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Hail Mary pass to avoid arrest and/or imprisonment?

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Early Announcement for Trump’s Candidature for 2024

by Vijaya Chandrasoma

On Tuesday, November 15, former disgraced, twice-impeached former President Donald Trump announced his candidacy for the Presidency in 2024, under the aegis of the Republican Party. The announcement was made unilaterally, without consensual agreement, even discussion, with members of the Party.An announcement of candidature for the presidency, over two years before the scheduled election, is unprecedented. It is the earliest such an announcement has been made in history. It was also made at a time when numerous Republicans are publicly declaring their intentions to run for the 2024 Presidency.

Trump will almost certainly not be the only Republican candidate in 2024, even if he wriggles out of his criminal charges. Already, several candidates, Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, Virginia Governor Glenn Youngkin, former Vice President Mike Pence and former Secretary of State, Mike Pompeo, have declared their intentions to run. There will be others.

Trump’s rally for his announcement was scheduled in the certainty, according to all polls, of celebrating an unprecedented Republican triumph in the midterms with substantial gains in both Houses. Also, to celebrate the election wins of the slate of Trump endorsed candidates in the House and the Senate. Sadly for the Republicans, and against all expert forecasts, Democrats retained their majority in the Senate, lost its majority in the House by a razor thin majority, in contrast to the polls’ prediction of a Republican flip of 50/60 seats.

Trump’s endorsees lost in all the competitive states and the incumbent Republican Congressmen endorsed by Trump, either lost, or won with reduced majorities, even in deep red districts. Although Trump only takes credit for the wins, many members of the rank and file have complained that their abysmal performance in the midterms was caused mainly by Trump’s involvement.

The atmosphere at the Republican rally was subdued and somber. Trump’s speech was lackluster, very different from his usual performance of vulgar histrionics. He read from the prepared speech, and did not stray onto his hypocritical displays of patriotic emotion. He had no reason to lie, because the lies were already included in the prepared script. He reflected the doleful mien of a desperate gambler who has played his last card, and is now facing dire consequences. I am personally familiar with that countenance.

Trump is facing several civil and criminal charges. Most of these investigations have reached conclusion, and an arrest of the former president is imminent. His crimes fall under several themes: financial, tax and insurance frauds during his presidency; extortion and obstruction of justice; his role in the January 6 insurrection; his alleged interference in the 2020 election; and the mishandling – a polite word for stealing – of confidential documents, 15 boxes of them, and storing them in an unsecured basement at his Mar-a-Lago home in Florida.

Some of these documents included Top Secret information about allies’ nuclear capabilities and information about the progress of CIA operations. The stealing of these documents, the rightful property of the government to be secured at the National Archives, is a felony tantamount to espionage and treason. It is alleged that his son-in-law, Jared Kushner, has already sold some of these Top-Secret documents to a foreign country.

I believe the primary motive behind this extraordinarily early announcement of his candidature for the 2024 election has nothing to do with a desire for a second term at the White House, and everything to do with staying out of prison. Trump has played his “Hail Mary” pass, which in American football parlance means “a very long forward pass, typically made in desperation, with an exceptionally small chance of achieving completion”. Trump, the Chosen One, is begging the Virgin Mary (his heavenly grandmother?) for strength and help in keeping him out of prison.

The law demands that no criminal action should be taken against a political candidate two months before an election, be it dogcatcher or president. Trump, in his convoluted logic, is of the lopsided opinion that the announcement of his candidacy for the highest post in the land two years before the election should give him immunity from arrest and/or imprisonment.

This will probably end up as his second Big Lie, that the period of immunity from arrest is not two months but two years. Ever the victim, Trump will replace his first slogan about the 2020 election, STOP THE STEAL with a new lie, “TWO YEARS, NOT TWO MONTHS” to his frenzied cult at rallies, which they will believe without a shred of evidence or any basis in the law. As they still believe the STOP THE STEAL lie even after two years after the election.

Which brings us to his second motive. This early announcement will succeed in fleecing his gullible supporters of millions of dollars, on the pretext of the need to pay legal fees to fight this second Big Lie in the courts. They continue to believe, in the face of conclusive evidence to the contrary, that Trump is the victim of a witch hunt surpassing the infamous witch trials in Salem, over 300 years ago. And again put millions of dollars into Trump’s pockets.

They will likely kiss the ring yet again, and recoronate Trump as their leader. Trump, in their bigoted minds, remains the last white hope to perpetuate White Supremacy, which they fear is slipping away. They will place the blame for the debacle in the recent midterms on someone else: Senator Mitch McConnell? Speaker Kevin McCarthy? His cokehead son, Donald Jr? For the radical right, any Republican, bar one, is expendable.

Who knows what people whose minds are twisted, whose hearts are full of hate, will do? They are more than likely to indulge in January 6 type riots if their Fuhrer is arrested. “Blood in the streets” has already been predicted/incited by Trump and Senator Lindsey Graham if Trump is arrested. But if that happens, the U.S. now has a President who will immediately use its military and law enforcement might to crush them and send them back into the woodwork where they belong.

The Democrats also face an important decision. Nancy Pelosi will no longer be the Speaker of the House. Sadly, she announced on Thursday that she will no longer seek to be the minority leader of the House. She is 82 years old, and the recent attack by a Republican white supremacist thug on her 82-year-old husband of 60 years, an attack in which she was the target, has probably persuaded her to leave the job she has been carrying out magnificently for over two decades.

Whoever takes over as minority leader of the House will have a tough act to follow; who will have to contend with a ruthless and vengeful Republican holding the gavel, and a Party which will use its slim majority to bring dishonour to President Biden and block his progressive legislation.

Nancy Pelosi has been one of the outstanding heroines of her generation who inspired, and continues to inspire, many women to challenge for positions of leadership which had hitherto been denied to them. Most importantly, she has been the perfect role model for the younger generation, the little girls of today, to be a part of the present global movement proving that the phrase, even in current usage, describing women as “the weaker sex” to be a total misnomer, as they dare to claim their rightful place of gender equality in society.

As English philosopher John Stuart Mill said in 1869, “The principle which regulates the existing social relations between the two sexes – the legal subordination of one sex to another – is wrong in itself and is now one of the chief hindrances to human improvement.” True in 1869, true in 2022.

Liz Cheney, the defeated Congresswoman from Wyoming and Trump bete noire, is considering presidential a run as an Independent. In a recent interview on NBC’s Today television show, Liz Cheney said, “It (a 2024 presidential run) is something I’m thinking about. I’ll make a decision in the coming months”, emphasizing that she’ll be “doing whatever it takes to keep Donald Trump out of the Oval Office”.

The idea that Liz Cheney would win the Republican nomination for 2024 is not within the realms of reality, today. She is playing the long game, given that the volatile political climate will change several times in the next two years. Once Trump is eliminated and hopefully punished for his numerous crimes, she may be welcomed back into the folds of the Republican Party. In which case, she would be a participant in Republican Primaries and pre-election debates, which will include other Republican aspirants. While Ms Cheney may not have much of a chance of winning the Republican nomination, she is undeniably the perfect person to expose Trump’s crimes of fraud, sedition and treason on national television. And also reveal those of her 2024 rivals who were Trump’s enablers/sycophants complicit in his crimes until he fell out of favour.

Cheney’s second route would be to announce her candidature, in due time, by joining an existing, though lesser-known Party (American Independent, Libertarian, Green, to name three) and contest the presidency as an Independent under its aegis. As things stand today, Liz Cheney surely would act as a spoiler (if such a spoiler is needed) to ensure the victory for the Democrats by splitting the Republican vote in 2024. Liz Cheney is a staunch old-school Conservative, with the integrity and values of the pre-Nixon Republican Party. She has already proved that she will not support any Party which threatens the preservation of U.S. Democracy.

It is of vital importance that Democrats field a candidate capable of conclusively defeating any racist and regressive Republican. Whether it is President Biden or someone younger, we have to ensure that Democrats will be allowed to continue on the path they have taken towards social and economic justice – universal healthcare, free schooling up to and including universities, realistic minimum wages, affordable housing and all those benefits enjoyed by the citizens of all developed countries, bar, shamefully, the richest and most developed country in the world.

The younger generation played a decisive role in defeating the Republicans in the midterms. Even more importantly, they represent the generation that played the pivotal role in saving democracy in the United States. As long as they continue to play that dominant role, the U.S.’ future is in good hands.



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Features

The Easter investigation must not become ethno-religious politics

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Zahran and other bombers

Representatives of almost all the main opposition parties were in attendance at the recent book launch by Pivithuru Hela Urumaya leader Udaya Gammanpila. The book written by the PHU leader was his analysis of the Easter bombing of April 2019 that led to the mass killing of 279 persons, caused injuries to more than 500 others and caused panic and shock in the entire country. The Easter bombing was inexplicable for a number of reasons. First, it was perpetrated by suicide bombers who were Sri Lankan Muslims, a community not known for this practice. They targeted Christian churches in particular, which led to the largest number of casualties. The bombing of Sri Lankan Christian churches by Sri Lankan Muslims was also inexplicable in a country that had no history of any serious violence between the two religions.

There were two further inexplicable features of the bombing. The six suicide bombings took place almost simultaneously in different parts of the country. The logistical complexity of this operation exceeded any previously seen in Sri Lanka. Even during the three decade long civil war that pitted the Sri Lankan military against the LTTE, which had earned international notoriety for suicide attacks, Sri Lanka had rarely witnessed such a synchronised operation. The country’s former Attorney General, Dappula de Livera, who investigated the bombing at the time it took place, later stated, upon retirement, that there was a “grand conspiracy” behind the bombings. That phrase has remained central to public debate because it suggested that the visible perpetrators may not have been the only planners behind the attack.

The other inexplicable factor was that intelligence services based in India repeatedly warned their Sri Lankan counterparts that the bombings would take place and even gave specific targets. Later investigations confirmed that warnings were transmitted days before the attacks and repeated again shortly before the explosions, yet they were not acted upon. It was these several inexplicable factors that gave rise to the surmise of a mastermind behind the students and religious fanatics led by the extremist preacher Zahran Hashim from the east of the country, who also blew himself up in the attacks. Even at the time of the bombing there was doubt that such a complex and synchronised operation could have been planned and executed by the motley band who comprised the suicide bombers.

Determined Attempt

The book by PHU leader Gammanpila is a determined attempt to make explicable the inexplicable by marshalling logic and evidence that this complex and synchronised operation was planned and executed by Zahran himself. This is a possible line of argumentation in a democratic society. Competing interpretations of public tragedies are part of political discourse. However, the timing of the intervention makes it politically more significant. The launch of the PHU leader’s book comes at a critical time when the protracted investigation into the Easter bombing appears to be moving forward under the present government.

The performance of the three previous governments at investigating the bombing was desultory at best. The Supreme Court held former President Maithripala Sirisena and several senior officials responsible for failing to act on prior intelligence and ordered compensation to victims. This judicial finding gave legal recognition to what victims had long maintained, that there was a grave dereliction of duty at the highest levels of the state. In recent weeks the investigation has taken a dramatic turn with the arrest and court production of former State Intelligence Service chief Suresh Sallay on allegations linked directly to the attacks. Whether these allegations are ultimately proven or disproven, they indicate that the present phase of the investigation is moving beyond negligence into possible complicity.

This is why the present moment requires political sobriety. There is a danger that the line of political division regarding the investigation into the Easter bombing can take on an ethnic complexion. The insistence that the suicide bombers alone were the planners and executors of the dastardly crime makes the focus invariably one of Muslim extremism, as the suicide bombers were all Muslims. This may unintentionally narrow public attention away from the unanswered questions regarding intelligence failures, possible political manipulation, and the allegations of a broader conspiracy that remain under active investigation. The minority political parties representing ethnic and religious minorities appear to have realised this danger. Their absence from the book launch was politically significant. It suggests an unwillingness to be drawn into a narrative that could once again stigmatise an entire community for the crimes of a handful of extremists and their possible handlers.

Another Tragedy

It would be another tragedy comparable in political consequence to the havoc wreaked by the Easter bombing if moderate mainstream political parties, such as the SJB to which the Leader of the Opposition belongs, were to subscribe to positions merely to score political points against the present government. They need to guard against the promotion of anti-minority sentiment and the fuelling of majority prejudice against ethnic and religious minorities. Indeed, opposition leader Sajith Premadasa in his Easter message said that justice for the victims of the 2019 Sri Lanka Easter Sunday attacks remains a fundamental responsibility of the state and noted that seven years on, both past and present governments have failed to deliver accountability. He added that building a society grounded in trust and peace, uniting all ethnicities, religions and communities, is vital to ensure such tragedies do not occur again.

Sri Lanka’s post war history offers too many examples of how unresolved security crises become vehicles for majoritarian mobilisation. The Easter tragedy itself was followed by waves of anti-Muslim suspicion and violence in some parts of the country. Responsible political leadership should seek to prevent any return to that atmosphere. There are many other legitimate issues on which the moderate and mainstream opposition parties can take the government to task. These include the lack of decisive action against government members accused of corruption, the passing of the entire burden of rising fuel prices on consumers instead of the government sharing the burden, and the failure to hold provincial council elections within the promised timeframe. These are issues that touch the daily lives of citizens and the health of democratic governance. They offer the opposition ample ground on which to build credibility as a government in waiting.

The search for truth and justice over the Easter bombing needs to continue until all those responsible are identified, whether they were direct perpetrators, negligent officials, or political actors who may have exploited the tragedy. This is what the victim families want and the country needs. But this search must not be turned into a partisan and religiously divisive matter such as by claiming that there are more potential suicide bombers lurking in the country who had been followers of Zaharan. If it is, Sri Lanka risks replacing one national tragedy with another. coming together to discredit the ongoing investigations into the Easter bombing of 2019 is an unacceptable use of ethno-religious nationalism to politically challenge the government. The opposition needs to find legitimate issues on which to challenge the government if they are to gain the respect and support of the general public and not their opprobrium.

by Jehan Perera

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China’s new duty-free regime for Africa: Implications for Global Trade and Sri Lanka

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Image courtesy The Global Times

The new duty-free regime for Africa, announced by Chinese President Xi Jinping in February, is the most generous unilateral nonreciprocal trade concession offered by any country to developing countries since the beginning of the modern rule based international trading system.

Yet, it is a clear violation of the cornerstone of the multilateral trade law, the Most-Favoured-Nation (MFN) principle.

Hence, its implications on developing countries, without duty-free access to China, will be extremely negative. Sri Lanka is one of the few developing countries without duty-free access to China.

On 14 February, 2026, Chinese President Xi Jinping announced that China will grant zero-tariff treatment to 53 African nations, effective 01 May, 2026. Under this new unilateral policy initiative, China would eliminate all import tariffs on all goods imported from all the countries in Africa, except Eswatini. China already enforces a zero-tariff policy for 33 Least Developed Countries (LDCs) in Africa. Now this policy would be extended to non LDCs as well. This policy initiative clearly aims at reducing the continuously expanding trade deficit between China and Africa. In 2024, China’s trade surplus against Africa was recorded at US $ 61 billion.

This trade initiative, a precious gift amidst ongoing global trade tensions, is the most generous unilateral nonreciprocal trade concession given by any country to developing countries, since the beginning of the modern rule based international trading system.

Though this landmark announcement has far-reaching implications on global trade, as much as President Trump’s “Liberation Day” tariffs, it was almost overlooked by the global media.

Implications for Global Trade

This Chinese policy initiative, though very generous, is a clear violation of the Most-Favoured-Nation (MFN) principle and the “Enabling Clause” of the International Trade Law. The MFN principle is the cornerstone of the multilateral trading system under the World Trade Organisation (WTO) and is enshrined in Article I of the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT). It mandates that any trade advantage, privilege, or immunity granted by a WTO member to any country must be extended immediately and unconditionally to all other WTO members. Though, the GATT “Enabling Clause” allows developed nations to offer non-reciprocal preferential treatment (lower tariffs) to developing countries without extending them to all WTO members, this has to be done in a non-discriminatory manner. By extending tariff concessions only to developing countries in Africa, China has also breached this requirement.

This deliberate violation of the MFN principle by China occurs less than 12 months after the announcement of “Liberation Day” tariffs by President Trump, which breached Article I (MFN) and Article II (bound rates) of the GATT. However, it is important to underline that the objectives of the actions by the two Presidents are poles apart; the US objective was to limit imports from all its trading partners, and China’s objective is to increase imports from African countries.

Though the importance of the MFN principle of the WTO law had eroded over the years due to the proliferation of preferential trade agreements and unilateral preferential arrangements, the WTO members almost always obtained WTO waivers, whenever they breached the MFN principle. Now the leaders of the main trading powers have decided to violate the core principles of the multilateral trading system so brazenly, the impact of their decisions on the international trading system will be irrevocable.

Implications for Sri Lanka

China’s unilateral decision to provide zero-tariff treatment to African countries will have a strong adverse impact on Sri Lanka. Currently, all Asian countries, other than India and Sri Lanka, have duty-free access, for most of their exports, into the Chinese market through bilateral or regional trade agreements, or the LDC preferences. Though Sri Lanka, India and China are members of the Asia Pacific Trade Agreement (APTA), preferential margins extended by China under APTA to India and Sri Lanka are limited.

The value of China’s imports from Sri Lanka had declined from US$ 650 million in 2021 to US$ 433 million by 2025. However, China’s exports to Sri Lanka increased significantly during the period, from US$ 5,252 million to US$ 5,753 by 2025. This has resulted in a trade deficit of US$ 5,320 million. Sri Lanka’s exports to China may decline further from next month when African nations with duty-free access start to expand their market share.

Let me illustrate the challenges Sri Lanka will face in the Chinese market with one example. Tea (HS0902) is Sri Lanka’s third largest export to China, after garments and gems. Sri Lanka is the largest exporter of tea to China, followed by India, Kenya and Viet Nam. During the last five years the value of China’s imports of tea from Sri Lanka had declined significantly, from US$76 million in 2021 to US$ 57 million by 2025. Meanwhile, imports from our main competitors had increased substantially. Most importantly, imports from Kenya increased from US$ 7.9 million in 2021 to US$ 15 million in 2025. For tea, the existing tariff in China for Sri Lanka is 7.5% and for Kenya is 15%. From next month the tariff for Kenya will be reduced to 0%. What will be its impact on Sri Lanka exports? That was perhaps explained by a former Ambassador to Africa, when he urged Sri Lankan exporters to “leverage duty free access from Kenya” to expand their exports to China!

(The writer is a retired public servant and a former Chairman of WTO Committee on Trade and Development. He can be reached at senadhiragomi@gmail.com)

by Gomi Senadhira

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Daughter in the spotlight …

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Jeevarani Kurukulasuriya was a famous actress and her name still rings a bell with many. And now in the spotlight is her daughter Senani Wijesena – not as an actress but as a singer – and she has been singing, since the age of five!

The plus factor is that Senani, now based in Australia, is also a songwriter, plays keyboards and piano, dancer, and has filmed and edited some of her own music videos.

Says Senani: “I write the lyrics, melody and music and work with professional musicians who do the needful on my creations.”

Her latest album, ‘Music of the Mirror’, is made up of 16 songs, and her first Sinhala song, called ‘Nidahase’, is scheduled for release this month (April) in Colombo, along with a music video.

‘Nidahase’,

says Senani, is a song about Freedom … of life, movement, love and spirit. Freedom to be your authentic self, express yourself freely and Freedom from any restrictions.

In fact, ‘Nidahase’ is the Sinhala translated version of her English song ‘Free’ which made Senani a celebrity as the song was nominated for a Hollywood Music in Media Award in the RnB /Soul category and reached the Top 20 on the UK Music weekly dance charts, as well as No. 1 on the Yes Home grown Top 15, on Yes FM, for six weeks straight.

Senani went on to say that ‘Nidahase’ has been remixed to include a Sri Lankan touch, using Kandyan drums and the Thammattama drum, with extra music production by local music producer Dilshan L. Silva, and Australia-based Emmy Award winning Producer and Engineer Sean Carey … with Senani also in the scene.

The song was written (lyrics and melody) and produced by Senani and it features Australian musicians, while the music video was produced by Sri Lanka’s Sandesh Bandara and filmed in Sri Lanka.

First Sinhala song scheduled for release this month … in Colombo

Senani’s music is mostly Soul, Funk and RNB – also Fusion, using ethnic sounds such as the tabla, sitar, and sarod – as well as Jazz influenced.

“I also have Alternative Music songs with a rock edge, such as ‘New Day’, and upcoming releases ‘Fly High’ and ‘Whisper’“, says Senani, adding that she has also recorded in other languages, such as Hindi and Spanish.

“As much of my fan base are Sri Lankans, who have asked me to release a song in the Sinhala language, I decided to create and release ‘Nidahase’ and I plan to release other original Sinhala songs in the future.

Senani has a band in Australia and has appeared at festivals in Australia, on radio and TV in Australia, and Sri Lanka.

She trained as a vocalist, through Sydney-based Singing Schools, as well as private tuition, and she has 5th Grade piano music qualifications.

And this makes interesting reading:

“I graduated from the University of Newcastle in Australia with a Bachelor of Medicine and I work part time as a doctor (GP) and an Integrative Medicine practitioner, with a focus on nutrition, and spend the rest of the time dedicated to my music career.”

Senani hails from an illustrious family. In addition to her mum, Jeevarani Kurukulasuriya, who made over 40 films, including starring in the first colour movie ‘Ranmuthu Duwa’, her dad is Dr Lanka Wijesena (retired GP) and she has two sisters – all musical; one is a doctor, while the other is a dietitian/ psychotherapist.

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