Business
Sri Lanka ratings upgrade depending on debt restructuring parameters and reforms programme
by Sanath Nanayakkare
Sri Lanka can reasonably expect a much desired ratings upgrade after the government of Sri Lanka has announced its debt restructuring plans and its sustained commitment to the economic reforms programme, Bingumal Thewarathanthri, Chief Executive Officer, Standard Chartered Bank said recently. He made this remark while addressing a Central Bank hosted webinar titled,”What is next for Sri Lanka in the wake of the IMF Programme?”
Keynote Speaker at the webinar was Dr. Indrajit Coomaraswamy, Former Governor, Central Bank of Sri Lanka. Deshal De Mel, Economic Advisor, Ministry of Finance and Murtaza Jafferjee, Managing Director, JB Securities were the other panelists.
The CEO of Standard Chartered Bank said that Sri Lanka is still not out of the woods and everybody needs to be very clear on that. Getting this EFF done in a six months was outstanding work compared to countries like Zambia and Surinam. But we should not overcelebrate it. Although it is commendable, we can’t be complacent because we can’t forget what we went through last year,” he said.
“There are guidelines on fiscal reforms in the IMF framework with specific targets in terms of debt to GDP ratio as well as a surplus in the primary account by 2025, among other things. Now, a lot of people are talking about a ratings upgrade for Sri Lanka by the global ratings agencies. But we have to wait until the government announces the debt restructuring parameters. After that, there will be some clarity and hopefully there will be an upgrade. However, to what level it would be upgraded, we don’t know. Further, it substantially depends on how Sri Lanka commits itself to the economic reforms programme going forward. The IMF is asking us to do something that we have been talking about in terms of our public sector workforce.
We have to re-purpose and re-size its 1.7 million people without asking them to leave their jobs. If you re-purpose at least half a million government sector workers into different things, the country will get productivity from them. Re- purpose and re-size, that’s the way to go. I am not a big fan of trying to save money from the government’s salary bill which is more than Rs. 1.2 trillion. We need to look at paying the right people better. I don’t need to tell you how doctors and professionals in various industries are getting paid.. We can’t retain talent at that level and we are losing over 50 doctors per month as we speak. That’s a thing we must fix. The IMF would give us broad guideline, but we have to fix things at the ground level appropriately.”
“We might receive some financing from the ADB and the World Bank. But real capital can come through FDIs. They are rare these days because the global markets are struggling, and so, capital is rare. So If you expect FDIs to flow into Sri lanka, first we need to understand why investors should come to Sri Lanka. Our investment policy is not very stable because it changes with change of government. So is our tax structure. Therefore, I think our investment policies have to be documented at constitutional level.
They should be made constitutional laws which can’t be changed without a proper mandate. We need to clearly understand what will take our GDP to the next level. You would have seen the predictions by the authorities as well as from the IMF, I think we are forecasting 2.5% growth and I think that is below Sri Lanka’s potential. Sri Lanka should be firing about mid-single digit growth in our view compared with other emerging markets. Sri Lanka has that potential. It is very important for us to understand the strategic pillars to take the economy to that level and ensure that the platform is well-documented. Basically there needs to be a legal framework around it so that changes of governments cannot change the investment policies,” he said.
Business
Sri Lanka’s 2026 economic growth predicted to be around 4-5 percent
Sri Lanka’s economic growth for 2026 will be around 4-5 percent, Central Bank Governor Dr. Nandalal Weerasinghe said.
The Governor indicated the estimated economic growth while announcing the Central Bank’s policy agenda for this year, last Thursday.
‘The Central Bank’s 2026 growth estimation is higher than the growth prediction of the IMF and the World Bank and is achievable, the Governor told the media while announcing the Central Bank’s policy agenda for 2026.
Dr. Weerasinghe added: ‘The Central Bank will introduce a benchmark intra-day reference exchange rate this year to ensure transparency in the foreign exchange market.
‘The absence of a reference exchange rate has held back the expansion of the Sri Lankan forex market and discouraged the trading of rupee-denominated derivatives Governor said.
‘The Central Bank last year carried out the necessary preliminary work to implement the benchmark spot exchange rate.
‘The benchmark intra-day reference exchange rate will be introduced in 2026 to foster a transparent foreign exchange market.
‘This benchmark will guide market participants, help reduce volatility and promote more competitive pricing on a given date, thereby enabling the introduction of more innovative products in the foreign exchange market.
‘Sri Lanka’s foreign exchange market has limited derivatives like currency swaps and options aiming to deepen markets and attract inflows.
‘However, these instruments failed after a lack of reliable reference exchange rate amid concerns over excessive speculation, rupee over-appreciation risks and interventions distorting clean floating rates.’
Meanwhile, currency dealers welcomed the move and said it will help to deepen the market.
“This will expand the market with more products and promote rupee-denominated derivatives, a currency dealer from a local bank said.
“It is something the market wanted to fix in derivative prices. This is a pricing mechanism for the rupee, he added.
By Hiran H Senewiratne ✍️
Business
Sevalanka Foundation and The Coca-Cola Foundation support flood-affected communities in Biyagama, Sri Lanka
With funding support from The Coca-Cola Foundation (TCCF), the Sevalanka Foundation has launched a humanitarian relief programme to support flood-affected communities in Biyagama. The initiative focuses on restoring access to safe water, healthcare services, and essential public facilities during the critical recovery period following the Cyclone Ditwah.
Working closely with the Divisional Secretariat, the program prioritizes the cleaning and rehabilitation of contaminated dug and tube wells, helping address the urgent post-flood challenge of access to safe water. This intervention will also support the cleaning and reopening of essential public spaces, including schools, and Grama Niladhari (GN) offices, enabling authorities and communities to resume daily activities safely. The Sevalanka Foundation and TCCF, as part of the initial response, have also donated water pumps to the Divisional Secretariat to support immediate water extraction and clean-up efforts.
In addition, as the second main component of the project, and based on the guidance of the Medical Officer of Health (MOH), support is being provided to MOH-operated healthcare facilities to restore access to emergency and essential medical services. This support includes sanitization, debris removal, hazard stabilization, and the provision of emergency medical supplies such essential medicines and hygiene products. Medical camps staffed by doctors and senior nurses will be conducted through MOH offices to provide prioritized groups of persons with health, nutrition and hygiene related relief items.
Business
Bourse radiates optimism as UK grants tariff-free concession to local apparel exports
CSE activities were extremely bullish yesterday mainly due to the UK government’s announcement on tariff free access for local apparel sector exports into the UK coupled with Central Bank Governor Dr Nandalal Weerasinghe’s positive outlook on the economy this year.
Amid those developments the turnover level also improved and the All Share Price Index moved up to the 23500 mark during the trading day.
The All Share Price Index went up by 127.17 points, while the S and P SL20 rose by 56.75 points. Turnover stood at Rs 8.5 billion with 18 crossings.
Top seven crossings were: LOLC Holdings two million shares crossed to the tune of Rs 1.18 billion; its shares traded at Rs 575, Renuka Agri 45 million shares crossed to the tune of Rs 594 million; its share price was Rs 13.20, Sampath Bank 1.4 million shares crossed for Rs 215 million and its shares traded at Rs 154.35, Renuka Holdings 1.5 million shares crossed for Rs 75 million; its shares traded at Rs 50, Hayleys 200,000 shares crossed to the tune of Rs 41.3 million; its shares traded at Rs 207, Tokyo Cement (Non-Voting) 400,000 shares crossed for Rs 37.8 million; its shares sold at Rs 50 and NTB 100,000 shares crossed for Rs 326 million; its shares sold at Rs 326.
In the retail market top seven companies that contributed to the turnover were; LOLC Rs 340 million (591,000 shares traded), Sampath Bank Rs 310 million (two million shares traded), Renuka Agri Foods Rs 275 million (19.4 million shares traded), ACL Cables Rs 238 million (2.3 million shares traded), Overseas Realty Rs 215 million (4.9 million shares traded), CIC Holdings (Non Voting) Rs 180 million (6.3 million shares traded) and Wealth Trust Equity Rs 132 million (8.2 million shares traded). During the day 269.3 million share volumes changed hands in 47852 transactions.
It is said the banking and financial sectors performed well, especially Sampath Bank, while a top diversified company, LOLC Holdings, also performed well.
Yesterday, the rupee opened at Rs 309.15/30 to the US dollar in the spot market relatively flat from Rs 309.10/50 the previous day, having depreciated in recent weeks, dealers said, while bond yields opened higher.
The telegraphic transfer rates for the dollar were 305.8500 buying, 312.8500 selling; the British pound was 409.7568 buying, and 421.1186 selling, and the euro was 354.0809 buying, 365.4441 selling.
By Hiran H Senewiratne ✍️
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