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Lanka should aim for revenues of 12-pct of GDP, avoid shortfalls: IMF
Sri Lanka should aim to get state revenues more than 12 percent of gross domestic product and avoid revenue shortfalls next year, International Monetary Fund Senior Mission Chief Peter Breuer said.
Sri Lanka projected revenues (including non-tax) of 3,408 billion rupee (11.3 -pct of GDP) and the IMF 3,286 billion rupees (about 10.9-pct).Up to July revenues were up 39 percent and tax revenues were up 43 percent, but IMF expects year end revenues to be 15 percent below target.
“Clearly the objective is not to let it happen next year and make up for that shortfall,” Breuer told reporters after Sri Lanka and the IMF reached a staff level agreement incorporating the next set of targets and reforms.
“So, one of the objectives is to get revenue that exceeds 12 percent of GDP and accordingly measures will have to be implemented to achieve that objective.”
Sri Lanka has met all quantitative targets, except for the June indicative revenue target, and most structural benchmarks required up to June have been completed, Breuer said. The new staff level agreement will set the targets and reforms for the next phase of the program.
In 2020 in the worst deployment of macro-economic policy by the country’s official economists and their advisors from the private sector, taxes were also cut on top of rates, eventually driving the country to external default. Revnues collapsed from 11.9 percent in 2019 to about 8.5 percent of GDP by 2021.
As forex shortages build up, Sri Lanka’s economic bureaucrats also ban vehicle and non-essential imports, hitting revenues and further worsening the fiscal picture, in an cascading policy error that repeats often, an economic observer said.
Car imports are still banned
Sri Lanka has now slammed high rates of progressive income tax which are hitting employed workers in the corporate sector, triggering a brain drain, particularly of professionals with young children who cannot make ends meet and keep paying housing loans. There are no exemptions for dependents.
A steep currency collapse has also hit alcohol consumption, with industry officials indicating a 40 percent drop from pre-crisis levels, though some firms are said to be avoiding paying collected taxes amid corrupt practices.
The IMF has recommended a series of reforms in a governance diagnostic report including for revenue authorities. Sri Lanka will have to implement “compensating measures” and improve tax administration to get more revenues, the IMF team said.
In the first stabilization year after rate cuts trigger a currency crisis, revenues are difficult to raise due to the slowdown. This year the economy is contracting and revenues are driven partly by inflation, analysts note.
News
Diesel replacement costs up to Rs. 4.5 bn in April
Coal power generation falls by 27 GWh
A sharp decline in coal-fired electricity generation in April 2026, compared to the corresponding month last year, may have cost Sri Lanka more than Rs. 4.5 billion, as the country was compelled to rely on significantly more expensive diesel-powered generation to make up the shortfall, according to power sector data.
The coal-based electricity generation, in April 2026, was 27 GWh lower than in April 2025, a development that has sparked concern among energy experts and economists over the mounting financial burden on the country’s already strained power sector.
Industry calculations reveal that generating the lost 27 GWh through diesel-fired power plants would require approximately 8.1 million litres of fuel, based on a standard consumption rate of 0.3 litres per kilowatt-hour.
With fuel costs estimated at around USD 286 per barrel, or roughly USD 1.80 per litre, the replacement power would have cost approximately USD 14.57 million. At the prevailing exchange rate of about Rs. 315 to the US dollar, the bill exceeds Rs. 4.5 billion for April alone.
Energy sector analysts say the figure highlights the enormous economic value of maintaining high availability at coal-fired power plants, particularly at a time when Sri Lanka is seeking to reduce electricity costs and strengthen energy security.
“The financial impact of losing low-cost coal generation is substantial. Every unit not generated by coal has to be replaced by a much more expensive source, usually diesel or fuel oil, which ultimately affects the finances of the power sector and the wider economy,” a senior energy analyst said.
Even under a more conservative calculation, based on the average electricity generation cost of around Rs. 72 per unit recorded in 2025, the loss remains significant. The 27 million units not generated from coal would translate into an additional cost burden of nearly Rs. 2 billion.
The decline in coal generation comes at a critical juncture for Sri Lanka’s energy sector.
The government has repeatedly emphasised the need to maintain affordable electricity tariffs, while reducing dependence on imported fossil fuels and expanding renewable energy capacity.
Experts warn that any sustained reduction in low-cost baseload generation could undermine these objectives, increasing the need for costly thermal power and placing additional pressure on foreign exchange reserves.
The latest figures are expected to intensify scrutiny of generation planning, fuel procurement strategies and the operational performance of major power plants. They also underscore the importance of ensuring uninterrupted operation of coal-fired facilities until sufficient renewable and storage capacity is available to replace them reliably.
With the country striving to maintain economic stability and energy affordability, analysts argue that avoiding such generation shortfalls must remain a top priority for policymakers and power sector planners.
By Ifham Nizam
News
Sallay on hunger strike: Counsel warns CID
Asith Siriwardena Counsel for former Director of State Intelligence Service, Major General (Retd.) Suresh Sallay, detained under the Prevention of Terrorism Act (PTA) over the 2019 Easter Sunday attacks, has called upion the Director of the CID, SSP G. S. Abeysekara, to transfer his client either to a private or government hospital to receive urgently needed teatment.
Sallay was on a hunger strike, claiming mistreatment by the CID, his wife said, after visting him, yesterday.
Siriwardena wrote to the CID Director yesterday (07) after Sallay was visited by his wife, son and brother.
The text of the letter: “The family observed that Mr. Sallay’s physical condition has deteriorated to an alarming and critical level.
“He is reportedly unable to attend the visitation without the physical assistance of two officers. During the visit, he informed his family that he had refused medication, saline, food, and water. He further expressed a belief that his death is imminent and requested that arrangements be made for the donation of his eyes. He also requested an immediate visit from his Attorney for the purpose of executing his last will and other related legal documentation.
“These statements, and circumstances, demonstrate a grave deterioration in his physical and psychological condition. It is apparent that he is no longer capable of making rational decisions concerning his own welfare, health, and survival.
The prolonged conditions, under which he is presently being held have, at the very least, created a serious and immediate risk to his life.
“The State assumes a non-delegable duty of care toward every person held in its custody. Once an individual is deprived of liberty, the responsibility for safeguarding that person’s life, health, and wellbeing rests squarely upon the authorities exercising control over that individual. Any failure to discharge that duty in the face of a known and imminent medical emergency is a matter of the utmost legal seriousness.
“You are hereby formally notified that Mr. Sallay requires immediate medical intervention by qualified independent medical professionals and urgent transfer to an appropriate hospital facility capable of providing comprehensive assessment and treatment. Any delay, refusal, or failure to act despite clear knowledge of his precarious condition may give rise to personal and institutional liability under the criminal and civil law of Sri Lanka
“Should General Sallay suffer irreversible injury or death while remaining in the present conditions despite this explicit warning, it will be open to the relevant authorities, courts, and investigative bodies to examine whether such conduct amounts to a deliberate disregard of a known and foreseeable risk to life. Those responsible for decisions concerning his continued detention and medical care may be required to account personally for their actions and omissions.
“Accordingly, I demand that:
1. Mr. Sallay be transferred forthwith to a government or private hospital equipped to provide urgent medical treatment;
2. He be examined immediately by independent medical specialists, including psychiatric professionals if necessary; His legal representatives and family be granted reasonable access to him;
3. A written update on his medical status and the measures taken for his protection be provided without delay. This letter constitutes formal notice. Any further failure to act despite knowledge of the circumstances set out herein will be relied upon in any future judicial, criminal, constitutional, or international proceedings arising from harm suffered by my client.”
News
Opp. questions why Rs 10 bn meant for Ditwah victims held in Treasury account
The Opposition says the NPP government should explain why the funds received by Rebuilding Sri Lanka haven’t been utilised to provide relief to those affected by Ditwah cyclone in late November last year.
The failure on the part of the government to utilise as much as Rs 10 bn, received from local and foreign donors, came to light when the National Audit Office (NAO) appeared before the Public Finance Commission recently.
The NAO told the House Committee that no statutory fund currently existed under the name “Rebuilding Sri Lanka” and the programme operated through an account maintained under the Deputy Secretary to the Treasury.
The NAO declared that no payments had been made through this account to date.
Former SLPP MP Sanjeewa Edirimanne said that until the disclosure made by the NAO the country had been led to believe the Rebuilding Sri Lanka fund provided post-Ditwah relief. Pointing out that JVP General Secretary Tilvin Silva’s declaration in Jaffna that funds allocated to hold Provincial Council polls
had been utilised to assist Ditwah victims, Edirimanne said such blatant lies were propagated while the government held on to Rs 10 bn meant for the disaster victims.SJB MP Mujibur Rahman questioned the rationale behind keeping funds received specifically for Ditwah victims still living under extremely difficult conditions. (SF)
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