Editorial
Gallup polls and G-strings
Thursday 11th August 2022
The results of an opinion survey, released recently, indicate that JVP leader Anura Kumara Dissanayake is leading where the public approval ratings of the candidates who vied for the presidency in Parliament last month are concerned. Dissanayake leads the survey on trust in leaders to do the right thing to resolve the economic crisis, with 48.5%, followed by Ranil Wickremesinghe (36.6%), Opposition leader Sajith Premadasa (29.1%) and Dullas Alahapperuma (23.7%).
The outcome of the aforesaid opinion poll is likely to make the JVP believe that it stands a better chance of shoring up its image and improving its electoral performance if it remains independent of the grand alliance thought to be in the making, and acts as the Opposition. If all other parties represented in Parliament join forces with the SLPP to form a unity government officially, then the post of the Opposition Leader will have to go to the JVP; that is the basis on which TNA leader R. Sampanthan became the Opposition Leader in 2015.
However, it is not advisable for anyone to go solely by opinion/polls survey results in making vital decisions, for public opinion could be as elusive as the weather; forecasts thereof could go wrong, and some politicians who disregard this fact have found themselves up the creek without a paddle. What befell Keith James Locke, a New Zealand Green Party member, may serve as an example. In the run-up to the 2005 election, he was so confident of victory in his electorate because of Gallup polls predictions favourable to him that he undertook to run across Epsom, in the buff, if his rival won. Unfortunately for him, the pollsters’ predictions went wrong, and he lost! Under pressure from the media and his political rivals, he carried out his promise; he made a dash across the Auckland suburb, wearing a G-string with bodypainting depicting a full suit!
Even in the US, where pollsters employ advanced methods to gather data and analyse them, the Gallup polls results went wrong as regards the outcome of the 2016 presidential election. Polls forecasters confidently placed Hillary Clinton’s chance of winning at between 70% to 99%! But Donald Trump came from behind to beat her. It may be argued that Clinton won the popular vote, but the fact remains that Trump secured the presidency. Pollsters also failed to predict the outcome of the British general election in 2015.
One may recall that in Sri Lanka, too, something similar happened at the 2015 presidential election. All secret opinion surveys commissioned by the Mahinda Rajapaksa government ahead of that election predicted a landslide win for the sitting President, but his main rival, Maithripala Sirisena proved to be a dark horse. Rajapaksa did not know what hit him. Even Sirisena may not have expected to pull off such an upset victory.
Sri Lankan pollsters may be familiar with the idea of ‘shy Trumpers’, which came into being during the 2016 US presidential election; many Americans did not want to identify themselves as the supporters of Trump, during surveys, due to his undesirable behaviour but approved his policies and voted for him. Likewise, there may not be a dearth of ‘shy Rajapaksers’ in the Sri Lanka polity, and the beleaguered Family may be planning a comeback a la Bongbong Marcos of the Philippines. This may be the reason why they enabled two non-SLPP members, Wickremesinghe (UNP) and Dinesh Gunawardena (MEP) to secure the presidency and the premiership respectively and function as placeholders, while enjoying life, until the time is opportune for the Family members to crawl out of the woodwork.
President Wickremesinghe has likened his unenviable task to that of Grusha, who carries a baby across a collapsing rope bridge, in The Caucasian Chalk Circle. That, we believe, is an understatement of his daunting mission; he is carrying a much heavier burden—a full-grown, former ruggerite, who is the son of not just a former Governor but an ex-President, no less!
As for surveys and statistical analysis of public opinion, it behoves politicians to tread cautiously. Prudence demands that they keep an ear to the ground, and factor in all political developments and trends in making crucial decisions, instead of being carried away by survey results.
Editorial
Another motion of no-confidence
Saturday 10th October, 2026
It will soon be showtime in Parliament. The Opposition has submitted a motion of no confidence against Speaker Dr Jagath Wickramaratne to Secretary General of Parliament Kushani Rohanadheera. Debates on no-confidence motions invariably descend into slanging matches, with members of both sides of the House trading insults and dragging one another’s reputations through the mud.
The motion of no confidence reportedly contains about 50 allegations, including misconduct, misuse of public property, financial irregularities, conflict of interest and violation of parliamentary procedures. The Opposition has called upon the Speaker to step down immediately.
The fate of no-confidence is not difficult to guess. What determines the outcome of a vote on such a motion is the numbers the opponents and the proponents can muster. There is no such thing as a conscience vote in the Sri Lankan Parliament. The Opposition has only 66 members as opposed to the government’s 159 including the Speaker. Some Opposition MPs are accused of running with the hare and hunting with the hounds. They disappear during crucial votes in the House. So, the no-confidence motion against the Speaker is doomed. The Opposition cannot be so naïve as to expect a different outcome; it is apparently planning to use the motion to inflict maximum possible damage on the government.
Gone are the days when the Speakers acted impartially, commanding the respect of all members of the House. Over the past several decades, the Chair has been reduced to little more than an appendage of the government of the day. Hence the Opposition’s frequent complaints of grievances. Worryingly, the campaigners for democracy and rights and privileges of lawmakers act out of expediency rather than principle once ensconced in power.
Ideally, the Speaker should be independent of political parties if he or she is to act impartially. Time was when political parties did not field candidates to challenge the Speakers at general elections. That helped A. F. Peiris (1952) and R. S. Pelpola (1960) enter Parliament without facing competition. The practice was that a Speaker would not normally be opposed at the next general election, reflecting the expectation that the office should be impartial and above party politics.
There have also been instances where the Speakers were elected unanimously in Parliament. They include Speaker Wickramaratne, his predecessors Asoka Ranwala and the late Anura Bandaranaike. Sadly, Ranwala had to resign over a degree certificate issue and Dr Wickramaratne is facing a no-confidence motion.
A government with a parliamentary majority can shoot down no-confidence motions with ease, but the issues raised by the Opposition do not go away. The SLPP-UNP government defeated a no-confidence motion against the then Health Minister Keheliya Rambukwella over a procurement scam, but subsequently he was prosecuted. It also defeated a no-confidence motion against Speaker Mahinda Yapa Abeywardena. But both the SLPP and the UNP suffered humiliating defeats at the last general election. Most of the SLPP MPs who voted to defeat the no-confidence motions against Rambukwella and Abeywardena could not even contest the last general election. The NPP MPs defeated a no-confidence motion against the Energy Minister Kumara Jayakody, but he had to step down subsequently albeit over some other allegation and legal action. This is something the JVP/NPP politicians who think no end of their supermajority ought to take cognisance of.
Editorial
COPE: Oil issue and ‘slippery’ answers
Friday 9th October, 2026
Some crucial problems have remained intractable in the public sector because a chronic lack of inter-institutional cooperation has stood in the way of tackling them. The Committee on Public Enterprises (COPE) has recently addressed one such issue. While examining the affairs of the Coconut Development Authority (CDA), the Coconut Research Institute, and the Coconut Cultivation Board, the COPE raised serious concerns over the food-safety risks posed by reprocessed and adulterated coconut oil entering the local food industry.
When COPE Chairman Dr. Nishantha Samaraweera pointed out that there had been about 150 instances of non-compliance with required standards in the coconut-oil manufacturing sector and asked what action had been taken against the errant companies, CDA Chairman Shantha Ranatunga said his institution could only trace such manufacturers and ensure corrective action. Dr. Samaraweera asked why the Health Ministry or the Consumer Affairs Authority had not been informed of those illegal practices, but he did not receive a clear answer. The officials only said they were not authorised to do so. Faulting most state institutions for working in silos with no cooperation among them, the COPE Chairman revealed the health risks posed by the waste cooking oil trade. He deserves praise for taking up this vital issue and calling for action to protect the public.
Sri Lanka’s edible oil problem has been a recurring food-safety concern for decades, with the evidence pointing to several forms of malpractice, from blending coconut oil with cheaper vegetable oils and reselling used oil to the distribution of products contaminated with aflatoxins. The repeated detection of such products also raises questions about the effectiveness of market surveillance, testing and enforcement.
In 2017, raids conducted by the Consumer Affairs Authority revealed that large quantities of used cooking oil had been placed alongside barrels of oil apparently processed with chemicals and colouring. Some samples were found to be adulterated. Officials said vendors had bought used cooking oil from food outlets and resold it after treating it with chemicals.
A 2021 study by a team of university researchers, has revealed an established chain in which hotels and restaurants sell used cooking oil to vendors, who filter it and remove sediments, before distributing it to small-scale restaurants for further use as cooking oil. Public health experts have pointed out that repeatedly heated, degraded or adulterated edible oils may increase the risk of cardiovascular disease and other chronic diseases. Volumes have been written about the waste cooking oil racket in the food industry, but it is doubtful whether any meaningful interventions have been made to eliminate it.
Media reports have shed light on another dimension of the waste edible oil racket. It has been reported that trade-data records indicate 67 shipments in the July 2024-June 2025 period under a category including “used cooking oil”, involving 31 Sri Lankan buyers and 38 suppliers. However, the database groups several oil categories together, and therefore this by itself does not prove that the imported used oil was intended for human consumption, but it is believed that at least a part of those imported waste cooking oil consignments entered the food industry. A thorough investigation is needed to prevent such illegal practices.
Non-communicable diseases (NCDs) reportedly account for about three-quarters of all deaths in Sri Lanka, making them the country’s dominant cause of mortality. Doctors have warned that the consumption of degraded, repeatedly heated or contaminated cooking oil may increase the risk of some NCDs, particularly certain cancers. Hence the pressing need for a comprehensive strategy to monitor and regulate the cooking oil trade and prosecute those who engage in illegal practices.
There are about 20 medical doctors in the current Parliament, including Health Minister Dr. Nalinda Jayatissa. They ought to use their collective voice to press for the proper enforcement of existing laws, or for new legislation, where necessary, to put an end to the waste cooking oil racket and other such illegal practices that endanger public health.
Editorial
Remembering Juvenal, Coke, Acton and Machiavelli
Thursday 8th Octobber, 2026
Hardly a day passes in this country without a torrent of news about politicians whose actions evoke memories of famous poets, thinkers, historians and jurists of yore, such as Juvenal, Edward Coke, Lord Acton and Niccolò Machiavelli. This has been particularly so during the past several weeks.
Speaker Dr Jagath Wickramaratne has dismissed a privilege issue raised by SJB MP Ajith P. Perera. He has ruled that as the Presiding Authority and guardian of Parliament’s powers, rights and privileges, the Speaker cannot be subjected to a privilege complaint or disciplinary inquiry by a committee subordinate to the Chair in respect of actions taken in his official capacity. MP Perera’s complaint was that his parliamentary privileges had been breached because no formal action had been taken or final decision made on a written request submitted on August 3 by 18 Opposition MPs seeking the appointment of a Special Select Committee to investigate delays in the judicial system and prison overcrowding. The Speaker ruled that there was no prima facie breach of parliamentary privilege.
Far be it from us to tell the Speaker how to exercise his discretionary powers. Yet we cannot help repeating a question from Juvenal’s Satires: Who guards the guards? (Quis custodiet ipsos custodes?) This famous question, which Juvenal deliberately left hanging, has since become modern shorthand for the broader problem of unchecked power without accountability. Are discretionary powers cartes blanches that place those who wield them above the law and the rules and regulations governing the vital institutions under their purview? Shouldn’t the exercise of such powers be firmly grounded in morality to guard against misuse and impunity?
Juvenal’s Satires are a caustic critique of social inequality, political corruption, decadence and the behaviour of the Roman elite. His work is of particular relevance to Sri Lanka, as it is also the source of the well-known phrase “bread and circuses” (panem et circenses). The only difference is that people here are treated to endless political circuses and theatre without reasonably priced bread or rice. Sri Lankans were waiting in long queues near filling stations, with the government struggling to restore uninterrupted fuel supplies, when news broke of another high-profile arrest.
Speaker Wickramaratne’s ruling has come less than two weeks after the enactment of the controversial 22 nd Amendment (22A) to the Constitution, introduced by the JVP-NPP government to raise the retirement age of the superior court judges allegedly with an ulterior motive. 22A became law in a manner that contravened the time-honoured principle nemo judex in causa sua (‘no one should act as a judge in a case in which they have a personal interest), rooted in Roman law and given its classic common-law formulation by Sir Edward Coke.
22A cleared its constitutional hurdle in the Supreme Court and was then steamrollered through Parliament. As one bad apple spoils the barrel, so one obnoxious law can undermine an entire legal system. Legendary jurists such as Coke would turn in their graves if they knew of the enactment of 22A.
Of all political thinkers, the only one whose counsel Sri Lankan politicians appear to have taken to heart is Machiavelli, particularly his advice on keeping and breaking promises, as evidenced by the sheer number of unfulfilled election pledges. Most of them have also taken a leaf out of the book of Joseph Goebbels, the Nazi regime’s master propagandist if the manner in which they repeat lies is anything to go by. They win elections, promising to usher in good governance, but once they realise their goal, their conduct becomes a textbook example of Lord Acton’s famous dictum about power.
Citizen Perera surely does not aspire to be in the same league as Juvenal, Acton, Coke et al., but his assessment of Sri Lankan politics and politicians is no less noteworthy: mole thiyanakota bale ne, bale thiyanakota mole ne, which can be roughly translated as, “When one has brains, one has no power, and when one has power, one has no brains.” Nothing exemplifies this truism more than the conduct of current Opposition politicians, who appear to be acting sensibly and that of their ruling-party counterparts, who appear to have taken leave of their senses.
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