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The Democrats : CANDIDATES FOR THE US PRESIDENCY IN 2024 PART 2

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by Vijaya Chandrasoma

As a postscript to last week’s essay about potential Republican candidates for the 2024 presidency, many others, including Florida Governor, Ron DeSantis, Senator Tim Scott, the only Republican African-American in the US Senate and former Vice President Mike Pence have thrown their hats in the ring. Hopefully, this portents a loosening of the grip Trump and the extreme MAGA right of the Republican Party have been wielding over the years. Especially because they are trying to take the country in a direction most Americans repudiate, where they dictate what we read, whom we love and our sexual identity, whom we can worship.

Also, their intransigent opposition to a significant response to the threat of climate change; their refusal to enact effective legislation to alleviate the epidemic of gun violence; their interference in women’s reproductive freedom; and the continuing sexual, income and wealth inequality. All hot button issues which demand action by a majority of Americans, they will almost certainly seal their defeat in 2024. After which the Republican Party finally will wake up in the 21st century, with monstrous memories of the nightmare that constituted the Trump years.

The announced and likely candidates for the 2024 Democratic nomination for the 2024 presidency are:

President Joe Biden (80 years)

President Biden has announced his decision to run for re-election in 2026, stressing that his decision was based on his accomplishments in the first two years of his presidency. These bi-partisan legislative accomplishments are substantial, and include the American Rescue Plan, which gave financial assistance to those affected by Covid, a long-overdue $1.1 trillion infrastructure bill, and the Inflation Reduction Act, landmark legislation aimed at curbing inflation, lowering the deficit by reducing prescription drug and other prices, while making a significant response to the climate crisis. The economy under Biden has added a record 12.6 million jobs as at April 2023, exceeding the pre-pandemic totals by 3.2 million jobs. Biden passed the first, though minimal and largely impotent gun regulations in 30 years; too little too late, nevertheless a welcome start. He also appointed Ketanji Brown Jackson, the first African-American woman, to the Supreme Court.

Globally, Biden has rallied a coalition of over 40 nations behind Ukraine in response to Russia’s invasion. An act of illegal aggression generally recognized as not only a threat to the sovereignty and independence of Ukraine, but an attempt by President Putin to dismantle NATO and achieve his dream of restoring the glory days of the old Union of Soviet Socialist Republics.

While Biden’s policies have been generally popular, he has failed to get the credit he deserves, mainly because of his handling of the withdrawal of US forces from Afghanistan. His decision to withdraw did succeed in finally ending America’s longest war, though at substantial cost because of a lack of a well-planned exit strategy. Republicans also criticize his handling of the immigration crisis at the southern border, inflation and the economy.

His Achilles heel remains his age. He will be 82 in November 2026 and 86 at the end of his second term. He is dogged by low approval ratings, in spite of his stellar legislative performance, because of concerns about his advanced age. His wisest course of action would be to continue with his impressive presidential performance, and retire with great honor and fanfare in 2024. The only way the Democrats can lose the most vitally important election in the history of the USA would be to field Biden as its candidate.

Although Biden’s approval is running in the low 40s, Democrats will vote for him if he is the nominee. If the Republicans are equally stupid and field Trump as their nominee, then Biden will win by a large margin, again. Trump’s political career is on the wane, and his prison career may have begun by November 24.

Biden’s chances against a moderate Republican candidate will however not be as rosy, especially if that rival is a fresh, younger face, skeptical of radical right conspiracy theories currently popular with Trump and his MAGA cult.

The raising of the debt ceiling has always been a formality, and has never been denied. It simply authorizes the settlement of payments which have already been spent. 25% of the current debt represents the expenditure on Trump’s tax cuts in 2017, designed to favor the billionaires and corporations. The failure to increase the debt ceiling will force the US to default on its financial obligations, and will, according to Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen, trigger an “unprecedented economic and financial storm….and cause irreparable harm to the US economy, the livelihoods of all Americans (in the middle and lower classes) and global financial stability”.

The chief negotiator for the Republican Party, Speaker Kevin McCarthy, a tool of the extreme Maga Trumpian tribe, is playing political brinkmanship. They refuse to negotiate on the Draconian conditions already submitted, which favor the super-wealthy at the expense of the poor and the vulnerable.

The Republican strategy is aimed at bringing the economy to its knees, imposing immense hardship to the poorer classes and causing a global recession. As long as they will have Biden to blame for the crises, and so increase their chances of winning the 2024 election, they care zilch about the plight of anyone or anything else. A short-sighted strategy which is doomed to failure.

Biden has been cornered in a “damned if I do, damned if I don’t” situation. He has to get bi-partisan support to raise the debt ceiling by June 1. And he has to do so without any contribution from the super-wealthy and only the rejection or reduction of entitlement programs for the needy, which form the basis of Democratic ideology. A Herculean task, indeed.

Only two other Democrats have so far announced their candidature for the 2024 Democratic nomination.

Robert F. Kennedy. Jnr. (69 years)

By far the more interesting of the two Democrats who have already announced their candidatures is Robert F. Kennedy, Jnr., son of Attorney General Bobby Kennedy and nephew of JFK. Junior is an environmental lawyer noted for championing environmental issues. But of late, he has antagonized both his family and many Democrats by espousing conspiracy theories about vaccines, which have been embraced by extreme right Trump supporters like convicted felons, Steve Bannon and Alex Jones.

Marianne Williamson (70 years)

Ms. Williamson, a long time social-activist, “self-help guru” and best-selling author, participated at two Democratic primaries in 2020, where she declared that the only way to defeat Trump was to “harness love for political purposes”. Her 2024 platform backs government-run healthcare, free childcare, at least $1 trillion in slavery reparations to black Americans and a federal agency named the Department of Peace. Her approval ratings are in the low single digits, but she has gained the attention of millions of young voters with her Tik Tok content. Perfect presidential material, perhaps 30 years ahead of her time.

There are many eminently qualified and competent Democrats who may decide announce their candidature in due time.

Vice President Kamala Harris (58 years)

As second-in-command, Harris would be a natural candidate in 2024, only if Biden retires; it is unlikely that she will challenge her current boss if he runs. Her performance in her role as Vice President has been held to a more intense scrutiny as President Biden’s potential successor, whether imminently, in 2024 or 2028. Her identity as the first woman of both black and South Asian descent has also led to an unprecedented focus on her eligibility for the presidency by racist elements.

The Vice President’s role is necessarily underplayed and understated, but her performance so far makes her a viable candidate to succeed Biden, as does her lifetime of public service as District Attorney of San Francisco, California’s Attorney General and United States Senator.

Gavin Newsom (55 years)

Newsom, Governor of California, is one of the more credible alternatives to Joe Biden, whether he retires or not.Newsom has repeatedly said that he does not intend to run for the presidency in 2024. He is halfway through his term as Governor of California, which he would have to abandon with a job largely unfinished. However, he has been on the offense against the Republicans in recent times, and it is unlikely that he would be able to resist the lure of a run for the presidency.

Gretchen Whitmer (51 years)

Michigan Governor, Whitmer has said that she wouldn’t run even if Biden retires, but there will be plenty of voter pressure on her to run, after winning two elections in a swing state by over 10 points, and taking over both chambers of the state legislature for the first time in 40 years. In addition to her popularity with voters, she passed legislation which enshrined reproductive rights in Michigan’s Constitution before Roe v. Wade was overturned. Legislation applauded by not only voters in Michigan, but nationwide.

Pete Buttigieg (41 years)

Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg ran for the presidency in 2020, even leading in early primaries. In a recent New Hampshire poll, he is the top choice of Democratic voters for the upcoming primaries in the Granite State, the first of such Democratic primaries in the 2024 election season cycle. However, he has faced criticism about his handling of crisis upon crisis on air travel during the holiday season in 2022. His handling of the train disaster in East Palestine, Ohio in February, when 38 railcars, 20 carrying hazardous materials, derailed, contaminating the air which necessitated the evacuation of residents within a one-mile radius, has also come under intense criticism.

Staunch conservative Liz Cheney was a leading member of the Republican Party until she was fired for her defiance of Trump after the Trump-incited January 6 insurrection. She has earned lavish praise from the Democrats for her stance against Trump, and has stated that she will campaign with the Democrats in the 2024 elections.

There are many extremely qualified candidates who may come into prominence before November 2024; political satirist, Jon Stewart ((60), Senators Amy Klobuchar (65), Elizabeth Warren (73), even old Bernie Sanders (81), to name a few. My favorite longshot for 2024 and beyond is New York Congressman, Daniel Goldman (47), who served as lead counsel in both impeachment trials against Donald Trump. A brilliant prosecutor, he has recently broken into media prominence with his relentless questioning of radical Republicans on various MAGA conspiracy lies in the House, with devastating success.

Michelle Obama? Well-nigh impossible she will run, but we can dream.

And my ever-optimistic opinion, that New York Congresswoman Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez should be anyone’s pick for Vice President, if she’s considered too young for the presidency (she will be 35 in October 2024). AOC, as she is popularly known, represents our future and the “Woke” progressive direction towards which the country is headed. With Senator Bernie Sanders, AOC has been leading the movement of the richest nation in the world playing catch up with the compassionate economic and societal policies of all other advanced nations.

The Republican Party will also wake up to this fact when they realize that they haven’t won an election since 2016. They have run out options, especially if their beloved leader has been forcibly “retired”.

My predictions for the candidates for the US presidency are based on today’s conditions. These probably will be totally outdated by November 2024. A host of variables can – and will – change in 15 months. This crucial election may be ultimately contested and decided by presidential protagonists who are not even in the political limelight today.



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Sheer rise of Realpolitik making the world see the brink

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A combined US-Israel attack on Iran.(BBC)

The recent humanly costly torpedoing of an Iranian naval vessel in Sri Lanka’s Exclusive Economic Zone by a US submarine has raised a number of issues of great importance to international political discourse and law that call for elucidation. It is best that enlightened commentary is brought to bear in such discussions because at present misleading and uninformed speculation on questions arising from the incident are being aired by particularly jingoistic politicians of Sri Lanka’s South which could prove deleterious.

As matters stand, there seems to be no credible evidence that the Indian state was aware of the impending torpedoing of the Iranian vessel but these acerbic-tongued politicians of Sri Lanka’s South would have the local public believe that the tragedy was triggered with India’s connivance. Likewise, India is accused of ‘embroiling’ Sri Lanka in the incident on account of seemingly having prior knowledge of it and not warning Sri Lanka about the impending disaster.

It is plain that a process is once again afoot to raise anti-India hysteria in Sri Lanka. An obligation is cast on the Sri Lankan government to ensure that incendiary speculation of the above kind is defeated and India-Sri Lanka relations are prevented from being in any way harmed. Proactive measures are needed by the Sri Lankan government and well meaning quarters to ensure that public discourse in such matters have a factual and rational basis. ‘Knowledge gaps’ could prove hazardous.

Meanwhile, there could be no doubt that Sri Lanka’s sovereignty was violated by the US because the sinking of the Iranian vessel took place in Sri Lanka’s Exclusive Economic Zone. While there is no international decrying of the incident, and this is to be regretted, Sri Lanka’s helplessness and small player status would enable the US to ‘get away with it’.

Could anything be done by the international community to hold the US to account over the act of lawlessness in question? None is the answer at present. This is because in the current ‘Global Disorder’ major powers could commit the gravest international irregularities with impunity. As the threadbare cliché declares, ‘Might is Right’….. or so it seems.

Unfortunately, the UN could only merely verbally denounce any violations of International Law by the world’s foremost powers. It cannot use countervailing force against violators of the law, for example, on account of the divided nature of the UN Security Council, whose permanent members have shown incapability of seeing eye-to-eye on grave matters relating to International Law and order over the decades.

The foregoing considerations could force the conclusion on uncritical sections that Political Realism or Realpolitik has won out in the end. A basic premise of the school of thought known as Political Realism is that power or force wielded by states and international actors determine the shape, direction and substance of international relations. This school stands in marked contrast to political idealists who essentially proclaim that moral norms and values determine the nature of local and international politics.

While, British political scientist Thomas Hobbes, for instance, was a proponent of Political Realism, political idealism has its roots in the teachings of Socrates, Plato and latterly Friedrich Hegel of Germany, to name just few such notables.

On the face of it, therefore, there is no getting way from the conclusion that coercive force is the deciding factor in international politics. If this were not so, US President Donald Trump in collaboration with Israeli Rightist Premier Benjamin Natanyahu could not have wielded the ‘big stick’, so to speak, on Iran, killed its Supreme Head of State, terrorized the Iranian public and gone ‘scot-free’. That is, currently, the US’ impunity seems to be limitless.

Moreover, the evidence is that the Western bloc is reuniting in the face of Iran’s threats to stymie the flow of oil from West Asia to the rest of the world. The recent G7 summit witnessed a coming together of the foremost powers of the global North to ensure that the West does not suffer grave negative consequences from any future blocking of western oil supplies.

Meanwhile, Israel is having a ‘free run’ of the Middle East, so to speak, picking out perceived adversarial powers, such as Lebanon, and militarily neutralizing them; once again with impunity. On the other hand, Iran has been bringing under assault, with no questions asked, Gulf states that are seen as allying with the US and Israel. West Asia is facing a compounded crisis and International Law seems to be helplessly silent.

Wittingly or unwittingly, matters at the heart of International Law and peace are being obfuscated by some pro-Trump administration commentators meanwhile. For example, retired US Navy Captain Brent Sadler has cited Article 51 of the UN Charter, which provides for the right to self or collective self-defence of UN member states in the face of armed attacks, as justifying the US sinking of the Iranian vessel (See page 2 of The Island of March 10, 2026). But the Article makes it clear that such measures could be resorted to by UN members only ‘ if an armed attack occurs’ against them and under no other circumstances. But no such thing happened in the incident in question and the US acted under a sheer threat perception.

Clearly, the US has violated the Article through its action and has once again demonstrated its tendency to arbitrarily use military might. The general drift of Sadler’s thinking is that in the face of pressing national priorities, obligations of a state under International Law could be side-stepped. This is a sure recipe for international anarchy because in such a policy environment states could pursue their national interests, irrespective of their merits, disregarding in the process their obligations towards the international community.

Moreover, Article 51 repeatedly reiterates the authority of the UN Security Council and the obligation of those states that act in self-defence to report to the Council and be guided by it. Sadler, therefore, could be said to have cited the Article very selectively, whereas, right along member states’ commitments to the UNSC are stressed.

However, it is beyond doubt that international anarchy has strengthened its grip over the world. While the US set destabilizing precedents after the crumbling of the Cold War that paved the way for the current anarchic situation, Russia further aggravated these degenerative trends through its invasion of Ukraine. Stepping back from anarchy has thus emerged as the prime challenge for the world community.

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A Tribute to Professor H. L. Seneviratne – Part II

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A Living Legend of the Peradeniya Tradition:

(First part of this article appeared yesterday)

H.L. Seneviratne’s tenure at the University of Virginia was marked not only by his ethnographic rigour but also by his profound dedication to the preservation and study of South Asian film culture. Recognising that cinema is often the most vital expression of a society’s aspirations and anxieties, he played a central role in curating what is now one of the most significant Indian film collections in the United States. His approach to curation was never merely archival; it was informed by his anthropological work, treating films as primary texts for understanding the ideological shifts within the subcontinent

The collection he helped build at the UVA Library, particularly within the Clemons Library holdings, serves as a comprehensive survey of the Indian ‘Parallel Cinema’ movement and the works of legendary auteurs. This includes the filmographies of directors such as Satyajit Ray, whose nuanced portrayals of the Indian middle class and rural poverty provided a cinematic counterpart to H.L. Seneviratne’s own academic interests in social change. By prioritising the works of figures such as Mrinal Sen and Ritwik Ghatak, H.L. Seneviratne ensured that students and scholars had access to films that wrestled with the complex legacies of colonialism, partition, and the struggle for national identity.

These films represent the ‘Parallel Cinema’ movement of West Bengal rather than the commercial Hindi industry of Mumbai. H.L. Seneviratne’s focus initially cantered on those world-renowned Bengali masters; it eventually broadened to encompass the distinct cinematic languages of the South. These films refer to the specific masterpieces from the Malayalam and Tamil regions—such as the meditative realism of Adoor Gopalakrishnan or the stylistic innovations of Mani Ratnam—which are culturally and linguistically distinct from the Bengali works. Essentially, H.L. Seneviratne is moving from the specific (Bengal) to the panoramic, ensuring that the curatorial work of H.L. Seneviratne was not just a ‘Greatest Hits of Kolkata’ but a truly national representation of Indian artistry. These films were selected for their ability to articulate internal critiques of Indian society, often focusing on issues of caste, gender, and the impact of modernisation on traditional life. Through this collection, H.L. Seneviratne positioned cinema as a tool for exposing the social dynamics that often remain hidden in traditional historical records, much like the hidden political rituals he uncovered in his early research.

Beyond the films themselves, H.L. Seneviratne integrated these visual resources into his curriculum, fostering a generation of scholars who understood the power of the image in South Asian politics. He frequently used these screenings to illustrate the conflation of past and present, showing how modern cinema often reworks ancient myths to serve contemporary political agendas. His legacy at the University of Virginia therefore encompasses both a rigorous body of writing that deconstructed the work of the kings and a vivid archive of films that continues to document the work of culture in a rapidly changing world.

In his lectures on Sri Lankan cinema, H.L. Seneviratne has frequently championed Lester James Peries as the ‘father of authentic Sinhala cinema.’ He views Peries’s 1956 film Rekava (Line of Destiny) as a watershed moment that liberated the local industry from the formulaic influence of South Indian commercial films. For H.L. Seneviratne, Peries was not just a filmmaker but an ethnographer of the screen. He often points to Peries’s ability to capture the subtle rhythms of rural life and the decline of the feudal elite, most notably in his masterpiece Gamperaliya, as a visual parallel to his own research into the transformation of traditional authority. H.L. Seneviratne argues that Peries provided a realistic way of seeing for the nation, one that eschewed nationalist caricature in favour of complex human emotion.

However, H.L. Seneviratne’s praise for Peries is often tempered by a critique of the broader visual nationalism that followed. He has expressed concern that later filmmakers sometimes misappropriated Peries’s indigenous style to promote a narrow, majoritarian view of history. In his view, while Peries opened the door to an authentic Sri Lankan identity, the state and subsequent commercial interests often used that same door to usher in a simplified, heroic past. This critique aligns with his broader academic stance against the rationalization of culture for political ends.

Constitutional Governance:

H.L. Seneviratne’s support for independent commissions is best described as a hopeful pragmatism; he views them as essential, albeit fragile, instruments for diffusing the hyper-concentration of executive power. Writing to Colombo Page and several news tabloids, H.L. Seneviratne addresses the democratic deficit by creating a structural buffer between partisan interests and public institutions, theoretically ensuring that the judiciary, police, and civil service operate on merit rather than political whim. However, he remains deeply aware that these commissions are not a panacea and are indeed inherently susceptible to the ‘politics of patronage.’

In cultures where power is traditionally exercised through personal loyalties, there is a constant risk that these bodies will be subverted through the appointment of hidden partisans or rendered toothless through administrative sabotage. Thus, while H.L. Seneviratne advocates for them as a means to transition a state from a patron-client culture to a rule-of-law framework, his anthropological lens suggests that the success of such commissions depends less on the law itself and more on the sustained pressure of civil society to keep them honest.

Whether discussing the nuances of a film’s narrative or the complexities of a constitutional clause, H.L. Seneviratne’s approach remains consistent in its focus on the spirit behind the institution. He maintains that a healthy democracy requires more than just the right laws or the right symbols; it requires a citizenry and a clergy capable of critical self-reflection. His career at the University of Virginia and his continued engagement with Sri Lankan public life stand as a testament to the idea that the intellectual’s work is never truly finished until the work of the people is fully realized.

In the context of H.L. Seneviratne’s philosophy, as discussed in his work of the kings ‘the work of the people’ is far more than a populist catchphrase; it represents the practical application of critical consciousness within a democracy. Rather than defining ‘work’ as labour or voting, H.L. Seneviratne views it as the transition of a population from passive subjects to an active, self-reflective citizenry. This means that a democracy is only truly ‘realized’ when the public possesses the intellectual autonomy to look beyond the ‘right laws’ or ‘right symbols’ and instead engage with the underlying spirit of their institutions. For H.L. Seneviratne, this work is specifically tied to the ability of the people—including influential groups like the clergy—to perform rigorous self-critique, ensuring that they are not merely following tradition or authority, but are actively sustaining the ethical health of the nation. It is a perpetual process of civic education and moral vigilance that moves a society from the ‘paper’ democracy of a constitution to a lived reality of accountability and insight.

This decline of the ‘intellectual monk’ had a catastrophic impact on the political landscape, particularly surrounding the watershed moment of 1956 and the ‘Sinhala Only’ movement. H.L. Seneviratne posits that when the Sangha exchanged their role as impartial moral advisors for that of political kingmakers, they became the primary obstacle to ethnic reconciliation. He suggests that politicians, fearing the immense grassroots influence of the monks, entered a state of monachophobia, where they felt unable to propose pluralistic or fair policies toward minority communities for fear of being branded as traitors to the faith. In H.L. Seneviratne’s framework, the monk’s transition from a social servant to a political vanguard effectively trapped the state in a cycle of majoritarian nationalism from which it has yet to escape.

H.L. Seneviratne’s work serves as a multifaceted critique of the modern Sri Lankan state and its cultural foundations. Whether he is dissecting what he sees as the betrayal of the monastic ideal or celebrating the humanistic vision of an Indian filmmaker, his goal remains the same: to champion a world where intellect and compassion are not sacrificed on the altar of political power. His legacy at the University of Virginia and his continued voice in Sri Lankan discourse remind us that the work of the intellectual is to provide a moral compass even, indeed especially, when the nation has lost its way.

(Concluded)

by Professor
M. W. Amarasiri de Silva

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Musical journey of Nilanka Anjalee …

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Nilanka Anjalee Wickramasinghe is, in fact, a reputed doctor, but the plus factor is that she has an awesome singing voice, as well., which stands as a reminder that music and intellect can harmonise beautifully.

Well, our spotlight today is on ‘Nilanka – the Singer,’ and not ‘Nilanka – the Singing Doctor!’

Nilanka’s journey in music began at an early age, nurtured by an ear finely tuned to nuance and a heart that sought expression beyond words.

Under the tutelage of her singing teachers, she went on to achieve the A.T.C.L. Diploma in Piano and the L.T.C.L. Diploma in Vocals from Trinity College, London – qualifications recognised internationally for their rigor and artistry.

These achievements formally certified her as a teacher and performer in both opera singing and piano music, while her Performer’s Certificate for singing attested to her flair on stage.

Nilanka believes that music must move the listener, not merely impress them, emphasising that “technique is a language, but emotion is the message,” and that conviction shines through in her stage presence –serene yet powerful, intimate yet commanding.

Her YouTube channel, Facebook and Instagram pages, “Nilanka Anjalee,” have become a window into her evolving artistry.

Here, audiences find not only her elegant renditions of local and international pieces but also her original songs, which reveal a reflective and modern voice with a timeless sensibility.

Each performance – whether a haunting ballad or a jubilant interpretation of a traditional hymn – carries her signature blend of technical finesse and emotional depth.

Beyond the concert hall and digital stage, Nilanka’s music is driven by a deep commitment to meaning.

Her work often reflects her belief in empathy, inner balance, and the beauty of simplicity—values that give her performances their quiet strength.

She says she continues to collaborate with musicians across genres, composing and performing pieces that reflect both her classical discipline and her contemporary outlook.

Widely acclaimed for her ability to adapt to both formal and modern stages, with equal grace, and with her growing repertoire, Nilanka has become a sought-after soloist at concerts and special events,

For those who seek to experience her artistry, firsthand, Nilanka Anjalee says she can be contacted for live performances and collaborations through her official channels.

Her voice – refined, resonant, and resolutely her own – reminds us that music, at its core, is not about perfection, but truth.

Dr. Nilanka Anjalee Wickramasinghe also indicated that her newest single, an original, titled ‘Koloba Ahasa Yata,’ with lyrics, melody and singing all done by her, is scheduled for release this month (March)

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