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Central Bank says inflation is on target despite food price pressures

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Dr. Chandranath Amarasekara, Director of Economic Research at the Central Bank of Sri Lanka

by Sanath Nanayakkare

While it is correct to say that the cost of living is rising particularly in terms of food prices, the Central Bank observes that inflation is well anchored broadly within the target range of 4-6 per cent, Dr. Chandranath Amarasekara, Director of Economic Research at the Central Bank of Sri Lanka told the Island Financial Review (IFR) yesterday.

IFR put this query to the Central Bank as many people are often heard complaining about rising food prices adding that there is no mechanism in place to stem it. A consumer in Delgoda told this reporter that a grocery retailer who offers best prices in the area sells Nipuna Samba at Rs.117.50 a kilo, white sugar at Rs.126 a kilo, brown sugar at Rs. 134 a kilo and canned fish Mackerel at Rs. 260 and edible B-onion at Rs. 250 a kilo though the gazetted (regulated) prices for these essential food items are much lower than that. He had bought turmeric curry powder at Rs. 300 per 100grams.

“As you have observed, cost of living is rising though non-food prices are rising slowly. Maintaining inflation in the target range does not mean that cost of living does not increase”. Dr. Amarasekara said.

Elaborating on what he termed as a nationally important subject, he said, “The Central Bank observes that inflation is well anchored broadly within the target range of 4-6 per cent. Year-on-year inflation based on the Colombo Consumer Price Index (CCPI) was at 4.8 per cent at end 2019 and remained at 4.0 per cent by October 2020. Year-on-year inflation based on the National Consumer Price Index (NCPI), which was at 6.2 per cent at end 2019, remained higher at 6.4 per cent by September 2020”.

“The above figures show that there is indeed inflation, displaying that cost of living is rising at these rates on average. For example, compared to prices of the representative consumption basket last year, prices are 4.0 per cent higher in October 2020 if you consider the CCPI basket. If you compare the NCPI basket, average prices are 6.4 per cent higher. However, what the Central Bank is aiming to do is to maintain these increases on average between 4-6 per cent on a year-on-year basis. From what we know from the Sri Lankan experience as well as experiences of other countries is that excessive inflation as well as deflation is not good for an economy, and this is why the Central Bank aims to maintain inflation between 4-6 per cent”.

“When you compare CCPI and NCPI, you will also notice that inflation is higher at the national level than in Colombo. This is because the food category in the consumption basket is relatively small in Colombo – people spend more on other goods – compared to the national average. You see that food prices have remained at high levels, and this is what people mostly feel as high inflation. In fact, if you consider food inflation in the CCPI basket, it was 6.3 per cent at end 2019, but was at 10 per cent in October 2020. Food inflation in terms of NCPI, which was 8.6 per cent at end 2019 has risen to 12.7 per cent by September 2020. Throughout 2020, food inflation has remained at double digit levels,” he said.

“The government is monitoring food inflation closely and has taken several measures to regulate prices of food supplies. In addition, the ongoing drive to promote domestic food production will also result in considerable gains in the period ahead, thereby allowing food inflation to subside”, Dr. Amarasekara said.

Meanwhile, a resident at Mount Lavinia told the IFR that retail grocery shops in the area face a supply disruption due to the prevailing situation in the country which has obviously led to increases in food prices.

A resident in Kottawa said,” Grocery shops here don’t have samba rice. They have enough stocks of Keeri Samba sold at Rs. 120 a kilo”.



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Sri Lanka sees silver lining in ties with Russia and Britain amid Middle East shocks

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As geopolitical tensions in the Middle East continue to unsettle global energy and trade flows, Sri Lanka appears to be finding a degree of resilience by deepening economic engagement with partners such as Russia and the United Kingdom.

Recent diplomatic and trade developments suggest Colombo is positioning itself to benefit from both energy cooperation with Moscow and expanded export opportunities in the British market, potentially softening the impact of external shocks on its fragile economy.

During talks in Colombo last week, Foreign Minister Vijitha Herath met visiting Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Andrey Rudenko, with both sides reaffirming their commitment to strengthening bilateral ties.

Rudenko has described the island as a long-standing friend of Russia and pledged support in several key areas, including oil supplies, investment promotion, and tourism cooperation.

The assurance of energy support comes at a time when global oil markets remain volatile due to geopolitical tensions and shifting sanctions regimes. Russia indicated it was prepared to assist Sri Lanka with oil supplies if needed, though Rudenko earlier clarified at a policy discussion that Moscow prefers long-term contractual supply arrangements rather than short-term spot deals arising from temporary market disruptions.

For Sri Lanka, which has faced severe fuel shortages in the recent past, such arrangements could offer greater stability in energy procurement during periods of global uncertainty.

Russia also signalled interest in encouraging its investors to explore opportunities in Sri Lanka and increasing tourist arrivals, while expressing readiness to provide compensation for Sri Lankan war veterans who lost their lives while serving in Russia’s war against Ukraine.

Colombo, in turn, emphasized the historic nature of the relationship. Herath noted that the two countries share nearly seven decades of diplomatic ties, adding that the current moment presents an opportunity to expand cooperation through longer-term trade and economic agreements.

While Russia offers potential relief on the energy front, Sri Lanka is simultaneously gaining a competitive edge in exports through new trade arrangements with Britain.

Under the revised Developing Countries Trading Scheme (DCTS) introduced by the United Kingdom in January 2026, Sri Lanka’s apparel sector – the country’s largest export industry – stands to benefit significantly.

The scheme eases rules of origin requirements, allowing exporters greater flexibility in sourcing raw materials while still maintaining preferential access to the UK market. For Sri Lankan manufacturers, particularly small and medium-sized enterprises, this change addresses a longstanding constraint that had limited their ability to compete with larger regional producers.

Industry participants say the reform could improve pricing competitiveness, shorten production lead times, and allow exporters to respond more effectively to the fast-moving demands of global apparel buyers.

Apparel exporter Joe Jayawardena noted that while the scheme provides duty concessions for developing economies, its most valuable feature is the commercial flexibility it offers producers. With more freedom in sourcing fabrics and inputs, Sri Lankan exporters can negotiate more effectively on price, delivery schedules and product specifications – factors that often determine whether orders are secured in the global fashion supply chain.

For Sri Lanka’s economy, the convergence of these developments could provide a modest but important buffer against global turbulence.

Energy cooperation with Russia may help stabilise supply during volatile periods, while enhanced access to the British market could strengthen export momentum in one of Sri Lanka’s most important trading sectors.

An independent economic analyst told this reporter that the offers coming from both countries would be widely welcomed in Sri Lanka, as they are driven primarily by mutual trade interests rather than by deeper strategic or political considerations.

By Sanath Nanayakkare

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John Keells Foundation marks its 21st anniversary with a redesigned website and new Volunteer App

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Krishan Balendra, Chairperson of the John Keells Group launches the redesigned website

John Keells Foundation (JKF), the Corporate Social Responsibility (CSR) entity of the John Keells Group, announced the unveiling of its redesigned website and plans to launch a new Volunteer App as it marked its 21st anniversary of incorporation on 28th March 2026.

The redesigned website was symbolically launched by Krishan Balendra, Chairperson of the John Keells Group, in the presence of the JKF’s Management Committee comprising the Group Head of CSR, JKF Project Champions, Sector CSR Coordinators, the JKF team and associated Centre functions personnel.

 Speaking at the website launch, Krishan Balendra said, “I am happy to note features in the redesigned website which amplify the voices of beneficiaries and partners and ease overall navigation, strengthening how JKF connects with our multiple stakeholders. Meanwhile, the new Volunteer App has potential to reach our 15,000+ employees through a dynamic and personalised interface and critically enhance Group-wide data collation and reporting on volunteerism. Both these innovations are meaningful ways of marking JKF’s 21st year, demonstrating how JKF continues to evolve strategically.”

Established in 2005 as a pioneer CSR entity in Sri Lanka, JKF has over the past 21 years, evolved as a dominant force in corporate responsibility, demonstrating how corporates can play a pivotal role in social development through a multi-stakeholder approach. JKF’s dedicated website has since its launch in 2016 served as a vital platform to communicate its wide‑ranging initiatives implemented under the John Keells CSR vision of `Empowering the Nation for Tomorrow’.

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IBH Real Estate celebrates six years of growth

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Romesh Abeysekera

IBH Real Estate marks six years in business this year, having grown from a modest venture founded in 2020 by Romesh Abeysekera into a trusted name in Sri Lanka’s property sector.

The company has built a reputation for serving high-net-worth individuals and investors, particularly in the luxury segment, while offering advisory and legal support beyond standard brokerage.

Abeysekera said the firm’s progress has been driven by trust and long-term client relationships. IBH has also attracted growing international interest in Sri Lanka’s real estate market, bridging local expertise with global investor expectations. The company aims to further strengthen its industry position moving forward.

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