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Stock investors continue to agonize over debt restructuring timeline

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By Hiran H. Senewiratne

The stock market yesterday too was marginally down as local and foreign investors continue to worry over the conclusion of the external debt restructuring process, which was scheduled to be completed before the end of this month. However, since it has been postponed until next year, investors continue to agonize over the timeline, market analysts said.

Further, investors are also awaiting IMF comments on the Sri Lanka economy which are to be made towards the end of this week. ‘This matter has created some confusion for every citizen in the country, analysts added.

Turnover stood at Rs 7 billion with nine crossings. Those crossings were reported in DFCC, which crossed 42.4 million shares to the tune of Rs 3.5 billion; its shares traded at Rs 85, Citizens Development Finance 2 million shares crossed for Rs. 496 million; its shares traded at Rs 248, JKH 6.3 million shares crossed to the tune of Rs 126 million and its shares traded at Rs 19.90, Sampath Bank 880,000 shares crossed to the tune of Rs 83.4 million; its shares sold at Rs 98.90, Commercial Bank 365,000 shares crossed to the tune of Rs 45 million; its shares traded at Rs 123.50, Melstacope 219,000 shares crossed to the tune of Rs 23.6 million; its shares traded at Rs 108, Hayleys Fabrics 455,000 shares crossed for Rs 22.2 million and its shares sold at Rs 48.80, Access Engineering 814,000 shares crossed to the tune of Rs 22 million; its shares fetched Rs 21 and Dipped Products 525,000 shares crossed to the tune of Rs 21 million; its shares sold at Rs 40.

In the retail market companies that mainly contributed to the turnover were; JKH Rs 464 million (23.1 million shares traded), Sampath Bank Rs 283 million (2.9 million shares traded), Commercial Bank Rs 175 million (1.4 million shares traded), Access Engineering Rs 114 million (4.2 million shares traded), DFCC Rs 88 million (1 million shares traded) and HNB Rs 73.9 million (324,000 shares traded). During the day 161 million share volumes changed hands in 18000 transactions.

It is said that the banking and financial sector was the largest contributor to the turnover, especially with DFCC Bank crossings and retail trading surpassing more than 50 percent of the turnover. During the day the banking sector performed well, especially Citizens Development Finance.

The manufacturing sector became the second largest contributor to the turnover and JKH was the main entity which contributed to yesterday’s turnover.

The rupee opened weaker at Rs 291.05/15 to the US dollar from 290.95/291.10 to the US dollar on the previous day, dealers said, while bond yields were stable.

A bond maturing on 15.12.2026 was quoted at 10.20/25 percent, down from 10.10/20 percent. A bond maturing on 15.12.2027 was quoted at 10.80/90 percent, down from 10.75/85 percent. A bond maturing on 15.02.2028 was quoted at 11.05/10 percent, down from 11.00/10 percent. A bond maturing on 15.09.2029 was quoted at 11.35/45 percent, down from 11.25/40 percent.



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Business

Sampath Bank’s strong results boost investor confidence

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The latest earnings report for Sampath Bank PLC (SAMP), analysed by First Capital Research (FCR), firmly supports a positive outlook among investors. The research firm has stuck with its “MAINTAIN BUY” recommendation , setting optimistic targets: a Fair Value of LKR 165.00 for 2025 and LKR 175.00 for 2026. This signals strong belief that the bank is managing the economy’s recovery successfully.

The key reason for this optimism is the bank’s shift towards aggressive, yet smart, growth. Even as interest rates dropped across the market, which usually makes loan income (Net Interest Income) harder to earn, Sampath Bank saw its total loans jump by a huge 30.2% compared to last year. This means the bank lent out a lot more money, increasing its loan book to LKR 1.1 Trillion. This strong lending, which covers trade finance, leasing, and regular term loans, shows the bank is actively helping businesses and people spend and invest as the economy recovers.

In addition to loans, the bank has found a major new source of income from fees and commissions, which surged by 42.6% year-over-year. This money comes from services like card usage, trade activities, and digital banking transactions. This shift makes the bank less reliant on just interest rates, giving it a more stable and higher-profit way to earn money.

Importantly, this growth hasn’t weakened the bank’s foundations. Sampath Bank is managing its funding costs better, partly by improving its low-cost current and savings account (CASA) ratio to 34.5%. Moreover, the quality of its loans is getting better, with bad loans (Stage 3) dropping to 3.77% and the money set aside to cover potential losses rising to a careful 60.25%.

Even with the new, higher capital requirements for systemically important banks, the bank remains very strong, keeping its capital and cash buffers robust and well above the minimum standards.

In short, while the estimated profit for 2025 was adjusted slightly, the bank’s excellent performance and strong strategy overshadow this minor change. Sampath Bank is viewed as a sound stock with high growth potential , offering investors attractive total returns over the next two years.

By Sanath Nanayakkare

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ADB approves $200 million to improve water and food security in North Central Sri Lanka

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ADB Country Director for Sri Lanka Takafumi Kadono

The Asian Development Bank (ADB) has approved a $200 million loan to support the ongoing Mahaweli Development Program, Sri Lanka’s largest multiuse water resources development initiative.

The program aims to transfer excess water from the Mahaweli River to the drier northern and northwestern parts of Sri Lanka. The Mahaweli Water Security Investment Program Stage 2 Project will directly benefit more than 35,600 farming households in the North Central Province by strengthening agriculture sector resilience and enhancing food security.

ADB leads the joint cofinancing effort for the project, which is expected to mobilize $60 million from the OPEC Fund for International Development and $42 million from the International Fund for Agricultural Development, in addition to the ADB financing.

“While Sri Lanka has reduced food insecurity, it remains a development challenge for the country,” said ADB Country Director for Sri Lanka Takafumi Kadono. “Higher agricultural productivity and crop diversification are necessary to achieve food security, and adequate water resources and disaster-resilient irrigation systems are key.”

The project will complete the government’s North Central Province Canal (NCPC) irrigation infrastructure, which is expected to irrigate about 14,912 hectares (ha) of paddy fields and provide reliable irrigated water for commercial agriculture development (CAD). It will help complete the construction of tunnels and open and covered canals. The project will also establish a supervisory control and data acquisition system to improve NCPC operations. Once completed, the NCPC will connect the Moragahakanda Reservoir to the reservoirs of Huruluwewa, Manankattiya, Eruwewa, and Mahakanadarawa.

Sri Lanka was hit by Cyclone Ditwah in late November, resulting in the country’s worst flood in two decades and the deadliest natural hazard since the 2004 tsunami. The disaster damaged over 160,000 ha of paddy fields along with nearly 96,000 ha of other crops and 13,500 ha of vegetables.

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ComBank to further empower women-led enterprises with NCGIL

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Mithila Shyamini, Assistant General Manager – Personal Banking at Commercial Bank and Jude Fernando, Chief Executive Officer of the National Credit Guarantee Institution exchange the agreement in the presence of representatives of the two organisations

The Commercial Bank of Ceylon has reaffirmed its long-standing commitment to advancing women’s empowerment and financial inclusion, by partnering with the National Credit Guarantee Institution Limited (NCGIL) as a Participating Shareholder Institution (PSI) in the newly introduced ‘Liya Shakthi’ credit guarantee scheme, designed to support women-led enterprises across Sri Lanka.

The operational launch of the scheme was marked by the handover of the first loan registration at Commercial Bank’s Head Office recently, symbolising a key step in broadening access to finance for women entrepreneurs.

Representing Commercial Bank at the event were Mithila Shyamini, Assistant General Manager – Personal Banking, Malika De Silva, Senior Manager – Development Credit Department, and Chathura Dilshan, Executive Officer of the Department. The National Credit Guarantee Institution was represented by Jude Fernando, Chief Executive Officer, and Eranjana Chandradasa, Manager-Guarantee Administration.

‘Liya Shakthi’ is a credit guarantee product introduced by the NCGIL to facilitate greater access to financing for women-led Micro, Small, and Medium Enterprises (MSMEs) that possess viable business models and sound repayment capacity but lack adequate collateral to secure traditional bank loans.

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