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Rising price of rice in Sri Lanka: The roots and remedies

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By Manoj Thibbotuwawa

Rice is the dietary staple and the major domestic crop cultivated in Sri Lanka since ancient times. Therefore, the production and availability of rice are closely tied to food security as well as political stability in the country. Every government since independence has given prominence to the goal of achieving self-sufficiency in rice. Accordingly, a significant amount of resources are allocated for the supply of irrigation water, land development, research on technological improvements, farm mechanisation, and support facilities such as credit, subsidised inputs, and farmer welfare measures.

As a result, the cultivation of paddy and production of rice increased steadily with Sri Lanka reaching near self-sufficiency in rice and rice imports dropping to an insignificant amount. Despite these achievements, problems relating to the paddy and rice sector continue to occupy a foremost place among the country’s socio-economic issues. At present, supply shortages and rising retail prices have caused severe social unrest. In this background, this blog identifies the current problems in the rice sector and suggests some policy recommendations.

Demand and Supply Dynamics of Rice

Rice is an essential consumer good with inelastic demand in the local market and the consumption of rice is important not only to the economy but to Sri Lankan culture as well. Based on 2016 per capita consumption of 104.5 kg per annum, the annual national rice demand was 2.1 million MT which is equivalent to 3.2 million MT of paddy. After adjusting for seed paddy, processing, waste and other requirements, Sri Lanka needs to produce 4 million MT of paddy to fulfil the above national demand. No significant change in national requirement is expected in the near future due to the balance between gradual reduction in per capita consumption and population growth.

Sri Lanka managed to achieve this target over the last two years and is on course to achieve the same this year as well. The 2020 Yala output of 1.9 million MT paddy (equivalent to 1.3 million MT rice) produced around September 2020 was sufficient to feed the country for about six months. The 2020 Maha output of 3.1 million MT paddy (equivalent to 2 million MT rice) produced around March 2021 is sufficient to feed the population for about nine months. The Department of Agriculture estimated a harvest of 1.5 million

MT for the 2021 Yala. Therefore, any current or speculatory rice shortage is not expected.

The Problem: Pricing Dilemma

The rice market has a delicate system of price determination that is associated with availability in the market. It is connected to seasonal harvests of Maha and Yala leading to high fluctuation of prices over certain months of the year. From January, the prices of paddy and rice decline gradually and reach their lowest in March with the major Maha harvest. It increases slightly from April and undergoes a minor slump during July-August when the minor Yala harvest reaches the market. The rise of the prices of all types of rice is quite sharp from September onwards reaching the peak in December and begin to decline again in January continuing the cycle. The difficulties faced by consumers due to a sharp rise in rice price during September-January is one of the most politically sensitive issues in the country.

Severe disruptions happened to this usual pricing mechanism in recent times by the cooperative decision making and anti-competitive practices of large and leading millers who have large storage facilities, purchasing power and economic stability. Farmers are inherently disadvantaged in the market because a large number of farmers sell their harvest at the same time due to lack of capacity to store paddy and credit bound relationships due to up-front capital requirement for uncertain several months.

Cooperative decision-making by large millers who handle a sufficiently large (about 33.8%) share of purchase in the paddy market gain an oligopolistic advantage by releasing large stocks of rice to the market during the harvesting period to create a glut so that they can purchase paddy at minimum prices. Also, their anti-competitive practices such as exclusive supply agreements, horizontal cartel practices and compelling farmers to sell paddy only to them prevent small scale millers from purchasing paddy. Curtailing stocks thereafter create a scarcity of rice to maintain a high price till the next harvest period.

The Remedies

Different command-and-control methods such as adhoc price controls and emergency regulations were used by successive governments to control the market. These were easy to enact, yet have proven ineffective. Therefore, measures that provide facilitation, monitoring, and regulation should be the key strategies of the government in both the rice and paddy markets while allowing market forces of supply and demand to determine prices.

Promoting competition is the key to constrain the oligopolistic market power enjoyed by the large millers. However, small and medium millers will find it difficult to survive in the market due to strong competition from the successful, large ones that dominate the space with wide-ranging products including premium and mass markets. Thus, small and medium millers should be empowered through credit facilities to buy paddy and to upgrade their mills to achieve economies of scale and production cost advantage.

Further, organising them under a suitable collective business model such as cooperatives will facilitate competition while providing a sustainable solution. In the meantime, as a short-term measure, the Paddy Marketing Board (PMB) can increase its purchases so that these can be milled by small and medium millers on a quota basis and distributed through Sathosa.

While the Consumer Affairs Authority Act, No. 09 of 2003 was designed to control anti-competitive practices that harm consumers, this is constrained by resource limitations and information asymmetry. This can be minimised by establishing a market information system with mandatory reporting under Section 12 of the Paddy Marketing Board Act No. 14 of 1971 which provides for recording data on production, sale, supply, storage, purchase, distribution and milling of paddy and rice.

Other than the anti-competitive practices, the cost of production of paddy and bargaining power are also factors that determine the price received by farmers. Modern technologies should be promoted to optimise the input use so that the cost of production could be minimised. The current policy drive on organic farming could be rationalised to reduce the dependency on costly imported inputs such as chemical fertiliser and agrochemicals gradually.

Small-scale farmers should be organised under suitable operational units such as The Japan Agricultural Cooperatives (JA) so that their farming efforts are coordinated and consolidated to increase their collective bargaining power. Decisions on rice importation should be based purely on market conditions given by the proposed market information system. These strategies can stabilise the prices of paddy and rice without severe fluctuations and make paddy farming a viable livelihood with a sustained income for small-scale farmers.

Link to blog: https://www.ips.lk/talkingeconomics/2021/10/07/rising-price-of-rice-in-sri-lanka-the-roots-and-remedies/

Manoj Thibbotuwawa is a Research Fellow at IPS with research interests in agriculture, agribusiness value chains, food security, and environmental and natural resource economics. He holds a BSc (Agriculture) with Honours from the University of Peradeniya, an MSc (Agricultural Economics) from the Post-Graduate Institute of Agriculture at the University of Peradeniya, and a PhD from the University of Western Australia. (Talk with Manoj – manoj@ips.lk).



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Conservation now a business imperative, WNPS tells corporate sector

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The felicitation of speakers at the end of the WNPS event

Environmental crises in Sri Lanka are no longer merely conservation issues but constitute an economic and corporate survival challenge that directly threatens the country’s water security, agriculture, exports and long-term business sustainability, speakers at the latest monthly lecture of the Wildlife and Nature Protection Society of Sri Lanka (WNPS) warned on Thursday.

At a time when climate shocks, biodiversity collapse and environmental degradation are beginning to impact supply chains, tourism, food production and investor confidence, the lecture titled “Conservation in Action: Driving Impact – Hill Country to Courtrooms: Science, Community and the Next Generation in Action” highlighted how conservation is increasingly becoming intertwined with economics, corporate governance and national resilience.

Held at the Bandaranaike Memorial International Conference Hall with support from Nations Trust Bank, the event drew leading corporate executives, conservationists, lawyers, architects, researchers and youth leaders.

Corporate leader and conservation advocate Sriyan de Silva Wijeyeratne delivered one of the strongest messages of the evening, stressing that Sri Lanka’s montane ecosystems were effectively the economic backbone of the nation.

“You block up the montane region, we lose our water, our agriculture and our exports, he said.

His remarks reflected a growing global shift where environmental protection is increasingly viewed not as philanthropy, but as a strategic investment linked directly to economic continuity and climate resilience.

Wijeyeratne explained how the WNPS-led “Plant” initiative has rapidly evolved into one of Sri Lanka’s most ambitious privately supported ecological restoration programmes, demonstrating how businesses can move beyond traditional corporate social responsibility into measurable environmental investment.

Within just five years, the initiative has begun restoring around 200 acres of degraded landscapes while establishing approximately 30 kilometres of ecological corridors in the central highlands.

Importantly, he said, the programme was designed not to centralise conservation under a single organisation but to create a scalable model for wider private-sector adoption.

“We are not trying to become the answer. Plant is meant to prove that private-sector-led restoration is possible and that businesses can actively participate in rebuilding ecosystems, he said.

The initiative already involves partnerships with multiple private-sector stakeholders investing in ecological restoration in the hill country — an area critical to tea, hydropower, water resources and downstream agriculture.

One of the clearest examples discussed during the lecture was the growing collaboration between conservationists and Sri Lanka’s architectural and urban planning sectors.

Following discussions initiated at the Geoffrey Bawa Trust, the prestigious Geoffrey Bawa architectural awards were restructured into the “Monamal Award,” recognising projects that integrate biodiversity, ecosystem restoration and environmentally sensitive design.

“This is about redefining what good development means, Wijeyeratne said.

“The future gold standard of architecture must be buildings and landscapes that embrace ecosystems rather than destroy them.”

The lecture also explored how climate change is reshaping social vulnerability and labour resilience — key concerns for businesses operating in agriculture, plantations and rural economies.

Wildlife photographer and conservationist Riaz Cader highlighted another emerging business concern — the growing interaction between wildlife and human-dominated production landscapes.

Supported by LOLC Holdings, the WNPS leopard conservation initiative has established research stations in Belihuloya and Kotagala to study leopards living within tea plantation regions.

Using community-based data collection, camera trap technology and local informer networks, researchers are mapping leopard movement, conflict zones and habitat fragmentation across estate landscapes.

Cader noted that increasing human pressure had altered leopard behaviour significantly.

“We have effectively pushed many of these leopards into nocturnal behaviour because of constant human activity, he said.

The research has major implications for plantation management, land-use planning and biodiversity compliance standards increasingly demanded by global markets and sustainability certification bodies.

Cader also pointed to encouraging signs emerging from restored habitats such as Budunwala, where camera traps recorded a mother leopard and cub moving freely during daylight hours — behaviour rarely observed in heavily disturbed environments.

Researchers have additionally documented elusive rusty-spotted cats and pangolins at restoration sites, reinforcing the ecological value of reconnecting fragmented landscapes.

Beyond biodiversity outcomes, the restoration programmes are generating direct socio-economic benefits.

The lecture further revealed how conservation organisations are increasingly engaging with law enforcement and governance systems to combat environmental crime — another growing risk area with economic implications.

WNPS recently launched a specialised police training programme at the Rodella Hill Club aimed at strengthening enforcement against illegal wildlife trade, snaring and poaching in the hill country.

Speakers warned that organised wildlife crime, habitat destruction and illegal exploitation of natural resources continue to undermine both biodiversity and sustainable economic development.

Questions from the audience also broadened the discussion into marine ecosystems and blue economy concerns, including the lingering environmental and economic fallout from the X-Press Pearl Disaster.

WNPS officials said their marine subcommittee was actively engaged in mangrove restoration, blue carbon ecosystem protection and marine conservation initiatives.

They noted that Sri Lanka’s mangrove restoration efforts had already received international recognition through UN-backed environmental awards.

Throughout the evening, speakers repeatedly stressed that conservation is no longer the exclusive responsibility of scientists or environmental activists.

By Ifham Nizam

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JAAF reaffirms confidence in long-term strength of Sri Lanka’s apparel industry

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Sri Lanka’s apparel exports recorded a softer performance in April 2026, with total exports declining by 4.72% to US$ 328.15 million, compared to US$ 344.40 million in April 2025. The decline was mainly seen across key traditional markets, with exports to the UK down 16.91%, the EU down 8.78%, and the USA down 3.46%. However, the 12.61% growth in other markets during April shows that there is still room to build momentum through greater market diversification.

For the period from January to April 2026, total apparel exports declined by 7.47% to US$ 1.53 billion, reflecting continued pressure across major export destinations. While this performance reflects challenging global demand conditions, it also reinforces the need for Sri Lanka to sharpen its competitiveness, improve cost structures, strengthen market access, and move faster into higher-value opportunities.

JAAF believes the industry’s long-term strength remains intact, but the path forward requires a more focused national effort. To move beyond current export levels and work towards breaking the US$ 5 billion barrier, Sri Lanka must support the sector with policy consistency, energy cost reforms, trade facilitation, skills development, and stronger positioning in both traditional and emerging markets. The apparel industry continues to be one of Sri Lanka’s most important foreign exchange earners, and its ability to recover and grow will be critical to the country’s broader export economy.

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hSenidBiz delivers major FY2026 turnaround with USD 5.5M ARR

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Dinesh Saparamadu

Recurring revenues reach 74% of total; Normalized EBITDA margin expands 17 percentage points

hSenid Business Solutions PLC (hSenidBiz) announced its financial results for the fourth quarter and full year ended 31 March 2026, delivering a significant turnaround in operational profitability, materially improving earnings quality, and achieving a key strategic milestone.

In the fourth quarter, total revenue reached LKR 522.2 million, up 5 percent year-on-year (YoY). The PeoplesHR Cloud segment delivered LKR 380 million, representing 20 percent YoY growth in LKR terms and 12 percent growth in USD constant currency terms, with subscription revenues comprising 87 percent of segment revenue. New deal closures recovered strongly to USD 843,395. The Company sustained profitability at the Profit Before Tax (PBT) level with LKR 7 million and a normalized EBITDA margin of 11 percent, while continuing to generate positive free cash flow.

For the full year, the Company delivered a substantial financial turnaround. Revenue grew 13 percent YoY to LKR 2.1 billion. Normalized EBITDA turned positive at LKR 200 million, with the margin expanding 17 percentage points to 10 percent. Profit Before Tax improved by LKR 313 million year-on-year, significantly reducing the loss from LKR 321 million in FY2025 to LKR 8 million. The Company also generated positive free cash flow for the year, a sharp reversal from negative free cash flow in the prior year and an annual improvement of over LKR 350 million. Exit Annualized Recurring Revenue (ARR) reached USD 5.5 million, growing 32 percent YoY, while recurring revenues strengthened to 77 percent of total revenue in the fourth quarter, underscoring the quality and resilience of the Company’s SaaS-led business model.

Dinesh Saparamadu, Founder and Chairman of hSenidBiz, commented: “FY2026 marks a clear inflection point for hSenidBiz. We have materially strengthened the quality and predictability of our revenue base while delivering meaningful operating leverage. These outcomes validate the scalability of our SaaS-led model and position the Company well for the next phase of disciplined, high-quality growth.”

Sampath Jayasundara, Chief Executive Officer, added: “The operational momentum achieved in FY2026 provides a strong foundation as we enter the next phase of growth. Our priorities for FY2027 are to accelerate customer acquisition in key markets, drive execution excellence across the sales organisation, and rapidly advance our AI-driven capabilities, particularly through Lexi Insights to deliver even greater value to enterprise customers across our markets.”

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