Business
Seven factors of concern at upcoming Monetary Policy Review
by Sanath Nanayakkare
The Central Bank of Sri Lanka (CBSL) is scheduled to announce its latest monetary policy review on 20th January 2022, with all eyes on dwindling foreign reserves and foreign currency exchange in the country.
In this context, First Capital Research has named 7 factors of concern that could be taken into account at the upcoming monetary policy review. They are as follows.
* Foreign Reserves USD 3.1 billion – Dec 2021
* Inflation CCPI 12.1% – Dec 2021
* GDP Growth -1.5% – 3Q2021
* Private Credit LKR 60.5 billion – Nov 2021
* 03M T-Bill rate 8.38% as at 12.01.22
Liquidity and CBSL Holdings LKR -364.0 billion and LKR 1.42 trillion
Balance of Trade (BOT) and Balance of Payment (BOP) USD -6.5 billion and USD -3.3 billion for Jan-Oct 21
First Capital Research’s Policy Rate Forecast – Jan 2022-Apr 2022 notes that they believe the CBSL may highly consider tightening the monetary policy rates in this policy review but given the concerns over economic growth, there is a probability of 40% for CBSL to maintain its policy stance at current levels.
“With high frequent indicators improving in line with expectations, we have eliminated any probability of a rate cut. We expect a continued increase in probability for a rate hike in order to prevent overheating of the economy amidst the given fiscal and monetary stimulus,” they said.
As per First Capital’s view, CBSL either can choose to hike policy rates by 50bps or 100bps or hold policy rates steady, while a rate cut is off the table due to the high debt repayment and the high domestic borrowing requirement.
First Capital believes that there is a 60% probability for a rate hike due to the remedial actions required in achieving external stability.
However, there is also a 40% probability to maintain the policy rates at its current level in order to further improve the high frequency indicators.30%, they noted.
Business
‘Notable drop in SL’s 2025 tourism sector earnings compared to those of 2018’
The revenue that was earned from the tourism sector in 2025 was US $ 3.2 billion, which is a significant drop compared to the 2018 figure , which is US$ 4.3 billion, a top tourism sector specialist said.
‘Comparatively there is a revenue deficit of US $ 1.2 billion, which we cannot be satisfied with at any cost, ‘Island Leisure Lanka’ founder chairman Chandana Amaradasa said.
Amaradasa made these observations at a Rotary Club joint meeting organised by Rotary Club Colombo South, featuring also the Rotary Clubs of Kolonnawa and Sri Jayawardenapura, at the Kingsbury Hotel on Tuesday.
Amaradasa added: ‘To develop the tourism sector the government has to do many things which previous governments comprehensively failed to take up.
‘The revenue that comes from the local tourism sector is four to five percent of the GDP, while in Dubai it is more than 45 percent of the GDP.
‘At present the country has 51000 rooms, out of which not more than 10000 rooms are at the four to five star level. Of that number 6000 rooms are located in Colombo, which is a major issue for tourism promotion in tourism potential areas.
‘Sri Lanka should focus on high quality standards in tourism and also develop the East Coast with the necessary infrastructure; especially having an international airport is absolutely necessary.
‘Colombo could be developed as a MICE tourism hub in the region. But not having an international level conference/convention hall is a another bottle neck in promoting that market as well.’
By Hiran H Senewiratne ✍️
Business
A Record Year for Marketing That Works: SLIM Effie Awards Sri Lanka 2025 crosses 300+ entries
The Sri Lanka Institute of Marketing (SLIM) announces a defining milestone for the country’s marketing, advertising, and creative sectors, as Effie Awards Sri Lanka 2025 records the highest number of entries in its history, crossing 300+ submissions. The unprecedented response reflects a stronger, more confident industry, one that is increasingly committed not only to bold creativity, but to creativity that can prove its value through measurable business and brand outcomes.
Now in its 17th year in Sri Lanka, the Effie Awards remain the most recognised benchmark for marketing effectiveness, honouring campaigns that bring together creative excellence, strategic discipline, and results. As the industry evolves, the Effies have become a space where the agency community, brand teams, media and creative partners are collectively challenged to raise the bar, moving beyond attention and awards, toward work that drives growth, shapes behaviour, and delivers real impact.
The record volume of entries this year also signals a healthy shift in the market: more brands and agencies are willing to be evaluated against rigorous effectiveness criteria, and to put forward work that demonstrates clear thinking, strong execution, and proof of performance. SLIM notes that this momentum highlights the expanding role of marketing and advertising in Sri Lanka, not simply as communication, but as a strategic driver of competitiveness and value creation.
SLIM confirms that the judging process will commence soon, guided by the established Effie evaluation framework that assesses entries on insight, strategy, execution, and measurable outcomes. The Grand Finale is scheduled for end-February 2026, where Sri Lanka’s most effective marketing work will be recognised on a national platform.
For inquiries, entries, and sponsorship opportunities, please contact the SLIM Events Division: +94 70 326 6988 | +94 70 192 2623.
Business
The Unit Trust industry closes 2025 with Rs. 587 Bn assets under management
The Unit Trust industry of Sri Lanka reported a 7.8% year-over-year growth of its assets under management (AUM) to Rs. 587 Bn by the end of 2025. During the year, the AUM reached a high of Rs. 613 Bn, indicating continued interest in the asset category. These assets are currently managed across 86 funds by 16 management companies.
While fixed-income funds accounted for the largest share of AUM, equity-related funds saw strong inflows, increasing by Rs. 30 Bn in 2025 compared to just Rs. 2 Bn for fixed-income funds. This reflects improved investor sentiment, with a clear shift from a capital preservation mindset toward long-term capital growth.
The year also saw a move from ultra-safe short-term instruments to medium-term growth, with strong inflows into open-ended income funds, open-ended equity index/sector funds, and balanced funds, accompanied by a decline in inflows to money-market funds. Additionally, open-ended growth funds (equity) recorded a 79% year-over-year increase, signalling a rising risk appetite among investors.
Commenting on the full-year industry performance, Secretary of the Unit Trust Association of Sri Lanka (UTASL) and Director/CEO of Senfin Asset Management Jeevan Sukumaran noted: “Post-economic crisis, the unit trust industry has been on a strong upward trend with the AUM surpassing Rs. 600 Bn last year.
‘’The steady growth of the unit trust industry in 2025 is a strong indication of increasing investor confidence in professionally managed and well-regulated investment products. Beyond the growth in fund flows, we have also seen encouraging progress in expanding the investor base — not only in terms of unit holder numbers, but also in the broadening of investor demographics — reflecting a gradual shift towards long-term, market-linked investing.”
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