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From Global Warming to Global Boiling?

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Prof. Marambe

… Sri Lanka’s Comprehensive Approach to Climate Action: New Policies and Initiatives Set the Stage for a Sustainable Future

by Ifham Nizam

In a bold move to face the chellenges posed by escalating climate crisis, Sri Lanka is unveiling a multi-faceted strategy to bolster its climate resilience and sustainability efforts. The country is embracing a “no-regret” approach, emphasising the importance of informed decision-making, global collaboration, and systematic implementation in its climate policies, a renowned climate scientist said.

Senior Professor Buddhi Marambe of the Faculty of Agriculture, University of Peradeniya and member of the National Experts Committee on Climate Change Adaptation (NECCCA), Ministry of Environment, speaking in an exclusive interview with The Island said that the newly updated “National Policy on Climate Change,” along with the revised “National Determined Contributions” (NDCs) and the “NDC Implementation Plan (2021-2030),” marks a significant stride in Sri Lanka’s climate action framework.

These updates, Prof. Marambe said, along with the “Climate Prosperity Plan” (CPP) of 2022 and the “2050 Carbon Net Zero Road Map and Strategic Plan” of 2023, outline a clear path forward, identifying crucial financial requirements for climate initiatives.

 The CPP projects a need for USD 26.53 billion, while the Net Zero Strategic Plan estimates USD 140 billion in funding necessary from national sources, private sector contributions, and international donors by 2030 and 2050.

Prof. Marambe said that to ensure these ambitious plans are met, Sri Lanka is working to attract substantial donor funding. The country’s new Climate Change Act, nearing completion, will further solidify its climate governance framework. In addition, the establishment of the Climate Change Office (CCO) in 2024 at the Presidential Secretariat complements the existing Climate Change Secretariat of the Ministry of Environment, originally set up in 2008. This new office aims to enhance coordination and execution of climate strategies.

Sri Lanka’s commitment to global climate discourse was highlighted at COP28, where the country proposed the “Tropical Belt Initiative” and “Climate Justice Forum” to draw international attention to the needs and challenges faced by developing nations in the fight against climate change.

Educational advancements are also on the horizon with the forthcoming launch of the International Climate Change University (ICCU), which will offer postgraduate programs focused on climate science and policy. Supported by both national and international agencies, the ICCU will foster deeper expertise in climate issues. Concurrently, the University of Peradeniya is setting up a “Climate Change Lab” to further enhance research and innovation in this critical field.

Sri Lanka is also updating and developing key strategic documents, including the National Adaptation Plan for Climate Change Impacts (NAP), Technology Needs Assessment (TNA), Technology Action Plans (TAP), Provincial Adaptation Plans (PAPs), and the Climate Smart Green Growth Strategy (CS-GGS). These initiatives are designed to support the systematic implementation of climate actions across the country.

As Sri Lanka charts its course towards a sustainable future, the integration of these policies and initiatives underscores the nation’s commitment to addressing climate challenges through a coordinated and informed approach, paving the way for effective climate action on both national and global scales.

Excerpts of the interview:

(Q)   Lots of deliberations have been taking place on the unprecedented global warming in the recent past. Can you explain on what’s going on?

 The recent trends in global warming have made me think that “Global Warming” is shifting towards “Global Boiling” This expression is an exaggeration, but anyone who has monitored climate change and warming trends during the past decades would perceive it as such.

 About a year ago, on 4 July 2023, the Copernicus Climate Change Services (CCCS) of the European Union and other researchers announced that the world had experienced the hottest day recorded ever, at least since the Industrial Revolution in the 1850s. However, the day temperatures continued to increase in the next three days, ultimately recording of 6 July 2023 as the hottest day in 2023, hitting an average daily temperature of 17.08 Celsius (°C). Further, the month of July in 2023 and the year 2023 became the hottest month and the year, respectively, ever recorded. Overall, the earth was about 1.36 °C warmer in 2023 than the pre-industrial average.

 After little over one year since 6 July 2023, the world recorded a marginally higher temperature of 17.09 °C on 21 July 2024 (Sunday). However, a day after, on 22 July 2024 (Monday), the global temperature increased considerably (17.15 °C), making it the hottest day ever recorded. Climate change is playing havoc. All indications are now that 2024 will beat all annual temperature records to take the top spot as the hottest year. Moreover, the 10 hottest years since the Industrial Revolution have fallen in the 21st century and strikingly in the last decade (2014 to 2023).

 In simple terms, the climate is continuing to warm. After the peak on 22 July 2024, the average global temperature has shown a slight decline over the past week. However, we are likely to see new temperature records in the coming months and years. Let us all be aware of this and prepare ourselves to adapt to those conditions while also making every effort to slow down the rate of climate change. This is a global challenge that requires a united response.

 Let us not forget that climate change has demonstrated its devastating effects, especially on human lives. The Lancet Countdown reported that the number of people exposed to extreme heat has grown exponentially globally due to climate change, and the heat-related mortality rate of people over 65 years of age has increased by approximately 85% between 2000–2004 and 2017–2021.

 (Q) Could you briefly explain as to what contributes to global warming?

 The increasing levels of greenhouse gases (GHGs) in the atmosphere are directly linked to the average global temperature on planet Earth. Carbon dioxide (CO2) is the most abundant GHG, mainly resulting from burning fossil fuels, contributing to about two-thirds of the overall GHGs. Methane contributes to about 25% of the warming that we experience today. The “Methane emission fact sheet” of the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) clearly states that the global warming potential of methane is 80 times more than that of CO2. Further, methane comes from human activities (60%) and natural sources (40%). The most significant sources of methane due to human activities are from agriculture (e.g. cattle, and paddy fields), fossil fuels, and decomposition of landfill waste.

 El Niño, which is a climate pattern that describes the unusual warming of surface waters in the eastern Pacific Ocean, can significantly impact global temperatures. For instance, the warming in 2023 was notably boosted by El Niño conditions, which have continued into 2024. This influence of El Niño on global temperatures is further highlighted by the fact that the Second hottest year recorded to date (2016) was also influenced by El Niño.

(Q)   Could you summarise the warming trends in Sri Lanka and some of its impacts?

 Since 1961, the average temperature of Sri Lanka has increased from 0.01 °C to 0.03 °C per year. This, coupled with the availability of water, has led to recent climate analysis, which has shown that wet areas in Sri Lanka (Wet zone) will be wetter and dry areas (Dry zone) will be drier in the future. This is an alarming situation as the Dry and Intermediate zones of Sri Lanka are the heart of agriculture in the country and that would face water deficit situations coupled with high temperatures, thus negatively affecting the production of crops, livestock and aquaculture, and the livelihood of people. Further, the cooler climates in the country have already shown a rapid increase in the night temperatures compared to the day temperature. This indicates that the central highlands of Sri Lanka would experience crop yield reductions due to the loss of dry matter due to the increased rate of night respiration.

(Q)     You have represented Sri Lanka at various forums on climate issue negotiations for more than a decade. What is the latest outcome of the COP considering the dangerous impacts on climate?

 The Conference of Parties (COP) of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) met for the 28th time (COP28) in 2023 with over 85,000 participants. This comprised more than 150 Heads of State, including the President of Sri Lanka. At COP28, the global community realised that the progress of commitments made by various countries were too slow across all areas of climate action to (a) reduce greenhouse gas emissions, (b) strengthen climate resilience, and (c) provide financial and technological support to vulnerable nations.

 The next two years will be critical in global climate negotiations, as the countries urgently need to establish a new climate finance goal that reflects the scale and urgency of the climate challenge. We must make commitments that bring us in line with a 1.5-degree world, aligning with the Paris Agreement. For example, to keep the Paris Agreement target within our reach, the COP28 recognised that the energy sector should reach net zero emissions by 2050 by speeding up the transition away from fossil fuels, and utilising zero- and low-carbon fuels well before or by around mid-century. This is challenging considering the recent increase in global warming, but it can be achieved only through a collective effort globally. Sri Lanka has already committed to (a) becoming carbon net zero by 2050, (b) achieving 70% renewable energy in electricity generation by 2030, and (c) no capacity addition of coal power plants. We need international support in terms of access to technology based on our needs, capacity building and adequate climate financing from the international community to achieve thesetargets.

 (Q) How positively has Sri Lanka responded to the climate challenge?

 The country needs to adopt “no-regret” options through a systematic approach. We must assess climate vulnerabilities periodically using the latest scientific methodologies, identify the technology needed to respond to climate challenges, access those technologies through global partnerships and climate financing, and build our capacity to adopt such technologies effectively under local conditions. The climate actions should not be decided upon haphazardly but through an informed decision-making process with broader stakeholder consultation.



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Immediate industrial reforms critical for Sri Lanka’s future

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Sri Lanka’s industrial sector has historically been an engine of growth, employment, and exports. Yet today, many industries face structural challenges, outdated practices, and intense global competition. Immediate and comprehensive policy reforms are, therefore, both urgent and essential—not only to revive growth but also to secure the future prosperity of the country.

Strengthening economic growth and diversification

Industries contribute significantly to GDP and export earnings. They create value-added products, reduce import dependency, and improve trade balances. Sri Lanka’s economy remains overly reliant on a few traditional sectors, such as garments and tea. Industrial reforms can encourage diversification into higher-value manufacturing, technology-driven production, and knowledge-based industries, increasing resilience against global shocks.

Job creation and social stability

The industrial sector is a major source of formal employment, particularly for youth and women. Small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) provide both direct and indirect jobs. Without reforms, job creation is limited, pushing young people to seek opportunities abroad, which drains talent and exacerbates social and economic inequality. By modernising industries and supporting SME growth, the country can create high-quality, sustainable employment, reduce migration pressures, and promote social stability.

Competitiveness and export expansion

Sri Lanka faces stiff competition from countries such as Vietnam, Bangladesh, and India in textiles, garments, and other manufacturing exports. Many local industries struggle with outdated technology, high production costs, and weak supply chains. Urgent reforms—such as improving industrial infrastructure, incentivising technology adoption, and simplifying trade regulations—are critical to enhancing competitiveness, retaining market share, and expanding exports.

Attracting domestic and foreign investment

Investors require clarity, stability, and efficient regulatory processes. Complex licensing, bureaucratic delays, and inconsistent policies deter both domestic and foreign investment. By implementing transparent and predictable industrial policies, the government can attract capital, encourage innovation, and accelerate industrial modernisation. Investment is not just about funding production—it is also about transferring technology and upgrading skills, which is essential for long-term industrial development.

Promoting innovation and technological upgrading

Many Sri Lankan industries continue to rely on outdated production methods and low-value processes, limiting productivity, efficiency, and global competitiveness. Comprehensive industrial reforms can incentivise research and development, digitalisation, automation, and adoption of green technologies, enabling local industries to move up the value chain and produce higher-value goods. This is particularly urgent as global competitors are rapidly implementing Industry 4.0 standards, including AI-driven production, smart logistics, and sustainable manufacturing. Without modernisation, Sri Lanka risks not only losing export opportunities but also falling permanently behind in technological capabilities, undermining long-term industrial growth and economic resilience.

Strengthening supply chains and local linkages

Effective industrial reform can improve integration between agriculture, services, and manufacturing. For example, better industrial policies can ensure that local raw materials are efficiently used, logistics systems are modernised, and SMEs are integrated into global supply chains. This creates multiplier effects across the economy, stimulating productivity, innovation, and competitiveness beyond the industrial sector itself.

Environmental sustainability and resilience

Global trends demand green and sustainable industrial practices. Sri Lanka cannot afford to ignore climate-friendly production methods, energy efficiency, or waste management. Reforms that promote sustainable manufacturing, circular economy principles, and renewable energy adoption will future-proof industries, improve international market access, and ensure compliance with global trade standards.

Institutional capacity and governance

Industrial reforms are not just about incentives; they require strong institutions capable of policy design, monitoring, and enforcement. Weak governance, policy inconsistency, and politicisation have historically undermined industrial development in Sri Lanka. Strengthening industrial institutions, simplifying bureaucracy, and ensuring accountability are essential components of meaningful reform.

Responding to global technological and trade shifts

The industrial landscape is rapidly changing due to digitalisation, automation, AI, and new global trade patterns. Sri Lanka must adapt quickly to benefit from global industrial trends rather than risk falling behind regional competitors. Immediate reform will allow industries to adopt modern production systems, integrate with global value chains, and improve export competitiveness.

Conclusion

Industrial policy reforms in Sri Lanka are urgent because delays threaten employment, competitiveness, and investment. They are important because a modern, resilient industrial sector is crucial for economic growth, export expansion, technological advancement, social stability, and environmental sustainability. Strategic, forward-looking reforms will not only save existing industries but also position Sri Lanka for a prosperous, resilient, and inclusive future.

(The writer is a former senior public servant and policy specialist.)

BY Chinthaka Samarawickrama Lokuhetti

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How to insult friends and intimidate people!

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Trump in Davos

US President Donald Trump is insulting friends and intimidating others. Perhaps. Following his rare feat of securing a non-consecutive second term, one would have expected Trump to be magnanimous, humble and strive to leave an imprint in world history as a statesman. However, considering the unfolding events, it is more likely that he will be leaving an imprint but for totally different reasons!

From the time of his re-election, Trump has apparently been determined to let the world know who the ‘boss’ is and wanted to Make America Great Again (MAGA) by economic measures that were detrimental even to his neighbours and friends, totally disregarding the impact it may have on the world economy. Some of his actions were risky and may well have backfired. Businessmen are accustomed to taking risks and he appears to behave as a businessman rather than as a politician. There was hardly any significant resistance to his arbitrary tariff increases except from China. He craved for the Nobel Peace Prize, claiming to have ended and prevented wars and, and unashamedly posed for a picture when the Nobel Peace Prize was ‘presented’ to him by the winner! To add insult to injury, Trump demonstrated his ignorance by blaming the Norwegian Prime Minister for having overlooked him for the Nobel Peace Prize. He should surely have known, before the Norwegian PM pointed out, that the awardee was chosen by a non-governmental committee.

Trump’s erratic behaviour reached its climax in Davos. He came to Davos determined to railroad the European leaders into accepting his bid to acquire Greenland and seemed to do so by hurling insults left, right and centre! Even before he started the trip to Davos, Trump had already imposed a 10% tariff on imports from seven European countries including the UK, increasing to 25% from the beginning of February, until he was able to acquire Greenland. In a rambling speech, lasting over an hour, he referred to Greenland as Iceland on four different occasions.

Exaggerating the part played by the US in World War II Trump proclaimed “Without us right now, you’d all be speaking German and a little Japanese”. After making a hideous claim that the US had handed Greenland to Denmark, after World War II, Trump said, “We want a piece of ice for world protection, and they won’t give it. You can say yes and we will be very appreciative. Or you can say no and we will remember”. A veiled threat, perhaps!

However, the remark that irked the UK most was his reference to the war in Afghanistan. He repeated the claim, made to Fox News, that NATO had sent ‘some troops’. but that they ‘had stayed a little back, a little off the front line’. On top of politicians, infuriated families of over 500 soldiers who sacrificed their lives in the front-lines in Afghanistan, started protesting which forced the British PM Keir Starmer to abandon the hitherto used tactic of flattery to win over Trump, to state that Trump’s remarks were “insulting and frankly appalling.” After a call from Starmer, Trump posted a praise on his Truth Social platform that UK troops are “among the greatest of all warriors”!

The resistance to Trump’s attempts at reverting to ‘unconstrained power of Great Powers’, which was replaced by the ‘rule-based-order’ after World War II, was spearheaded from an unlikely quarter. It was by Mark Carney, financier turned politician, PM of Canada. He was the Governor of the Bank of England, during the disastrous David Cameron administration, and left the post with hardly any impact but seems to have become a good politician. He apparently has hit Trump where it hurts most, as in his speech, Trump stated that Canada was living on USA and warned Carney about his language!

Mark Carney’s warning that this was a moment of “rupture” with the established rules-based international order giving way to a new world of Great Power politics and his rallying cry that “the middle powers” needed to act together, need to be taken seriously. What would the world come to, unless there is universal condemnation of actions like the forcible extraction of the Venezuelan President which, unfortunately, did not happen maybe because of the fear of Trump heaping more tariffs etc? What started in Venezuela can end up anywhere. Who appointed the US to be the policeman of the world?

With words, Trump gave false hope to protesters rebelling against the theocracy in Iran but started showing naval strength only after the regime crushed the rebellion by killing, according to some estimates, up to 25,000 protesters. If he decides to attack, Iran is bound to retaliate, triggering another war. In fact, Trump was crass enough to state that he no longer cares for peace as he was snubbed by the Nobel Peace committee! Trump is terrorising his own people as is happening in Minnesota but that is a different story.

Already the signs of unity, opposing Trump’s irrationalities, are visible. Almost all NATO members opposing Trump’s plans resulted in his withdrawal from Greenland acquisition plans. To save face, he gave the bogus excuse that he had reached an ever-lasting settlement! Rather than flattery, Trump’s idiosyncrasies need to be countered without fear, as well illustrated by the stance the British PM was forced to take on the Afghan war issue. For the sake of world peace, let us hope that Trump will be on the retreat from now.

 Mark Carney’s pivotal speech received a well-deserved and rare standing ovation in Davos. One can only hope that he will practice what he preached to the world, when it comes to internal politics of his country. It is no secret that vote-bank politics is playing a significant role in Canadian politics. I do hope he will be able to curtail the actions of remnants of terrorist groups operating freely in Canada.

by Dr Upul Wijayawardhana

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Trump is a product of greed-laden American decadence

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One wonders why the people of the US, who have built the most technologically and economically advanced country, ever elected Donald Trump as their President, not once, but twice. His mistakes and blunders in his first term are too numerous to mention, but a few of the most damaging to the working people are as follows:

Trump brought in tax cuts that overwhelmingly favour the wealthy over the average worker. The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) signed into law, at the end of 2017, provides a permanent cut in the corporate income tax rate that will overwhelmingly benefit capital owners and the top one percent. His new laws took billions out of workers’ pockets by weakening or abandoning regulations that protect their pay. In 2017 the Trump administration hurt workers’ pay in many ways, including acts to dismantle two key regulations that protect the pay of low- to middle-income workers. These failures to protect workers’ pay could cost workers an estimated $7 billion per year. In 2017, the Trump administration—in a virtually unprecedented move—switched sides in a case before the US Supreme Court and  fought on the side of corporate interests and against workers.

Trump’s policies on climate change could ruin the global plans to cut down emissions and reduce warming, which has already affected the US  equally badly as anywhere else in the world. Trump ridiculed the idea of man-made climate change, and repeatedly referred to his energy policy under the mantra “drill, baby, drill”. He said he would increase oil drilling on public lands and offer tax breaks to oil, gas, and coal producers, and stated his goal for the United States to have the lowest cost of electricity and energy of any country in the world. Trump also promised to roll back electric vehicle initiatives, proposed once again the United States withdrawal from the Paris Agreement, and rescind several environmental regulations.  The implementation of Trump’s plans would add around 4 billion tons of carbon dioxide to the atmosphere by 2030, also having effects on the international level. If the policies do not change further, it would add 15 billion tons by 2040 and 27 billion by 2050. Although the exact calculation is difficult, researchers stated: “Regardless of the precise impact, a second Trump term that successfully dismantles Biden’s climate legacy would likely end any global hopes of keeping global warming below 1.5C.” ( Evans, et al, 2024). Despite all these anti-social policies Trump was voted into power for a second term.

Arguments suggesting the USA is a decadent society, defined as a wealthy civilisation in a state of stagnation, exhaustion, and decline, are increasingly common among commentators. Evidence cited includes political gridlock, economic stagnation since the 1970s, demographic decline, and a shift toward a “cultural doom loop” of repeating past ideas (Douthat, 2024, New York Times).

First, we will look at the economic aspect of the matter though the moral and spiritual degradation may be more important, for it is the latter that often causes the former . The reasons for the  economic decline, characterised  by increase in inequality, dates back to the seventies. Between 1973 and 2000, the average income of the bottom 90 percent of US taxpayers fell by seven percent. Incomes of the top one percent rose by 148 percent, the top 0.1 percent by 343 percent, and the top 0.01 percent rose by 599 percent. The redistribution of income and wealth was detrimental to most Americans.

If the income distribution had remained unchanged from the mid-1970s, by 2018, the median income would be 58 percent higher ($21,000 more a year). The decline in profits was halted, but at the expense of working families. Stagnant wages, massive debt and ever longer working hours became their fate.

Since 1973, the US has experienced slower growth, lower productivity, and a diminished share of global manufacturing, notes the (American Enterprise Institute). Despite the low growth, the rich have doubled their wealth. In our opinion this is due to the “unleash of a culture of greed” that Joseph Stiglitz spoke about.

Nobel Prize winning economist Joseph Stiglitz has frequently argued that the United States has unleashed a culture of greed, selfishness, and deregulation, which he blames for extreme inequality, financial crises, and environmental destruction.

Income stagnation is not the only quality of life indicator that suffered. In 1980, life expectancy in the US was about average for an affluent nation. By the 2020s, it dropped to the lowest among wealthy countries, even behind China or Chile, largely due to the stagnation of life expectancy for working-class people. With regard to quality of life the US has fallen to 41st in global, UN-aligned, sustainable development rankings, highlighting issues with infrastructure and social systems, (The Conversation). The political system is described as trapped in a “stale system” with high polarisation, resulting in inaction rather than progress, (Douthat, New York Times).

It is often the moral and spiritual degradation that causes an overall decline in all aspects of life, including the US economy. Statistics on crime, drug and alcohol addiction, suicide rate and mental health issues in the US, which are the indicators for moral and spiritual status of a society, are not very complimentary. The Crime Index in the US is 49 while it is 23 in China and 32 in Russia. Drug abuse rate is 16.8% in the US and alcohol addiction is 18%. Mental illness in adults is as common as 23%. Only about 31% follow a religion. Erich Fromm in his book, titled “Sane Society,” refers to these facts to make a case that the US and also other countries in the West are not sane societies.

Let us now look at Joseph Stiglitz’s thoughts on greed which is the single most important factor in the aetiology of moral degradation in the US society. Stiglitz has directly linked corporate greed and the pursuit of immediate, short-term profits to accelerating climate change and economic failure for the majority of Americans. He argues that “free” (unregulated) markets in the US have not led to growth, but rather to the exploitation of workers and consumers, allowing the top 1% to siphon wealth from the rest of society. Stiglitz argues that neoliberalism, which he calls “ersatz capitalism,” has fostered a moral system where banks are “too big to fail, but too big to be held accountable,” rewarding greedy, risky behaviour. He contends that US economic policies have been designed to favour the wealthy, creating a “rigged” economy where the middle class is shrinking. In essence, Stiglitz argues that the US has allowed a “neoliberal experiment” to turn capitalism into a system focused on greed, which is harming the economy, the environment, and the social fabric.

Big oil companies spent a stunning $445m throughout the last election cycle to influence Donald Trump and Congress, a new analysis has found. These investments are “likely to pay dividends”, the report says, with Republicans holding control of the White House, House and Senate – as well as some key states. Trump unleashed dozens of pro-fossil fuel executive actions on his first day in office and is expected to pursue a vast array of others with cooperation from Congress (The Guardian, Jan 2025). 

Trump himself has accumulated wealth just as much as the rest of billionaires, and his poor voters are becoming poorer. He is greedy for wealth and power. He is carving up the world and is striving to annex as much of it as possible at the expense of sovereignty of other countries, the US allies, and international law.

Greed is an inherent human character which when unfettered could result in psychopathic monsters like Hitler. A new world order will have to take into serious consideration this factor of greed and evolve a system that does not depend on greed as the driver of its economy.

by N. A. de S. Amaratunga

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