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Midweek Review

Transmission modes of COVID-19

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By Prof.Kirthi Tennakone,
National Institute of Fundamental Studies
(ktenna@yahoo.co.uk)

In the late 1850s Louis Pasteur discovered organisms seen only through a microscope cause putrefaction of dead biological materials and also infectious diseases. On the basis of these findings, the medical profession at the time concluded; when people get exposed to decaying organic matter, microbes therein gain access to human body, making them sick. Their excrements carrying the pathogen also transfer the disease to others. Later on it became clear a specific types of microbes latently established in the community or in animal reservoirs are responsible for each infectious disease. Sometimes they flare-up, transmitting from one host to another, resulting in an epidemic. When the community acquires herd immunity, the disease wane and move to another location, or reappear at the same place later. Rarely a microorganism, naturally associated with an animal, jumps to a human and after genetic alterations develops into a contagious illness. Most of the existing infectious diseases are believed to have originated by the above evolutionary process. The genetic material of the coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2) resemble those of viruses present in some species of bats, but definitive evidence is not available to determine how it passed to humans.

Depending on the nature of the infectious agent and symptoms caused by its invasion to the human body, diseases spread via one or several of different modes. Notably; direct or indirect exposure to body fluids, food or water contaminated with excretions of the sick, pathogen released to air or mediation of another living organism (vector).

Pathogens evolve to optimize the mode of transmission to proliferate and survive, but not to exterminate the host. Propensity of evolution via genetic changes is higher in the case of viruses, notably those based on RNA. More the virus replicate by infecting a larger population, chances of popping up variants increase proportionately.

Respiratory transmission of
infectious diseases

One of the most effectual modes of disseminating an infection is releasing the pathogen into the air in coughing, sneezing, talking or exhalation. Here, germs enter into the bodies of other people during inhalation, deposition on lips, nostrils, eyes or skin. Those deposited on surrounding objects sometimes contaminate hands and may subsequently enter the mouth. Apart from COVID-19, quite a number of most contagious viral and bacterial diseases spread by the airborne route. These include viral diseases; common cold, influenza, measles, mumps, chicken pox, viral meningitis and bacterial diseases; tuberculosis, diphtheria, whooping cough and anthrax. Lungs and the respiratory tract are more susceptible to intrusion by germs compared to the gastrointestinal tract, because the acidity of the latter resist foreign organisms.

Airborne diseases are hardest to control, because of the high probability of transmission through an all-pervading invisible medium and prohibitive difficulty of sterilizing large volumes of air.

The direct respiratory transmission of a pathogen proceeds via two aerodynamical mechanisms; droplet transmission and aerosol transmission, the latter is also referred to as airborne transmission.

 

Droplet Transmission

When an infected person cough, sneeze, speak or exhale deeply, ejected fluid droplets disperse into air. These droplets constituted largely of water, enclose mucus and the pathogen. With the initial velocity imparted, droplets propel forward and begin to fall owing to gravity, following a curved trajectory.

At school, we learn that all falling objects; irrespective of mass and size, moves with continuously increasing speed at a constant acceleration of approximately 10 meters per second. This is in absence of air resistance, negligible compared to gravitational force for heavy objects. Situation differs in the case of small particles, where air resistance is comparatively important. As shown by Irish physicist George Stokes, falling spherical particles encounter a breaking force proportional to the velocity. Consequently they accelerate for very short time and thereafter fall down with a uniform speed proportional to the square of the radius. Thus larger droplets, those greater than 5-10 micrometers (1micrometer = 1/1000 of a millimeter) fall rapidly and reach the ground after propelling a short distance of about 1-2 meters. Only those persons within this range get exposed to larger droplets. Smaller droplets fall further or remain airborne and floats around.

Particles floating in air without settling down to the ground are known as aerosols.

Water in respiratory droplets evaporate, converting sizable ones to smaller entities; more likely to be transported as aerosols. Sometimes water evaporates completely producing nuclei carrying the pathogen. Nuclei being lighter remain afloat longer. Evaporation depends on relative humidity and ambient temperature.

The genius scientist and engineer William F. Wells working in Baltimore hospital, United States, in 1934 was the first to analyze theoretically the respiratory transmission of infections, distinguishing droplet and aerosol modes.

 

Aerosol Transmission

Smaller droplets (less than 5-10 micrometers and sometimes even larger), those reduced to similar sizes by evaporation of the water content and droplet nuclei resulting from drying-up of droplets remain suspended in air without falling to the ground. They can be carried long distances exceeding 10 meters by air currents or accumulate in poorly ventilated spaces. Evaporation to dryness could inactivate pathogen and many viruses and bacteria seem to have evolved strategies to circumvent this problem – possibly the residue mucus help to preserve them live.

To prove the aerosol hypothesis, William Wells vented air from a tuberculosis ward in Baltimore hospital to a compartment where Guinea pigs were nourished. He observed about 3 percent of the animals contracted tuberculosis. Examination of the lesions in lungs revealed they have originated by deposition very few bacilli each time; further supporting the aerosol hypothesis. Aerosols being minute, each carry very few microbes. In another experiment Wells irradiated air from the tuberculosis ward with ultraviolet light before venting to the Guinea pig cage. Here none of the pigs developed the disease, confirming germs originated from the ward.

Today we describe tuberculosis as an archetypal example of a respiratory disease communicated by aerosols. Measles and chickenpox also spread predominantly via aerosol route.

Despite the seminal work of W.G. Wells, medical texts continued to emphasize most respiratory infections including common cold and influenza transmits via droplet mechanism. For this reason the COVID-19 virus was assumed to transmit primarily via droplets and preventive measures were recommended accordingly.

Although scientists continued to insist COVID-19 virus could communicate via aerosols; World Health Organization (WHO) and Center for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), United States and several other leading health care authorities did not acknowledge airborne transmission. About a month ago, all these organizations revised their websites making statements to the effect that COVID-19 could also be transmitted by aerosols.

At shorter distances (2-3 meters), both droplets and aerosols pass on coronavirus. Whereas at longer distances (especially unventilated situations) aerosols play a predominant role.

There exist reasons to suspect aerosol communicated illness is more virulent. In droplet mechanism, the virus lands on the nasal region of the respiratory passage gradually proliferating downwards in the respiratory tract. Whereas aerosols can reach the lungs directly, causing acute respiratory complications instantly. Possibly when virus is first introduced into the upper respiratory tract by droplets, the local infection there induce some immunity before it reaches the lungs – suggesting aerosol communicated infection is more virulent.

 

COVID Transmission modes and control measures

Decisions regarding what measures to be adopted in controlling an infectious disease necessitates gaining an understanding of the nature of the causative agent and how it is transmitted. For diseases known to have existed for long periods of time, requisite information is readily available permitting immediate intervention. When COVID-19 surfaced it was a new disease not known to have existed previously. Modern science was quick to ascertain the genotype (complete genetic information of an organism) and phenotype of the virus (actually observed characteristics of an organism) and pathology of the disease – information essential design vaccines and curative medicines.

Finding how the virus spreads poses more challenges, especially when there are more than one possible modes of transmission. Here it is important to determine the relative weightage of each mode. In absence of detailed information regarding modes of transmission, droplet mechanism was assumed; because common viral respiratory diseases are considered to pass via this avenue. Accordingly, preventive measures recommended were; social distancing, limiting mobility, wearing masks and sanitization of the hand as well as surfaces likely to be contaminated by the deposit of droplets.

Even in situations where aerosol transmission turns out be more likely, it is imperative, the measures recommended for the droplet mode are strictly followed. However, additional safeguards needs to be imposed when aerosols poses a threat. Aerosols travel longer distance from the source and could diffuse throughout a closed space or carried further by air currents. Masks one wears has to be the type that filters aerosols and tight fitting to avoid aspiration of air from the gaps during inhalation. The risk of aerosol transmitted infection is vastly higher in poorly ventilated indoor environments.

In outdoors situations aerosol transmission is minimal provided social distancing (about 2-3 meters) is strictly maintained while wearing masks, as aerosols diffuse fast. However open markets cannot be considered as outdoor owing to poor circulation. Here additional precautions are necessary to avoid overcrowding.

 

Superspreading of COVID-19

In many instances a good number of people gathered in markets, shops, malls and auditoriums or enclosed workplaces have contracted COVID-19, presumed to be infected by one identified carrier. All individuals who contracted the infection were most unlikely to have encountered the carrier at 1-2 meter distance. Obvious conclusion would be, the virus had been in air and many have breathed it. Experiments indicate virus could survive in aerosols several hours. Poor ventilation, improper air-conditioning and air recycling accumulate aerosols. An infected individual identified to have created a big cluster is sometimes referred to as a superspreader. However, it does not necessarily imply the subject shreds more of the virus. Often the cause of extensive spread had been the nature of an event or the environment where people gathered and participated. In a large congregate, one carrier moving around could contaminate breathing air with germs harbored aerosols to lethal proportions, if the ventilation is inadequate. Imagine the extent of transmission in such situations, when there are several carriers!

A peculiarity of the COVID-19 pandemic: over-dispersion of the basic reproduction number

The present pandemic is peculiar in terms of a concept in mathematical epidemiology referred to as over-dispersion of the basic reproduction number. Basic reproduction number (R0) refers to the average of number of new cases generated by one carrier of the pathogen. For COVID 19 value of R0 is generally a number around 2. It is an average, if we take R0 as 2; it does not mean every infected person reproduce 2 others. The value of R0 could fluctuate randomly or follow an identifiable non-random pattern to yield an average of 2. Statistics of corona virus cases points to the latter.

A larger percentage of infected persons may not pass the disease to anyone, but if each in a smaller percentage of carriers, under special circumstances; infect numbers very much greater than 2, you still would obtain an average of 2. This is exactly the pattern observed in COVID-19 – about 75 percent of the infected persons do not pass disease to others! The flu of 1918 which caused a major calamity also had a basic reproduction number of about 2. Here, contrastingly; 40 percent did not cause secondary infections. Mathematicians measure this difference in terms of another parameter known as the over-dispersion factor denoted by K. The value of K for COVID-19 and the 1918 flu are 0.1 and 1 respectively. A small value of K implies a large percentage of infected persons rarely pass the disease to others, while a small percentage aggressively and sporadically fuel the epidemic.

In Sri Lanka and elsewhere the COVID-19 epidemic progressed mainly as clusters appearing spatially and temporally. The low over-dispersion factor of the present pandemic testifies cluster effect.

If causes are understood and actions taken to alleviate them, low over-dispersion can be advantageously exploited to mitigate the pandemic. A small value for K, means; rare situations congregating people, trigger the pandemic. If they are identified and eliminated, pandemic will dwindle and disappear allowing time for vaccinations secure long term safety and suppress breeding of variants.

The over-dispersion of basic reproduction number of the present pandemic imply that in respiratory transmission of the coronavirus ; it does not significantly distribute via random association of infected and susceptible individuals, but largely by a small set of noticeable social situations and therefore in principle, suppressible by community efforts to follow preventive measures. The pandemic may be suppressed by curtailing events and situations leading to breeding of clusters without restricting routine and other activities essential to drive the economy.

Many epidemiologists believe one of the main causes of low value of K is a direct consequence aerosol transmission under circumstances favorable to their accumulation – especially events and situation that congregate people.

Low dispersion of the basic reproduction number is also advantageous to the virus to resist the pressure of herd immunity. Even if a large fraction of a population is vaccinated, a local situation favorable for super-spreading could create a cluster.

Flu pandemic of 1918 fizzled out completely in 2.5 to 3 years, presumably because of the much higher value of K and rapid acquisition of herd immunity by exposure to the pathogen. Apart from distinctions in the viruses and their pathologies; a noteworthy difference of 1918 pandemic and COVID-19 are: smaller population densities, less human mobility and rarity of super spreading situations and events in the former.

Since the emergence of the COVID-19 epidemic in China, world learned so much about the disease. Yet, there are unknowns; especially finer details of how it propagates and how to cure it. The complex phenomenon of COVID-19 spreading cannot be understood entirely in terms of two numbers R0 and K – although these quantities have provided valuable insights.

We know for certain corona virus can be suppressed by control measures and vaccination. It is the duty of every citizen, community and nation to strictly abide by rules of prevention until vaccines are rolled out and appropriately thereafter.



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Midweek Review

Staying relevant in a changing media landscape

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Samita Prakash / Ashok Malik / Marya Shakil

The sinking of an Iranian frigate in India’s backyard, closer to Sri Lanka’s southern coast, in early March this year, a few days after the eruption of war after the unprovoked Israeli-US attack on Iran, posed quite a significant challenge for India and Sri Lanka. They grappled with the escalating situation. No one wanted to blame the US for the death of over 100 unarmed Iranian Navy personnel.

By Shamindra Ferdinando

Reference was made at the Media Fest 2026 to the false claim regarding the resignation of Prime Minister Ranil Wickremesinghe at the height of protests in Colombo, in July, 2022, to highlight the failure on the part of the non-traditional media to report the developing situation accurately.

The fictitious claim received the attention during the second session of Media Fest 2026, organised by the Sri Lanka-India Media Friendship Association (SLIMFA) on 11 July, 2026, at the Taj Samudra. The panel consisted of Ashok Malik, Nisthar Cassim (President, SLIMFA), Vimukthi Karunarathne, Jamila Hussain and Robert Anthony. It was moderated by Kalani Kumarasinghe.

The panel paid attention to the challenge the traditional media, particularly the print, faced in covering the well-orchestrated campaign, especially with foreign inputs to oust President Gotabaya Rajapaksa. Essentially, the finger was pointed at the non-traditional media for being inaccurate, hasty and irresponsible. Reference was also made to the recent Negombo Prison riot, that claimed the lives of 31, to stress the importance of the traditional media as the preferred or truthful news provider.

The stimulating discussion took place after Malik, the former policy advisor/additional secretary in the Ministry of External Affairs of India, dealt with holistic media strategy. Malik, who had been a frequent visitor to Colombo over the years, had served the Ministry of External Affairs during the violent crisis in Colombo. Malik had been with the Ministry from October 2019 to August 2022, the month Wickremesinghe received the parliamentary backing to succeed forcefully ousted Gotabaya Rajapaksa through extra parliamentary means.

The SLIMFA was inaugurated in May 2024 under the patronage of the Indian High Commission. The first ever Media Fest was held also at the Taj Samudra over a period of two days, in April, 2025. Indian High Commissioner in Colombo, Santosh Jha, was present throughout the programme held on 11 July. This year’s focus was on the theme ‘Staying Relevant in a Changing World.’

The two other sessions were addressed by Editor Asian News International, Ms. Smita Prakash, and Managing Editor, India Today Ms Marya Shakil. They dealt with trust, truth and the battle for credibility and the shifting of the audience, respectively. Their perspectives facilitated an exciting dialogue with the panelists and members of the audience making useful contributions.

Passing reference was made to the West Asia conflict that disrupted global energy markets in March, following the unprovoked Israeli-US attack on Iran, as well as the conclusion of Sri Lanka’s successful war against separatist terrorist, the Liberation Tigers of Tamil Eelam (LTTE), in May, 2009. Prakash found fault with the Western media coverage of India while Indika Sakalasooriya, Communications Manager at SLYCAN Trust, emphasised that in spite of accusations directed at others, there had been occasions traditional media, too, could be faulted for deceiving the world.

Sakalasooriya cited the high profile accusations directed at Saddam Hussein’s Iraq, by the Western media, regarding their purported Weapons of Mass Destruction (WMDs) project to justify the March 2003 invasion of that country. The US-led coalition caused massive destruction. The Western powers hanged Hussein after what amounted to a kangaroo court trial.

It would have been better if Sakalasooriya mentioned how the US propagated lies to build a case against Iraq, particularly against the backdrop of false accusations that have surfaced directed at Iran to justify the Febuary 28, 2026, unprovoked attack on that nation with a proud history.

In a speech in Cincinnati, Ohio, on 7 October, 2002, US President George W. Bush confidently declared that Iraq “possesses and produces chemical and biological weapons. It is seeking nuclear weapons.”

The US President then vowed that Hussein had to be stopped. “The Iraqi dictator must not be permitted to threaten America and the world with horrible poisons and diseases and gases and atomic weapons,” international news agencies quoted President Bush as having said.

The truth is that the mainstream media, whatever the accusations directed at social media platforms now, then played ball with respective governments in support of their narrow political-military-economic objectives as always. The British and US media, however much they publicly proclaim to be independent, then blindly propagated the lie that Iraq posed an immediate threat to them and, therefore, had to be dealt with.

Perhaps none of those in the relevant panel moderated, by Chief Executive Officer of Advocata Institute, Dhananath Fernando, remembered how Ranil Wickremesinghe, in his capacity as Prime Minister, justified the US invasion. Addressing the UN General Assembly in September, 2003, well over a year after the US failure to find evidence of the WMD project, Wickremesinghe described the US as a reluctant ‘world policeman’ forced to intervene in Iraq due to the failure on the part of the US to deal with Iraq.

Reportage of July 2022 events

An intense social media campaign backed the violent protest campaign here against President Gotabaya Rajapaksa. Then US Ambassador Julie Chung issued several statements on Twitter (now X) warning the government and the military against using force to bring protests to an end. Interested parties exploited her interventions to intensify pressure on the government. The situation eventually turned so bad, Chung had to finally warn the public that accounts impersonating her were spreading misinformation and fake tweets. The US Embassy here, on multiple occasions, urged the public to verify information on the official US Embassy and verified X accounts. But during that chaotic period, the public was so drunk on misinformation, weren’t bothered at all regarding the accuracy and the vast majority was not interested in verifying statements.

The reference to false claims about Wickremesinghe’s resignation, during the panel discussion, should have attracted comments and observations for obvious reasons. Both the US and India have been accused of backing the operation that compelled President Gotabaya Rajapaksa to leave office.

President Wickremesinghe, in June, 2024, claimed that pressure was brought on him to resign in the immediate aftermath of protesters setting ablaze his Kollupitiya private residence on 9 July, 2022. The declaration was made at a function in London to mark the 40th anniversary of the International Democrats Union (IDU).

Prof. Sunanda Maddumabandara, who served as the Senior Advisor (Media) to President Ranil Wickremesinghe (July 2022 to September 2024) in late 2025 declared that the then Indian High Commissioner in Colombo, Gopal Baglay, asked Speaker Mahinda Yapa Abeywardena to take over as the interim president. Maddumabandara contradicted previous claims that it was US Ambassador Chung who intervened on behalf of the regime change project. Prof. Maddumabandara’s revelations in “Aragalaye Balaya” (The Power of the Aragalaya) launched in the presence of both Wickremesinghe and Abeywardena didn’t receive the media attention. Interestingly both traditional and non-traditional media conveniently ignored the author’s claim. Abeywardena remained silent though he must have told the author what transpired between him and Baglay, now New Delhi’s High Commissioner in Australia.

Those who constantly targeted Chung over her support to the anti-Gotabaya Rajapaksa campaign turned a blind eye to Prof. Maddumabandara’s shocking disclosure. The author quoted Abeywardena as having revealed that Baglay promised to bring the blockade on the Speaker’s official residence to an immediate end if he agreed to accept the Presidency. But, Wickremesinghe had strenuously refused to step down though, following a meeting chaired by Abeywardena, a section of the media reported that he would resign.

Sri Lanka lacked the political will to inquire into external interventions that led to the fall of President Gotabaya Rajapaksa’s government. Abeywardena, who revealed direct intervention and how intense pressure was brought on him, did absolutely nothing to activate an investigation. Wickremesinghe, who succeeded Gotabaya Rajapaksa in July, 2022, refrained from launching an inquiry. Having fully backed the campaign against Rajapaksa, Wickremesinghe ended up in the President’s Office. Therefore, his decision to keep quiet is understandable.

The Wickremesinghe-Rajapaksa government terminated a case filed by SLPP parliamentarians against the failure on the part of the government to protect their property.

The JVP-led NPP that won both the presidential and unbeatable 2/3 majority at the parliamentary elections, in 2024, simply forgot the case of foreign interventions. Since the change of government in September, 2024, Sri Lanka has entered into new partnerships with India and the US. The public is totally in the dark as to what they are.

The finalisation of seven MoUs between India and Sri Lanka, in April, 2025, and the subsequent sale of controlling stake in the strategic Colombo Dockyard Limited (CDL) to Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders Limited, affiliated with the Indian Defence Ministry, raised the Indo-Lanka relations to a higher level. The inclusion of a MoU on Defence underscored the bilateral relationship, while India stepped-up assistance to the Sri Lankan military. The recent donation of military stores, estimated to be worth USD 5.5 mn in support of the 1,000-plus Lankan contingent for Haiti, deployment under UN command, as authoritative sources confirmed recently, that agreements in their entirety could not be disclosed under any circumstances thereby underscoring India’s status. The reference was clearly aimed at the controversy that the seven MoUs, including the one on defence, hadn’t been revealed to the public, and the Parliament, too, remained in the dark.

India paid USD 52.96 mn for Japan’s Onomichi Dockyard, previously the majority owner of the Colombo Dockyard.

Terrorists/gunmen

Altogether there were three panels moderated by Dilrukshi Handuneththi, Kalani Kumarasinghe and Dhananath Fernando and some of the panelists questioned the way Western media covered major events. One pointed out how the Indian media couldn’t immediately report the assassination of Indian Premier India Gandhi on 31 October, 1984, as they couldn’t do so until the President made an official statement regarding the killing of a sitting PM, whereas the Western media didn’t have such obstacles.

The despicable western media practice of describing terrorists as gunmen and militants were also mentioned. Unfortunately, no one bothered to remind the audience of the India-led terrorist project that destroyed Sri Lanka, caused the deaths of nearly 1,500 Indian soldiers and her son Rajiv Gandhi, former Prime Minister, as well. The writer, at one point, felt the need to remind the gathering of the need to discuss issues in Sri Lanka context.

Ms Smita Prakash, in her thought-provoking address, discussed the challenge the mainstream Indian media faced in reporting ‘Operation Sindoor’ following the terrorist attack on Pahalgam on 22 April, 2025. India directly blamed Pakistan and launched large-scale offensive action on 7 May. The gathering was told that similar challenges were experienced in covering the unprecedented war between Israel-US combine against Iran this year.

When the new West Asia war erupted, India found the situation quite embarrassing, particularly against the backdrop of Prime Minister Narendra Modi visiting Tel Aviv, just days before the attack on Tehran. India remained silent for several days before Foreign Secretary, Vikram Misri, on 5 March, signed the condolence book at the Iranian Embassy, in Delhi, on behalf of the Government of India. Misri offered condolences on the death of the Supreme Leader of Iran, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.

Over a week later India had no option but to get in touch with the Iranian leadership to secure energy supplies amidst turmoil over disruption of services. The Indian media coverage of the West Asia war obviously took into consideration the developing situation at home as the Modi government carefully navigated the crisis situation. Towards the end of the major confrontations before Iran and US agreed on a ceasefire, the US attacked three vessels crewed by Indians in the Hormuz strait.

Both traditional and non-traditional media have to deal with social media platforms where users can post messages, images and videos. US President Donald Trump shared posts on his social media platform Truth Social on a regular basis that made all other media irrelevant. The impact of the US President’s posts made a huge impact during the West Asia war as he continuously bypassed all official channels to go directly to the people. His regular posts caused uncertainty, increased tensions and undermined efforts to deal with the developing situations, sensibly.

Following recent exchanges and Iranian vows to avenge the death of their Supreme leader, President Trump wrote in a post on his Truth Social account:”1,000 missiles are locked and loaded and aimed at the Islamic Republic of Iran, with thousands more to immediately follow, should the Iranian government act on its threat.” He then signed off the post with the phrase “praise be to Allah”, which he also did in a post threatening Iran last April.

Perhaps, SLIMFA-arranged discussions should have paid attention to the impact of social media platforms in the hands of world leaders and governments. All countries (governments), regardless of their size and influence, use social media to advance their agenda. There is no need for breaking news on television channels or news flash in print media as they can directly go to the public.

The unprecedented transformation of the media landscape, in the wake of proliferation of social media with both governments as well as big business at the receiving end, sometimes. Platforms have emerged as central hubs for global news. The reportage of the West Asia war, as well as other developments at global level, proved the advent of social media and the dependence of major news agencies on social media platforms.

The Western media coverage of the Russia-Ukraine war repeatedly exposed their bias. The UK’s BBC declined to visit the site of a Ukrainian drone attack on a student dormitory in Starobelsk in the Lugansk Republic, in May this year. The CNN, too, declared its inability to join the visit arranged by Russia. One need not be an expert to understand their response as the world knows the Ukraine is being used by Western powers for war with Russia, a claim not denied by them.

Drop in voter enthusiasm

Top award-winning journalist Marya Shakil explained the devastating impact of the smartphone on the Indian electorate.

Recalling her coverage of elections in the Uttar Pradesh, in 2017, the two-time recipient of the prestigious Ramnath Goenka Award for Politics and Government asserted that the younger generation, now addicted to smartphones, may not be interested in politics. Shakil based her claim largely on a boy she found aimlessly scrolling near a political rally and covering election in Bihar last year.

Having displaced a range of figures to prove the continuing decline in the traditional media, Shakil engaged the audience in an exciting conversation that underscored the responsibility on the part of the traditional media to address the issues at hand and face challenges. She reiterated that regardless of expansion and massive profits accrued by non-traditional media, including influencers, at the expense of the traditional media, the latter still remained trustworthy.

Shakil’s assertion regarding declining voter interest, as shown by that boy she ran into during Uttar Pradesh polls coverage. must be examined taking into how smartphones can be a destructive tool. During the discussions, references were made to the violent overthrow of governments in Pakistan (April, 2022), Bangladesh (August, 2024) and Nepal (September, 2025) though Sri Lanka (July, 2024) was not mentioned in that particular context. However, Jamila Hussain referred to the challenging task of covering the campaign against President Gotabaya Rajapaksa.

In those externally backed protest operations against democratically elected governments, sections of the media, both traditional (print/electronic) and non-traditional, played significant roles. Sri Lanka is not an exception. President Gotabaya Rajapaksa didn’t realise what was going on until it was too late. If not for the intervention made by the Navy at the 11th hour, the President and the First Lady could have been trapped at the President’s House when protesters took control of it.

It would be pertinent to mention what Indian National Security Advisor (NSA) Ajith Doval said about the overthrow of governments. Speaking at the Sardar Patel Memorial Lecture, in New Delhi, on 31 October, 2025, Doval attributed recent political instability and “non-constitutional regime changes” in neighbouring countries to deficiencies in governance.

Declaring that the quality of governance is the fundamental determinant of political stability, Doval, who held at influential post since 2014, when the BJP formed government, stressed: “The rise and fall of empires, monarchies, oligarchies, aristocracies, or democracies is, in essence, a history of their governance.”

Commenting on political upheavals in the region, Doval declared: “In the recent cases of regime change through non-constitutional methods in Bangladesh, Sri Lanka, Nepal, and others, these were actually cases of bad governance. And that is how governance matters.” Is it his opinion that it is India’s sole right to decide what is good governance and bad governance in the region?

Doval’s opinion cannot be examined without taking into consideration their partnership with the US as well as joint US-Japan-India-Australia (Quad) response to the Chinese challenge. Years ago, Gotabaya Rajapaksa disclosed how Doval demanded the cancellation of all major Chinese projects here, including the handing over of the Hambantota Port to China on a 99-year-lease and the Colombo Port City project.

Although India failed to disrupt major Chinese projects here, New Delhi has consolidated its position in Sri Lanka. Taking control of the CDL, as well as the inauguration of the Colombo West International Terminal (CWIT), in April, 2025, boosted their position here. The consortium operating the $800 million CWITT includes India’s Adani Ports & SEZ Ltd, John Keels and the Sri Lanka Ports Authority (SLPA).

The irony is that the JVP, once opposed to everything and anything connected to Delhi, has ended up in a cozy relationship with Modi’s India and got close to the US in a manner that no one believed possible a decade ago.

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Midweek Review

Remote health monitoring: A practical digital solution for dengue burden

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Sri Lanka is once again facing a significant dengue challenge. With rising numbers of suspected and confirmed cases reported across the country, especially during the rainy season, dengue has become not only a public health concern but also a major pressure point for the hospital system. In many affected districts, outpatient departments, emergency treatment units and medical wards are crowded with patients who need assessment, blood investigations and close observation.

Dengue is a disease that can change rapidly. A patient who appears stable in the early days of fever may enter a critical stage within a short period. This is why doctors are cautious, and why many patients are advised to return repeatedly for review. However, in a lower-middle-income country such as Sri Lanka, where public hospitals already function with limited beds, staff shortages and high patient loads, depending only on hospital-based care during an outbreak is not sustainable.

As a specialist in Health Informatics, I believe Sri Lanka needs a practical remote health monitoring system to support dengue care. Such a system can help identify patients who truly need admission, while safely monitoring stable patients at home. This will reduce unnecessary hospital overcrowding and allow hospital resources to be used for patients who are seriously ill.

Not every patient diagnosed with dengue needs immediate admission. Some patients are clinically stable but still require close monitoring, especially during the critical phase of the illness. At present, many such patients are sent home with advice to return if they develop warning symptoms. While this is clinically reasonable, it places a heavy responsibility on families, and danger signs may be missed or recognized late.

A remote monitoring system can close this gap. Once a patient is diagnosed with dengue at a hospital, clinic or laboratory, the patient can be registered into a digital platform. Basic details such as age, day of fever, symptoms, risk factors, etc can be entered. Based on this information, patients can be categorized into low-risk, moderate-risk or high-risk groups according to national clinical guidance.

Patients who are suitable for home care can then be followed up through structured phone calls, SMS, WhatsApp-based forms or a simple mobile application. They or their caregivers can report temperature, pulse, blood pressure if available, vomiting, abdominal pain, dizziness, bleeding symptoms, urine output, fluid intake, and general well-being.

These data can be monitored by a dedicated panel of doctors through a centralized digital dashboard, allowing timely clinical review and appropriate decision-making. Such a system is not intended to replace existing clinical care, but to strengthen the health system by supporting early identification of at-risk patients, improving follow-up, and reducing the unnecessary burden on already crowded hospitals.

Depending on the severity, the patient can be advised to visit the nearest hospital, referred to the area Medical Officer of Health, or connected to an ambulance service. This creates a safer pathway from home to hospital before the condition becomes critical.

The same system can also be used for patients discharged from the hospital. A few days of remote follow-up after discharge can provide reassurance, detect late complications, and reduce unnecessary readmissions.

Sri Lanka already has a strong public health network, including hospitals, MOH offices, public health inspectors and dengue control units. What is needed now is better digital coordination. A low-cost, well-designed remote monitoring system can connect patients, doctors, hospitals and emergency services in a timely manner.

Dengue prevention will always depend on mosquito control, clean environments and community participation. But during an outbreak, timely information can save lives. Remote health monitoring offers Sri Lanka a practical way to protect patients, reduce hospital pressure and deliver the right care at the right time.


by Dr. Harsha Jayakody

Board-certified specialist in Health Informatics
MBBS (Sri Lanka), MBA in Health Admin (Malaysia), MSc in Biomedical Informatics (Sri Lanka), MD in Health Informatics (Sri Lanka)

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Midweek Review

The sordid tale of theft and tragedy at Finance Ministry

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The latest deplorable revelations in the Committee on Public Finance (COPF) report ‘The Fraud Linked to Cybercrime in the US Dollar 2.5 Million Debt Repayment to Australia’, presented to parliament on July 10th tells a tale of irresponsibility, incompetence and disregard for the most important of tasks that are bestowed on a Ministry that is of paramount importance to a country striving to come out of a serious economic crisis.

Every new crisis adds a burden on the backs of the innocent citizens paying for the sins of those who caused it. This time, as in other times, the crisis was caused by those who sit high above the citizenry, governing the country or running its affairs; by those who perpetrated the fraud deliberately, and no less by those who enabled it through incompetence, inattention and perhaps ignorance.

The incredible ease with which the shameful theft of 2.5 million US Dollars occurred in the Ministry of Finance reveals that this theft was facilitated by a series of lapses by those in charge of its processes, as COPF discovered, and was most certainly avoidable.

Ten fraudulent transactions had been allowed to pass through the precincts of the Finance Ministry and the Central Bank of Sri Lanka, before it was discovered that they were the unwitting pawns in a straightforward cybercrime. Two institutions that ordinary citizens hold in high trust and esteem had their pockets picked in broad daylight.

Transition Errors

This whole unsavoury affair starts with a transition.

In order to better manage foreign debt, the government, “in keeping with international standards”, decided to institute a new unit to take care of all things to do with foreign debt within the Ministry of Finance. It is called the Public Debt Management Office (PMOD). It took away those duties from the Central Bank (CBSL), which handled the tasks earlier.

COPF says that “the fraud linked to cybercrime under consideration happened within this process.” It certainly did.

The process of transition from CBSL to PMOD had holes the size of 2.5 million US dollars. And the irresponsible handling of this transition has so far led to the death of a young bureaucrat, so let’s not treat this casually or lightly. Those who undertook to oversee this process to a successful finish must surely examine their own part in this tragic story.

Non-Actions Have Consequences

The transition took 18 months. November 2024 to March 2026. Long enough to ensure that the CBSL had passed on its processes, training and experience to a new team at the PMOD to a satisfactory standard.

One wouldn’t think that an old and respected institution with what we assume were its tested systems and processes, passing on its expertise to a brand-new unit specifically set up to deal with an important set of tasks, would get it wrong. But it did.

COPF was not happy:

*  The Committee found no document that provided a detailed guideline or terms of reference for this complex, multifaceted transition process involving multiple institutions.

*  There are no KPIs available to judge whether the transition was completed in an adequate manner.

*  Even the guidelines that govern the operations of the PDMO were only published on 19 September 2025, 10 months after the establishment of the office.

*  The MoU between the CBSL and PDMO on their areas of collaboration was only signed on 9 March 2026, almost at the end of the official transition period.

It looks like there was inadequate planning from the very start. Every mistake, every slipshod move, every skipping of essential steps in the process, is what the citizen ends up paying for, and even dying for.

The COPF report shows a 4-step CBSL process through which debt repayments transit, from receiving and checking invoices to confirming payment details through to the final payment.

Each is carried out by a separate section.

Each stage is part of an internal controls system, where important checks are carried out to prevent errors and/or fraud.

After the transition to PDMO, there seems to have been a serious lack of internal controls with the checks necessary to prevent fraud.

The COPF specifically faults the PDMO for not securing its IT infrastructure:

*  PDMO’s outdated IT system which “left it at complete risk of cyberattacks”.

*  Shortfalls in IT infrastructure and cybersecurity measures at the MoF, including the ERD, were highlighted in a comprehensive audit carried out by KPMG…in December 2024.

*  Fraud linked to cybercrime in question commenced in mid-November 2025, only a month after the server system stopped receiving Microsoft security updates.

Early Warnings

The COPF report highlights the fact that early in January 2026 a cybersecurity threat was discovered during a debt repayment to be made to the Export-Import (EXIM) Bank of India:

“When CBSL attempted to make payment to the account details provided by the PDMO, with JP Morgan as intermediary, the payment was rejected by JPMorgan’s Global Fraud Prevention Operations team. Contact was made by PDMO officials with an EXIM Bank of India team, allowing the MoF to confirm that fraudulent payment instructions had been provided.”

The details of the attempted fraud are an exact copy of the one that succeeded later with the Australian payment, which failed in the case of India:

“Payment was then made to the correct account, verified through communication with the EXIM Bank of India. This suspicious activity was reported to the Criminal Investigation Department (CID) and SL-CERT on 9th January 2026. The ERD IT Officer’s complaint to SL-CERT mentioned that the suspected fraudulent email address used the domain eximbenkindia.in (while the correct domain appears to be eximbankindia.in).”

This was not the end of it. There was more!

When the cybersecurity threat regarding the Indian payment was reported to the Secretary of the Treasury triggering an investigation by the Director General of the ERD, a veritable treasure trove of fraudulent emails was discovered:

“Payment instructions received via email for several other due payments, including for payments to the United Kingdom (USD 1,294,605.99), Germany (EUR 4,059,987.81) and Belgium (EUR 60,974.88) were further identified as fraudulent.”

What would have happened if not for the JP Morgan team in India? Would these also have gone through, to a thieving scammer? In the event, the report says:

“UK was suspended immediately. Communications initiated by the suspicious party were identified and investigative authorities were alerted. The payment related to Belgium was made to the correct account.”

That’s two saved. What happened to the German payment of Euro 4,059,987.81? Did we pay it to a scammer?

So, it is in the process of verifying these fraudulent payment details that the Ministry of Finance was “alerted on 23rd March 2026 to communications from Export Finance Australia of non-receipt of debt repayments due in previous months.”

The report reproduces the email exchanges on the same set of Australian invoices from 3 different email addresses:

*  @exportfinance.gov.au

*  @exportfinance-au.com

*  @exportfinanceau.com

The communications from these different email accounts were on-going from October 2025, but the fraud was discovered only in March 2026. By then the damage was done. Payments had already been made to the fraudulent account.

This is especially worrying because the COPF report says that after the debt restructure in October 2025, “The MoF officials said in Committee that the existing account details for Export Finance Australia repayments had not been changed in the revised agreement.”

The COPF makes the important observation that the system of internal controls at the MoF are grossly inadequate, citing one example:

“The final payment authorisation within MoF has historically been done by a Director with authority over the Debt Servicing function, at ERD and now PDMO, without any verification process by more senior officials, highlighting weak internal controls.”

The report lists some measures that have been taken by the MoF to prevent any recurrence. However, they add:

“These measures pertain to establishing and strengthening internal controls and ensuring basic cybersecurity within the Ministry of Finance. They should have been in place as a baseline…”

Me Sir? No Sir, Not I Sir!

The views expressed by both the MoF and the CBSL as to who was responsible for these blunders make interesting reading because they reveal more about them than they realize.

COPF says that at the 8th June discussions:

“The Ministry of Finance was of the view that the CBSL should have been more vigilant and taken proactive measures…CBSL was of the view that there was no legal responsibility under the FTRA for its role as banker to the government.”

The practiced passing of the buck between these two institutions is unsavoury, if revealing. Shouldn’t they have carried out an immediate review of their own conduct to discover where each might have failed, individually and together?

The AG has concurred with the CBSL in its view regarding CBSL’s legal responsibility. However, since CBSL had been doing the job until now, had undertaken the training of the new team and transition of the processes, they had a professional responsibility to ensure that adequate systems were in place to mitigate the risks that they, rather than a brand-new team, were far more experienced at identifying.

Isn’t it fair and reasonable to expect that the CBSL would regard it as their responsibility to give adequate training which includes the right internal controls and monitoring, and to see the process through to implementation to their total satisfaction?

As for the MoF, COPF says:

“The MoF was of the view that during the period in which the PDMO officials created the SSIs for the repayments on fraudulent invoices in November 2025, PDD-CBSL officials continued to oversee the process.”

Why did the MoF think they were ready to takeover from the CBSL and run the show, when they admitted to COPF that “PDMO staff did not have a proper understanding of international fund transfer processes and AML concerns, which limited their ability to act upon limited information provided by CBSL staff on such matters.” Shouldn’t they have dealt with this before they went ‘live’, as it were?

It gets even more alarming when the CBSL tells COPF that

* “internal controls within the MoF for payment verification are dysfunctional”

* “CBSL cannot ensure verification through its payments process, acknowledging that even the CBSL PDD would have failed to prevent a fraud linked to cybercrime in such a scenario.”

What were the Ministers doing, while their systems got so dysfunctional that according to CBSL, a fraud couldn’t have been prevented?

What happened in this inadequately conceived and planned transition resulted in more than a substantial financial loss. The MoF suspended 4 officials pending investigations into the fraud. One of those officials, Ranga Rajapaksa, an Assistant Director of the External Resources Department (ERD) was found dead on April 30, 2026, at his residence in Kuliyapitiya. A post-mortem ruled the death a suicide.

[Sanja de Silva Jayatilleka was a member of the team that transitioned GlaxoSmithKline UK’s Financial Services from Britain to India, overseeing the training, testing, final transitioning and post-transition support of the Compliance and Control function.]

by Sanja de Silva Jayatilleka

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