Features
Fixing the dollar exchange rate: A major mistake
by Romesh Dias Bandaranaike, Ph.D.
Until September last year the US Dollar (USD) – Sri Lanka Rupee (SLR) exchange rate was determined on the basis of a “managed float.” This meant that demand and supply of USD in the market were the primary determinants of the exchange rate. Official (Central Bank) market intervention, by way of sale or purchase of USD in limited quantities, smoothed out any large fluctuations in the exchange rate, when needed.
In September 2021 the Central Bank (CB) set an upper limit of SLR 203 per USD that authorized dealers in foreign exchange, including banks, must adhere to for all foreign exchange transactions. This restriction, now in effect for five months, has had severe adverse impacts on the functioning of the Sri Lankan economy.
Since the demand for USDs has been higher than the supply of USDs at the upper limit of SLR 203 per USD, the CB restriction essentially results in the exchange rate being “fixed” at this rate. Banks have been compelled to address this shortage, by restricting allocation of their inadequate USDs among customers for all permitted foreign expenditures, at this “fixed” rate. The shortage has worsened substantially over the past months. In response, the CB, while stubbornly maintaining the “fixed” rate, has issued a number of additional directives, which have failed to address the adverse consequences of this shortage, as detailed below.
When the demand for a foreign currency exceeds its supply in any country, the fixed official exchange rate does not allow market adjustment to reflect that difference. The natural consequence is the emergence of an alternative market for the currency in shortage, commonly termed a “black market.” Such a black market has recently developed in Sri Lanka with USDs “selling” in excess of SLR 240 per USD compared with the “official” rate of SLR 203.
Migrant Remittances: Sri Lanka’s single largest source of USDs are remittances from migrant workers abroad, primarily in the Middle East. Informal currency transfer arrangements for workers in the Middle East from many South Asian countries (Pakistan, Bangladesh, Nepal, etc.) have been in place for decades, since many such workers did not have bank accounts in their home countries. These arrangements, termed “Hawala” and “Undiyal” are very reliable. Workers hand over foreign currency in the country where they work and the designated person in the home country is given the money in local currency at the agreed exchange rate.
In the past, most Sri Lankan workers did not resort to such arrangements because they had bank accounts in Sri Lanka to which they transferred their foreign earnings at a realistic official exchange rate. With the recent significant price difference between the official and black market rates for the USD, the Hawala/Undiyal arrangements have provided a ready alternate avenue for Sri Lankan workers. As more of these workers became aware of the alternate option, remittances through the banking system have declined precipitously, from USD 600-700 million per month, to USD 200-300 million per month.
The CB tried to reduce this decline by initially offering SLR 2 per USD over the “official” rate for worker remittances, and later an additional SLR 8 per USD. When remittances declined further, the Central Bank tried to “threaten” workers by saying that using alternate methods were illegal and may even be funding “drug dealing.” In November 2021, foreign worker remittances through official channels had declined by USD 340 million compared with November 2020. While the official exchange rate remains misaligned to market demand and supply, this loss will only increase as more workers become aware of alternate avenues. The adverse impact on Sri Lanka’s foreign exchange earnings will be a staggering USD 4 billion per year. This alone should be reason enough to dispense with the “fixing” of the exchange rate.
Export Earnings: With the fixing of exchange rates, exporters have been delaying the repatriation of their export earnings for as long as possible, till the CB is finally forced to succumb to the pressure and let the currency float. The CB has introduced more and more regulations to push exporters to bring back these funds to Sri Lanka and mandatorily convert portions of these amounts to SLRs. Despite all CB regulations, the USDs officially coming into the country from exports is less than if the currency was allowed to find the level at which supply and demand balance.
Tourist Earnings: With better control of the Covid-19 pandemic, tourist numbers have increased substantially in December and January, though not to pre-pandemic levels. When it became apparent that tourists too were converting their foreign currencies into SLRs in the black market, the CB required tourists to pay their bills at all registered tourist hotels and guest houses in foreign currency. The attractiveness of Sri Lanka as a tourist destination depends on the costs incurred by tourists in their own currencies. If they officially receive less SLRs for their currencies than with a realistic exchange rate, this will discourage some fraction of tourists from visiting Sri Lanka, which, in turn, will reduce tourist foreign currency inflows.
Shipping and Airlines: As a result of the severe USD shortage, banks are restricting foreign exchange for local agents of shipping and airlines who seek foreign exchange to pay their principals for services provided, after collecting payments in SLRs from clients. Kuwait Airways has already stopped its flights to Sri Lanka. Others will also reduce flights if not paid for tickets sold or goods air freighted. Shipping lines will soon by-pass Sri Lanka as a destination if not paid for their services. The country will face severe economic repercussions from these trends.
Foreign Investments: The Colombo Stock Exchange indices have grown significantly over the past year, totally on the back of local investors. Foreign investors have been very large net sellers. The original foreign investments were made on condition that the foreign investors could freely convert revenue from sale of shares and from dividends back to the currencies they originally brought in for investments. These sellers now face difficulty when trying to remit their sales proceeds in foreign currencies, because of the shortage. One can only imagine the negative impact this will have on investor confidence and any potential new investments.
“Illusory” Benefit: The most often cited “benefit” of fixing the exchange rate at an artificially low rate is that this would control price increases in imported food and other consumer items. This is an illusion. Many importers can only obtain foreign exchange to import such items in the black market. The rates paid for such exchange is further increased beyond the open market rate because of another CB regulation (see below). When importers persuade banks to open LCs for imports and the banks are late in meeting their obligation to pay the LCs after the goods have arrived in the Port, importers incur large demurrage costs. This increases the final consumer price, even if the LC is paid for at the official exchange rate.
Foreign Currency Grab by CB: The CB has introduced a regulation in terms of which any bank which converts SLRs to foreign currency for one of its clients must give the CB foreign currency equivalent to 25% of the converted amount at the official rate. An importer desperate to obtain foreign exchange for any critical need, such as urgent spares to repair machinery, arranges to pay an exporter having USD a premium above the official rate, if the exporter agrees to bring in USD into the exporter’s local bank at the official rate. The importer then asks the same local bank to open an LC on his behalf and use the funds he has arranged for (although it is brought into the exporter’s account) to pay for the urgent import. Because of the CB’s 25% regulation, the bank typically asks the importer to arrange for an extra 25% beyond the LC amount. This effectively means that instead of paying a premium of SLR 37 (say) over SLR 203, it costs the importer a further 25% (SLR 9.25) per USD to fund his LC. In essence, the CB is now asking importers desperate for foreign exchange to purchase an additional 25% on behalf of the CB and to meet the cost of the premium; effectively a “black market” deal on behalf of the CB!
The CB has also, by decree, forced private banks to allocate a share of their limited foreign exchange for the import of fuel, for vehicles and for operating the CEB’s thermal power plants. LCs for such imports were previously opened through the two state banks, which no longer have sufficient funds for this purpose, because of the fixed exchange rate. This has further reduced the foreign exchange available to private banks to service their own customers.
It is abundantly clear to any person with a modicum of sense, although clearly not to the Central Bank, that its attempts to artificially control the exchange rate by diktat is having a massive adverse impact on the functioning of the economy, without any worthwhile offsetting benefits. Will the CB ever come to its senses and let the USD find its true rate to save the country from further misery?
[The author is an economist with extensive experience at CEO level, in both public and private sectors.]
Features
Mannar’s silent skies: Migratory Flamingos fall victim to power lines amid Wind Farm dispute
By Ifham Nizam
A fresh wave of concern has gripped conservationists following the reported deaths of migratory flamingos within the Vankalai Sanctuary—a globally recognised bird habitat—raising urgent questions about the ecological cost of large-scale renewable energy projects in the region.
The incident comes at a time when a fundamental rights petition, challenging the proposed wind power project, linked to India’s Adani Group, remains under examination before the Supreme Court, with environmental groups warning that the very risks they highlighted are now materialising.
At least two flamingos—believed to be part of the iconic migratory flocks that travel thousands of kilometres to reach Sri Lanka—were found dead after entanglement with high-tension transmission lines running across the sanctuary. Another bird was reportedly struggling for survival.
Professor Sampath Seneviratne, a leading ornithologist, expressed deep concern over the development, noting that such incidents are not isolated but indicative of a broader and predictable threat.
“These migratory birds depend on specific flyways that have remained unchanged for centuries. When high-risk infrastructure, like poorly planned power lines, intersect these routes, collisions become inevitable,” he said. “What we are witnessing now could be just the beginning if proper mitigation measures are not urgently implemented.”
Environmentalists argue that the Mannar region—particularly the Vankalai wetland complex—is one of the most critical stopover sites in South Asia for migratory waterbirds, including flamingos, pelicans, and various species of waders. The sanctuary’s ecological value has also supported a niche with growing eco-tourism sector, drawing birdwatchers from around the world.
Executive Director of the Centre for Environmental Justice, Dilena Pathragoda, said the incident underscores the urgency of judicial intervention and stricter environmental oversight.
“This tragedy is a direct consequence of ignoring scientifically established environmental safeguards. We have already raised these concerns before court, particularly regarding the location of transmission infrastructure within sensitive bird habitats,” Pathragoda said.
“Renewable energy cannot be pursued in isolation from ecological responsibility. If due process and proper environmental impact assessments are bypassed or diluted, then such losses are inevitable.”
Conservation groups have long cautioned that the installation of wind turbines and associated grid infrastructure—especially overhead transmission lines—within or near sensitive habitats could transform these landscapes into lethal zones for avifauna.
An environmental activist involved in the ongoing legal challenge said the latest deaths validate earlier warnings.
“This is exactly what we feared. Development is necessary, but not at the cost of biodiversity. When projects of this scale proceed without adequate ecological assessments and safeguards, the consequences are irreversible,” the activist stressed.
The debate has once again brought into focus the delicate balance between renewable energy expansion and biodiversity conservation. While wind energy is widely promoted as a clean alternative to fossil fuels, experts caution that “green” does not automatically mean “harmless.”
Professor Seneviratne emphasised that solutions do exist, including rerouting transmission lines, installing bird diverters, and conducting comprehensive migratory pathway studies prior to project approval.
“Globally, there are well-established mitigation strategies. The issue here is not the absence of knowledge, but the failure to apply it effectively,” he noted.
The timing of the incident is particularly worrying. Migratory flamingos typically remain in Sri Lanka until late April or May before embarking on their return journeys. Conservationists warn that if hazards remain unaddressed, larger flocks could face similar risks in the coming weeks.
Beyond ecological implications, experts also highlight potential economic fallout. Wildlife tourism—especially birdwatching—contributes significantly to local livelihoods in Mannar.
Repeated reports of bird deaths could deter eco-conscious travellers and damage the region’s reputation as a safe haven for migratory species.
Environmentalists are now calling for immediate intervention by authorities, including a temporary halt to high-risk operations in sensitive zones, pending a thorough environmental review.
They stress that protecting animal movement corridors—whether elephant migration routes or avian flyways—is a fundamental pillar of modern conservation.
As the controversy unfolds, one question looms large: can Sri Lanka pursue sustainable energy without sacrificing the very natural heritage that defines it?
Pathragoda added that for now, the sight of fallen flamingos in Mannar stands as a stark reminder that development, if not carefully planned, can carry a heavy and irreversible cost.
Features
‘Weaponizing’ religion in the pursuit of power
A picture of US President Donald Trump apparently being prayed for by supporters, appearing in sections of the international media, said it all loud and clear. That is, religion is being flagrantly leveraged or prostituted by politicians single-mindedly bent on furthering their power aspirations.
Although in the case of the US President the trend took on may be an exceptionally graphic or dramatic form, the ‘weaponizing’ of religion is nothing particularly new, nor is it confined to only religiously conservative sections of the West. For example, in South Asia it is an integral part of politics. The ‘South Asian Eight’ are notorious for it and it could be unreservedly stated that in Sri Lanka, the latter’s ethnic conflict would be more amenable to resolution if religion was not made a potent weapon by ambitious politicians of particularly the country’s South.
The more enlightened sections of Christian believers in the US may not have been able to contain their consternation at the sight of the US President apparently being ‘blessed’ by pastors claiming adherence to Christianity. Any human is entitled to be blessed but not if he is leading his country to war without exhausting all the options at his disposal to end the relevant conflict by peaceful means.
More compounded would be his problem if his directives lead to the death of civilians in the hundreds. In the latter case he is stringently accountable for the spilling of civilian blood, that is, the committing of war crimes.
However, the US along with Israel did just that in the recent bombings of Iran, for instance. The majority of the lives lost were those of civilians. If the US President is endowed with a Christian conscience he would have paused to consider that he is guilty of ordering the taking of the life of another human which is forbidden in the teachings of Jesus Christ.
Moreover, the ‘pastors’ praying over the US President should have thought on the above lines as well. May be they were in an effort to curry the President’s favour which is as blame-worthy as legitimizing in some form the taking of civilian lives. Apparently, the realisation is not dawning on all Christian conservatives of the US that some of these ‘pastors’ could very well be the proverbial false prophets and the latter are almost everywhere, even in far distant Sri Lanka.
However, the political reality ‘on the ground’ is that the Christian Right is a stable support base of the Republican Right in the US. Considering this it should not come as a surprise to the seasoned political watcher if the Christian Right, read Christian fundamentalists, are hand-in-glove, so to speak, with President Trump. But it is a scathing indictment on these rightist sections that they are all for perpetrating war and destruction and not for the fostering of peace and reconciliation. Ideally, they should have impressed on their President the dire need to make peace.
That said, political commentators should consider it incumbent on themselves to point out that religion is being ‘weaponized’ in Iran as well. Theocratic rule in Iran has been essentially all about perpetuating the power of the clerical class. The reasons that led to the Islamic Revolution in Iran are complex and the indiscreet Westernization of Iran under the Shah dynasty is one of these but one would have expected Iran to develop from then on into a multi-party, pluralistic democratic state where people would be enjoying their fundamental rights, as enshrined in the Universal Declaration of Human Rights, for example.
Moreover, Iran should have taken it upon itself to be a champion of world peace, in keeping with its Islamic credentials. But some past regimes in Iran had vowed to virtually bomb Israel out of existence and such regional policy trajectories could only bring perpetual conflict and war. Considering the current state of the Middle East it could be said that the unfettered playing out of these animosities is leading the region and the world to ‘reap the whirlwind’, having recklessly ‘sowed the wind’.
However, religious fundamentalism-inspired conflict and war has spread well beyond the Middle East into almost every region since 1979, the year of the Islamic Revolution in Iran. So much so, knowledgeable opinion now points out that religious identity has come to replace nationalism as a principal shaper of international politics or “geopolitics”, as quite a few sections misleadingly and incorrectly term it.
Elaborating on the decisive influence of religious identity, the well known and far traveled Western journalist Patrick Cockburn says in his authoritative and comprehensive book titled, ‘The Age of Jihad – Islamic State and the Great War for the Middle East’ at page 428 in connection with the war in Chechnya ; ‘If nationalism was not entirely dead, it no longer provided the ideological glue necessary to hold together and motivate people who were fighting a war. Unlike the Islamic faith, it was no longer a belief or a badge of identity for which people would fight very hard.’ (The book in reference was published by VERSO, London and New York).
In his wide coverage of Jihadist Wars the world over Cockburn goes on to state that today a call from a cleric could motivate his followers to lay down no less than their lives for a cause championed by the former. The 9/11 catastrophe alone should convince the observer that this is indeed true.
However, as often pointed out in this column, there is no alternative but to foster peace and reconciliation if a world free of bloodshed and strife is what is being sought. Fortunately we are not short of illustrious persons from the East and West who have shone a light on how best to get to a degree of peace. Besides Mahatma Gandhi of India, who was the subject of this column last week, we have former President of Iran Mohammad Khatami, who made a case for a ‘Dialogue of Civilizations’ rather than a ‘Clash of Civilizations’.
The time is more than ripe to take a leaf from these illustrious personalities, for, the current state of war in the Middle East has raised the possibility of a war that could transcend regional boundaries. The antagonists are obliged to exhaust all the peaceful options with the assistance of the UN system. Besides, war cannot ever have the blessings of the sane.
Features
Venerable Rahula Thera’s 35-year green mission and national Namal Uyana
It was 35 years ago, on March 28, 1991, that Venerable Rahula Thera, then a young monk, embarked on a journey to the Na forest in Ulpathagama, Palagama, in the Anuradhapura District. Today, three and a half decades later, this mission stands as living proof of the enduring bond between Buddhist philosophy and the natural world.
Marking the 35th year of this green mission, Rahula Thera’s relentless dedication has transformed the National Namal Uyana into an environmental landmark admired not only across Sri Lanka but around the globe, as well.
When studying the life of Venerable Rahula Thera, one cannot ignore the profound connection between Buddhism and the environment. Buddhism is a philosophy deeply attuned to nature. The historical use of the sacred “Na Ruka” by all four Buddhas: Mangala Buddha, Sumana Buddha, Revata Buddha, and Sobhita Buddha — for enlightenment —demonstrates that from time immemorial, Buddhism has maintained a sacred bond with the Na tree. From the birth of Siddhartha to his enlightenment, the propagation of the Dharma, and even the great Parinirvana, all of these milestones unfolded in verdant, living landscapes.
Venerable Rahula Thera did not embark on the Namal Uyana mission seeking government support or personal gain. His commitment sprang from a deep devotion to the Buddha’s teachings on grove cultivation. A grove cultivator is one who spreads compassion for nature. As the Vanaropa Sutta teaches:
Venerable Rahula Thera reclaimed Namal Uyana which was then under the control of timber smugglers and treasure hunters. The term “Wanawasi” does not merely mean living in a forest; it signifies finding rest and enlightenment through nature, free from the destructive roots of greed, sin, and delusion.
Another defining aspect of Venerable Rahula Thera’s 35-year mission is the purification of the human mind. He has consistently taught the thousands who visit Namal Uyana that a person who loves a tree will never harm another human being. As the Dhamma proclaims:
It is important to remember that Venerable Rahula Thera devoted his life, without fear, speaking the truth and taking necessary action, tirelessly advancing the national mission he began. From 1991 to the present, he has worked with every government elected by the people, maintaining impartiality and independence from political ideology. Yet, he never hesitated to raise his voice fearlessly against any individual, of any rank or party, who committed wrongdoing.
Religious and Social Mission
The National Namal Uyana is not merely a forest; it is a magnificent heritage site, dating back to ancient times. Scattered across the landscape are boundary walls, the remains of ancient monastery complexes, and stone carvings believed to date back to the reign of King Devanampiyatissa. In earlier centuries, this sacred land had served as a meditation sanctuary for hundreds of monks. The name “National Namal Uyana,” by which this ecological and archaeological treasure is known today, was introduced by Venerable Rahula Thera in 1991. The government’s later recognition of the site as the National Namal Uyana stands as a significant achievement for both religion and national heritage.
Venerable Rahula Thera is a monk who has lived a life of renunciation. A striking example of this is his decision not to assume the position of Chief Incumbent of the National Namal Uyana Viharaya, instead entrusting the temple to the Ramanna Nikaya and its trustees. In doing so, he set a precedent for the contemporary Sangha. The Thera himself stated that he was merely the trustee of Namal Uyana, not its owner.
Legacy and Continuing Inspiration
The 35th anniversary of Venerable Wanawasi Rahula Thera’s arrival at Namal Uyana is not merely the commemoration of a period of time; it is a message of nature to future generations. Through his work, the Thera revived the ancient Hela tradition of loving trees and venerating the environment as something sacred. This religious and environmental mission remains unforgettable.
The revival experienced by Namal Uyana, after the arrival of Venerable Wanawasi Rahula Thera, is beyond simple description. Some of the major accomplishments achieved under his leadership include:
* Securing and protecting the largest Rose Quartz (Rosa Thirivana) reserve in South Asia.
* Restoring the Na forest spread across hundreds of acres, providing shelter to numerous rare plants and animal species.
* Transforming the area into a living centre for environmental education, offering practical learning experiences for thousands of schoolchildren and university students.
* Drawing the attention of world leaders and international environmentalists to Sri Lanka’s unique environmental heritage.
In recognition of his immense contribution to environmental conservation, Venerable Rahula Thera was honoured with the Presidential Environment Award and the Green Award in 2004—a significant moment in his life. Yet the Thera himself has always remained devoted to the work rather than the recognition it brings, making such appreciation even more meaningful.
-
News2 days agoSenior citizens above 70 years to receive March allowances on Thursday (26)
-
Features4 days agoTrincomalee oil tank farm: An engineering marvel
-
News7 days agoCIABOC tells court Kapila gave Rs 60 mn to MR and Rs. 20 mn to Priyankara
-
Features7 days agoScience and diplomacy in a changing world
-
Features4 days agoThe scientist who was finally heard
-
News2 days agoJapanese boost to Sri J’pura Hospital, an outright gift from Tokyo during JRJ rule
-
News2 days agoCEB Engineers warn public to be prepared for power cuts after New Year
-
News6 days agoColombo, Oslo steps up efforts to strengthen bilateral cooperation in key environmental priority areas
