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“One more such victory and we are done for” – King Pyrrhus of Epirus, in 279 B.C.

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President Trump

Can the democracy of the US last more years of such Pyrrhic victories under Donald Trump?

King Pyrrhus made this statement when he won a war against the Romans at such devastating cost that it was virtually a defeat, implying that any more “wins” like that would destroy his country.

During his campaign for a second term in 2024, Trump announced that he would stop the Russian invasion of Ukraine even before he took his presidential oaths, that the Israel Gaza conflict would end on Day One of his presidency. He promised there will be no new wars during his presidency.

He also promised that the high grocery, gas, housing and other prices will start coming down immediately. As will Inflation caused by the mismanagement of the Biden administration. “We will be winning so much that Americans will get sick of winning”.

Americans – at least 70% of them are now furious after all these “wins”.

The Russian/Ukraine war continues to rage. Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu’s military forces, the IDF, has been kept busy, completing the genocide of the Palestinians in the Gaza and the West Bank and bombing Lebanon.

The United States of America, under the presidency of Donald Trump, has been inundated with so many “wins”, mainly against themselves, that, like King Pyrrhus’ Epirus, democracy may be “done for” not long after its 250th birthday.

When asked about his promise to bring prices and inflation down from Day One of his presidency, he says he has been too busy keeping Israel safe from a nuclear attack by Iran, a country which has no arsenal of nuclear weaponry. And playing golf.

During his campaigns, Trump had promised “no new wars” . But during the first months of his second term, he made his intentions of invasion of sovereign states clear; to colonize Canada, Greenland, both NATO allies, to take over Cuba and gain control of Venezuela with its largest oil fields in the world, by military force, if necessary. He attempted to justify his intentions on the basis of the Monroe Doctrine, which he renamed the “Donroe Doctrine”, again displaying his complete ignorance of American history.

The Monroe Doctrine declared, in 1823, that the USA will not tolerate any further European interference or colonization in the Western Hemisphere, framing any such intervention in the Americas as a direct threat to US national security.

Which is the exact opposite of Trump’s plans of acquisition– to make Canada the 51st state of the USA, acquire a NATO ally, Greenland, to take over communist Cuba, and control the largest oil fields of the world in Venezuela.

Trump declared war on Iran, on February 8, 2026 on the basis that Iran was developing nuclear weapons in an imminent plan to destroy Israel. With no evidence or provocation whatsoever. “Israel would have been blown up a long time ago, had I not gotten involved. Without me, there would be no Israel”. There seems to be no depths to the levels of Trump’s narcissism.

Trump had already claimed a victory when he instructed the bombing of Iran’s key nuclear enrichment facilities in June 2025. He announced that US bombers had “totally and completely obliterated” Iran’s nuclear program.

However, the June 2025 bombings had only set Iran’s nuclear program back by about two years. Iran is a hard-core, authoritarian, Islamic regime which has always shown their hatred towards Israel. And Vice has always been Versa. Netanyahu’s hatred and desire to destroy Iran goes back 40 years. But Iran certainly does not have the capacity to attack Israel with nuclear weapons. Israel has been equipped with nuclear weapons supplied by the US in the 1960s, and even trigger-happy war criminal, Netanyahu has always resisted the temptation of using nuclear power to attack Iran.

On February 8th, the day Trump declared war, the Strait of Hormuz, a waterway controlled by Iran, had always been freely open to international shipping. The strait provides the only sea passage from the Persian Gulf to open seas, and is one of the world’s most strategically important maritime bottlenecks. It is the only route through which 20% of the world’s liquefied natural gas and 25% of seaborne oil pass through annually, a major route of petroleum products critical for the energy supply of Europe and Asia. The strait had never been closed before Trump’s war. The closure of the strait caused by blockades by Iran has become the major focus of the war, with prices of barrels of oil soaring in world markets.

Iran had not abandoned its plans of acquisition pf nuclear power, except during the three years after the signing of the JCPOA (Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action) in 2015. Commonly known as the Iran nuclear deal, the JCPOA was a landmark agreement between Iran and the PS+1 (the United States, the U.K., France, China, Russia plus Germany). The agreement, which was successfully concluded after two years of negotiations, limited Iran’s nuclear program for at least 10 years (with provisions for extension) in exchange for release of frozen assets and sanctions relief. The agreement was subject to international inspection, and Iran had been in compliance with all the terms of the agreement until 2018, when Trump tore it up.

The agreement was one of the most fiercely debated topics in modern foreign policy. Supporters argued that it successfully blocked Iran’s path to a nuclear weapon, and reopened the critical strait of Hormuz, while critics said that it offered too much in the release of frozen assets and sanctions.

Trump withdrew the United States the JCPOA in 2018, which effectively nullified all its terms and conditions in 2018. For no reason, except from that the JCPOA was the brainchild of President Obama. The only alternative plan Trump announced on a regular basis was that he was going to commit genocide by bombing Iran to the Stone Ages.

Trump’s economic policies were in the gutter, with increasing grocery, gas and housing prices. Inflation is soaring. His immigration policies showed little success, and Gestapo-like ICE (Immigration and Customs Enforcement) tactics, had harassed and deported undocumented immigrants. ICE agents had harassed American citizens, even killed two American citizens for no reason but non-violent protesting. ICE agents have now been forced out of Minneapolis.

The Epstein Files have still not been released by the Trump controlled Department of Justice, in spite of demands of Congress, including Republicans.

The closure of the Strait of Hormuz was adversely affecting the global economy. Trump’s approval rates were at 36%, the lowest in presidential history.

Trump declared war against Iran in February, as diplomacy had failed to contain Iran’s program towards the acquisition of a nuclear weapon. The conflict began with massive airstrikes that killed Supreme Leader Ayotollah Ali Khamanei and other top officials. However, this did not result in regime change; the Assembly of Experts transferred leadership to the dead Ayotollah’s son, who is known to be even more hard-core than his father.

US and Israeli attacks caused heavy damage to Iran’s navy, air defense systems and nuclear and ballistic infrastructure. In retaliation, Iran enforced a blockade of the strait of Hormuz, leading to one of the largest global gas and oil supply disruptions in history and causing an international energy crisis.

In mid-June, the United States and Iran reached an agreement, according to which military operations on all fronts were ceased, and the strait of Hormuz reopened. A more formal 14-point agreement was reached last week, which has already been signed by the US. Iran is scheduled to sign it on Friday, June 19.

I cannot comment on this 14-point agreement as I have not seen the details, but general opinion is that the Master of the Deal has, once again, been trumped, and had left Iran in a much stronger position.

Both sides will call the agreement a win, especially Trump, who has never lost anything but his self-respect. He joked the other day that he will take the credit if the agreement succeeds; if it fails, the blame will be on Vice President Vance.

How long this agreement will last, even whether it would be finalized, is anybody’s guess.

The ceremonial opening of the Obama Presidential Center was held, with much pomp and circumstance, on Thursday night (our time), with a host pf the biggest performers in the United States. The date, June 19, was significant. Named “Juneteenth”, it was celebrated as the Independence Day of African Americans. June 19, 1865 marks the day, when Union troops arrived in Galveston, Texas, to enforce the Emancipation Proclamation and free the last enslaved people in Texas.

The national anthem was sung beautifully as only Jennifer Hudson can, and the thousands of fans were treated to a show with the most brilliant stars in entertainment that only the Obamas can attract.

Michelle and Barack Obama gave exceptionally inspiring speeches. I wish I had the time to digest these speeches and share them with you. The stage was filled with past Presidents and First Ladies, and there was a host of VIPs and thousands of Obama fans. But the show was stolen by the Obama girls, who were seven and nine when their dad was in the White House. They have grown up to be the most elegant, charming young ladies.

by Vijaya Chandrasoma



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Features

Trump’s tariffs, AKD’s gazette and Sri Lanka’s diplomatic slumber

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“We are rather respectable in Colombo. We go to bed fairly early, and we remain there till morning. “

According to Sri Lanka’s diplomatic folklore, the late S.W. R. D. Bandaranaike uttered these words while explaining the reasons for Sri Lanka’s abstention on the UN resolution condemning the Soviet invasion of Hungary. Apparently, SWRD’s foreign ministry officials were asleep at home when the diplomatic cable seeking instructions was received from New York. In those days, there were no cell phones, Internet, or even fax or telex machines. The diplomatic cables were sent through post offices. Decoding them was a slow and time-consuming process. Thus, the government could not provide appropriate instructions to our mission in New York in time, and the Sri Lankan delegation abstained on that sensitive UN vote.

Sri Lanka’s Absence from Section 301 Consultations

But then, how does one explain Sri Lanka’s absence from the crucial bilateral consultation held in Washington by the Office of the United States Trade Representative (USTR) during March-April on “Forced Labour” under the Section 301 of the US Trade Act of 1974? Didn’t our foreign and trade ministries send appropriate instructions to Washington in time? Even if the instructions from the foreign ministry were transmitted to our embassy in Washington by pigeon carriers, there was enough time for Sri Lanka to participate in those meetings.

In March, the USTR initiated these 301 investigations on 60 trading partners, and invited all of them for confidential consultations. Out of the 60, 46 participated in these consultations. Sri Lanka was not one of them. Other countries that didn’t participate in these consultations included China, Russia, and Venezuela! In addition to that, the Section 301 Committee conducted a public hearing with interested parties on April 28 and 29. Washington-based diplomats, representatives from few trade ministries as well as representatives from many foreign trade associations and chambers participated in these hearings. Sri Lanka was once again conspicuously absent.

As a result, when the USTR published the proposed forced labour tariffs on June 2nd, Sri Lanka ended up with a 12.5% duty. Pakistani and Indonesian diplomats participated in these consultations and took appropriate follow-up measures, and managed to enter the 10% duty category. As even a threat of a modest tariff hike could disrupt supply chains and reduce competitiveness, particularly in an industry such as garments, I discussed this issue on 15 June and underscored the importance of Sri Lanka’s participation at the next hearing, which was scheduled to be held from July 7th .

Awakening from Diplomatic Slumber and AKD’s Gazette

Fortunately, Sri Lanka finally awoke from weeks of diplomatic slumber, and Ambassador Mahinda Samarasinghe participated in the public hearing on 9 July, and promised, “…. · We have agreed to the text in our negotiations with the USTR on forced labour, …. The gazette as we speak is being printed and I’m getting the gazette tomorrow morning, and the gazette will be shared with USTR as I get it“.

As promised, President Anura Kumara Dissanayake issued a gazette on 10 July banning the imports of goods produced by forced labour. These new regulations are very similar to what Pakistan and Indonesia enacted in April, after their consultations with USTR in March. Why couldn’t we do it in April? Why did we wait till the very last minute?

Challenges ahead

“War is too important to be left to generals alone,” is a famous saying attributed to former French Premier Georges Clemenceau. Similarly, monitoring our main markets is too important to be left to diplomats alone. The United States is the largest single-country market for Sri Lanka. Therefore, Sri Lankan trade chambers and associations should become more proactive in these markets and participate in these events. For example, the chairman of the Pakistani apparel exporters association participated in the April hearings. Similarly, representatives from the Indian Agricultural and Processed Food Products Export Development Authority, the Federation of Indian Chambers of Commerce and Industry, the Confederation of Indian Industry, and Reliance Industries also participated in July hearings. At an event where each speaker is given only five minutes (strictly enforced), having a number of speakers from a country is an advantage. The presence of industry representatives in these kinds of events also help them understand the market dynamics and the future challenges. This is important, particularly because there will be many more challenges with Trump’s tariffs.

With the gazette issued on 10 July, Sri Lanka has imposed a prohibition on the importation of goods produced with forced labour. Now, the challenge will be to effectively enforce the prohibition. And what are the goods produced with forced labour? The USTR list only focuses on aluminum, cotton, electronics, lithium-ion batteries, rice, and tobacco. However, according to the U.S. Department of Labour, the list is much longer. Hence, this list may change continuously during the next two years and tariffs may fluctuate once again.

So, this is definitely not the time to slumber.

(The writer, a retired public servant, can be reached at senadhiragomi@gmail.com)

by Gomi Senadhira ✍️

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Tales of Mystery and Suspense 10 Casino for Sale

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After the overwhelming grotesquerie of J K Rowling’s latest Cormoran Strike novel (written, I should have noted, as the others were, under the pseudonym Robert Galbraith), I thought I should return to the world of fun, and also a much shorter description since this thriller moves quickly without the layers of detail that Rowling engages in.

I then move to the second comic thriller by Caryl Brahms and S J Simon. This, their second story to feature Vladimir Stroganoff and Adam Quill, was Casino for Sale, as lunatic a romp as the first, though without the emphasis on the ballet that characterized A Bullet in the Ballet.

This one begins with the impresario Stroganoff buying a casino cheap from Baron Sam de Rabinovich, only to find that it was a rundown place, not the grand casino of La Bazouche, a resort on the Frenc+h Riviera, as he had initially thought. The grand one belonged to Lord Buttonhooke, and Stroganoff could  not compete, until he thought of bringing the Ballet Stroganoff to the casino – which of course leads to Buttonhooke deciding to have ballet performances in his Casino too.

Stroganoff invites Quill to visit him, which Quill decides to do since he has left Scotland Yard, having come into a legacy. No one believes this, and he has to face questions as to what he did to have been sacked, with sympathy for having been found out.

Caryl and Simon

The day he arrives in La Bazouche there is a murder, of a vitriolic critic called Citrolo, in Stroganoff’s office. He had been going to write a damning review of the opening night of the ballet and Stroganoff, when he realizes Citrolo cannot be swayed, drugs him and dictates the review himself to the papers. He leaves Citrolo sleeping and finds him shot the next morning, whereupon he decides to muddy the waters and leave a suicide note and lots of other murder weapons. So much overkill, as it were, of course ensures that he is arrested.

But the excitable French detective who makes the arrest follows up his suggestion that Buttonhooke was also involved, and so the two casino owners find themselves in cells next door to each other, with the detective Gustave quite happy to provide creature comforts for a fee.

Quill decides he must investigate, and finds Gustave most cooperative, since he has a laid back attitude to work. So it is Quill that finds a notebook which makes it clear Citrolo is an accomplished blackmailer, and that there are lots of possible murderers, including Stroganoff’s croupier, who was crooked, Rabinovich, who was now working for Buttonhooke, a confidence trickster called Kurt Kukumber, whose prospectus for a dud gold mine was found in the office and Prince Alexis Artishok who was engaged in a deal to buy diamonds from the ballerina Dyra Dyrakova.

Stroganoff had been trying to get Dyrakova to dance for him, but having done so previously she had refused. But then to Stroganoff’s chagrin she agreed to dance for Buttonhooke. The clearly crooked Artishok had told Buttonhooke’s mistress Sadie Souse, who was not very bright, that Dyrakova possessed diamonds she was willing to sell cheap, and Sadie was determined to have them.

Quill meanwhile finds out that there was a secret passage to Stroganoff’s office, the obvious solution to what had begun as a locked room mystery, and that this was known by almost everyone apart from Stroganoff himself. And then Rabinovich is murdered, just after Gustave had released his two original suspects, leading him to blame Quill for having insisted on that and thus allowing them to kill again.

Soon afterwards Dyrakova arrives, and the town is full of posters announcing that she will appear in the casinos, elaborate posters for either one, since Stroganoff is determined that she will dance for him, and if she does not come willingly, he has devised a scheme to make her do so unwillingly. So, though Buttonhooke has her taken off to his yacht immediately she arrives at the station, Quill along with Arenskaya gets her into a launch and to Stroganoff’s casino, where she performs to tumultuous applause, not knowing for whom she is dancing.

When Quill asked her about the diamonds, she said she had sold them long ago, and that gave Quill the solution to the mystery. Rabinovich had known about this, and Artishok had killed him to prevent Sadie learning it from him, he had killed Citrolo who had recognized him for an accomplished card sharper, not a Russian prince at all. But before he is arrested, he gets away in a boat, and the police launch that pursues him is on the point of catching him up when it runs out of petrol.

Again, lots of excitement, and entertaining references  – Gustave grows marrows – and if not quite as brilliant as its predecessor, Casino was certainly a delightful read.

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The challenge of being positive about SAARC

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The RCSS forum addressed by SAARC Secretary General Ambassador Md. Golam Sarwar in progress. (Pic courtesy RCSS)

It was a few years back that a former President of Sri Lanka took it on himself to pronounce SAARC ‘dead’. Since then there have been other sections of Sri Lankan opinion that have joined the critics of SAARC and taken the solemn stance that SAARC has indeed died what may be called a natural death.

Their fatalism is understandable. SAARC has failed to meet at heads of government or state level for the past several years to take the SAARC process notably forward. Regional cooperation has more or less been only an appealing idea. No substantive concrete projects have taken off to make the idea a hard reality. ‘Inner paralysis’ seems to be SAARC’s lot. Hence the fatalism in these circles.

However, being one of the worst cash-strapped regions of the world and a teemingly populated one with people virtually left to their devices, what choices do the ‘SAARC Eight’ have other than to try their best to band together and continue with their cooperation efforts, however small they may be?

There is no escaping the mounting debt trap for many of these countries and bankrupt Sri Lanka is a glaring example, but ‘throwing in the towel’ and abandoning themselves entirely to the diktats of the strongest economies and their agencies will prove a ‘living death’ for many countries in the SAARC fold.

The gains may be meagre but giving-up on SAARC cooperation in full would prove self-defeating for the organization and South Asia. Right now, the collective intention ought to be to salvage what the region could from the tenuous cooperative efforts. Moreover, such initiatives could go some distance to generate a degree of goodwill among the Eight and help in sustaining a dialogue process.

Given this backdrop it proved ‘a stich in time’ for the Regional Centre for Strategic Studies (RCSS), Colombo, to recently host the SAARC Secretary General Ambassador Md. Golam Sarwar to a round table discussion on the unifying potential of SAARC and its future possibilities, besides other related issue areas.

Held on June 24th and moderated by RCSS Executive Director and former ambassador Ravinatha Aryasinha, the forum brought together a vibrant, wide ranging audience comprising academicians, diplomats, senior public servants, civil society activists and many others. Following the presentation by Ambassador Golam Sarwar titled, ‘Reigniting SAARC: Achievements, Challenges and the Way Ahead’, a lively Q&A followed.

The above forum could be described as an act of lighting the proverbial ‘candle’ rather than ‘cursing the darkness.’ It surely is a ‘darkness’ that could be seen as daunting considering that the region’s pivotal powers, India and Pakistan, are failing to act in a spirit of accord but are engaged in bitter finger-pointing on a number of questions of vital importance to SAARC.

On the other hand, what is the rest of the region doing to bring the above sides together? It is disappointing that to date the rest of SAARC has failed to launch a major diplomatic drive to bring peace between the feuding regional heavyweights. It needs to act without delay and establish its earnestness and this effort would need to prove SAARC’s staying power in the unfolding months and even years.

In assessing SAARC’s seeming failure local opinion in particular has failed to factor in what could be described as weak leadership. Since Sheikh Mujibur Rahman of Bangladesh, the founding father of SAARC, the region has failed to produce a visionary leader who could advance the SAARC cause with charisma and drive.

Among other reasons, weak leadership accounts considerably for the faltering and stuttering status, as it were, of SAARC. Badly needed are leaders who could go the extra mile, think less of narrow national interests and work diligently towards the collective well being of the region but SAARC’s millions of ordinary people have been made to wait in vain for leaders of such stature. Instead, they have been burdened with politicians who seem to be relishing the apparently moribund state of SAARC.

Looking back, it could be said that it was the dynamic leadership factor that led to the launching of the Non-Aligned Movement and for its sustenance for a few decades. True, it could be seen in some quarters that NAM is no more, but as in the case of SAARC, the former too has been unfortunate to be burdened over the years with politicians who lack the vision and drive to unflaggingly advance the fortunes of the South. NAM and SAARC lack the dynamism and vision of leaders of the stature of Jawaharlal Nehru, for example, to give them the required guidance and intellectual depth.

The reasons are complex for there not being among us currently political leaders with the vision and the steadfast commitment to advance the legitimate interests of the South. However, it could be stated with conviction that the majority of Southern leaders have too easily caved in to the demands of the global North and its financial agencies.

These leaders have failed to see, for instance, that the largely market economy oriented Northern governments would not view with favour a centrist economic model that attaches priority to the interests of the dis-empowered publics of the South. This realization ought to have dawned on the current government in Sri Lanka, for instance, some while ago but it has no choice but to abide by IMF dictates since economic survival at present is unthinkable without the latter’s succour.

Accordingly for SAARC this should be the time for some soul-searching. Priority needs to be attached to ending the feuding between India and Pakistan since at present the material fortunes of the region hinge largely on these regional giants giving peaceful relations among them a try. This is no easy challenge to meet but some daring, visionary diplomacy needs to take hold among the rest of SAARC.

There is some sense in SAARC bringing the peoples of the region together through programs that address their best collective interests. A meeting of minds among SAARC nations could enable SAARC and its agencies to build a region-wide people’s movement for progressive political and economic change that could in turn lead to the region’s political leaders sensitizing themselves more to the neglected needs of their publics.

However, the time is ‘now’ for the initiation of these progressive changes and the voice of SAARC well wishers would need to drown out those of their critics.

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