Business
Fitch Ratings affirms National Long-Term Rating of Dialog Axiata at ‘AAA (lka)’, Outlook Stable

The affirmation and Stable Outlook reflect Fitch’s view that Dialog will be able to maintain a credit profile commensurate with a ‘AAA(lka)’ rating in the next 12-18 months, despite lower demand for telecom services, escalating costs and a significant increase in the company’s debt amid the Sri Lankan rupee’s devaluation.
Dialog’s rating is driven by its Standalone Credit Profile (SCP) of ‘aaa(lka)’, which reflects its market leadership across mobile, pay-TV and home-broadband (HBB) segments, better execution and network capability and a solid financial profile, offset to an extent by the high exposure of its revenue to the weak Sri Lankan market.
KEY RATING DRIVERS Weak Demand in 2023: We expect Dialog’s revenue growth to slow to around 10% in 2023, from 25% in 2022, amid weakening consumer spending. Consumers are increasingly prioritising essential needs, such as food and medicine, as real income has plunged following the currency depreciation and unprecedently high inflation. Dialog faced pressure on subscriber numbers and usage minutes in 2022. Telecom operators raised voice and data tariffs by 20% and pay-TV by 25% in 2022 to pass through the escalating costs, reducing the services’ affordability.
We believe the recent increases in telecom taxes would also discourage demand as consumers now have to pay 38% tax on voice and 20% on data. Sri Lanka currently has one of the highest telecom tax structures in Asia. To mitigate its domestic market exposure, Dialog is increasingly focusing on its international businesses and enterprise clients, who are somewhat immune to the local environment. The contribution from the international business climbed to 23% in 2022, from 16%17% earlier.
Market Leadership: Dialog is the domestic market leader across mobile, pay-TV and HBB segments. The competition within the mobile segment has intensified in recent months amid the falling demand, with some of the smaller operators aggressively cutting prices. However, we do not believe such a strategy is sustainable as the smaller telcos do not have the network capability, service quality or the financial strength to compete with operators such as Dialog.
Low Profitability: We expect Dialog’s EBITDA margin to improve to around 30%32% over 2023-2024 from 28% in 2022, benefitting from the recent tariff hikes and cost rationalisation measures. Dialog’s EBITDA margin contracted by 12 percentage points in 2022 amid the high inflation and currency depreciation. Around 52% of Dialog’s direct costs are in foreign currency (FC) compared with only 30% of its revenue, exposing the company to currency volatility.
Dialog expects to streamline its costs by consolidating its facilities, optimising its network and rationalising overheads, but we do not believe this will be sufficient to improve margins to the 39%-40% levels before 2022. The low realisation of the recent tariff hikes amid the drop in usage and increased contribution from the lowmargin international business would also mean margins would remain in the low-tomid 30s range in the next few years.
High Foreign-Currency Debt: Around 91% of Dialog’s outstanding debt was in FC at end-2022. The depreciation of the rupee by almost 80% in 2022 materially increased Dialog’s FC debt exposure, while it had to raise more FC debt to fund capex amid the FC shortage in Sri Lanka. We do not believe Dialog’s current FC revenue is sufficient to meet its FC debt obligations, but the company does not have any FC debt repayments due in the next 24 months. Dialog has USD41 million in FC deposits to meet its FC interest costs of around USD12 million per year.
Balance-Sheet Restructuring: Dialog is planning to manage its currency exposure by reducing the FC debt to less than 50% of its outstanding debt by end-2023. It is considering asset monetisation and alternative funding arrangements with existing lenders to achieve a more balanced funding mix. The higher debt stock also raised Dialog’s EBITDA net leverage to 1.3x in 2022, from 0.4x in 2021. We expect leverage to remain around 1.0x until there is a sustainable recovery in margins.
Positive FCF from 2024: We expect Dialog to generate negative free cash flow (FCF) in 2023 amid low profitability and high capex. Dialog’s capex has risen due to the currency devaluation as most of the equipment is imported. Therefore, we expect capex intensity to rise to around 27% of revenue in the next few years from around 23% earlier. Capex will be spent mostly on mobile and fixed-data capacity expansion to cater to the growing demand. Dialog’s FCF should turn positive from 2024, once EBITDA margins gradually recover.
Support from Strong Parent: Our assessment of ‘Medium’ legal and strategic support incentive from its stronger parent, Axiata Group Berhad, would result in a potential two-notch uplift to its rating if its SCP were to weaken, according to our Parent and Subsidiary Linkage Rating Criteria. Axiata guaranteed around 45% of Dialog’s debt as of end-2022. The subsidiary makes a reasonably material financial contribution to the parent, with moderate long-term growth potential. The operational support incentive is ‘Weak’ due to minimal operating synergies with the parent.
Sector Outlook Deteriorating: Fitch expects the average 2023 net debt/EBITDA ratio for Dialog and fixed-line leader Sri Lanka Telecom PLC (SLT, A(lka)/Stable) to weaken to 1.4x in 2023 (2022E: 1.2x) amid weak margins and high capex. We expect sector revenue growth to slow to 8% in 2023 (2022E: 15%), while theaverage 2023 EBITDA margin for SLT and Dialog will remain flat at 32% (2021: 38% and 2022E: 32%) amid low usage and high costs.
Business
IMF warns of elevated uncertainty ahead of key economic outlook

“Trade is no longer the engine of global growth it once was”
‘Uncertainty could affect consumption and investment decisions’
By Sanath Nanayakkare
Om March 6, 2025, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) raised alarms over sustained global economic uncertainty and the disruptive effects of recent U.S. tariff measures during a press briefing, with Director of Communications Julie Kozack emphasizing the need for vigilant policy responses.
“A comprehensive analysis of these challenges will be detailed in the IMF’s World Economic Outlook (WEO) report, set for release in April,” she said.
Kozack addressed newly imposed U.S. tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China, warning of “significant adverse economic impacts” on closely integrated economies like Canada and Mexico. “Given their strong exposure to the U.S. market, sustained tariffs could disrupt trade flows and inflation dynamics,” she stated. China, Canada, and Mexico have already announced retaliatory measures, amplifying concerns about escalating trade fragmentation.
The IMF linked these developments to a broader decline in global trade growth, which has slowed from an annual average of 6% (2000–2019) to about 3% since 2022. Kozack noted that “trade is no longer the engine of global growth it once was,” citing structural shifts such as the rise of AI, changing capital flows, and geopolitical recalibrations.
Elevated uncertainty, reflected in rising volatility indices like the VIX, poses additional risks. “Sustained periods of uncertainty historically lead households and firms to delay consumption and investment decisions,” Kozack explained, stressing that prolonged uncertainty could dampen recovery efforts. Financial markets have also reacted to shifting expectations, with U.S. 10-year bond yields declining as investors reassess monetary policy trajectories.
The IMF will publish a detailed assessment of tariff impacts, uncertainty, and growth forecasts in its April World Economic Fotum (WEO). Kozack confirmed the report will include country-specific analyses through Article IV consultations and regional updates, particularly for nations most affected by trade tensions. “The findings will underscore the importance of consistent fiscal, monetary, and structural policies to navigate these headwinds,” she added.
While refraining from commenting on specific political developments, Kozack reiterated the IMF’s call for multilateral cooperation to mitigate fragmentation risks. She highlighted the institution’s role in advising governments on growth-enhancing reforms and stabilizing measures amid evolving challenges.
The April WEO is anticipated to provide critical insights for policymakers as they balance inflation control, debt sustainability, and growth in an increasingly uncertain global landscape.
Business
Lanka Hospitals marks International Women’s Day

As Lanka Hospitals Women’s Wellness Centre approaches a decade of excellence in championing women’s well-being, the hospital is marking this milestone with a momentous celebration of International Women’s Day. This special occasion highlights Lanka Hospitals’ ongoing commitment to providing world-class healthcare tailored to the unique needs of women at every stage of life.
Originally established in 2016, the Women’s Wellness Centre has been a trusted provider of comprehensive healthcare services, offering holistic screening packages and advanced diagnostic and treatment options. As it marks this significant milestone, the WWC introduces upgraded medical technologies, a broader range of specialized services, and a patient-centered approach designed to provide women with world-class healthcare in a comfortable and private setting.
“As a leader in healthcare, we are committed to continuously enhancing our services to support the well-being of women,” said Deepthi Lokuarachchi, Chief Executive Officer at Lanka Hospitals. “This re-launch is more than an upgrade—it is a renewed promise to provide accessible, high-quality, and comprehensive care to women, ensuring they receive the best medical attention at every stage of life.”
As part of the celebrations, Lanka Hospitals is making essential health screenings more accessible by offering mammograms, Pap smear testing, at significantly reduced prices. This initiative aims to encourage proactive health management and early detection, ultimately contributing to improved well-being among women. Additionally, the hospital is extending a 20% discount on hospital charges for cosmetic surgeries, further emphasizing its commitment to supporting women’s confidence and self-care.
Business
SriLankan Airlines champions gender equality with all-female crew flight

“Beyond Women’s Day, it’s going to be a year-round mission”
By Sanath Nanayakkare
On International Women’s Day, SriLankan Airlines etched a bold statement in the skies, operating a historic all-female crew flight from Colombo to Bangkok.
The journey, staffed entirely by women—from pilots to cabin crew and ground operations—symbolized the airline’s unwavering commitment to gender diversity and its vision to inspire a new generation of women in aviation.
In an exclusive interview with The Island, Deepal Perera, Manager, Corporate Communications at SriLankan Airlines, shared insights into the initiative’s significance, challenges, and the airline’s broader mission to redefine gender roles in a traditionally male-dominated industry.
He told us that it was not only a celebration of women’s talent and progress, it was also a powerful story of inclusivity in the aviation sector and how SriLankan is playing its part to contribute to it.

Cabin crew
“The flight was more than a symbolic gesture; it was a testament to the airline’s growing roster of female professionals. We have remarkable women excelling as pilots, engineers, and leaders across all departments,” Perera emphasized. “This flight celebrates their achievements and sends a clear message; aviation is a space where Sri Lankan women belong and thrive.”
When asked how the event aligns with the airline’s values, Perera highlighted consistency. “This isn’t our first all-female crew flight, and it won’t be the last. We’re committed to action, not just words, in promoting inclusivity.”
To amplify the initiative’s impact, SriLankan Airlines invited national media to document the journey, betting on storytelling to spark change. “We want young women to see these role models and think, ‘I can do this too,’” Perera explained. The airline anticipates organic engagement through social media, where stories of the crew’s professionalism and passion may resonate globally.
While competitors have hosted similar flights, Perera believes SriLankan’s sustained efforts set it apart. “Consistency is key. We’re here for the long haul—breaking barriers year after year.”
For frequent flyers, the initiative reinforces SriLankan’s reputation as a progressive brand. “Travellers today value inclusivity,” Perera noted. “This isn’t just about loyalty; it’s about aligning with a vision that empowers people.” He expressed confidence that the airline’s actions would strengthen its identity as a forward-thinking organization and would help normalize female leadership in aviation.

Deepal Perera, Manager, Corporate Communications
When asked whether organizing this flight required meticulous coordination, Perera admitted that aligning schedules and ensuring seamless execution was complex.
“Yet the experience underscored the value of early planning and transparent communication—lessons that will shape our future projects,” he added.
“As the aircraft touched down in Bangkok, it carried more than passengers—it carried a promise. For SriLankan Airlines, the flight was a microcosm of its broader mission; to prove that diversity fuels excellence,” he said.
Concluding his thoughts, Perera said,” We say to young women consider aviation, dare to dream. The cockpit, the operations control centre, the engineering bay—these are your spaces too.”
In a world where gender equality remains a journey, SriLankan Airlines is determined to keep climbing. And as this Women’s Day flight showed, the journey is evolving in its truest sense.
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