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WTC final: The road ahead for Australia, India, South Africa and Sri Lanka

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Have Australia booked their spot in the final?

With the 2-0 home series win over South Africa, Australia have 75.56% points and have all but secured their place in the final. The only scenario in which they will miss out is if they lose all their four Tests in India and Sri Lanka win both their matches in New Zealand.

A 4-0 defeat in India will see Australia’s percentage drop to 59.65 and a series sweep in New Zealand will take Sri Lanka up to 61.11. If Sri Lanka win 1-0 in New Zealand, their percentage will only go up to 55.56, which will below Australia’s even if they lose 4-0 in India.

The minimum Australia need to do to not depend on other teams is to draw one Test in India, provided they don’t concede any penalty points. If they earn a draw and lose 3-0 in India, and don’t concede any penalty points, they will finish on 61.40%, marginally ahead of the maximum that Sri Lanka can achieve. However, a single penalty point will push them down to 60.96%.

What do India need to reach the WTC final?

If India win the home series against Australia 3-1 or better, they will qualify for the final regardless of the results in other series. Currently second on the table with 58.93% after their 2-0 series win in Bangladesh, they will go to 68.06% if they win 4-0 against Australia, 62.5% with 3-1, and 56.94% if the series ends 2-2.So, if the series ends 2-2 and Sri Lanka win 2-0 in New Zealand, India will finish outside the top two.

India could also slip behind South Africa if they collect fewer than 21 points against Australia and South Africa win 2-0 at home against West Indies. Thus, India will stay ahead of South Africa even with a 1-0 series win or a 2-2 draw (24 points), but not with a 1-1 draw (20 points).

So South Africa still have a chance?

The 2-0 defeat in Australia has hurt South Africa’s chances, but the draw in a rain-affected match in Sydney was useful. They are currently fourth with 48.72%, and if they win both home Tests against West Indies, they can go up to 55.56%.For South Africa to go through to the final, they will need to win both their matches, Sri Lanka to only get one win in New Zealand or worse, and for India to get fewer than 21 points.

Can Sri Lanka make the final?

Yes, third-placed Sri Lanka do have a chance. Assuming they sweep New Zealand away from home, they will get to 61.11%. In that case, they would need India to either win 4-0 against Australia or for the series to end in a draw, or for Australia to win the series so they can finish above India.

If Sri Lanka draw the series 1-1, they will finish on 52.78%. For them to qualify with that percentage, they will need India to get no more than 12 points from the series against Australia (3-1 or 1-0 series defeat), and for South Africa to get no more than 16 (1-0 series win).

What about the rest?

England, West Indies, Pakistan, New Zealand and Bangladesh are the remaining teams and they are too far behind to make it. New Zealand and West Indies are the only two teams among the lot to have fixtures left and even maximum points for them from these matches won’t be enough for the former.

West Indies, with a 2-0 win in South Africa that would take their percentage to 50, can reach the final if Sri Lanka get fewer than eight points against New Zealand and India fewer than 10.England, with 46.97%, are the only side with an outside chance of sneaking into the final, but only in the unlikely event of India and Sri Lanka losing all their remaining games, and South Africa getting no more than two draws.

(cricinfo)



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Pakistan seek revenge, Sri Lanka eye another Asia Cup final

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Fatima Sana has picked up five wickets in three matches in the Asia Cup (Asian Cricket Council)

Will the Women’s T20 Asia Cup  semi-final against Sri Lanka  be a full-circle moment for Pakistan ?

Sri Lanka beat Pakistan in the semi final 9f the 2024 edition  to qualify for their first Asia Cup final since 2008. Now Pakistan enter this contest having not been at an Asia Cup final since 2016. Moreover, the two teams played a bilateral series only last month. So there is enough familiarity.

Sri Lanka are unbeaten in this tournament, notching up easy wins over UAE and Indonesia before being pushed hard by Bangladesh.Chamari Athapaththu has topped the  wickets tally, this time, her seven-for against Indonesia providing a reminder of what she can do in spin-friendly conditions at the Dubai International Cricket Stadium. Her pairing with Imesha Dulani at the top of the batting order has given Sri Lanka a close-to-ideal combination. Nilakshika Silva’s half-century from a tricky spot against Indonesia, and Harshitha Samarawickrama’s composure in a tight chase against Bangladesh have instilled confidence in their batting order.

Pakistan, on the other hand, are slightly short on batting confidence. They posted 119/9 against Thailand and were bowled out for 55 against India. It was only thanks to their bowlers that they could brush Tailand aside. Pakistan also lost the three-match bilateral series against Sri Lanka last month, though they did not have Fatima Sana’s services then.

Shawaal Zulfiqar’s presence at the top allows them to start at a higher gear, and Muneeba Ali’s experience only adds to the heft. Both are yet to fire together in this tournament, and Pakistan would hope it comes in the semi-final in order to end their finals drought.

Being Sri Lanka’s trailblazer, there is so much focus on Athapaththu that it is easy to miss that Harshitha Samarawickrema, still only 28, has already completed a decade in international cricket. She is the vice-captain, and almost the captain-in-waiting when Athapaththu decides to relinquish the role. Samarawickrama has grown in consistently winning games for Sri Lanka. Her unbeaten 48 off 37 against Bangladesh on Sunday is a case in point. Moreover, that knock has also highlighted her versatility. Primarily a top-order bat, she was moved down to No. 5 in order to accommodate Vishmi Gunaratne in the middle-order. She batted in that spot at home against Pakistan last month and finished the chase. Expect Samarawickrama to sit easy under the spotlight against Pakistan in a win-or-go-home contest.

Fatima Sana’s  407 T20I runs in 2026 have come at a strike rate of 150.74, the fourth best this year  (minimum 300 runs). There were calls for her to bat higher up than her usual Nos. 7 and 8. Add to it, she has picked up 23 wickets, the most for Pakistan. While she has taken five wickets in the Asia Cup thus far, she is yet to show off her batting might. That is partly down to the surfaces in Dubai. Sri Lanka, though, would be a little wary of her considering she can bash spin, and strikes at 143.24 against them.

Team news

With both teams coming off wins, they are likely to go in with the same teams. Sri Lanka might be tempted to play slinger Mithali Ayodhya since it is a knockout match

Sri Lanka (probable): Imesha Dulani,  Chamari Athapaththu (capt),  Sanjana Kavindi, Vishmi Gunaratne,  Harsthitha Samarawickrama,  Kavisha Dilhari,  Nilakshika Silva,  Kaushini Nuthyangana (wk),  Sugandika Kumari,  Chethana Vimukthi/Mithali Ayodhya,  Chamudi Praboda

Pakistan (probable): Muneeba Ali (wk),  Shawaal Zulfiqar,  Gull Feroza,  Ayesha Zafar,  Sadaf Shamas, Fatima Sana (capt),  Umm-e-Hani, Eyman Fatima,  Tuba Hassan,  Nashra Sandhu,  Sadia Iqbal

(Cricinfo)

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Protesters mistake Pakistan’s U-19 team for asylum seekers in Portsmouth

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[pic Cricinfo]

A Pakistan Under-19 cricket team suddenly became the centre of focus when it was mistaken for a group of asylum seekers in Portsmouth. A group of protesters gathered outside the Marriott Hotel in Portsmouth after reports that asylum seekers were staying there. The situation had to be later diffused when it was ascertained that the hotel was hosting the Pakistan Under-19 team.

According to the Guardian, the situation became tense when a crowd gathered outside the Marriott hotel after reports that about 40 men who did not seem to be English arrived at the hotel. George Madgwick, a Reform councillor, called the hotel to mediate between the Pakistan Under-19 staff and the assembled crowd, following which the crowd dispersed.

“I spoke to the coach of the team, who was very understanding,” Madgwick told the Guardian. “I went out to the protesters and told them, ‘You’ve got it wrong guys, it’s a cricket club.’ They left within a couple of minutes. It was a massively unfortunate incident.

“From the perspective of the people of Portsmouth who are already on high alert, this was a coach from the same company which was turning up with about 40 foreign men.”

The ECB has been in touch with the Pakistan management following the incident and is reviewing security arrangements.

The Pakistan Under-19 team played a four-day game against England Under-19 in Arundel from September 2 to 5, which they lost by ten runs. The two teams faced off in a Youth ODI on September 9, with Pakistan winning by 177 runs. Pakistan’s senior men’s team are also playing the third and final Test against England at Edgbaston.

[Cricinfo]

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Selectors play it safe, perhaps too safe

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Chairman of Selectors Kapila Wijegunawardene addresses the media at Sri Lanka Cricket headquarters yesterday.

by Rex Clementine

Sri Lanka’s Chairman of Selectors Kapila Wijegunawardene held his first media briefing yesterday since assuming office four months ago, a period in which several decisions have left the cricketing fraternity scratching their heads.

To his credit, the Chief Selector admitted that picking Lahiru Kumara for the tour of the Caribbean without first proving his fitness had been a mistake. It proved a costly one too, with the fast bowler breaking down after sending down just one over.

The former medium pacer was considerably more guarded when confronted with other contentious issues, including Dhananjaya de Silva’s defensive captaincy and the decision to recall Niroshan Dickwella after more than three years in the wilderness.

“We learned a tough lesson after what happened in the Caribbean with Lahiru Kumara and now we have made it mandatory for players to prove their fitness in domestic cricket when they come back from injuries,” Wijegunawardene told reporters.

That perhaps summed up the philosophy of this selection panel. Having burned their fingers once, caution appears to be the watchword. There seems little appetite for bold calls – the sort Duleep Mendis made when he gave Sanath Jayasuriya and Romesh Kaluwitharana licence to tear into attacks during the field restrictions, or Sidath Wettimuny when he entrusted the vice-captaincy to a 22-year-old Mahela Jayawardene.

Ironically, as Wijegunawardene addressed the media, NCC were taking on Moors in a domestic T20 quarter-final right in front of his eyes at the SSC. One of those making an impression was seam bowling all-rounder Milan Rathnayake, who dismissed Dickwella for a second ball duck.

Wijegunawardene was duly asked why Milan had not been considered for the forthcoming tour of England.

Until now, the impression had been that the selectors were investing in Milan, giving the all-rounder sufficient international exposure with an eye on next year’s World Cup in South Africa. Suddenly, however, it appears to be back to square one, with Wijegunawardene indicating that the selectors have turned again to Dasun Shanaka for the all-rounder’s slot.

Shanaka has not played an ODI for more than two and a half years and has earned his recall largely on the strength of his T20 form. Yet he has repeatedly struggled to convince in the 50 over format, particularly if the selectors view him primarily as a batting all rounder.

This is where the selectors appear to have failed to do their homework. A proper analysis of Shanaka’s record would tell them that his batting has seldom been reliable enough in ODI cricket. The numbers tell that story quite clearly.

What the numbers will not tell you is that Dasun has instigated more bloodless coups than General Zia-ul-Haq and General Pervez Musharraf put together.

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