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Brain-drain reality check: Fighting the wrong battle

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How institutional misunderstanding of professional migration undermines effective policy responses

At recent forums, heads of Sri Lanka’s major research institutions and the Secretary of the Ministry of Science and Technology have sounded urgent alarms about the country’s “brain drain crisis.” Their diagnosis: Professional migration is devastating the economy. Their prescription: More research grants and making Sri Lanka “more conducive” to retain talent.

But this institutional narrative crumbles when confronted with empirical evidence and the actual motivations driving professional migration. The result is policy myopia; a short-sighted approach to policymaking, where decision-makers focus on immediate or short-term goals without adequately considering long-term consequences, broader systemic impacts, or the complexity of the issues involved. This approach not only misses the real dynamics at play but forecloses strategic opportunities that countries like India, China, and Ireland have successfully exploited.

What the Data Actually Shows

Recent econometric research (a working paper) analysing 25 years of Sri Lankan migration data (1999-2023) reveals a striking paradox (Figure 1). This finding aligns with several global evidence which consistently shows that the macroeconomic consequences of skilled migration are modest and highly context-dependent.

The reason? Remittance flows and diaspora contributions systematically offset productivity losses. In 2023, Sri Lankan migrants remitted nearly USD 6 billion—a figure that dwarfs calculated productivity losses from professional emigration.

The Real Migration Drivers

The institutional claim that professionals migrate because Sri Lanka is “not conducive” collapses when confronted with actual migrant motivations revealed through systematic interviews:

Educational Investment : Parents consistently cite children’s education as the primary driver. A medical officer leaving for Australia explained: “I want my daughter to access world-class universities without ultra-competitive local entrance exams. She can pursue marine biology—a field that barely exists here.” Research grants cannot compete with global educational opportunities.

Professional Development : Engineers seek exposure to projects impossible in Sri Lanka’s limited market. “I wanted to work on renewable energy infrastructure worth billions,” noted one departing civil engineer. “The largest project I could access here was maybe Rs. 300 million ($1 million).” Similarly, academics pursue PhD opportunities in fields that don’t exist in any Sri Lankan university.

Engineers consistently mention exposure to cutting-edge technology and project scales impossible in Sri Lanka. “I wanted to work on renewable energy infrastructure projects worth billions,” noted a civil engineer now in Dubai. “The largest project I could access here was maybe $50 million.”

Similarly, academics seek PhD opportunities and research environments that dwarf anything available domestically. A departing lecturer explained: “I can complete my doctorate at Cambridge in computational neuroscience—a field that doesn’t exist in any Sri Lankan university. How is that about ‘conduciveness’?”

Pragmatic Life Planning : Perhaps most revealing are the pragmatic considerations that institutional leaders prefer to ignore:

Passport Power : A significant number seek dual citizenship specifically for travel freedom. “With an Australian passport, I can travel to 185 countries visa-free. With Sri Lankan citizenship alone, it’s maybe 10,” explained a departing IT professional. Research grants don’t address this reality.

Healthcare Security : Professionals in their 40s and 50s increasingly cite access to advanced medical treatment as they age. “If I develop cancer at 65, I want access to the best oncology centres globally. That requires residency rights abroad,” noted a departing accountant.

Retirement Planning : Many professionals view migration as retirement security. “My superannuation in Sydney will be worth more than my entire EPF and career savings combined,” calculated a departing engineer.

Economic Mobility : The wealth accumulation differential remains stark. A nurse in the UK can purchase property within 3-5 years that would take 25-30 years to afford in Colombo on local salaries.

These represent rational life planning decisions, not character deficiencies or lack of patriotism.

The Methodological Problems

The officials’ analytical approach reveals concerning flaws. Comparing percentages with dollar amounts, ignoring remittance flows, and dismissing international research on brain circulation demonstrates troubling disconnection from evidence-based policymaking.

At a deeper level, their analysis is shaped by what’s called “institutional framing bias”—this means they automatically treat professional migration as a total loss for the country, without considering any possible benefits. This kind of thinking leads to what economists refer to as a “discourse-reality gap”: a mismatch between how the issue is talked about and what’s actually happening. As a result, it becomes harder to develop smart, forward-looking policies.

Many analyses of professional migration are shaped by what’s known as “institutional framing bias”—a tendency to view the departure of skilled workers as a total national loss, without considering any potential benefits such as remittances, knowledge exchange, or global networks. This narrow framing leads to what economists call a “discourse-reality gap”: a disconnect between how the issue is discussed and what is actually happening on the ground.

Moreover, institutional leaders fundamentally mischaracterise the economics by treating education and training expenses, along with infrastructure investments, as recoverable losses when professionals serve here. These represent sunk costs—expenses already incurred regardless of future migration decisions. The infrastructure remains, serving other professionals and students; the educational capacity continues operating.

The marginal economic contribution of retaining a specific professional—through taxes and direct service provision—often proves modest compared to alternative contributions through remittances and diaspora investment. A migrant doctor may contribute more to Sri Lanka’s economy annually through remittances than through domestic tax payments and rural healthcare services.

Treating sunk costs as recoverable losses represents elementary economic confusion that distorts cost-benefit analysis and leads to misguided policy responses focused on impossible ‘recovery’ rather than strategic optimization of actual economic flows.

The Research Grant Illusion and Economic Misunderstanding

The proposed solution—more research grants—reflects profound misunderstanding of migration drivers. Against 10-15x salary differentials, superior working conditions, and access to cutting-edge infrastructure, modest research grants function as token gestures rather than serious retention strategies.

This approach ignores the scale mismatch: individual professionals can earn more in annual salary increases abroad than entire institutional research budgets provide domestically. Token allocations cannot compete with structural opportunity differentials.

More fundamentally, institutional leaders misrepresent basic economic principles when calculating migration “costs.” They routinely include education and training expenses, infrastructure investments, and institutional capacity building as recoverable losses if professionals emigrate.

This represents a fundamental confusion between sunk costs and opportunity costs. Education expenses incurred training a doctor or engineer are sunk costs—already spent regardless of future migration decisions. Similarly, university infrastructure, hospital equipment, and research facilities represent fixed costs that continue serving remaining populations whether specific individuals migrate or not.

The economic reality is stark: keeping a professional domestically might generate modest tax revenue and direct service provision, but these marginal benefits often pale compared to remittance contributions and diaspora investment flows. A migrant doctor might contribute more to Sri Lanka’s economy through annual remittances than through domestic tax payments and public service provision.

Treating sunk costs as recoverable losses fundamentally misrepresents economic reality and leads to misguided policy responses that ignore actual cost-benefit calculations.

The Strategic Opportunity Cost

Contemporary migration research reveals that skilled professionals increasingly operate through circulation rather than permanent departure. Many migrate with 15–20-year strategic plans including eventual return with enhanced capabilities. Digital connectivity enables continuous engagement despite physical absence—maintaining research collaborations, mentorship networks, and institutional linkages.

This suggests migration can function as strategic human capital internationalisation rather than permanent loss. Countries like India leveraged IT professional mobility to build global networks that subsequently drove domestic technology sector growth. China’s return migration programmes converted temporary departures into permanent competitive advantages.

Sri Lanka’s institutional discourse, however, remains trapped in binary thinking: Migration as either absolute loss to be prevented or unavoidable problem to be endured. This perspective forecloses sophisticated strategies that could convert migration from net cost to net benefit.

Rather than futile prevention efforts, effective policy would be structured temporary migration pathways while maintaining diaspora engagement through digital platforms and professional networks. Need to recognise different professional categories have distinct migration patterns and impact mechanisms requiring tailored responses. Need to focus on governance and systemic improvements rather than cosmetic funding increases that fail to address fundamental structural constraints.

Most importantly, Embrace Brain Circulation: Develop return incentives and project-based collaboration mechanisms that harness internationally acquired expertise without requiring permanent repatriation.

The Reverse Migration Reality

The officials’ narrative also fails to explain documented patterns of return migration, however modest. If Sri Lanka were simply “unconducive,” why do some professionals return? The evidence suggests complex decision-making involving life-cycle considerations, family obligations, strategic career planning, and maybe some flavour of patriotic motives that defies simplistic explanations.

This reverse flow, combined with continuous diaspora engagement, indicates migration operates through more sophisticated mechanisms than institutional leaders acknowledge.

Conclusion: Fighting Yesterday’s Battle

The empirical evidence suggests Sri Lankan institutional leaders are addressing 20th-century problems with 19th-century understanding. Professional migration in the digital age operates through circulation mechanisms that can enhance rather than diminish long-term development prospects—when properly managed.

The choice is not between retaining all professionals or losing them forever. The choice is between strategic optimisation of human capital mobility or continued policy myopia that forecloses development opportunities.

Research grants and vague “conduciveness” improvements cannot compete with global opportunity differentials, legitimate family aspirations, and rational life planning decisions. Recognising this reality is the first step toward developing policy responses appropriate to contemporary migration dynamics.

Sri Lanka’s professionals will continue to migrate regardless of institutional pronouncements. Whether the country converts this reality into development advantage depends on abandoning failed prevention strategies and embracing evidence-based policy innovation.

The institutional leaders’ current approach represents not just policy failure, but strategic opportunity cost that Sri Lanka can ill afford.

(The writer, a senior Chartered Accountant and professional banker, is Professor at SLIIT, Malabe. The views and opinions expressed in this article are personal.)



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Trade preferences to support post-Ditwah reconstruction

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Ditwah disaster

The manner in which the government succeeded in mobilising support from the international community, immediately after the devastating impact of Cyclone Ditwah, may have surprised many people of this country, particularly because our Opposition politicians were ridiculing our “inexperienced” government, in the recent past, for its inability to deal with the international community effectively. However, by now it is evident that the government, with the assistance of the international community and local nongovernmental actors, like major media organisations, has successfully managed the recovery efforts. So, let me begin by thanking them for what they have done so far.

Yet, some may argue that it is not difficult to mobilise the support for recovery efforts from the international community, immediately after any major disaster, and the real challenge is to sustain that support through the next few weeks, months and years. Because the recovery process, more specifically the post-recovery reconstruction process, requires long-term support. So, the government agencies should start immediately to focus on, in addition to initial disaster relief, a longer-term strategy for reconstruction. This is important because in a few weeks’ time, the focus of the global community may shift elsewhere … to another crisis in another corner of the world. Before that happens, the government should take initiatives to get the support from development partners on appropriate policy measures, including exceptional trade preferences, to help Sri Lanka in the recovery efforts through the medium and the long term.

Use of Trade Preferences to support recovery and reconstruction

In the past, the United States and the European Union used exceptional enhanced trade preferences as part of the assistance packages when countries were devastated by natural disasters, similar to Cyclone Ditwah. For example:

  • After the devastating floods in Pakistan, in July 2010, the EU granted temporary, exceptional trade preferences to Pakistan (autonomous trade preferences) to aid economic recovery. This measure was a de facto waiver on the standard EU GSP (Generalised Scheme of Preferences) rules. The preferences, which were proposed in October 2010 and were applied until the end of 2013, effectively suspended import duties on 75 types of goods, including textiles and apparel items. The available studies on this waiver indicate that though a significant export hike occurred within a few months after the waiver became effective it did not significantly depress exports by competing countries. Subsequently, Pakistan was granted GSP+ status in 2014.

  • Similarly, after the 2015 earthquakes in Nepal, the United States supported Nepal through an extension of unilateral additional preferences, the Nepal Trade Preferences Programme (NTPP). This was a 10-year initiative to grant duty-free access for up to 77 specific Nepali products to aid economic recovery after the 2015 earthquakes. This was also a de facto waiver on the standard US GSP rules.
  • Earlier, after Hurricanes Mitch and Georges caused massive devastation across the Caribbean Basin nations, in 1998, severely impacting their economies, the United States proposed a long-term strategy for rebuilding the region that focused on trade enhancement. This resulted in the establishment of the US Caribbean Basin Trade Partnership Act (CBTPA), which was signed into law on 05 October, 2000, as Title II of the Trade and Development Act of 2000. This was a more comprehensive facility than those which were granted to Pakistan and Nepal.

What type of concession should Sri Lanka request from our development partners?

Given these precedents, it is appropriate for Sri Lanka to seek specific trade concessions from the European Union and the United States.

In the European Union, Sri Lanka already benefits from the GSP+ scheme. Under this arrangement Sri Lanka’s exports (theoretically) receive duty-free access into the EU markets. However, in 2023, Sri Lanka’s preference utilisation rate, that is, the ratio of preferential imports to GSP+ eligible imports, stood at 59%. This was significantly below the average utilisation of other GSP beneficiary countries. For example, in 2023, preference utilisation rates for Bangladesh and Pakistan were 90% and 88%, respectively. The main reason for the low utilisation rate of GSP by Sri Lanka is the very strict Rules of Origin requirements for the apparel exports from Sri Lanka. For example, to get GSP benefits, a woven garment from Sri Lanka must be made from fabric that itself had undergone a transformation from yarn to fabric in Sri Lanka or in another qualifying country. However, a similar garment from Bangladesh only requires a single-stage processing (that is, fabric to garment) qualifies for GSP. As a result, less than half of Sri Lanka’s apparel exports to the EU were ineligible for the preferences in 2023.

Sri Lanka should request a relaxation of this strict rule of origin to help economic recovery. As such a concession only covers GSP Rules of Origin only it would impact multilateral trade rules and would not require WTO approval. Hence could be granted immediately by the EU.

United States

Sri Lanka should submit a request to the United States for (a) temporary suspension of the recently introduced 20% additional ad valorem duty and (b) for a programme similar to the Nepal Trade Preferences Programme (NTPP), but designed specifically for Sri Lanka’s needs. As NTPP didn’t require WTO approval, similar concessions also can be granted without difficulty.

Similarly, country-specific requests should be carefully designed and submitted to Japan and other major trading partners.

(The writer is a retired public servant and can be reached at senadhiragomi@gmail.com)

by Gomi Senadhira

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Lasting power and beauty of words

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Novelists, poets, short story writers, lyricists, politicians and columnists use words for different purposes. While some of them use words to inform and elevate us, others use them to bolster their ego. If there was no such thing called words, we cannot even imagine what will happen to us. Whether you like it or not everything rests on words. If the Penal Code does not define a crime and prescribe a punishment, judges will not be able to convict criminals. Even the Constitution of our country is a printed document.

A mother’s lullaby contains snatches of sweet and healing words. The effect is immediate. The baby falls asleep within seconds. A lover’s soft and alluring words go right into his or her beloved. An army commander’s words encourage soldiers to go forward without fear. The British wartime Prime Minister Winston Churchill’s words still ring in our ears: “… we shall defend our Island, whatever the cost may be, we shall fight on the beaches, we shall fight on the landing grounds, we shall fight in the fields and in the streets, we shall fight in the hills; we shall never surrender …”

Writers wax eloquent on love. English novelist John Galsworthy wrote: “Love is no hot-house flower, but a wild plant, born of a wet night, born of an hour of sunshine; sprung from wild seed, blown along the road by a wild wind. A wild plant that, when it blooms by chance within the hedge of our gardens, we call a flower; and when it blooms outside we call a weed; but flower or weed, whose scent and colour are always wild.” While living in a world dominated by technology, we often hear a bunch of words that is colourless and often cut to verbal ribbons – “How R U” or “Luv U.” Such words seem to squeeze the life out of language.

Changing medium

Language is a constantly changing medium. New words and forms arrive and old ones die out. Whoever thought that the following Sinhala words would find a place in the Oxford English Dictionary? “Asweddumize, Avurudu, Baila, Kiribath, Kottu Roti, Mallung, Osari, Papare, Walawwa and Watalappan.” With all such borrowed words the English language is expanding and remains beautiful. The language helps us to express subtle ideas clearly and convincingly.

You are judged by the words you use. If you constantly use meaningless little phrases, you will be considered a worthless person. When you read a well-written piece of writing you will note how words jump and laugh on the paper or screen. Some of them wag their tails while others stand back like shy village belles. However, they serve a useful purpose. Words help us to write essays, poems, short stories and novels. If not for the beauty of the language, nobody will read what you write.

If you look at the words meaningfully, you will see some of them tap dancing while others stand to rigid attention. Big or small, all the words you pen form part of the action or part of the narrative. The words you write make your writing readable and exciting. That is why we read our favourite authors again and again.

Editorials

If a marriage is to succeed, partners should respect and love each other. Similarly, if you love words, they will help you to use them intelligently and forcefully. A recent survey in the United States has revealed that only eight per cent of people read the editorial. This is because most editorials are not readable. However, there are some editorials which compel us to read them. Some readers collect such editorials to be read later.

Only a lover of words would notice how some words run smoothly without making a noise. Other words appear to be dancing on the floor. Some words of certain writers are soothing while others set your blood pounding. There is a young monk who is preaching using simple words very effectively. He has a large following of young people addicted to drugs. After listening to his preaching, most of them have given up using illegal drugs. The message is loud and clear. If there is no demand for drugs, nobody will smuggle them into the country.

Some politicians use words so rounded at the edges and softened by wear that they are no longer interesting. The sounds they make are meaningless and listeners get more and more confused. Their expressions are full of expletives the meaning of which is often soiled with careless use of words.

Weather-making

Some words, whether written or spoken, stick like superglue. You will never forget them. William Vergara in his short essay on weather-making says, “Cloud-seeding has touched off one of the most baffling controversies in meteorological history. It has been blamed for or credited with practically all kinds of weather. Some scientists claim seeding can produce floods and hail. Others insist it creates droughts and dissipates clouds. Still others staunchly maintain it has no effect at all. The battle is far from over, but at last one clear conclusion is beginning to emerge: man can change the weather, and he is getting better at it.”

There are words that nurse the ego and heal the heart. The following short paragraph is a good example. S. Radhakrishnan says, “In every religion today we have small minorities who see beyond the horizon of their particular faith, not through religious fellowship is possible, not through the imposition of any one way on the whole but through an all-inclusive recognition that we are all searchers for the truth, pilgrims on the road, that we all aim at the same ethical and spiritual standard.”

There are some words joined together in common phrases. They are so beautiful that they elevate the human race. In the phrase ‘beyond a shadow of doubt’, ‘a shadow’ connotes a dark area covering light. ‘A doubt’ refers to hesitancy in belief. We use such phrases blithely because they are exquisitely beautiful in their structure. The English language is a repository of such miracles of expression that lead to deeper understanding or emphasis.

Social media

Social media use words powerfully. Sometimes they invent new words. Through the social media you can reach millions of viewers without the intervention of the government. Their opinion can stop wars and destroy tyrants. If you use the right words, you can even eliminate poverty to a great extent.

The choice of using powerful words is yours. However, before opening your mouth, tap the computer, unclip a pen, write a lyric or poem, think twice of the effect of your writing. When you talk with a purpose or write with pleasure, you enrich listeners and readers with your marvellous language skills. If you have a command of the language, you will put across your point of view that counts. Always try to find the right words and change the world for a better place for us to live.

By R. S. Karunaratne
karunaratners@gmail.com

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Why Sri Lanka Still Has No Doppler Radar – and Who Should Be Held Accountable

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Eighteen Years of Delay:

Cyclone Ditwah has come and gone, leaving a trail of extensive damage to the country’s infrastructure, including buildings, roads, bridges, and 70% of the railway network. Thousands of hectares of farming land have been destroyed. Last but not least, nearly 1,000 people have lost their lives, and more than two million people have been displaced. The visuals uploaded to social media platforms graphically convey the widespread destruction Cyclone Ditwah has caused in our country.

The purpose of my article is to highlight, for the benefit of readers and the general public, how a project to establish a Doppler Weather Radar system, conceived in 2007, remains incomplete after 18 years. Despite multiple governments, shifting national priorities, and repeated natural disasters, the project remains incomplete.

Over the years, the National Audit Office, the Committee on Public Accounts (COPA), and several print and electronic media outlets have highlighted this failure. The last was an excellent five-minute broadcast by Maharaja Television Network on their News First broadcast in October 2024 under a series “What Happened to Sri Lanka”

The Agreement Between the Government of Sri Lanka and the World Meteorological Organisation in 2007.

The first formal attempt to establish a Doppler Radar system dates back to a Trust Fund agreement signed on 24 May 2007 between the Government of Sri Lanka (GoSL) and the World Meteorological Organisation (WMO). This agreement intended to modernize Sri Lanka’s meteorological infrastructure and bring the country on par with global early-warning standards.

The World Meteorological Organisation (WMO) is a specialized agency of the United Nations established on March 23, 1950. There are 193 member countries of the WMO, including Sri Lanka. Its primary role is to promote the establishment of a worldwide meteorological observation system and to serve as the authoritative voice on the state and behaviour of the Earth’s atmosphere, its interaction with the oceans, and the resulting climate and water resources.

According to the 2018 Performance Audit Report compiled by the National Audit Office, the GoSL entered into a trust fund agreement with the WMO to install a Doppler Radar System. The report states that USD 2,884,274 was deposited into the WMO bank account in Geneva, from which the Department of Metrology received USD 95,108 and an additional USD 113,046 in deposit interest. There is no mention as to who actually provided the funds. Based on available information, WMO does not fund projects of this magnitude.

The WMO was responsible for procuring the radar equipment, which it awarded on 18th June 2009 to an American company for USD 1,681,017. According to the audit report, a copy of the purchase contract was not available.

Monitoring the agreement’s implementation was assigned to the Ministry of Disaster Management, a signatory to the trust fund agreement. The audit report details the members of the steering committee appointed by designation to oversee the project. It consisted of personnel from the Ministry of Disaster Management, the Departments of Metrology, National Budget, External Resources and the Disaster Management Centre.

The Audit Report highlights failures in the core responsibilities that can be summarized as follows:

· Procurement irregularities—including flawed tender processes and inadequate technical evaluations.

· Poor site selection

—proposed radar sites did not meet elevation or clearance requirements.

· Civil works delays

—towers were incomplete or structurally unsuitable.

· Equipment left unused

—in some cases for years, exposing sensitive components to deterioration.

· Lack of inter-agency coordination

—between the Meteorology Department, Disaster Management Centre, and line ministries.

Some of the mistakes highlighted are incomprehensible. There is a mention that no soil test was carried out before the commencement of the construction of the tower. This led to construction halting after poor soil conditions were identified, requiring a shift of 10 to 15 meters from the original site. This resulted in further delays and cost overruns.

The equipment supplier had identified that construction work undertaken by a local contractor was not of acceptable quality for housing sensitive electronic equipment. No action had been taken to rectify these deficiencies. The audit report states, “It was observed that the delay in constructing the tower and the lack of proper quality were one of the main reasons for the failure of the project”.

In October 2012, when the supplier commenced installation, the work was soon abandoned after the vehicle carrying the heavy crane required to lift the radar equipment crashed down the mountain. The next attempt was made in October 2013, one year later. Although the equipment was installed, the system could not be operationalised because electronic connectivity was not provided (as stated in the audit report).

In 2015, following a UNOPS (United Nations Office for Project Services) inspection, it was determined that the equipment needed to be returned to the supplier because some sensitive electronic devices had been damaged due to long-term disuse, and a further 1.5 years had elapsed by 2017, when the equipment was finally returned to the supplier. In March 2018, the estimated repair cost was USD 1,095,935, which was deemed excessive, and the project was abandoned.

COPA proceedings

The Committee on Public Accounts (COPA) discussed the radar project on August 10, 2023, and several press reports state that the GOSL incurred a loss of Rs. 78 million due to the project’s failure. This, I believe, is the cost of constructing the Tower. It is mentioned that Rs. 402 million had been spent on the radar system, of which Rs. 323 million was drawn from the trust fund established with WMO. It was also highlighted that approximately Rs. 8 million worth of equipment had been stolen and that the Police and the Bribery and Corruption Commission were investigating the matter.

JICA support and project stagnation

Despite the project’s failure with WMO, the Japan International Cooperation Agency (JICA) entered into an agreement with GOSL on June 30, 2017 to install two Doppler Radar Systems in Puttalam and Pottuvil. JICA has pledged 2.5 billion Japanese yen (LKR 3.4 billion at the time) as a grant. It was envisaged that the project would be completed in 2021.

Once again, the perennial delays that afflict the GOSL and bureaucracy have resulted in the groundbreaking ceremony being held only in December 2024. The delay is attributed to the COVID-19 pandemic and Sri Lanka’s economic crisis.

The seven-year delay between the signing of the agreement and project commencement has led to significant cost increases, forcing JICA to limit the project to installing only one Doppler Radar system in Puttalam.

Impact of the missing radar during Ditwah

As I am not a meteorologist and do not wish to make a judgment on this, I have decided to include the statement issued by JICA after the groundbreaking ceremony on December 24, 2024.

In partnership with the Department of Meteorology (DoM), JICA is spearheading the establishment of the Doppler Weather Radar Network in the Puttalam district, which can realize accurate weather observation and weather prediction based on the collected data by the radar. This initiative is a significant step in strengthening Sri Lanka’s improving its climate resilience including not only reducing risks of floods, landslides, and drought but also agriculture and fishery“.

Based on online research, a Doppler Weather Radar system is designed to observe weather systems in real time. While the technical details are complex, the system essentially provides localized, uptotheminute information on rainfall patterns, storm movements, and approaching severe weather. Countries worldwide rely on such systems to issue timely alerts for monsoons, tropical depressions, and cyclones. It is reported that India has invested in 30 Doppler radar systems, which have helped minimize the loss of life.

Without radar, Sri Lanka must rely primarily on satellite imagery and foreign meteorological centres, which cannot capture the finescale, rapidly changing weather patterns that often cause localized disasters here.

The general consensus is that, while no single system can prevent natural disasters, an operational Doppler Radar almost certainly would have strengthened Sri Lanka’s preparedness and reduced the extent of damage and loss.

Conclusion

Sri Lanka’s inability to commission a Doppler Radar system, despite nearly two decades of attempts, represents one of the most significant governance failures in the country’s disastermanagement history.

Audit findings, parliamentary oversight proceedings, and donor records all confirm the same troubling truth: Sri Lanka has spent public money, signed international agreements, received foreign assistance, and still has no operational radar. This raises a critical question: should those responsible for this prolonged failure be held legally accountable?

Now may not be the time to determine the extent to which the current government and bureaucrats failed the people. I believe an independent commission comprising foreign experts in disaster management from India and Japan should be appointed, maybe in six months, to identify failures in managing Cyclone Ditwah.

However, those who governed the country from 2007 to 2024 should be held accountable for their failures, and legal action should be pursued against the politicians and bureaucrats responsible for disaster management for their failure to implement the 2007 project with the WMO successfully.

Sri Lanka cannot afford another 18 years of delay. The time for action, transparency, and responsibility has arrived.

(The views and opinions expressed in this article are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the policy or position of any organization or institution with which the author is affiliated).

By Sanjeewa Jayaweera

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