Features
Ranil’s prospects at the next election
by Kumar David
The two parties whose electoral prospects (Local Govt or Provincial) regarding which there is much curiosity are President Ranil Wickremesinghe’s (RW) UNP and the NPP/JVP. At this time, it does not seem likely that Sajith Premadasa’s SJB will encounter any spectacular change (maybe in the plus 10% to minus 20% range) and anything smeared with Rajapaksa faeces will be erased. Funnies like the Vasudeva-Gamanpilla and Tissa Vitarana cartoon strips are unlikely to make an impression unless they get into bed with some entity with possibilities. This leaves RW’s UNP and NPP/JVP as the targets of current curiosity. I have devoted about three or four of my articles to the NPP/JVP in recent weeks, so it is omitted except peripherally in today’s column, giving space to focus on RW. The infighting in Tamil politics and the street-fighing in the Muslim al-Haj populated fudge parties will of course go on, but both have only marginal influence on who forms the next government.
I insisted throughout last year that whoever sorted out the long petrol queues would enjoy the political equivalent of the Christian “Life Everlasting”. Today one can hail a three-wheeler or taxi on the streets and the petrol queues are mostly gone for a combination of reasons. Hence RW as the incumbent president will, even if grudgingly, enjoy some credit.
The economy will be the big factor deciding RW’s fate in the coming months . Let me jot down what the main trends look like at this time of writing. There are five points and most of these factors seem to denote a bit of an upturn for RW.
The bourgeoisie and the upper-middle classes are of the view that RW is a better bet than Sajith or the pro-Rajapaksa horse dung – or so I reckon.
13A, RW’s consistency, the Tamil vote outside the N-E, and conversely rabid monks who are on the war path are the factors to bear in mind.
Whether the NPP/JVP has the guts to stand against Sinhala-Buddhist extremism will be a big concern as I will explain.
Somebody is gaming the economy; certainly, India if we take note of what the visiting Indian External Affairs Minister said on his visit about three weeks ago.
The IMF certainly, and China possibly, want to stabilise Sri Lanka. All their humming and hawing notwithstanding eventually they will.
Let me elaborate point by point. Though I have lost many a bottle of Scotch taking election bets I am inclined to risk it again. There is little animation about Sajith in the minds of the better-off classes. At this moment therefore for these classes it is a two-horse race between the desired RW/UNP and the feared NPP/JVP. A factor that could change this is a showdown over 13A. The Mahanayakes have announced that they intend to mobilise the forces of Sinhala-Buddhism; red-necked reactionaries clad in saffron robes tried their luck with a march on Colombo last week. Ranil gives the impression that he is going to stick with 13A and India obviously will back it to the hilt. Malai Naatu Thamilar (Up country Tamils) will make their own decisions on the issue in time. Opinion in the West is that the time has come to scuttle extremism in Sri Lanka. The balance of forces to end racism is favourable and a stand along the lines adopted by Harini Amarasuriya can settle the score. She told the Island: “It is already in the Constitution and it should be implemented . . . we have a debate whether it is a tenable solution for the national problem (Why the vacillation?). We have no faith in other parties, only the NPP can do this”. Agreed.

I will now turn to the last two points which could be decisive – the course of the economy over the next say 24 months. India wants investment opportunities and the Trinco oil farm and is favourably inclined to stabilising SL. It also seems that the IMF and Western Powers have made up their minds to give Sri Lanka a break; that is an opportunity to come out of the quagmire without imposing horrendous costs. This has global implications. I have argued for some time in this column that the West, India and possibly China are not willing to let Sri Lankan economy collapse and more important let the country flop into anarchy. Why? As one of the few surviving post-colonial democracies this is absolutely impermissible. Giant India is another story. Malaysia and South Korea are off-again on-again democracies.
This however has multifaceted implications for this country because stabilising the Sri Lankan economy over the next say 18-24 months will, in the first instance, be favourable for the Ranil Wickremesinghe Presidency. The downside of this is that RW has an anti-democratic past; it is not without reason that he is known as Batalanda Ranil. He sent his military goons to crush Aragalaya activists who were asleep. I am aware of the cock-eyed demands of some Aragalaya activists such as the Frontline Socialists who demand that their programmes be accepted by the government even if they fail to win a single seat in Parliament! What planet do such loonies come from? But you do not send out your gorilla troops to batter and bash young people who are fast asleep!! And the Internet is replete with images of the lechery of Ranil’s breast-squeezing cops. No, Ranil’s way of doing things is bad for democracy.
Rape in times of war is now been classified as a war-crime – good! Those convicted of serious war-crimes at the Nuremburg and Tokyo War-Crimes Tribunals at the end of WW2 were executed. It is a pity that due to prissy modern hang-ups these days, criminals guilty of extreme offences such as murder, torture and rape no longer face capital punishment. This mollycoddling of war criminals must cease.
Economic equations
A group, styling itself the “Ad Hoc-Group of Sri Lanka Bondholders” wrote last week to the IMF Managing Director and said that it “stands ready to design and implement restructuring terms to help SL restore debt sustainability and regain access to international capital markets. It promised engagement with SL’s official creditors towards a solution of the current crisis and restoration of debt sustainability”. The Paris Club (Japan, France, Korea, Germany, US, Spain, Netherlands, Russia, Sweden, Austria, Canada, Denmark, UK, Belgium and Australia) has also expressed its support for strengthening the Sri Lankan economy. Such initiatives may strengthen the hand of the government. RW will profit politically from the gains in macro-economic stability that these measures will lead to.
My expectation if much of this materialises is that the rupee will improve in the next period (is 250 to the dollar completely unimaginable?) and limits on capital controls will be eased to encourage FDI and capital flows into the share market. Well-to-do Sri Lankans with now blocked accounts will be glad to buy and sell dollars and this will be reflected in rising house prices, upper and upper-middle class people dining out more frequently, more tourist arrivals and investments in tourism. RW will gain politically among the aforesaid social classes and their retainers and associated factotums. This is not unusual in any country where capitalism makes gains; examples are a dime a dozen in Asia and Latin America. This is not an absolutely certain outcome but cannot be ignored. I am prepared to eat my words with a cup of the finest up-country tea at the Galle Face Hotel lounge if I am proved wrong.
This throws a heavy onus on the NPP. The NPP/JVP alone can counter-mobilise on the streets and on the villages, on the campuses and the trade unions to use the economic opportunities that may become available from international agencies, IMF injections, debt restructuring and improved import-export trade. An improvement in economic conditions need not be exploited for the benefit of the capitalist classes – other outcomes are possible. To redirect benefits towards the people the NPP must accept a programme and philosophy of social-democracy and must summon a Party Conferences at which it will table, debate and adopt its alternative Party Programme. The JVP must be told to forget its bankrupt past and follow suit. What other options does the JVP have?
In my column last week (February 12, 2023), speaking from a left perspective, I demanded an NPP Party Conference. I now repeat this demand in the broader public interest as well. It cannot be ducked.
Features
Cyclones, greed and philosophy for a new world order
Further to my earlier letter titled, “Psychology of Greed and Philosophy for a New World Order” (The Island 26.11.2025) it may not be far-fetched to say that the cause of the devastating cyclones that hit Sri Lanka and Indonesia last week could be traced back to human greed. Cyclones of this magnitude are said to be unusual in the equatorial region but, according to experts, the raised sea surface temperatures created the conditions for their occurrence. This is directly due to global warming which is caused by excessive emission of Greenhouse gases due to burning of fossil fuels and other activities. These activities cannot be brought under control as the rich, greedy Western powers do not want to abide by the terms and conditions agreed upon at the Paris Agreement of 2015, as was seen at the COP30 meeting in Brazil recently. Is there hope for third world countries? This is why the Global South must develop a New World Order. For this purpose, the proposed contentment/sufficiency philosophy based on morals like dhana, seela, bhavana, may provide the necessary foundation.
Further, such a philosophy need not be parochial and isolationist. It may not be necessary to adopt systems that existed in the past that suited the times but develop a system that would be practical and also pragmatic in the context of the modern world.
It must be reiterated that without controlling the force of collective greed the present destructive socioeconomic system cannot be changed. Hence the need for a philosophy that incorporates the means of controlling greed. Dhana, seela, bhavana may suit Sri Lanka and most of the East which, as mentioned in my earlier letter, share a similar philosophical heritage. The rest of the world also may have to adopt a contentment / sufficiency philosophy with strong and effective tenets that suit their culture, to bring under control the evil of greed. If not, there is no hope for the existence of the world. Global warming will destroy it with cyclones, forest fires, droughts, floods, crop failure and famine.
Leading economists had commented on the damaging effect of greed on the economy while philosophers, ancient as well as modern, had spoken about its degenerating influence on the inborn human morals. Ancient philosophers like Plato, Aristotle, and Epicurus all spoke about greed, viewing it as a destructive force that hindered a good life. They believed greed was rooted in personal immorality and prevented individuals from achieving true happiness by focusing on endless material accumulation rather than the limited wealth needed for natural needs.
Jeffry Sachs argues that greed is a destructive force that undermines social and environmental well-being, citing it as a major driver of climate change and economic inequality, referencing the ideas of Adam Smith, John Maynard Keynes, etc. Joseph Stiglitz, a Nobel Laureate economist, has criticised neoliberal ideology in similar terms.
In my earlier letter, I have discussed how contentment / sufficiency philosophy could effectively transform the socioeconomic system to one that prioritises collective well-being and sufficiency over rampant consumerism and greed, potentially leading to more sustainable economic models.
Obviously, these changes cannot be brought about without a change of attitude, morals and commitment of the rulers and the government. This cannot be achieved without a mass movement; people must realise the need for change. Such a movement would need leadership. In this regard a critical responsibility lies with the educated middle class. It is they who must give leadership to the movement that would have the goal of getting rid of the evil of excessive greed. It is they who must educate the entire nation about the need for these changes.
The middle class would be the vanguard of change. It is the middle class that has the capacity to bring about change. It is the middle class that perform as a vibrant component of the society for political stability. It is the group which supplies political philosophy, ideology, movements, guidance and leaders for the rest of the society. The poor, who are the majority, need the political wisdom and leadership of the middle class.
Further, the middle class is the font of culture, creativity, literature, art and music. Thinkers, writers, artistes, musicians are fostered by the middle class. Cultural activity of the middle class could pervade down to the poor groups and have an effect on their cultural development as well. Similarly, education of a country depends on how educated the middle class is. It is the responsibility of the middle class to provide education to the poor people.
Most importantly, the morals of a society are imbued in the middle class and it is they who foster them. As morals are crucial in the battle against greed, the middle class assume greater credentials to spearhead the movement against greed and bring in sustainable development and growth. Contentment sufficiency philosophy, based on morals, would form the strong foundation necessary for achieving the goal of a new world order. Thus, it is seen that the middle class is eminently suitable to be the vehicle that could adopt and disseminate a contentment/ sufficiency philosophy and lead the movement against the evil neo-liberal system that is destroying the world.
The Global South, which comprises the majority of the world’s poor, may have to realise, before it is too late, that it is they who are the most vulnerable to climate change though they may not be the greatest offenders who cause it. Yet, if they are to survive, they must get together and help each other to achieve self-sufficiency in the essential needs, like food, energy and medicine. Trade must not be via exploitative and weaponised currency but by means of a barter system, based on purchase power parity (PPP). The union of these countries could be an expansion of organisations,like BRICS, ASEAN, SCO, AU, etc., which already have the trade and financial arrangements though in a rudimentary state but with great potential, if only they could sort out their bilateral issues and work towards a Global South which is neither rich nor poor but sufficient, contented and safe, a lesson to the Global North. China, India and South Africa must play the lead role in this venture. They would need the support of a strong philosophy that has the capacity to fight the evil of greed, for they cannot achieve these goals if fettered by greed. The proposed contentment / sufficient philosophy would form a strong philosophical foundation for the Global South, to unite, fight greed and develop a new world order which, above all, will make it safe for life.
by Prof. N. A. de S. Amaratunga
PHD, DSc, DLITT
Features
SINHARAJA: The Living Cathedral of Sri Lanka’s Rainforest Heritage
When Senior biodiversity scientist Vimukthi Weeratunga speaks of Sinharaja, his voice carries the weight of four decades spent beneath its dripping emerald canopy. To him, Sri Lanka’s last great rainforest is not merely a protected area—it is “a cathedral of life,” a sanctuary where evolution whispers through every leaf, stream and shadow.
“Sinharaja is the largest and most precious tropical rainforest we have,” Weeratunga said.
“Sixty to seventy percent of the plants and animals found here exist nowhere else on Earth. This forest is the heart of endemic biodiversity in Sri Lanka.”
A Magnet for the World’s Naturalists
Sinharaja’s allure lies not in charismatic megafauna but in the world of the small and extraordinary—tiny, jewel-toned frogs; iridescent butterflies; shy serpents; and canopy birds whose songs drift like threads of silver through the mist.
“You must walk slowly in Sinharaja,” Weeratunga smiled.
“Its beauty reveals itself only to those who are patient and observant.”
For global travellers fascinated by natural history, Sinharaja remains a top draw. Nearly 90% of nature-focused visitors to Sri Lanka place Sinharaja at the top of their itinerary, generating a deep economic pulse for surrounding communities.
A Forest Etched in History
Centuries before conservationists championed its cause, Sinharaja captured the imagination of explorers and scholars. British and Dutch botanists, venturing into the island’s interior from the 17th century onward, mapped streams, documented rare orchids, and penned some of the earliest scientific records of Sri Lanka’s natural heritage.
These chronicles now form the backbone of our understanding of the island’s unique ecology.
The Great Forest War: Saving Sinharaja
But Sinharaja nearly vanished.
In the 1970s, the government—guided by a timber-driven development mindset—greenlit a Canadian-assisted logging project. Forests around Sinharaja fell first; then, the chainsaws approached the ancient core.
“There was very little scientific data to counter the felling,” Weeratunga recalled.
- Poppie’s shrub frog
- Endemic Scimitar babblers
- Blue Magpie
“But people knew instinctively this was a national treasure.”
The public responded with one of the greatest environmental uprisings in Sri Lankan history. Conservation icons Thilo Hoffmann and Neluwe Gunananda Thera led a national movement. After seven tense years, the new government of 1977 halted the project.
What followed was a scientific renaissance. Leading researchers—including Prof. Savithri Gunathilake and Prof. Nimal Gunathilaka, Prof. Sarath Kottagama, and others—descended into the depths of Sinharaja, documenting every possible facet of its biodiversity.
“Those studies paved the way for Sinharaja to become Sri Lanka’s very first natural World Heritage Site,” Weeratunga noted proudly.
- Vimukthi
- Nadika
- Janaka
A Book Woven From 30 Years of Field Wisdom
For Weeratunga, Sinharaja is more than academic terrain—it is home. Since joining the Forest Department in 1985 as a young researcher, he has trekked, photographed, documented and celebrated its secrets.
Now, decades later, he joins Dr. Thilak Jayaratne, the late Dr. Janaka Gallangoda, and Nadika Hapuarachchi in producing, what he calls, the most comprehensive book ever written on Sinharaja.
“This will be the first major publication on Sinharaja since the early 1980s,” he said.
“It covers ecology, history, flora, fauna—and includes rare photographs taken over nearly 30 years.”
Some images were captured after weeks of waiting. Others after years—like the mysterious mass-flowering episodes where clusters of forest giants bloom in synchrony, or the delicate jewels of the understory: tiny jumping spiders, elusive amphibians, and canopy dwellers glimpsed only once in a lifetime.
The book even includes underwater photography from Sinharaja’s crystal-clear streams—worlds unseen by most visitors.
A Tribute to a Departed Friend
Halfway through the project, tragedy struck: co-author Dr. Janaka Gallangoda passed away.
“We stopped the project for a while,” Weeratunga said quietly.
“But Dr. Thilak Jayaratne reminded us that Janaka lived for this forest. So we completed the book in his memory. One of our authors now watches over Sinharaja from above.”
An Invitation to the Public
A special exhibition, showcasing highlights from the book, will be held on 13–14 December, 2025, in Colombo.
“We cannot show Sinharaja in one gallery,” he laughed.
“But we can show a single drop of its beauty—enough to spark curiosity.”
A Forest That Must Endure
What makes the book special, he emphasises, is its accessibility.
“We wrote it in simple, clear language—no heavy jargon—so that everyone can understand why Sinharaja is irreplaceable,” Weeratunga said.
“If people know its value, they will protect it.”
To him, Sinharaja is more than a rainforest.
It is Sri Lanka’s living heritage.
A sanctuary of evolution.
A sacred, breathing cathedral that must endure for generations to come.
By Ifham Nizam
Features
How Knuckles was sold out
Leaked RTI Files Reveal Conflicting Approvals, Missing Assessments, and Silent Officials
“This Was Not Mismanagement — It Was a Structured Failure”— CEJ’s Dilena Pathragoda
An investigation, backed by newly released Right to Information (RTI) files, exposes a troubling sequence of events in which multiple state agencies appear to have enabled — or quietly tolerated — unauthorised road construction inside the Knuckles Conservation Forest, a UNESCO World Heritage site.
At the centre of the unfolding scandal is a trail of contradictory letters, unexplained delays, unsigned inspection reports, and sudden reversals by key government offices.
“What these documents show is not confusion or oversight. It is a structured failure,” said Dilena Pathragoda, Executive Director of the Centre for Environmental Justice (CEJ), who has been analysing the leaked records.
“Officials knew the legal requirements. They ignored them. They knew the ecological risks. They dismissed them. The evidence points to a deliberate weakening of safeguards meant to protect one of Sri Lanka’s most fragile ecosystems.”
A Paper Trail of Contradictions
RTI disclosures obtained by activists reveal:
Approvals issued before mandatory field inspections were carried out
Three departments claiming they “did not authorise” the same section of the road
A suspiciously backdated letter clearing a segment already under construction
Internal memos flagging “missing evaluation data” that were never addressed
“No-objection” notes do not hold any legal weight for work inside protected areas, experts say.
One senior officer’s signature appears on two letters with opposing conclusions, sent just three weeks apart — a discrepancy that has raised serious questions within the conservation community.
“This is the kind of documentation that usually surfaces only after damage is done,” Pathragoda said. “It shows a chain of administrative behaviour designed to delay scrutiny until the bulldozers moved in.”
The Silence of the Agencies
Perhaps, more alarming is the behaviour of the regulatory bodies.
Multiple departments — including those legally mandated to halt unauthorised work — acknowledged concerns in internal exchanges but issued no public warnings, took no enforcement action, and allowed machinery to continue operating.
“That silence is the real red flag,” Pathragoda noted.
“Silence is rarely accidental in cases like this. Silence protects someone.”
On the Ground: Damage Already Visible
Independent field teams report:
Fresh erosion scars on steep slopes
Sediment-laden water in downstream streams
Disturbed buffer zones
Workers claiming that they were instructed to “complete the section quickly”
Satellite images from the past two months show accelerated clearing around the contested route.
Environmental experts warn that once the hydrology of the Knuckles slopes is altered, the consequences could be irreversible.
CEJ: “Name Every Official Involved”
CEJ is preparing a formal complaint demanding a multi-agency investigation.
Pathragoda insists that responsibility must be traced along the entire chain — from field officers to approving authorities.
“Every signature, every omission, every backdated approval must be examined,” she said.
“If laws were violated, then prosecutions must follow. Not warnings. Not transfers. Prosecutions.”
A Scandal Still Unfolding
More RTI documents are expected to come out next week, including internal audits and communication logs that could deepen the crisis for several agencies.
As the paper trail widens, one thing is increasingly clear: what happened in Knuckles is not an isolated act — it is an institutional failure, executed quietly, and revealed only because citizens insisted on answers.
by Ifham Nizam
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