Voted directly by fellow contestants at the Flow Spectrum Hotel. The highest-ranking runners-up for this category included Zambia, South Africa, Colombia, and Ghana.

Angelica Sanchez (Puerto Rico): 1st Runner-up
Final Placement
Winner: Katherine Castaño (Colombia)
1st Runner-Up: Angelica Sanchez (Puerto Rico)
2nd Runner-Up: Eunice Deza (Philippines)
Top 6 Finalists: Included contestants from the Dominican Republic, Romania, and Germany.
The pageant, known for focusing on professional modelling careers over just beauty, brought together 36 models from around the globe for two weeks of runway, photoshoots, and cultural events.
Sri Lanka’s Netalie Withanage walked among 36 of the world’s best and powered her way into the Top 16 at the grand finale.
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