Business
NTB emerges stronger with clean books and capital muscle, signalling upside potential
Nations Trust Bank PLC (NTB) is emerging as a well-capitalised bank with cleaner books and a resilient earnings profile, positioning itself for a stronger growth phase in the coming years, according to First Capital Research.At a time when investor confidence in frontier markets is often dictated by balance sheet strength and earnings visibility, NTB appears to be ticking both boxes, according to the research firm’s earnings update of the bank.
The bank closed 2025 with a net profit of LKR 19.3 billion, reflecting a steady recovery trajectory despite residual macroeconomic pressures. More importantly, beneath the headline numbers lies a more compelling story: NTB’s core earnings engine is gaining strength. The distortion caused by one-off impairment reversals in previous periods has now faded, allowing a clearer view of the bank’s underlying performance. On this basis, recurring earnings have expanded sharply, pointing to a structurally improved operating model.
First Capital notes that NTB’s financial position remains robust, underpinned by capital ratios comfortably above regulatory thresholds. With a total capital ratio exceeding 20% and liquidity coverage ratios well above minimum requirements, the bank has built significant buffers to withstand external shocks. This strength is particularly relevant in a post-crisis environment where financial institutions are expected to prioritise resilience over aggressive expansion.
Equally noteworthy is the improvement in asset quality. NTB’s Stage 3 loan ratio has declined to below 1%, reflecting a healthier loan book and prudent risk management practices. This marks a significant turnaround from the stress levels seen during the height of the economic crisis, and suggests that the bank has successfully navigated the most challenging phase of credit deterioration.
While loan growth surged in 2025 as economic activity rebounded, a moderation is expected over the next two years. However, this slowdown should not be interpreted negatively. Instead, it signals a return to more sustainable credit expansion aligned with macroeconomic realities. NTB is still projected to outperform system-wide credit growth, supported in part by strategic initiatives such as the anticipated acquisition of the retail banking operations of HSBC in Sri Lanka.
This acquisition, expected to be completed in 2026, could prove to be a pivotal development. It is likely to strengthen NTB’s position in the premium retail segment while significantly boosting fee and commission-based income streams. In an environment where net interest margins are under pressure due to rising funding costs, diversification into non-interest income becomes increasingly critical.
Indeed, margin compression remains one of the key challenges facing the banking sector. NTB has not been immune, with higher deposit costs, particularly from fixed deposits, outpacing growth in interest income. Yet, the bank’s ability to maintain profitability despite these pressures underscores the resilience of its business model.
Looking ahead, First Capital forecasts NTB’s net profit to rise to LKR 23.9 billion in 2026 and LKR 27.2 billion in 2027. While these projections reflect a more measured macroeconomic outlook, they also point to steady and sustainable earnings growth.
From an investor’s standpoint, the valuation story adds another layer of appeal. NTB continues to trade at relatively low multiples despite delivering returns on equity exceeding 20%. This disconnect between market valuation and underlying performance suggests potential for a re-rating as confidence in the banking sector strengthens.
Hence, NTB’s evolution mirrors the broader recovery of Sri Lanka’s financial system—but with a notable edge. Its strong capital base, improving asset quality, and growing earnings visibility position it as one of the more compelling banking counters in the market today.
By Sanath Nanayakkare
Business
Fuel market faces fresh pressure as Asian prices rise
By Ifham Nizam
Sri Lanka’s fuel market is coming under renewed pressure as the escalating West Asian conflict and disruption to key oil-shipping routes push up international crude and refined-fuel prices, with a top Ceylon Petroleum Corporation (CPC) official saying the Corporation is closely monitoring developments and the potential impact on domestic fuel costs.
A top CPC official said the sharp rise in international oil prices was being driven by the conflict and disruptions to energy infrastructure and shipping routes in the region.
The official said Sri Lanka’s exposure to the international price shock would also depend on the timing of fuel purchases, as petroleum cargoes are ordered well before they arrive in the country and the final landed cost is determined when the cargo is delivered.
The CPC is also seeking to cushion consumers from the full impact of international price increases while maintaining uninterrupted supplies, the official said.
The latest developments come as Brent crude remains above USD 100 a barrel despite a recent retreat in prices following efforts by Saudi Arabia to maintain exports through alternative routes.
Brent crude futures fell to USD 104.74 a barrel yesterday, while West Texas Intermediate was trading at USD 101.60, according to Reuters. Saudi Arabia has been offering additional crude cargoes to Asian refiners through Oman to offset disruptions caused by attacks on its East-West pipeline.
The immediate concern for Sri Lanka is the potential impact on the country’s petroleum import bill, foreign-exchange requirements and inflation.
Higher international crude and refined-product prices mean that more dollars are required to finance fuel imports, while higher domestic energy costs can feed into transportation, manufacturing, agriculture, fisheries and logistics.
The pressure is already being felt elsewhere in Asia.
Pakistan has raised petrol prices by Pakistani Rs. 4.42 a litre and high-speed diesel by Rs. 6.10, taking the prices to Rs. 380.24 and Rs. 409.42 respectively. The latest increase is reported to be the sixth consecutive fuel price increase in the country.
The Philippines has also raised fuel prices, with petrol increasing by 5.68 Philippine pesos a litre, diesel by 4.31 pesos and kerosene by 4.62 pesos for the latest pricing period.
The developments provide an indication of how quickly international energy-market disruptions can feed into domestic fuel markets across fuel-importing Asian economies.
For Sri Lanka, the issue is particularly significant because petroleum remains a major component of the country’s import bill. The CPC’s current prices stand at Rs. 399 a litre for 92-octane petrol and Rs. 382 for auto diesel, according to the Corporation’s latest published prices.
The government is meanwhile facing pressure to balance consumer protection with the financial sustainability of fuel suppliers.
The Energy Minister has said several options are being considered, including fuel subsidies, price limits for private distributors and adjustments to retail prices. Private operators have reported substantial losses on diesel under prevailing prices, while the CPC has said it is currently absorbing losses on diesel through earnings from other petroleum operations.
A prolonged international oil-price shock could therefore have consequences extending well beyond the pump.
Higher fuel costs would raise operating expenses for transport-dependent businesses and could increase the cost of moving goods throughout the economy. For manufacturers and exporters, higher energy and logistics costs could also affect margins and competitiveness.
At the macroeconomic level, a sustained increase in petroleum prices could increase Sri Lanka’s foreign-exchange requirements and place additional pressure on the trade balance and inflation.
The international oil market, however, remains highly fluid. Saudi Arabia’s efforts to redirect crude exports through Oman have eased some immediate supply concerns, while expectations that its damaged East-West pipeline could return to operation within days have also helped push crude prices lower.
But shipping through the Strait of Hormuz remains severely disrupted and the wider conflict continues to pose risks to crude and refined-product supplies.
For Sri Lanka, the coming weeks will therefore be closely watched by fuel suppliers, importers and businesses as the country assesses whether the current international price shock proves temporary or develops into a more prolonged increase in the cost of energy.
Business
NSB felicitates the performance and commitment of Grade 5 students
The student, who obtained the highest marks in the Sinhala medium, at the Grade 5 Scholarship Examination – 2026, was felicitated by the National Savings Bank (NSB), recently, at the NSB Head Office, under the Hapan Pranama Scholarship Program -2026, organized by the Bank.
The Chairman of the Bank, Dr. Harsha Cabral PC, the Actg. General Manager/CEO, Rohana Bandara Weerakoon and the Corporate Management were present at the occasion.
Danoj Theekshana Weerasekara, a student of Ahatuwewa Model Primary School in Kurunegala District, has won the first place in Sinhala Medium at Grade 5 Scholarship Examination this year, with 193 marks. His remarkable achievement reflects not only his personal talents, but also the commitment of his family members, guidance of his teachers and support of the entire school community, who came together to make his triumph a reality.
The National Savings Bank, while complimenting his achievement, wishes him good luck, strength and courage for his future academic endeavors.
Being always committed towards realizing the educational goals of the children of the country, NSB organizes a seminar series, well in advance of the Examination, every year, to support them in preparation for the exam. The Bank has been able to hold more than 100 seminars islandwide this year as well.
Through these seminars, it is expected to provide the students with knowledge, guidance and mental strength, required to be successful at the Examination and the Bank has joined hands with them at an important juncture of their lives, assuring support and strength to face the exam with confidence. (NSB)
Business
CSE receives ‘Great Place to Work’ for five consecutive years
The Colombo Stock Exchange (CSE) has received the ‘Great Place to Work’ Certification’ for the 5th consecutive year in a row. Since 2022 the bourse has been continually awarded the certification in recognition of its commitment to providing a welcome, inclusive and safe environment.
“At CSE, our people remain our greatest strength.” remarked Rajeeva Bandaranaike, CEO of the CSE “Receiving the Great Place to Work Certification for the fifth consecutive year is a meaningful recognition of our commitment to creating a workplace culture founded on trust, respect, and collaboration. It is an achievement shared by every member of the CSE team and reflects the passion, commitment, and teamwork that continue to drive our success.”
The certification was awarded by Great Place to Work®, a global organization that grants this recognition across more than 180 countries and regions and represents over 20 million employees and 22,000 companies worldwide. The certification was based on the results of an anonymous, company-wide survey that evaluated workplace culture across five key dimensions: credibility, respect, fairness, pride, and camaraderie.
The certification reaffirms CSE’s commitment to its foundational values of Professionalism, Integrity, Care, Teamwork, Passion and Agility. By championing equity and inclusion, the CSE has built a welcoming, discrimination-free culture where every individual can thrive. A cornerstone of this success is CSE’s leadership in workplace diversity as an equal opportunity employer and signatory to the UN Women’s Empowerment Principles, alongside its close collaboration with the UN Global Compact and Respectful Workplaces initiatives. Additionally, the exchange fosters dynamic young talent, with early-career professionals accounting for 57% of its workforce.
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