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World Bank forecasts 2.2% growth for Lanka in 2024, driven by tourism and remittance recoveries
The latest Global Economic Prospects report from the World Bank forecasts a 2.2 percent growth for Sri Lanka’s economy in 2024, marking a positive revision of 0.5 percentage points from January. This upward revision is attributed to gradual improvements in remittances and tourism.
The June edition of the World Bank’s Global Economic Prospects report highlights that tourism and remittances have rebounded following the economic contraction in 2023. However, both sectors remain below pre-pandemic levels.
The report states, “In Sri Lanka, the economy is expected to expand by 2.2 percent in 2024—a 0.5-percentage-point upward revision from January—supported by modest recoveries in remittances and tourism. Growth is projected to strengthen further in 2025-26, reaching 3 percent in 2026, assuming successful debt restructuring negotiations and the implementation of structural reforms, which would offset the adverse impact of planned fiscal consolidation on growth.
“After contracting in 2023, economic activity has strengthened in Sri Lanka, with tourism and remittances also recovering, although they have remained below pre-pandemic levels.
“The report also forecasts a slowdown in growth for the South Asia (SAR) region, from 6.6 percent in 2023 to 6.2 percent in 2024, mainly due to a moderation in India’s growth from recent highs. Regional growth is expected to remain steady at 6.2 percent in 2025-26, supported by stable growth in India. Among other economies in the region, Bangladesh is expected to maintain robust growth, albeit at a slower pace than in previous years, while growth is set to strengthen in Pakistan and Sri Lanka. However, the outlook is clouded by downside risks, including disruptions in commodity markets due to escalating conflicts, potential abrupt fiscal consolidations, financial instability from high bank exposure to sovereign borrowers, extreme weather events, and slower-than-expected growth in China and Europe. Conversely, upside risks include stronger-than-expected activity in the United States and faster global disinflation.
“Several factors have contributed to reductions in external imbalances, such as narrowed trade deficits, increased remittances, and tourism recoveries across multiple countries. Additionally, continued import restrictions, particularly in Bangladesh, have played a role. Foreign exchange reserves have risen in countries like Pakistan and Sri Lanka, reflecting eased currency pressures and increased official flows, although reserves remain low in some nations.
“In the SAR region, economic spillovers from outside are generally limited due to lower international trade openness compared to other global regions. However, weaker-than-projected growth in major trading partners could dampen growth in countries like Bangladesh, Pakistan, and Sri Lanka. For instance, a significant portion of intermediate goods imports in these countries comes from China, and any downturn in Chinese activity could lead to material shortages and reduced economic activity.
“Upside risks to regional growth include stronger-than-expected activity in the United States, which could stimulate growth in large exporting countries like Pakistan and Sri Lanka. Another potential upside is greater progress in global inflation reduction, potentially leading to faster-than-expected easing of monetary policy, lower borrowing costs, and improved growth prospects.”
News
Iranian ships stranded, Lanka fears US sanctions
‘Companies may face US sanctions’: Lanka to put ‘national interest’ first as 19 Iranian vessels seek help
(ToI) Sri Lanka said on Friday it would “prioritise our national interests” before providing assistance to the crews of 19 Iranian ships anchored in international waters near the island nation.The crews are facing shortages of food, water and fuel. A foreign ministry spokesperson cited the risk of US sanctions against Sri Lankan companies supplying the vessels as a key concern.
The United States and Iran have been at war since February 28, when the US and Israel launched joint strikes against the Islamic Republic.
“Sri Lanka will put its national interest first before considering any help, and the companies that supply ships are aware of possible secondary sanctions from the United States,” spokesperson Thushara Rodrigo told reporters, ruling out any immediate assistance to the vessels.
Rodrigo clarified, however, that Sri Lanka had received no communication from the United States warning of repercussions if it decided to assist the vessels.According to Rodrigo, the ships are stationed 24 nautical miles off Sri Lanka’s coast.The Iranian Embassy said it had no information on the matter.
In March, a US torpedo attack sank the Iranian naval vessel IRIS Dena in Sri Lankan waters, killing 87 sailors.
The ship was returning to Iran after participating in a naval exercise at India’s invitation. A second Iranian vessel was brought to a Sri Lankan port after its crew reported technical problems.
Wounded sailors were treated at Sri Lankan hospitals, while those rescued from the second vessel were safely repatriated to Iran.
Sri Lanka is still recovering from an economic crisis, with both the United States and Iran serving as important trading partners. Washington played a key role in securing an International Monetary Fund bailout and supporting Sri Lanka’s agricultural sector to help avert a food crisis.
News
Sri Lanka CERT warns of overseas university admission scams
Sri Lanka CERT has warned the public of fraudulent social media advertisements offering admission to foreign universities after receiving complaints from parents and students who have lost hundreds of thousands of rupees to scammers.
The fraudsters reportedly pose as representatives of reputed foreign universities, promising admission, student visas, work permits and even eventual citizenship in return for registration fees and initial tuition payments.
They use convincing videos, photographs and documents circulated via email and WhatsApp to gain the confidence of unsuspecting victims before asking them to transfer money to foreign bank accounts. The scammers then disappear after receiving the payments, Sri Lanka CERT said.
The agency has urged prospective students and their parents to verify the authenticity of university representatives, documents and bank account details before making payments, and to seek overseas education opportunities only through legitimate and recognised channels.
News
Navi Pillay’s Lankan affairs in focus as she wins 2026 Nobel Peace Prize
Former UN High Commissioner for Human Rights and International Court of Justice judge Navanethem “Navi” Pillay has won the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize for her contribution to international law and efforts to promote peace, the Norwegian Nobel Committee announced in Oslo on Friday.
Announcing the award, committee chairman Jørgen Watne Frydnes said Pillay had “significantly enlarged the scope and impact of international law” and helped advance “a more comprehensive global legal order” with exceptional courage. He also praised her long career, which began as a lawyer confronting deep-rooted discrimination in South Africa, and described her as a person with a “firm moral compass”.
Pillay, 85, served as the UN High Commissioner for Human Rights from 2008 to 2014. Her tenure brought her into sharp focus in Sri Lanka, particularly over her assessment of the country’s human rights situation in the aftermath of the decades-long civil war.
During an official fact-finding visit to Sri Lanka from August 25 to 31, 2013, Pillay travelled to areas including Jaffna, Kilinochchi and Trincomalee, where she met civil war survivors, families of the disappeared and local communities.
Following the visit, she warned that Sri Lanka was moving towards authoritarianism and highlighted what she described as a persistent climate of fear.
She also reported intimidation and harassment of people who had sought to meet her during the mission.
Pillay urged the UN Human Rights Council to establish an international inquiry mechanism to investigate alleged war crimes and crimes against humanity committed by both government forces and the LTTE during the final stages of the 26-year civil war.
Her observations and recommendations became a significant part of international scrutiny of Sri Lanka’s post-war human rights record.
The Norwegian Nobel Committee received 287 nominations for this year’s Peace Prize, slightly more than a quarter of them being organisations. The committee traditionally considers efforts to promote peace, international fraternity and institutions that contribute to lasting stability.
Last year, Venezuelan opposition leader Maria Corina Machado won the prize for her campaign for a democratic transition in Venezuela. She was praised as a woman who kept the flame of democracy burning amid growing darkness.
The 2026 award marks the 125th anniversary of the Nobel Peace Prize, first presented in 1901. Over its history, the prize has recognised prominent figures and organisations involved in advancing peace, human rights and international cooperation.
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