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AKD is still in the lead, says Institute for Health Policy poll
ECONOMYNEXT —National People’s Power (NPP) leader Anura Kumara Dissanayake had support among 50 percent of all adults surveyed by the Institute for Health Policy (IHP) in December 2023 in a monthly voting intent poll for Sri Lanka’s upcoming presidential election.
Support for Dissanayake had dropped just 1 percentage point since December 2023, according to the Institute for Health Policy (IHP)’s Sri Lanka Opinion Tracker Survey (SLOTS) MRP provisional estimates.
Main opposition Samagi Jana Balawegaya leader Sajith Premadasa had the support of 36 percent (+2) of the adults surveyed, while both President Ranil Wickremesinghe and a generic Sri Lanka Podujana Peramuna (SLPP) had the support of 7 percent each.
Dissanayake’s National People’s Power (NPP) continued to lead a separate general election voting intentions poll, also carried out by IHP, for January at 40 percent of adult voters surveyed supporting the party, with the SJB in second place at 30 percent.
The presidential poll estimates are based on the January 2024 revision of the IHP SLOTS Multilevel Regression and Poststratification (MRP) model, which smoothed monthly changes and reduced monthly fluctuations due to sampling noise, IHP said in a statement.
This update is for all adults and is based on a revised MRP model using data from 15,590 interviews conducted from October 2021 to 26 February 2024, with 506 interviews during January 2024. IHP said 100 model iterations were run to capture model uncertainty, with margins of error assessed as 1–3 perce t for January.
“IHP’s SLOTS MRP methodology first estimates the relationship between a wide variety of characteristics about respondents and their opinions – in this case, ‘If there was a Presidential Election today, who would you vote for?’– in a multilevel statistical model. It then uses a large data file that is calibrated to the national population to predict voting intent in each month since October 2021, according to what the multilevel model says about their probability of voting for various parties (‘post-stratification’) at each point in time. The multilevel model was estimated 100 times to reflect underlying uncertainties in the model and to obtain margins of error,” the institute said.
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Merchant Shipping Secretariat probes bribery scandal
… bribe giver departs Colombo port
The Merchant Shipping Secretariat (MSS) is investigating a complaint received from the Captain of an Indonesian flagged vessel Sensho that he had to pay an official USD 5,000 bribe to facilitate what our sources called port state control inspection.
Sources said that the cement carrier arrived at the Colombo Port, on Friday, and departed after having passed the rigorous inspection. Responding to queries, sources said that after paying the bribe, the vessel’s Captain has lodged complaints with MSS and the Commission to Investigate Allegation of Bribery or Corruption (CIABOC).
In spite of the government’s high profile anti-corruption drive there seemed to be fresh cases, sources said, adding that MSS had received a comprehensive complaint. The vessel had departed Colombo for Jeddah, sources said.
“The issue at hand is whether there have been unreported cases of MSS personnel receiving bribes,” sources said, acknowledging that the Captain, instead of immediately bringing the demand for USD 5,000 bribe to the MSS, had paid it and departed Colombo. (SF)
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Theft of USD 2.5 mn: Dinana Dakuna claims COPF trying to protect mastermind
An opposition political group, styled as Dinana Dakuna, has accused the Committee of Public Finance (COPF) of protecting the masterminds behind the USD 2.5 mn theft from the Treasury.
Commenting on the recent COPF report on the theft, the group has alleged that the all-party parliamentary grouping made an attempt to shift the blame to the Central Bank as part of a cover-up. It has described the COPF report as a deliberate attempt to suppress the truth.
The group said that the COPF conveniently asserted that the theft took place due to the inexperience of officers concerned, thereby diverting the attention from those who perpetrated it.
An alleged attempt to portray the collapse of the administrative set-up that led to the USD 2.5 mn theft as a human resource problem, has also been questioned by Dinana Dakuna.
News
COPF chief slams security sticker scam
The country was losing so much revenue due to the controversial liquor bottle security sticker scam that if tangible measures were taken to stop the fraud, they could fund about eight projects on the scale of the Suwaseriya ambulance service, Chairman of the Committee on Public Finance (COPF) and Colombo District MP Dr. Harsha de Silva said on Saturday.
Addressing the media in Colombo, Dr. de Silva described the security sticker, introduced for alcoholic beverages, as a “major scam” and called on the government to act responsibly when the current tender is renewed in 2027.
The former State Minister said the security sticker system had originally been introduced with the legitimate objective of improving tax compliance and preventing excise duty evasion in the liquor industry. However, he alleged that the manner in which the programme is currently being implemented was resulting in significant losses to the State.
According to Dr. de Silva, the government pays an Indian company US$8 for the digital printing of every 1,000 security stickers, although the actual cost of printing the same quantity is only about 12 US cents.
“The money being lost through this scheme is sufficient to finance around eight Suwaseriya-type projects,” he said, highlighting, what he described as, the excessive cost burden borne by the State.
Dr. de Silva noted that the high taxes imposed on alcoholic beverages had created incentives for manufacturers, distributors and liquor outlet owners to evade taxes, making a security sticker mechanism a necessary regulatory tool.
He said the proposal to introduce security stickers was first put forward during the Yahapalana administration in 2016.
The tender process commenced in 2017, was concluded in 2018 and the system was eventually implemented in 2023. The COPF Chairman said his Committee had recently undertaken an extensive review of excise revenue and the operation of the security sticker programme.
During the inquiry, it emerged that the Excise Department still lacked a computerised system capable of recording and managing data, related to the stickers, despite their importance to government revenue collection.
Dr. de Silva further said that Excise Department officials, who appeared before the Committee on Public Finance, had maintained that no fraud was taking place in relation to the sticker programme.
However, he expressed concern over the subsequent seizure of a stock of security stickers, in Malabe, only days after those assurances had been given.
He questioned whether stickers recovered during raids were genuine labels, legally obtained from the authorised supplier, or counterfeit versions, printed illegally, arguing that either possibility pointed to serious shortcomings in a system intended to guarantee security and traceability.
Dr. de Silva also referred to media reports concerning the company awarded the security sticker tender and allegations of fraudulent activities linked to the firm in several other countries.
He urged authorities to ensure greater transparency and accountability in the management of the programme and to carefully scrutinise the tender process when it comes up for renewal next year.
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