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CBSL continues accommodative monetary policy stance

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Monetary Policy Review: October 2020

The Monetary Board of the Central Bank of Sri Lanka, at its meeting held on 21 October 2020, decided to maintain the Standing Deposit Facility Rate (SDFR) and the Standing Lending Facility Rate (SLFR) of the Central Bank at their current levels of 4.50 per cent and 5.50 per cent, respectively, thereby continuing the prevailing accommodative monetary policy stance.

The Board noted the decline in overall market lending rates, following the unprecedented monetary easing measures taken by the Central Bank thus far during the year, and expects the broadbased downward adjustment in market lending rates to continue, thereby ensuring affordable credit flows to productive sectors of the economy in the prevailing low inflation environment.

Global monetary policy continues to remain accommodative as global growth prospects remain bleak with the resurgence of COVID-19 in many parts of the world

The global economy, as per the World Economic Outlook (WEO) of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) released in October 2020, is projected to contract by 4.4 per cent in 2020. The outlook for growth in 2020 is less severe than the IMF’s previous forecast, supported by large scale policy stimuli implemented worldwide. However, the recent surge in COVID-19 cases globally has prompted several countries to reimpose lockdowns, which may dampen global growth prospects.

Against this background, most central banks across the globe are expected to continue their accommodative monetary policy stance in the foreseeable future.

The Sri Lankan economy is expected to move along a faster recovery path, despite the latest surge in COVID-19 cases locally that could hamper near term growth prospects.

The release of GDP estimates for the second quarter of 2020 by the Department of Census and Statistics (DCS) has been delayed. It is likely that the second quarter of 2020 has recorded a greater contraction than in the first quarter, followed by a recovery in the third quarter of the year. However, as per the DCS, the unemployment rate, which was estimated at 5.7 per cent in the first quarter of 2020, has declined to 5.4 per cent in the second quarter. The level of employment has also remained broadly unchanged in the second quarter compared to the large decline reported for the first quarter. These suggest that economic activity has remained without much deterioration in the second quarter. Other developments observed in leading indicators and high frequency data since the relaxation of the countrywide lockdown measures suggest that Sri Lanka is on a path towards economic revival. The unexpected COVID-19 cluster that has emerged recently could somewhat affect this momentum in the near term, but the expeditious measures that are being taken by the government to contain the spread could limit this impact.

External sector remains resilient with improved liquidity in the foreign exchange market

Better than expected outcomes in the external sector, as reflected by the incoming data, are indicative of the resilience of the external sector amidst growing worldwide uncertainties triggered by the outbreak of COVID-19. Alongside the improvement in earnings from merchandise exports, restrictions imposed on the importation of non-essential goods and low crude oil prices helped narrow the trade deficit substantially during the nine months ending September 2020. Services exports, excluding the tourism sector, continued to record a healthy growth led by computer and logistic services related activities. Workers’ remittances continued to record a notable acceleration since June 2020. In the meantime, Sri Lanka successfully settled the International Sovereign Bond (ISB) of US dollars 1 billion matured in early October 2020, continuing the unblemished record on debt servicing. The exchange rate remained stable and the depreciation of the Sri Lankan rupee against the US dollar is limited to 1.5 per cent thus far during the year. In this background, the Central Bank continued to purchase a sizeable volume of foreign exchange from the domestic market. Gross official reserves were estimated at US dollars 6.7 billion at end September 2020, which provided an import cover of 4.6 months.

Inflation is expected to remain within the desired range

Headline inflation, based on the Colombo Consumer Price Index (CCPI), decelerated in September 2020, on a year-on-year basis, while there was some acceleration in the National Consumer Price Index (NCPI) based headline inflation due to the rise in food prices. Meanwhile, core inflation based on both CCPI and NCPI continued to remain low, reflecting subdued demand conditions. The recent increase in food prices is expected to be short-lived supported by domestic supply side developments as well as the recent reduction in prices of several essential goods. Accordingly, inflation is expected to remain broadly within the desired range of 4-6 per cent in the near term and over the medium term with appropriate policy measures.

Most market interest rates have declined, reflecting the impact of the measures taken by the Central Bank thus far during the year

In response to the monetary easing measures effected to bring down borrowing costs of businesses and households, both market deposit and lending rates adjusted notably so far during the year. The Average Weighted Prime Lending Rate (AWPR) declined to historic lows in recent weeks, while new lending rates also adjusted downward in line with the expectations of the Central Bank. The imposition of lending rate caps on selected financial products in August 2020 has also helped bring down the overall lending rates in the market. Further space remains for market lending rates to decline, particularly with the high level of excess liquidity in the money market, which is deposited with the Central Bank at the SDFR of 4.50 per cent at present.

Credit to the private sector picked up notably in August 2020 and the upward trend is expected to continue supported by low interest rates

Following the contractions recorded in the preceding three months, credit disbursed to the private sector expanded notably in August 2020, reflecting the impact of low lending rates as well as concessional credit schemes. The expansion of credit to the private sector is expected to continue in the period ahead, despite the recent rise in COVID-19 infections, which is expected to be short-lived. Meanwhile, the overall domestic credit continued to expand sharply driven by the substantial increase in credit to the public sector. Accordingly, the growth of broad money further accelerated in August 2020.

Policy rates maintained at current levels

In consideration of the current and expected macroeconomic developments highlighted above, the Monetary Board, at its meeting held on 21 October 2020, was of the view that the current accommodative monetary policy stance is appropriate. Accordingly, the Board decided to maintain the Standing Deposit Facility Rate (SDFR) and the Standing Lending Facility Rate (SLFR) of the Central Bank at their current levels of 4.50 per cent and 5.50 per cent, respectively. The Central Bank will continue to monitor domestic and global macroeconomic and financial market developments and take further measures appropriately to ensure that the economy promptly reverts to a sustained high real GDP growth path, while maintaining inflation in the 4-6 per cent range under its flexible inflation targeting framework.



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Britain has opened a door: Sri Lanka’s SME apparel exporters need help walking through it

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Trade preferences are often spoken of as though tariff cuts alone can remake an industry. They cannot. Preferences matter only when firms are able to use them. That is what makes the United Kingdom’s revised Developing Countries Trading Scheme (DCTS), effective from January 1, 2026, important for Sri Lanka’s apparel sector. It offers more than continued market access. It offers a more usable route into one of Sri Lanka’s key export markets. For large exporters, that is beneficial. For small and medium-sized firms, it could be pivotal.

The real significance lies in the rules of origin. Earlier preference regimes imposed conditions that often constrained smaller exporters, especially those without vertically integrated operations. The revised DCTS eases those constraints by allowing greater sourcing flexibility. For Sri Lankan apparel SMEs, that matters more than the headline concession. Smaller exporters rarely struggle because they cannot manufacture. More often, they struggle because they cannot source inputs competitively, price with enough agility, or meet delivery timelines reliably enough to retain buyer confidence. The DCTS begins to ease those commercial pressures.

That is the theory. The more important question is what it means in practice.

Joe Jayawardena, an exporter to the UK speaking from the perspective of a UK-linked buying and manufacturing business sourcing from Sri Lanka and other apparel-producing countries, put it plainly: the DCTS is a duty concession for developing countries. But its real value lies in how it changes the commercial conversation. If exporters can source from a wider pool of inputs without losing preferential access, they gain more room to negotiate on price, lead time, and fabric choice. In apparel, that is not a marginal gain. It can determine whether a supplier is shortlisted or ignored.

That matters particularly for Sri Lankan SMEs because they operate with structural disadvantages. They typically have less working capital, narrower supplier networks, and weaker bargaining power than larger manufacturers. They cannot absorb long delays. They cannot tie up cash in excessive inventory. And they rarely enjoy the upstream integration that allows major firms to manage both cost and compliance. When rules are rigid, smaller firms feel the pressure first. When rules become more flexible, they stand to benefit disproportionately.

That is why the DCTS should be viewed not merely as a customs adjustment, but as a competitiveness instrument.

Yet preferential access on paper does not automatically become export orders. Here, the exporters’ comments point to a harder truth. Jayawardena’s sharper criticism was not of the scheme itself, but of Sri Lanka’s failure, so far, to exploit it properly. The opportunity exists, he argued, but the connectivity does not. Better access means little if buyers are not being brought closer to suppliers, if exporters remain insufficiently visible in the market, and if the state treats market access as a passive entitlement rather than something to be actively commercialised.

That critique deserves attention. Sri Lanka has too often assumed that preferential access will somehow speak for itself. It does not. Trade schemes reward countries that organise around them. That means stronger participation in trade fairs, more direct buyer outreach, easier commercial engagement, and a more deliberate effort to market Sri Lanka’s value proposition. It also means helping SMEs turn regulatory change into business decisions. Which products are best placed under the new rules? How should firms restructure sourcing? What level of documentation is enough to avoid customs disputes? How should mixed shipments be managed? These are practical questions, and SMEs need practical answers.

Amindra Wimalasena, another exporter to the UK, pointed to the second half of the problem. Better market access alone will not allow firms to scale if they lack the means to modernise. His point was straightforward: with the right support for automation, and financing mechanisms designed around how the industry actually operates, output could rise materially without a proportional increase in labour. Productivity gains are possible, but only if investment reaches the factory floor rather than being trapped by wider financial constraints.

This is where the DCTS debate becomes more strategic. The scheme creates external opportunity. But Sri Lanka’s SME exporters still face internal constraints, especially in finance, systems, and market connection. Many smaller firms do not need another seminar on trade policy. They need inventory-backed lending, grace periods for machinery investment, stronger production planning, and better access to buyers. Without that, the gains from DCTS will flow mainly to firms already large enough to move quickly.

That would be a missed opportunity.

Sri Lanka’s apparel sector has long been anchored by a small number of established players. But the next phase of growth will require a broader base. SMEs can provide that, particularly in segments where flexibility, specialisation, and shorter production runs matter. Britain’s revised scheme could support exactly this part of the industry, if used properly. Greater sourcing freedom allows smaller firms to become more responsive. It lets them choose inputs on commercial merit rather than regulatory necessity. It can improve pricing, shorten lead times, and make them more attractive to UK buyers seeking agile sourcing partners.

But that outcome will not happen on its own. It requires an ecosystem response. Government and industry bodies need to treat DCTS as a commercial opening, not just a policy achievement. Support for SMEs must become more operational, not merely informational. And policymakers should link DCTS directly to productivity finance, so that smaller exporters can invest in efficiency and automation rather than simply admire improved market access from a distance.

The broader lesson is simple. Trade preferences create potential only when domestic institutions convert that potential into capability. The UK has widened the opening. Sri Lanka must now decide whether to merely welcome the gesture or make full commercial use of it.

For SME apparel exporters, the stakes are considerable. If the DCTS is properly leveraged, it could improve competitiveness, widen buyer access, and bring smaller firms closer to the centre of Sri Lanka’s export economy. If it is not, Sri Lanka risks repeating a familiar pattern: favourable terms, but limited results.

Britain has opened a door. Sri Lanka’s SMEs now need the systems, capital, and market access to walk through it.

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CSE & NSEIX enter strategic partnership to expand capital market access

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Parties to the MoU signed at GIFT IFSC Global Securities Markets Conclave 2.0: Chetan Shah, Head of Capital Markets - Axis Bank Neeraj Kulshrestha, MD & CEO – NSE International Clearing Corporation; Balasubramaniam Venkataramani, MD & CEO – NSEIX; Kosala Gamage, Director – CSE; Rajeeva Bandaranaike, CEO – CSE; Ms. Punyamali Saparamadu, SVP – CSE; Ms. Hetal Kotak, Head of Listings – NSEIX.

The Colombo Stock Exchange (CSE) and NSE IFSC LIMITED (NSEIX), an international multi-asset exchange and wholly owned subsidiary of the National Stock Exchange of India Limited, signed a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) recently to strengthen capital market cooperation between Sri Lanka and India. Bringing together the senior leadership of both exchanges to formalise a strategic partnership, the occasion underscored the shared commitment of both institutions to building a more integrated regional financial ecosystem that benefits companies and investors in both exchanges.

Under this arrangement, both institutions will work towards introducing dual listings and cross listings, which will enable companies to list the same shares on both exchanges simultaneously, or to establish a presence on both markets through separate listings. Dual listings and cross listings offer listed companies a greater opportunity to increase liquidity through a broader and more diverse investor base and significantly enhance visibility among institutional and retail investors in both Sri Lanka and India. For companies in particular, access to India’s vast and deep capital markets could prove transformative in terms of growth financing and brand recognition.

Beyond listings, both the CSE and NSEIX have committed to working together to develop new financial products tailored to the needs of cross-border investors, reflecting the evolving sophistication of both markets.

The MoU also aims to enable bidirectional trading opportunities, giving investors in Sri Lanka and India access to each other’s markets. Furthermore, the Exchanges have agreed to undertake joint research initiatives, training programs, capacity building exercises, and outreach efforts for the mutual benefit of both institutions and the wider investment communities they serve.

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Ceylinco Life chairman R. Renganathan honoured by CMA

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Ceylinco Life Executive Chairman Mr R. Renganathan receives the award.

Receives ‘Distinguished Recognition in the Profession of Management Accounting’ award for excellence in management accounting and financial stewardshipThe Executive Chairman of Ceylinco Life Insurance Ltd., R. Renganathan, has been conferred the prestigious ‘Distinguished Recognition in the Profession of Management Accounting’ award by the Institute of Certified Management Accountants (CMA) of Sri Lanka, in recognition of his outstanding contribution to financial discipline, governance, and sustainable value creation.

The accolade was presented at the inauguration of a workshop on Integrated Reporting and Sustainability Accounting Standards, underscoring the growing importance of integrated reporting frameworks and Environmental, Social and Governance (ESG) principles in modern corporate management.

A Chartered Accountant by profession, Renganathan has been instrumental in shaping Ceylinco Life’s financial and governance framework since joining the company at its inception. Having led the organisation from the commencement of its life insurance operations in 1988, following the privatisation of the industry, he has consistently championed the principles of transparency, accountability, and long-term value creation, aligning the company with evolving global best practices in reporting and sustainability.

Under his stewardship, Ceylinco Life has strengthened its position as the market leader in Sri Lanka’s life insurance sector, a distinction it has retained for 22 consecutive years. His financial acumen and strategic foresight have contributed to the growth of the company’s Life Fund to over Rs. 200 billion, while innovative product development has enabled the organisation to extend life insurance protection to over one million breadwinners across the country.

The recognition also reflects Renganathan’s broader contribution as a thought leader in financial stewardship and sustainability, to elevating standards within the insurance industry, particularly in embedding strong governance practices and ethical conduct, while driving resilience and sustainable growth.

Ceylinco Life’s continued alignment with integrated reporting principles and sustainability standards reinforces its position as a responsible corporate leader committed to transparency, stakeholder value, and long-term financial stability. The honour bestowed on its Executive Chairman further underscores the company’s commitment to financial stewardship and its role in advancing best practices in corporate reporting and governance in Sri Lanka.

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