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Urbanization In The Low-And-Middle-Income Countries:

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A Condensed Version of the Inter-Academy Partnership’s Policy Statement

by Dr. Locana Gunaratna

Background

The InterAcademy Partnership (IAP) based in Trieste (Italy), is the apex body of a global network of science academies that work together to provide independent expert advice. Early in 2020, the IAP invited all their affiliated Academies to submit proposals for preparing policy statements on subjects considered globally important and require urgent scientific attention. The National Academy of Sciences Sri Lanka responded with a proposal drafted by the author, to prepare a policy statement on ‘Urbanization in the LMICs’ (Low and Middle Income Countries).

The subject, being considered critically important for progress in the LMICs, the proposal was accepted. The author was then required to prepare the ‘Zero Draft’ of the policy statement. The IAP thereafter invited nomination of experts in the subject from all affiliated Academies. A careful selection was made from among the nominees based on geography and gender, to form a Statement Working Group (SWG) which the author was required to chair and work electronically with them. Its 18 experts were drawn from 16 countries located on five continents. They were mostly from LMICs in Latin America, Africa and Asia but also included a few subject experts from the US and Europe.

Much keen collaborative work was done electronically over a long two-year period. The intention was to broaden the scope of the Zero Draft ensuring relevance to LMICs in Asia, Africa and Latin America. The finalized Statement was circulated to all affiliated Academies worldwide. It received endorsement by the majority to become the IAP’s Policy on the subject. The policy statement was formally launched on-line from Europe at an international event on October 5, 2022. The author was invited to present and did present a condensed version of the policy statement at that event. The IAP will now proceed to promote the policy among regional and international Development Agencies and also national governments.

Introduction

Urban development in low-and-middle-income countries (LMICs) has been a subject of serious recent discussion at the international level. In 2015, UN Member States adopted 17 Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) among which SDG11 was about the sustainability of cities. In 2016, a ‘New Urban Agenda’ was endorsed by the UN General Assembly. These events bind all countries to promote those recommendations.

Today, urbanization occurs almost exclusively in the LMICs. The task of framing relevant policies for urbanization in the LMICs requires a clear understanding of the process currently being experienced. The study makes it clear that the economic conditions that spurred urbanization in the Western World, mostly during the 19th Century are not the same as those causing urbanization in most LMICs today. Urbanization can bring about positive dividends especially for women and longer lifespans for all, but these dividends are by no means guaranteed. When the process is mismanaged as often happens, it results in serious inequity, social unrest and the rapid growth of informal settlements. Thus, urbanization policies, urban planning and management are deemed to be very necessary. A reliable prediction is that by 2035 all the fastest growing cities worldwide will be in the LMICs.

The Urbanization Process in LMICs

A relevant statistical study concludes that urbanization in the LMICs: induces growth of the largest cities; occurs often without industrialization; is consequent to demographic explosion and poverty-induced rural-urban migration; encourages the growth of informal settlements (i.e.‘slums’); and, occurs more because of ‘rural push’ than ‘urban pull’.

This interminable ‘distress migration’ directed mostly towards major cities results in diminishing the quality of life for all urban residents in those cities. Today, urban population increases happen in overcrowded and under-served informal settlements. These urban residents are part of an ‘informal city’, which generally functions independently from and in parallel with the formal city.

Cities in many LMICs, have some surprisingly common characteristics, which are: unequal access to all infrastructure, services and to decent housing; strong residential segregation; the existence of informal and often illegal systems of land occupation for housing; inadequate land-use management; the inability of most urban local authorities to deal with all these complex issues; unsatisfactory housing units with very poor sanitary facilities; authoritarian political processes and inadequate social participation in planning decisions; large primate cities; and, limited autonomy and resources within urban local authorities and also poor vertical coordination on relevant national urban policies if such exist.

Planning Approaches and Theories

The application of exogenous (Western) development models is discouraged by knowledgeable planners and scholars in almost all LMICs. An important recent study on the current trend of horizontal urban expansion through urbanization, predicts the tripling of urban land cover worldwide within the next three decades and the consequent adverse impact upon biodiversity. It also states that the main biodiversity ‘hotspots’ being affected are in the LMICs. Furthermore, the evidence is that more compact cities are correlated with lower greenhouse gas emissions and higher productivity. Intervention at the national policy level is invariably needed.

A recent observation by the IAP is that: “the potential for science to ameliorate or solve the problems of the world’s multiplying cities has not been realized”. A review of spatial planning literature from the LMICs reveals much scholarship that could influence urban policy intervention. Clearly, science and technology can and should inform decision-making.

Another very important focus is on the role of small and mid-sized towns in the development of LMICs. A well-known British researcher after exhaustive studies concludes that: colonial policies, reinforced by post-colonial economic growth strategies of the 1950s and 1960s, were major causes of the rapid growth of some cities in many LMICs;

urban development was generally prioritized over rural development;

emphasis was on modernizing the metropolitan economy while rural regions were often neglected and left impoverished.

More than 100 reviews of empirical studies across the LMICs and a large number of national programmes for small and mid-sized towns, demonstrate that spatial planning programmes can be crucial in:

attaining social and economic objectives;

increasing and diversifying agricultural production; and,

increasing the influence of citizens living in sub-national and sub-regional political and administrative units.

Policy Concerns

A UN publication focused on Asia (1979) states that: urban-rural inequality is a major problem; and that more attention should be paid to rural development. These inequalities are also found in most LMICs in other continents;

Even where small towns with some infrastructure facilities exist, inadequate urban governance and poor management prevent the much needed extension of those services to their rural hinterlands; and that:

Investments should be made in infrastructure for mid-sized cities to improve mobility by public transport and for accessibility to services.

Vulnerable human habitats due to the adversities of climate change include:

low-lying coastal towns and conurbations exposed to sea level rise;

landslide-prone areas in hilly terrains; and,

low-lying urban areas that are exposed to frequent floods and also heat waves.

In these adversities, the resettlement of vulnerable populations in safer locations may be the best option.

Investments necessary for tackling the challenges in cities in many LMICs requires not only their local governments but also the engagement of their national governments through carefully prepared national urban policies. Even assuming a committed approach to rural development, out-migration from rural areas for non-farm occupations is likely to continue. Rather than have these rural migrants target the larger cities, the more manageable scenario is a gradual process whereby rural migrants move first to the mid-sized towns. Then, movement to large cities may be confined to the more urbanized migrants from mid-sized towns.

Public health should also be of special concern in Urban Planning. The need is to counter the easy spread of epidemics in dense human settlements accentuated by urbanization. If not, low-income urban dwellers will consequently face the twin burden of communicable and non-communicable diseases. Also, there should be space for social participation and democratic governance on decisions to be made by urban local authorities.

Finally, Urban Planning under all these initiatives must also be guided by the UN’s New Urban Agenda and also the Sustainable Development Goal #11.

The writer, K.Locana Gunaratna holds

AA Dipl (London), MCP (Harvard), PhD (Colombo);

Fellow & Past President, National Academy of Sciences Sri Lanka;

Past General President. Sri Lanka Association for the Advancement of Science;

Fellow & Past President, Institute of Town Planners Sri Lanka;

Fellow & Past President, Sri Lanka Institute of Architects;

Vice President, Sri Lanka Economic Association.



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Rethinking post-disaster urban planning: Lessons from Peradeniya

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University of Peradeniya

A recent discussion by former Environment Minister, Eng. Patali Champika Ranawaka on the Derana 360 programme has reignited an important national conversation on how Sri Lanka plans, builds and rebuilds in the face of recurring disasters.

His observations, delivered with characteristic clarity and logic, went beyond the immediate causes of recent calamities and focused sharply on long-term solutions—particularly the urgent need for smarter land use and vertical housing development.

Ranawaka’s proposal to introduce multistoried housing schemes in the Gannoruwa area, as a way of reducing pressure on environmentally sensitive and disaster-prone zones, resonated strongly with urban planners and environmentalists alike.

It also echoed ideas that have been quietly discussed within academic and conservation circles for years but rarely translated into policy.

One such voice is that of Professor Siril Wijesundara, Research Professor at the National Institute of Fundamental Studies (NIFS) and former Director General of the Royal Botanic Gardens, Peradeniya, who believes that disasters are often “less acts of nature and more outcomes of poor planning.”

Professor Siril Wijesundara

“What we repeatedly see in Sri Lanka is not merely natural disasters, but planning failures,” Professor Wijesundara told The Island.

“Floods, landslides and environmental degradation are intensified because we continue to build horizontally, encroaching on wetlands, forest margins and river reservations, instead of thinking vertically and strategically.”

The former Director General notes that the University of Peradeniya itself offers a compelling case study of both the problem and the solution. The main campus, already densely built and ecologically sensitive, continues to absorb new faculties, hostels and administrative buildings, placing immense pressure on green spaces and drainage systems.

“The Peradeniya campus was designed with landscape harmony in mind,” he said. “But over time, ad-hoc construction has compromised that vision. If development continues in the same manner, the campus will lose not only its aesthetic value but also its ecological resilience.”

Professor Wijesundara supports the idea of reorganising the Rajawatte area—located away from the congested core of the university—as a future development zone. Rather than expanding inward and fragmenting remaining open spaces, he argues that Rajawatte can be planned as a well-designed extension, integrating academic, residential and service infrastructure in a controlled manner.

Crucially, he stresses that such reorganisation must go hand in hand with social responsibility, particularly towards minor staff currently living in the Rajawatte area.

“These workers are the backbone of the university. Any development plan must ensure their dignity and wellbeing,” he said. “Providing them with modern, safe and affordable multistoried housing—especially near the railway line close to the old USO premises—would be both humane and practical.”

According to Professor Wijesundara, housing complexes built near existing transport corridors would reduce daily commuting stress, minimise traffic within the campus, and free up valuable land for planned academic use.

More importantly, vertical housing would significantly reduce the university’s physical footprint.

Drawing parallels with Ranawaka’s Gannoruwa proposal, he emphasised that vertical development is no longer optional for Sri Lanka.

“We are a small island with a growing population and shrinking safe land,” he warned.

“If we continue to spread out instead of building up, disasters will become more frequent and more deadly. Vertical housing, when done properly, is environmentally sound, economically efficient and socially just.”

Peradeniya University flooded

The veteran botanist also highlighted the often-ignored link between disaster vulnerability and the destruction of green buffers.

“Every time we clear a lowland, a wetland or a forest patch for construction, we remove nature’s shock absorbers,” he said.

“The Royal Botanic Gardens has survived floods for over a century precisely because surrounding landscapes once absorbed excess water. Urban planning must learn from such ecological wisdom.”

Professor Wijesundara believes that universities, as centres of knowledge, should lead by example.

“If an institution like Peradeniya cannot demonstrate sustainable planning, how can we expect cities to do so?” he asked. “This is an opportunity to show that development and conservation are not enemies, but partners.”

As climate-induced disasters intensify across the country, voices like his—and proposals such as those articulated by Patali Champika Ranawaka—underscore a simple but urgent truth: Sri Lanka’s future safety depends not only on disaster response, but on how and where we build today.

The challenge now lies with policymakers and planners to move beyond television studio discussions and academic warnings, and translate these ideas into concrete, people-centred action.

By Ifham Nizam ✍️

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Superstition – Major barrier to learning and social advancement

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At the initial stage of my six-year involvement in uplifting society through skill-based initiatives, particularly by promoting handicraft work and teaching students to think creatively and independently, my efforts were partially jeopardized by deep-rooted superstition and resistance to rational learning.

Superstitions exerted a deeply adverse impact by encouraging unquestioned belief, fear, and blind conformity instead of reasoning and evidence-based understanding. In society, superstition often sustains harmful practices, social discrimination, exploitation by self-styled godmen, and resistance to scientific or social reforms, thereby weakening rational decision-making and slowing progress. When such beliefs penetrate the educational environment, students gradually lose the habit of asking “why” and “how,” accepting explanations based on fate, omens, or divine intervention rather than observation and logic.

Initially, learners became hesitant to challenge me despite my wrong interpretation of any law, less capable of evaluating information critically, and more vulnerable to misinformation and pseudoscience. As a result, genuine efforts towards social upliftment were obstructed, and the transformative power of education, which could empower individuals economically and intellectually, was weakened by fear-driven beliefs that stood in direct opposition to progress and rational thought. In many communities, illnesses are still attributed to evil spirits or curses rather than treated as medical conditions. I have witnessed educated people postponing important decisions, marriages, journeys, even hospital admissions, because an astrologer predicted an “inauspicious” time, showing how fear governs rational minds.

While teaching students science and mathematics, I have clearly observed how superstition acts as a hidden barrier to learning, critical thinking, and intellectual confidence. Many students come to the classroom already conditioned to believe that success or failure depends on luck, planetary positions, or divine favour rather than effort, practice, and understanding, which directly contradicts the scientific spirit. I have seen students hesitate to perform experiments or solve numerical problems on certain “inauspicious” days.

In mathematics, some students label themselves as “weak by birth”, which creates fear and anxiety even before attempting a problem, turning a subject of logic into a source of emotional stress. In science classes, explanations based on natural laws sometimes clash with supernatural beliefs, and students struggle to accept evidence because it challenges what they were taught at home or in society. This conflict confuses young minds and prevents them from fully trusting experimentation, data, and proof.

Worse still, superstition nurtures dependency; students wait for miracles instead of practising problem-solving, revision, and conceptual clarity. Over time, this mindset damages curiosity, reduces confidence, and limits innovation, making science and mathematics appear difficult, frightening, or irrelevant. Many science teachers themselves do not sufficiently emphasise the need to question or ignore such irrational beliefs and often remain limited to textbook facts and exam-oriented learning, leaving little space to challenge superstition directly. When teachers avoid discussing superstition, they unintentionally reinforce the idea that scientific reasoning and superstitious beliefs can coexist.

To overcome superstition and effectively impose critical thinking among students, I have inculcated the process to create a classroom culture where questioning was encouraged and fear of being “wrong” was removed. Students were taught how to think, not what to think, by consistently using the scientific method—observation, hypothesis, experimentation, evidence, and conclusion—in both science and mathematics lessons. I have deliberately challenged superstitious beliefs through simple demonstrations and hands-on experiments that allow students to see cause-and-effect relationships for themselves, helping them replace belief with proof.

Many so-called “tantrik shows” that appear supernatural can be clearly explained and exposed through basic scientific principles, making them powerful tools to fight superstition among students. For example, acts where a tantrik places a hand or tongue briefly in fire without injury rely on short contact time, moisture on the skin, or low heat transfer from alcohol-based flames rather than divine power.

“Miracles” like ash or oil repeatedly appearing from hands or idols involve concealment or simple physical and chemical tricks. When these tricks are demonstrated openly in classrooms or science programmes and followed by clear scientific explanations, students quickly realise how easily perception can be deceived and why evidence, experimentation, and critical questioning are far more reliable than blind belief.

Linking concepts to daily life, such as explaining probability to counter ideas of luck, or biology to explain illness instead of supernatural causes, makes rational explanations relatable and convincing.

Another unique example that I faced in my life is presented here. About 10 years ago, when I entered my new house but did not organise traditional rituals that many consider essential for peace and prosperity as my relatives believed that without them prosperity would be blocked.  Later on, I could not utilise the entire space of my newly purchased house for earning money, largely because I chose not to perform certain rituals.

While this decision may have limited my financial gains to some extent, I do not consider it a failure in the true sense. I feel deeply satisfied that my son and daughter have received proper education and are now well settled in their employment, which, to me, is a far greater achievement than any ritual-driven expectation of wealth. My belief has always been that a house should not merely be a source of income or superstition-bound anxiety, but a space with social purpose.

Instead of rituals, I strongly feel that the unused portion of my house should be devoted to running tutorials for poor and underprivileged students, where knowledge, critical thinking, and self-reliance can be nurtured. This conviction gives me inner peace and reinforces my faith that education and service to society are more meaningful measures of success than material profit alone.

Though I have succeeded to some extent, this success has not been complete due to the persistent influence of superstition.

by Dr Debapriya Mukherjee
Former Senior Scientist
Central Pollution Control Board, India ✍️

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Race hate and the need to re-visit the ‘Clash of Civilizations’

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Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese: ‘No to race hate’

Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese has done very well to speak-up against and outlaw race hate in the immediate aftermath of the recent cold-blooded gunning down of several civilians on Australia’s Bondi Beach. The perpetrators of the violence are believed to be ardent practitioners of religious and race hate and it is commendable that the Australian authorities have lost no time in clearly and unambiguously stating their opposition to the dastardly crimes in question.

The Australian Prime Minister is on record as stating in this connection: ‘ New laws will target those who spread hate, division and radicalization. The Home Affairs Minister will also be given new powers to cancel or refuse visas for those who spread hate and a new taskforce will be set up to ensure the education system prevents, tackles and properly responds to antisemitism.’

It is this promptness and single-mindedness to defeat race hate and other forms of identity-based animosities that are expected of democratic governments in particular world wide. For example, is Sri Lanka’s NPP government willing to follow the Australian example? To put the record straight, no past governments of Sri Lanka initiated concrete measures to stamp out the evil of race hate as well but the present Sri Lankan government which has pledged to end ethnic animosities needs to think and act vastly differently. Democratic and progressive opinion in Sri Lanka is waiting expectantly for the NPP government’ s positive response; ideally based on the Australian precedent to end race hate.

Meanwhile, it is apt to remember that inasmuch as those forces of terrorism that target white communities world wide need to be put down their counterpart forces among extremist whites need to be defeated as well. There could be no double standards on this divisive question of quashing race and religious hate, among democratic governments.

The question is invariably bound up with the matter of expeditiously and swiftly advancing democratic development in divided societies. To the extent to which a body politic is genuinely democratized, to the same degree would identity based animosities be effectively managed and even resolved once and for all. To the extent to which a society is deprived of democratic governance, correctly understood, to the same extent would it experience unmanageable identity-bred violence.

This has been Sri Lanka’s situation and generally it could be stated that it is to the degree to which Sri Lankan citizens are genuinely constitutionally empowered that the issue of race hate in their midst would prove manageable. Accordingly, democratic development is the pressing need.

While the dramatic blood-letting on Bondi Beach ought to have driven home to observers and commentators of world politics that the international community is yet to make any concrete progress in the direction of laying the basis for an end to identity-based extremism, the event should also impress on all concerned quarters that continued failure to address the matters at hand could prove fatal. The fact of the matter is that identity-based extremism is very much alive and well and that it could strike devastatingly at a time and place of its choosing.

It is yet premature for the commentator to agree with US political scientist Samuel P. Huntingdon that a ‘Clash of Civilizations’ is upon the world but events such as the Bondi Beach terror and the continuing abduction of scores of school girls by IS-related outfits, for instance, in Northern Africa are concrete evidence of the continuing pervasive presence of identity-based extremism in the global South.

As a matter of great interest it needs mentioning that the crumbling of the Cold War in the West in the early nineties of the last century and the explosive emergence of identity-based violence world wide around that time essentially impelled Huntingdon to propound the hypothesis that the world was seeing the emergence of a ‘Clash of Civilizations’. Basically, the latter phrase implied that the Cold War was replaced by a West versus militant religious fundamentalism division or polarity world wide. Instead of the USSR and its satellites, the West, led by the US, had to now do battle with religion and race-based militant extremism, particularly ‘Islamic fundamentalist violence’ .

Things, of course, came to a head in this regard when the 9/11 calamity centred in New York occurred. The event seemed to be startling proof that the world was indeed faced with a ‘Clash of Civilizations’ that was not easily resolvable. It was a case of ‘Islamic militant fundamentalism’ facing the great bulwark, so to speak, of ‘ Western Civilization’ epitomized by the US and leaving it almost helpless.

However, it was too early to write off the US’ capability to respond, although it did not do so by the best means. Instead, it replied with military interventions, for example, in Iraq and Afghanistan, which moves have only earned for the religious fundamentalists more and more recruits.

Yet, it is too early to speak in terms of a ‘Clash of Civilizations’. Such a phenomenon could be spoken of if only the entirety of the Islamic world took up arms against the West. Clearly, this is not so because the majority of the adherents of Islam are peaceably inclined and want to coexist harmoniously with the rest of the world.

However, it is not too late for the US to stop religious fundamentalism in its tracks. It, for instance, could implement concrete measures to end the blood-letting in the Middle East. Of the first importance is to end the suffering of the Palestinians by keeping a tight leash on the Israeli Right and by making good its boast of rebuilding the Gaza swiftly.

Besides, the US needs to make it a priority aim to foster democratic development worldwide in collaboration with the rest of the West. Military expenditure and the arms race should be considered of secondary importance and the process of distributing development assistance in the South brought to the forefront of its global development agenda, if there is one.

If the fire-breathing religious demagogue’s influence is to be blunted worldwide, then, it is development, understood to mean equitable growth, that needs to be fostered and consolidated by the democratic world. In other words, the priority ought to be the empowerment of individuals and communities. Nothing short of the latter measures would help in ushering a more peaceful world.

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