Business
ADB urges SL to accelerate recovery with fiscal discipline and global trade shifts
Recommends prudent policy choices and regional collaboration
The Asian Development Bank (ADB) has highlighted Sri Lanka’s economic recovery as exceeding initial expectations in its Asian Development Outlook April 2025 report, but cautioned that the rebound remains fragile, with significant risks posed by global trade tensions, fiscal pressures, and unresolved debt vulnerabilities.
The following are some key highlights from the report:
Sri Lanka’s economy is projected to grow at a moderate pace in 2025–2026, driven by broad-based improvements. However, domestic demand is expected to stay sluggish, reflecting lingering challenges from the country’s recent economic crisis. While fiscal consolidation efforts remain on track bolstered by stronger-than-anticipated revenue. With that said, however, the ADB warned that under-execution of capital spending or a loss of reform momentum could derail progress.

Takafumi Kadono, ADB Country Director for Sri Lanka, brings profound expertise in both macro and microeconomic dynamics, steering transformative development support tailored to Sri Lanka’s evolving needs
After a period of deflation, Sri Lanka’s inflation is forecast to rise in 2025 due to higher electricity tariffs, relaxed import restrictions, wage hikes, and exchange rate depreciation. The government’s commitment to fiscal discipline faces pressure from potential expenditure increases, even as external debt interest payments resume, pushing the current account into deficit.
The ADB’s analysis of new US tariffs, identifies Sri Lanka as vulnerable to trade disruptions. Key risks include:
Sri Lankan exporters, particularly in sectors with thin profit margins, face order cancellations and profit losses.
Competitors like India, Malaysia, and Mexico—benefiting from lower US tariffs—could attract investment away from Sri Lanka.
Full implementation of tariffs could slash GDP growth by depressing exports, manufacturing, and investor confidence, while raising unemployment and fiscal strains.
To mitigate risks, the ADB urges Sri Lanka to diversify export markets and products. Opportunities include expanding into niche EU markets and Asian regional partners, as well as boosting high-value sectors like electronics. Strengthening regional cooperation and accelerating structural reforms could enhance resilience.
Despite progress under its IMF program, Sri Lanka’s debt burden remains “high,” requiring sustained reforms to stabilise public finances. The ADB emphasised that fiscal reversals or delays in restructuring could undermine macroeconomic stability.
While South Asia remains the fastest growing subregion fueled by India’s robust domestic demand, Sri Lanka’s trajectory is distinct, marked by post-crisis recovery challenges. Developing Asia’s overall growth is moderating due to US-China trade tensions and China’s property sector woes, further complicating Sri Lanka’s external environment.
“Sri Lanka’s recovery is commendable but incomplete,” the report states. “Accelerating reforms, safeguarding fiscal discipline, and diversifying trade partnerships are critical to navigating global headwinds and ensuring long-term stability.”
As Sri Lanka balances optimism with fragility, the ADB’s outlook underscores the urgency of maintaining reform momentum while preparing for escalating external risks. The path to sustained recovery, concludes, hinges on prudent policy choices and regional collaboration.
By Sanath Nanayakkare
Business
Foreign Minister defends India pacts, sidesteps transparency demand
In a press conference marked by both clarity and pointed omission, Foreign Affairs and Tourism Minister Vijitha Herath, yesterday offered a robust defence of two controversial bilateral agreements with India but conspicuously avoided committing to tabling their full texts in Parliament.
The minister’s appearance, billed as a year-opening briefing, took a sharp turn when questioned on the strategic implications of the India-Sri Lanka Defence Cooperation Agreement and Sri Lanka’s acceptance of the Indian Pharmacopoeia.
“No Indian military camps on our soil”
Responding in Sinhala to a question posed in English, Minister Herath moved first to allay what he suggested were widespread misapprehensions about the defence pact.
“This agreement is especially for data and information exchange purposes regarding drug trafficking, drug mafias, human trafficking, and any terrorist activities that could threaten regional security and peace,” Herath stated.
He emphasised that it would also facilitate “various support related to the defence sector.”
In his most definitive assertion, aimed at quieting a persistent national anxiety, the Minister declared: “We must clearly say that there is no plan or possibility of setting up Indian defence camps on Sri Lankan soil.” He categorised the pact not as a “defence agreement” but a “defence cooperation agreement in its real sense,” claiming it creates an “advantageous position” for Sri Lanka.
He linked recent post-‘Ditwah’ cyclone disaster support from India, as well as U.S. aerial support during recovery efforts, to the frameworks established by such cooperation agreements, arguing they have proven beneficial.
Indian Pharmacopoeia: A reputation-based advantage
On the equally contentious acceptance of the Indian Pharmacopoeia – a standard synopsis for drug manufacturing – Minister Herath framed it as a logical step that formalises existing practice.
“We already import a significant share of medicines from India,” he noted. The agreement, he explained, signifies the acceptance of medicines exported by a “reputed Indian pharmaceutical company” approved by its national regulators.
He assured the public that Sri Lanka’s National Medicine Regulatory Authority (NMRA) will continue to remain the monitor. “By entering into this, no disadvantage will happen to us. Only an advantage will happen… it will only be beneficial to us,” he emphasised.
The unanswered question
Despite the detailed assurances, the Minister pointedly ignored the final and arguably most critical part of the question posed by The Island Financial Review : whether the government would table the full text of the two agreements in Parliament for transparent debate and discussion.
This omission is likely to fuel further controversy, as opposition parties, civil society groups, and independent analysts have repeatedly demanded full parliamentary scrutiny, arguing that agreements touching on sovereignty and public health mandate the highest level of public transparency.
Tourism Pride
Shifting to his tourism portfolio, Minister Herath struck an optimistic note, citing record tourist arrivals and foreign remittances in 2025 as a sign of resilient recovery post-Ditwah.
The conference also touched on global affairs. When asked about the U.S. arrest of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro, Herath presented a nuanced governmental position. He stated that while his party, the JVP, condemns the action, the government’s official stance is to urge respect for national sovereignty in line with the UN Charter – a reflection of the coalition’s delicate balancing act between ideological roots and diplomatic pragmatism once in governance.
Minister Herath’s explanations provide the government’s clearest public rationale yet for the India agreements, directly confronting fears over militarisation and pharmaceutical quality. However, the deliberate sidestepping of the transparency query left a communication deficit at the heart of the press conference.
High-stakes diplomacy
It reflected a perception that while the administration is willing to defend its policy outcomes, it remains reluctant to subject the processes of high-stakes diplomacy to the full glare of parliamentary and public scrutiny. As these agreements continue to shape Sri Lanka’s strategic and health landscape, the call for their full disclosure is now accompanied by a louder question about the government’s commitment to open governance.
by Sanath Nanayakkare
Business
‘Vehicle-Testing Can Save Lives’
Automobile Association of Ceylon (AAC), in collaboration with the Federation Internationale de L’ Automobile (FIA) and under the UN Decade of Action for Road Safety has been consistently engaging in road safety enhancement programs for all citizens of Sri Lanka.
Current data indicates that while over 08 million vehicles are registered in the country, only heavy vehicles (less than 20% of the vehicle population) are subjected to compulsory road-worthiness tests.
Fatal accidents due to technical failures in vehicles are on the rise and the damage to lives and property is severe.
We also understand that there is a death every three hours and eight deaths per day in road accidents. This amounts to nearly 3000 deaths in road accidents per year.
AA of Ceylon has launched the “Vehicle Testing can Save Lives” project with the advice and support given to execute our campaign by the Minister of Transport, chairman, National Council for Road Safety (NCRC), Deputy Inspector General of Police (Traffic Division), Dr. Indika Jagoda, Deputy Director (Accident Service), National Hospital, president, Lions Club of Boralasgamuwa, Metro(Lions Club International – District 306 D 2) and other stake-holders to find a workable, low / cost solution for mandatory vehicle testing in Sri Lanka.
Therefore, this project aims to educate the public on the necessity of checking essential safety features in all vehicles and the benefits of same to all road users.
AAC has therefore respectfully requested Anura Kumara Dissanayake, President of the Democratic Socialist Republic of Sri Lanka, to consider implementing the proposal we have submitted to him, to minimize fatal accidents, injuries to people and damage to vehicles and property due to road accidents and to also implement a rule to have compulsorily road-worthiness checking of all vehicles. (AAC)
Business
INSEE Lanka appoints new Chief Executive Officer
Siam City Cement (Lanka) Limited (INSEE Lanka) has announced the appointment of Eng. Thusith C. Gunawarnasuriya as its new Chief Executive Officer, effective 01 January 2026. He succeeds Nandana Ekanayake, who will continue to serve as Chairman, ensuring leadership continuity and strategic stability for the organisation.
A long-standing contributor to INSEE’s journey, Thusith has worked with the company through its evolution under Holcim (Lanka) Ltd, LafargeHolcim and INSEE, playing pivotal roles that influenced both operational progress and strategic direction.
Rejoining INSEE Lanka in January 2025 as Chief Operating Officer, he has since demonstrated exceptional leadership, driving topline growth, improving EBITDA performance, and strengthening talent development initiatives that enhanced organisational capability and business outcomes.
His expertise in business strategy, operations excellence, and supply chain transformation is well-recognised, supported by over 25 years of multi-industry and multi-country leadership experience. His career includes senior positions at Lion Brewery (Ceylon) PLC, Hemas Manufacturing, Fonterra Brands Lanka, GlaxoSmithKline, MAS Active, and DMS Software Engineering. His international exposure spans India, Bangladesh, and Thailand.
Thusith is a proud alumnus of Dharmaraja College, Kandy, and holds a BSc (Hons) in Electrical & Electronic Engineering from the University of Peradeniya, an MBA from the University of Colombo, and an MSc in Business & Organizational Psychology from Coventry University, UK. He has completed executive leadership programs at IMD (Switzerland) and the National University of Singapore. He is also a member of IEEE (US), CILT (UK), ISMM (Sri Lanka), and IESL (Sri Lanka).
Chairman’s Quote – Nandana Ekanayake:
“Thusith’s deep understanding of our business, strong operational mindset, and proven leadership make him the ideal successor to lead INSEE Lanka into the next phase of growth. His experience within INSEE and across multiple industries, positions him well to deliver on our long-term ambitions and uphold the values that define the organisation.”
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