Midweek Review
Will 2023 be a year of further economic-political-social crisis?
By Shamindra Ferdinando
A steady stream of press releases, issued during 2022, by Colombo-based diplomatic missions, UN and its agencies, and those representing INGOs, depicted a pathetic picture of Sri Lanka. They dealt with financial and material assistance, provided on Sri Lanka’s request, and also in line with international response to the developing crisis here.
Ruling Sri Lanka Podujana Peramuna (SLPP), and other political parties, represented in Parliament, seemed to be blind to the rapidly developing crisis, especially against the backdrop of the country continually being denied the USD 2.9 bn IMF loan facility.
Having secured ‘staff level’ agreement on Sept. 01, various government spokespersons expressed confidence in obtaining the first tranche, by end of 2022. That hasn’t materialized.
It would be pertinent to mention that the agreement, on the urgently needed facility, has been held up, pending necessary approval of the overall plan by Beijing and New Delhi. The Treasury and the Central Bank are obviously uncertain when the much desired agreement can be finalized.
Foreign media releases highlighted Sri Lanka’s growing dependence on international assistance. Let me first discuss a statement, dated Dec. 19, issued by the World Food Programme (WFP). Carol Taylor, Communications Associate, WFP, Colombo, in a two-page statement, dealt with the food crisis, with the focus on Dustin Shiau, Senior Regional Programme Officer of the U.S. Agency for International Development (USAID)’s Bureau for Humanitarian Assistance (BHA).
Having to receive humanitarian assistance, 12 years after the successful conclusion of the war against the Liberation Tigers of Tamil Eelam (LTTE), underscored Sri Lanka’s plight.
Referring to the USAID official’s visit to one-time LTTE bastion, Mullaithivu, Taylor asserted the population there is among the worst affected. During the war, the WFP provided significant assistance to those trapped in LTTE held areas, particularly in the Vanni region.
According to Taylor, the US has provided USD 20 mn, in 2022, and of that USD 13 mn (approximately Rs 4.7 bn) enabled them to assist the needy, recently. Declaring that the WFP project got underway, in June, just ahead of President Gotabaya Rajapaksa’s ouster, the operation intended to provide food and nutrition assistance to 3.4 mn people.
Taylor estimated they had so far reached one mn people, including schoolchildren, benefited by the free meal programme.
The WFP press statement has substantiated assertions made by the international community as regards the developing economic-political-social crisis here. The government and the Opposition continued to play politics with an unprecedented national calamity caused by mismanagement of the economy, waste, corruption and irregularities.
Cash-strapped Sri Lanka received USAID financial assistance, amounting to USD 46 mn, to procure 9,300 tonnes of urea. The first consignment reached Sri Lanka in December.
Those in political authority should be ashamed, particularly because they failed to initiate a programme to purchase paddy. In spite of the intervention of President Wickremesinghe and Prime Minister Dinesh Gunawardena, the Wickremesinghe-Rajapaksa government never released funds, required to buy paddy. Agriculture Minister Mahinda Amaraweera owed an explanation as to whether the incumbent government has ceased the purchase of paddy. If so, there is no point in maintaining the Paddy Marketing Board (PMB) at taxpayers’ expense, while the private sector dominates the market.
The first consignment of urea, received in December, was meant to meet the requirement of 193,000 smallholder paddy farmers, in Jaffna, Mullaithivu, Mannar, Vavuniya, Anuradhapura, Trincomalee, Batticaloa and Moneragala districts. Additional stocks are expected, early next year, and, altogether, one million farmers are expected to receive fertiliser, procured by the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO), on behalf of the USAID.
Addressing a small gathering, at the Colombo Port, US Ambassador Julie Chung declared that they have announced over USD 240 million in new assistance and additional loans for small businesses over the last year.
In the absence of a cohesive plan, with the Wickremesinghe-Rajapaksa government ensnared in a political crisis, the international community has stepped in. Sri Lanka currently lacks the wherewithal to at least start re-building the economy. Instead, those who ruined this country, over the years, are now preoccupied trying to play the role of its saviour, having brought the once proud nation to its knees.
The hapless Sri Lankan public should be eternally grateful for top South Korean official, Cho Sung Lea, for publicly issuing a warning to Social Empowerment Minister, Anupa Pasqual, for being late for a scheduled meeting at the Ministry, on Dec 21. South Korea Disaster Relief Foundation (SKDRF) President Cho Sung Lea took the State Minister to task for being 30 minutes late for a scheduled meeting in Colombo. The South Korean declared that with the likes of Pasqual, Sri Lanka has no hope of overcoming the continuing crisis. Lea emphasized the pivotal importance of the public having faith in their political leadership.
We will refrain from commenting on how lily white South Korean politicians, including top ones, have been over the years, for the moment, for our politicians often, without doubt, take everyone for granted, no sooner they become important ministers, having become drunk with power.
Having entered parliament from the Kalutara district, Pasqual, a senior member of civil society group Yuthukama, switched his allegiance to President Ranil Wickremesinghe by accepting a portfolio.
Perhaps, the South Korean should be invited to address Sri Lanka’s Parliament, possibly the mother of all problems in the country. Governor of the Central Bank, Dr. Nandalal Weerasinghe, in a hard hitting speech, delivered in Parliament on August 31, squarely held the irresponsible and reckless political party system responsible for the current crisis.
High profile Chinese agenda

US Ambassador Julie Chung at the Colombo Port where she officially handed over a large stock of fertiliser to Agriculture Minister Mahinda Amaraweera and (below) lorries loaded with bags of fertliser (pics courtesy US embassy, Colombo)
The situation is so bad, Sri Lanka has been compelled to ask for, and accept, whatever is offered by the international community. A range of assistance, offered, included stocks of rabies vaccines. India and Germany provided the funding needed to purchase rabies vaccines.
Throughout this year, China provided significant assistance as Sri Lanka struggled to cope up with increasing difficulties. Despite having haughtily questioned Chinese intentions here, with the Yahapalana government causing serious row, and the crisis over the rejected carbon fertiliser shipment, during Gotabaya Rajapaksa administration, Sri Lanka, over the past two years, received significant Chinese assistance.
The political leadership here should be aware that foreign assistance does not come without strings attached. A Defence Ministry press release, dated Dec. 21, dealt with a financial grant amounting to Rs 5 mn, received by that Ministry, from the Chinese Embassy.
Following a joint request made by State Defence Minister, Premitha Bandara Tennakoon, and Defence Secretary, Gen. (ret.) Kamal Gunaratne, the Defence Ministry has received a Rs 5 mn grant for the utilization for the development of the National Cadet Corps (NCC).
The latest Chinese grant, received for the benefit of the NCC, is part of the overall funding programme, covering several important fields, including agriculture and fisheries.
Recently, China announced their decision to donate school uniform material, worth USD 13.51 million, to meet 70 percent of Sri Lanka’s requirement, in 2023. According to a Chinese Embassy statement, the first batch of material is already on its way to Sri Lanka. The first batch contains 2,374,427.5 meters of white shirt/ frock material, 350,031.5 meters of white trouser material, 150,003.5 meters of blue trouser material and 138,134 meters of saffron coloured robe material for monks.
In a twitter message, the Chinese Embassy said that the total length of the material is about 10 times the distance from Colombo to Jaffna. China also supports a free midday meal programme for schoolchildren. Much to the relief of farmers and fishers, China provided 10.6 mn liters of diesel, to be distributed among the two badly affected communities. This was part of the RMB 500 mn (USD 76 mn) emergency grant China voluntarily extended to Sri Lanka. In addition, Sri Lanka sought to convince China to provide a credit line for fuel. China made the offer during Gotabaya Rajapaksa’s presidency (between the March 31 protests – outside the President’s private residence, at Pangiriwatte, Mirihana – and the May 09 attacks on the Galle Face and Kollupitiya protesters). Initially, China declared a 200 RMB grant and later made an additional commitment, amounting to a further RMB 300 mn. The total grant was meant for the urgent purchase of medicine, food, fuel and other essentials.
The Chinese announcement was made in the wake of Sri Lanka suspending debt repayment on April 12. But Agriculture Minister Amaraweera brashly declared that China was responding to a request by President Ranil Wickremesinghe.
China has gradually enhanced its role in the Northern and Eastern Provinces, since the last presidential election, in late 2019. The continuing political-economic-social crisis has facilitated the Chinese agenda as the government has no option but to accept whatever assistance is granted as it couldn’t meet even the basic needs of the population. The executive, the legislature and the judiciary are enmeshed in controversies, at different levels, as the country plunges further into abyss.
Beijing underscored its expanding interests in the Northern and Eastern regions by its Deputy Chief of the Chinese Embassy Hu Wei undertaking a three-day visit in the second week of this month. Wei was there to supervise the distribution of fuel, 9,000 metric tons of rice, among students from underprivileged families, and 100 sets of solar lights to 38 schools across the Eastern Province.
Chinese Ambassador Qi Zhenhong toured the North in December, last year, at the time the economy was experiencing difficulties, though the public were yet to feel it. (Mirihana was to erupt four months later). During the high profile visit, the Chinese envoy took a boat ride to the Adam’s Bridge, widely referred by the Indian media as ‘Rama Setu’, a row of limestone shoals across the narrow Palk Strait between Mannar and Rameswaram, in Tamil Nadu. Some interested parties raised concerns over Qi Zhenhong’s visit to the North, against the backdrop of the suspension of a solar energy project that was to be carried out in three Jaffna islands, with ADB funding.
New Delhi’s strategy on track
In spite of the absence of sustained protests, since UNP leader Ranil Wickremesinghe’s election, through a parliamentary vote, as the President, in July, this year, the country is still in a deeply troubled state. It would be a grave mistake, on the part of the government, to believe that the absence of long queues, for basic services, didn’t mean the end of the crisis. In fact, the continuing power cuts, and the possibility of much longer electricity interruptions, on a daily basis, coupled with the unprecedented hike in power tariffs, can trigger protests.
The recent meetings the Research and Analysis Wing Chief, Samant Goel, had in Colombo with President Wickremesinghe and Basil Rajapaksa, who wields political power over the ruling Sri Lanka Podujana Peramuna (SLPP), meant how concerned New Delhi is with developments here. Obviously the Indian Spy Chief’s visit underlines their interest here as the Wickremesinghe-Rajapaksa government struggles to cope up with daunting challenges.
Having invested here, heavily, over the years, especially having provided much needed financial assistance, this year, that prevented the total collapse of the Colombo administration, New Delhi is obviously deeply committed to further consolidate its position in this tiny nation. India provided extraordinary financial support, prompting India basher JVP leader Anura Kumara Dissanayake to publicly appreciate New Delhi’s response to the crisis here.
But, China poses quite a challenge, having had the opportunity, over the years, to develop a network of friends at the right places. One-time Foreign Secretary, Shivshankar Menon, who had served in Colombo as High Commissioner (1997-2000), dealt with this issue in ‘Choices: Inside the Making of India’s Foreign Policy’, launched in Oct. 2016.
In spite of President Wickremesinghe’s repeated declaration that his government wouldn’t take sides in international or regional conflicts, Sri Lanka is embroiled in a China-US battle for supremacy. Sri Lanka is caught up in ‘Quad,’ strategy. The four-nation security and political alliance, comprising the US, India, Japan and Australia, is pursuing an anti-China agenda. The developing economic-security-social crisis has weakened Sri Lanka’s defences. Therefore, the country is susceptible to Chinese, as well as Quad strategies.
Former Minister, Prof. Tissa Vitharana’s recent declaration that the US may revive its efforts to secure Sri Lanka’s consent for the once-rejected MCC (Millennium Challenge Corporation) as well as SOFA (Status of Forces Agreement), shouldn’t be disregarded as ramblings of an old man.
During the Yahapalana administration (2015-2019), the US sought to finalize MCC, SOFA and ACSA (Acquisition and Cross Servicing Agreement) though Washington managed to secure ACSA, thanks to the then President Maithripala Sirisena’s support. A much weaker Sri Lanka is now a playground for big players, as political parties, represented in Parliament, pulled in different directions, for their own survival, without thinking of the greater good of the country.
Sri Lanka’s relations with Quad member Japan suffered irrevocable damage as a result of the unilateral cancellation of the Japanese-funded Light Rail Transit (LTR) project, in Sept. 2020, a month after the Sri Lanka Podujana Peramuna (SLPP) obtained a near two-thirds seats at the last parliamentary elections. The cancellation of the project, without consultations, angered the Japanese who could have provided significant assistance at the onset of the financial crisis here. Japan went to the extent of ignoring Sri Lanka’s specific requests for an urgent loan facility though some assistance was provided later.
Contrary to former Chairman of the Committee on Public Enterprises (COPE) Prof. Charitha Herath’s claim that the decision to call off the LTR project remains a mystery, the National Audit Office has revealed the existence of a Cabinet memorandum, dated Sept. 24, 2020, in this regard.
Having unilaterally suspended debt repayment, on April 12, 2022, Sri Lanka enters unchartered financial territory in the New Year with the hope a consensus can be reached on the USD 2.9 bn IMF facility as soon as possible early next year. But, Sri Lanka’s hopes remain largely dependent on Indian and Chinese acceptance of the overall plan. Regardless of Sri Lanka’s plight, the response of India and China would be largely influenced by their overall strategies.
Unfortunately, Sri Lanka (Government and Opposition) lacked a tangible action plan to face the daunting challenges in the coming year. Both seemed unprepared to face the crisis and unexpected developments can cause further destabilization. The recent allegations, pertaining to former lawmaker Prof. Ashu Marasinghe, following the release of a video by Adarsha Karadana, who had been living with him, is a case in point. There is absolutely no need for the writer to repeat what is now in the public domain. But, let me repeat what Karadana, who had been living with Prof. Marasinghe, who switched sides after having entered the political scene with the intervention of Wimal Weerawansa, speculated about the Wickremesinghe-Rajapaksa government granting the former National List MP top diplomatic positing. Let us hope the government would prove Ashu Marasinghe’s ex-paramour wrong.
Midweek Review
Fonseka clears Rajapaksas of committing war crimes he himself once accused them of
With Sri Lanka’s 17th annual war victory over separatist Tamil terrorism just months away, warwinning Army Chief, Field Marshal Sarath Fonseka (Dec. 06, 2005, to July 15, 2009) has significantly changed his war narrative pertaining to the final phase of the offensive that was brought to an end on May 18, 2009.
The armed forces declared the conclusion of ground operations on that day after the entire northern region was brought back under their control. LTTE leader Velupillai Prabhakaran, hiding within the secured area, was killed on the following day. His body was recovered from the banks of the Nanthikadal lagoon.
With the war a foregone conclusion, with nothing to save the increasingly hedged in Tigers taking refuge among hapless Tamil civilians, Fonseka left for Beijing on May 11, and returned to Colombo, around midnight, on May 17, 2009. The LTTE, in its last desperate bid to facilitate Prabhakatan’s escape, breached one flank of the 53 Division, around 2.30 am, on May 18. But they failed to bring the assault to a successful conclusion and by noon the following day those fanatical followers of Tiger Supremo, who had been trapped within the territory, under military control, died in confrontations.
During Fonseka’s absence, the celebrated 58 Division (formerly Task Force 1), commanded by the then Maj. Gen. Shavendra Silva, advanced 31/2 to 4 kms and was appropriately positioned with Maj. Gen. Kamal Gunaratne’s 53 Division. The LTTE never had an opportunity to save its leader by breaching several lines held by frontline troops on the Vanni east front. There couldn’t have been any other option than surrendering to the Army.
The Sinha Regiment veteran, who had repeatedly accused the Rajapaksas of war crimes, and betraying the war effort by providing USD 2 mn, ahead of the 2005 presidential election, to the LTTE, in return for ordering the polls boycott that enabled Mahinda Rajapaksa’s victory, last week made noteworthy changes to his much disputed narrative.
GR’s call to Shavendra What did the former Army Commander say?
* The Rajapaksas wanted to sabotage the war effort, beginning January 2008.
* In January 2008, Mahinda Rajapaksa, Defence Secretary Gotabaya Rajapaksa and Navy Commander VA Wasantha Karannagoda, proposed to the National Security Council that the Army should advance from Vavuniya to Mullithivu, on a straight line, to rapidly bring the war to a successful conclusion. They asserted that Fonseka’s strategy (fighting the enemy on multiple fronts) caused a lot of casualties.
* They tried to discourage the then Lt. Gen. Fonseka
* Fonseka produced purported video evidence to prove decisive intervention made by Defence Secretary Gotabaya Rajapaksa on the afternoon of May 17. The ex-Army Chief’s assertion was based on a telephone call received by Maj. Gen. Shavendra Silva from Gotabaya Rajapaksa. That conversation had been captured on video by Swarnavahini’s Shanaka de Silva who now resides in the US. He had been one of the few persons, from the media, authorised by the Army Headquarters and the Defence Ministry to be with the Army leadership on the battlefield. Fonseka claimed that the videographer fled the country to escape death in the hands of the Rajapaksas. It was somewhat reminiscent of Maithripala Sirisena’s claim that if Rajapaksas win the 2015 Presidential election against him he would be killed by them.
* Shanaka captured Shavendra Silva disclosing three conditions laid down by the LTTE to surrender namely (a) Their casualties should be evacuated to Colombo by road (b) They were ready to exchange six captured Army personnel with those in military custody and (c) and the rest were ready to surrender.
* Then Fonseka received a call from Gotabaya Rajapaksa, on a CDMA phone. The Defence Secretary issued specific instructions to the effect that if the LTTE was to surrender that should be to the military and definitely not to the ICRC or any other third party. Gotabaya Rajapaksa, one-time Commanding Officer of the 1st battalion of the Gajaba Regiment, ordered that irrespective of any new developments and talks with the international community, offensive action shouldn’t be halted. That declaration directly contradicted Fonseka’s claim that the Rajapaksas conspired to throw a lifeline to the LTTE.
Fonseka declared that the Rajapaksa brothers, in consultation with the ICRC, and Amnesty International, offered an opportunity for the LTTE leadership to surrender, whereas his order was to annihilate the LTTE. The overall plan was to eliminate all, Fonseka declared, alleging that the Rajapaksa initiated talks with the LTTE and other parties to save those who had been trapped by ground forces in a 400 m x 400 m area by the night of May 16, among a Tamil civilian human shield held by force.
If the LTTE had agreed to surrender to the Army, Mahinda Rajapaksa would have saved their lives. If that happened Velupillai Prabhakaran would have ended up as the Chief Minister of the Northern Province, he said. Fonseka shocked everyone when he declared that he never accused the 58 Division of executing prisoners of war (white flag killings) but the issue was created by those media people embedded with the military leadership. Fonseka declared that accusations regarding white flag killings never happened. That story, according to Fonseka, had been developed on the basis of the Rajapaksas’ failed bid to save the lives of the LTTE leaders.
Before we discuss the issues at hand, and various assertions, claims and allegations made by Fonseka, it would be pertinent to remind readers of wartime US Defence Advisor in Colombo Lt. Col. Lawrence Smith’s June 2011 denial of white flag killings. The US State Department promptly declared that the officer hadn’t spoken at the inaugural Colombo seminar on behalf of the US. Smith’s declaration, made two years after the end of the war, and within months after the release of the Darusman report, dealt a massive blow to false war crimes allegations.
UN Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon, in 2010, appointed a three-member Panel of Experts, more like a kangaroo court, consisting of Marzuki Darusman, Yasmin Sooka, and Steven Ratner, to investigate war crimes accusations.
Now Fonseka has confirmed what Smith revealed at the defence seminar in response to a query posed by Maj. General (retd.) Ashok Metha of the IPKF to Shavendra Silva, who had been No 02 in our UN mission, in New York, at that time.
White flag allegations
‘White flag’ allegations cannot be discussed in isolation. Fonseka made that claim as the common presidential candidate backed by the UNP-JVP-TNA combine. The shocking declaration was made in an interview with The Sunday Leader Editor Frederica Jansz published on Dec. 13, 2009 under ‘Gota ordered them to be shot – General Sarath Fonseka.’
The ‘white flag’ story had been sensationally figured in a leaked confidential US Embassy cable, during Patricia Butenis tenure as the US Ambassador here. Butenis had authored that cable at 1.50 pm on Dec. 13, 2009, the day after the now defunct The Sunday Leader exclusive. Butenis had lunch with Fonseka in the company of the then UNP Deputy Leader Karu Jayasuriya, according to the cable. But for the writer the most interesting part had been Butenis declaration that Fonseka’s advisors, namely the late Mangala Samaraweera, Anura Kumara Dissanayake (incumbent President) and Vijitha Herath (current Foreign Minister) wanted him to retract part of the story attributed to him.
Frederica Jansz fiercely stood by her explosive story. She reiterated the accuracy of the story, published on Dec. 13, 2009, during the ‘white flag’ hearing when the writer spoke to her. There is absolutely no reason to suspect Frederica Jansz misinterpreted Fonseka’s response to her queries.
Subsequently, Fonseka repeated the ‘white flag’ allegation at a public rally held in support of his candidature. Many an eyebrow was raised at The Sunday Leader’s almost blind support for Fonseka, against the backdrop of persistent allegations directed at the Army over Lasantha Wickrematunga’s killing. Wickrematunga, an Attorney-at-Law by profession and one-time Private Secretary to Opposition Leader Sirimavo Bandaranaike, was killed on the Attidiya Road, Ratmalana in early January 2009.
The Darusman report, too, dealt withthe ‘white flag’ killings and were central to unsubstantiated Western accusations directed at the Sri Lankan military. Regardless of the political environment in which the ‘white flag’ accusations were made, the issue received global attention for obvious reasons. The accuser had been the war-winning Army Commander who defeated the LTTE at its own game. But, Fonseka insisted, during his meeting with Butenis, as well as the recent public statement that the Rajapaksas had worked behind his back with some members of the international community.
Fresh inquiry needed
Fonseka’s latest declaration that the Rajapaksas wanted to save the LTTE leadership came close on the heels of Deputy British Prime Minister David Lammy’s whistle-stop visit here. The UK, as the leader of the Core Group on Sri Lanka at the Geneva-based United Nations Human Rights Council, spearheads the campaign targeting Sri Lanka.
Lammy was on his way to New Delhi for the AI Impact Summit. The Labour campaigner pushed for action against Sri Lanka during the last UK general election. In fact, taking punitive action against the Sri Lankan military had been a key campaign slogan meant to attract Tamil voters of Sri Lankan origin. His campaign contributed to the declaration of sanctions in March 2025 against Admiral of the Fleet Wasantha Karannagoda, General (retd) Shavendra Silva, General (retd) Jagath Jayasuriya and ex-LTTE commander Karuna, who rebelled against Prabhakaran. Defending Shavendra Silva, Fonseka, about a week after the imposition of the UK sanctions, declared that the British action was unfair.
But Fonseka’s declaration last week had cleared the Rajapaksas of war crimes. Instead, they had been portrayed as traitors. That declaration may undermine the continuous post-war propaganda campaign meant to demonise the Rajapaksas and top ground commanders.
Canada, then a part of the Western clique that blindly towed the US line, declared Sri Lanka perpetrated genocide and also sanctioned ex-Presidents Mahinda Rajapaksa and Gotabaya Rajapaksa. Other countries resorted to action, though such measures weren’t formally announced. General (retd) Jagath Dias and Maj. Gen (retd) Chagie Gallage were two of those targeted.
Against the backdrop of Fonseka’s latest claims, in respect of accountability issues, the urgent need to review action taken against Sri Lanka cannot be delayed. Although the US denied visa when Fonseka was to accompany President Maithripala Sirisena to the UN, in Sept. 2016, he hadn’t been formally accused of war crimes by the western powers, obviously because he served their interests.
On the basis of unsubstantiated allegations that hadn’t been subjected to judicial proceedings, Geneva initiated actions. The US, Canada and UK acted on those accusations. The US sanctioned General Shavendra Silva in Feb. 2020 and Admiral Karannagoda in April 2023.
What compelled Fonseka to change his narrative, 18 years after his Army ended the war? Did Fonseka base his latest version solely on Shanaka de Silva video? Fonseka is on record as claiming that he got that video, via a third party, thereby Shanaka de Silva had nothing to do with his actions.
DNA and formation of DP
Having realised that he couldn’t, under any circumstances, reach a consensus with the UNP to pursue a political career with that party, Fonseka teamed up with the JVP, one of the parties in the coalition that backed his presidential bid in 2010. Fonseka’s current efforts to reach an understanding with the JVP/NPP (President Anura Kumara Dissanayake is the leader of both registered political parties) should be examined against the backdrop of their 2010 alliance.
Under Fonseka’s leadership, the JVP, and a couple of other parties/groups, contested, under the symbol of the Democratic National Alliance (DNA) that had been formed on 22 Nov. 2009. but the grouping pathetically failed to live up to their own expectations. The results of the parliamentary polls, conducted in April 2010, had been devastating and utterly demoralising. Fonseka, who polled about 40% of the national vote at the January 2010 presidential election, ended up with just over 5% of the vote, and the DNA only managed to secure seven seats, including two on the National List. The DNA group consisted of Fonseka, ex-national cricket captain Arjuna Ranatunga, businessman Tiran Alles and four JVPers. Anura Kumara Dissanayake was among the four.
Having been arrested on February 8, 2010, soon after the presidential election, Fonseka was in prison. He was court-martialed for committing “military offences”. He was convicted of corrupt military supply deals and sentenced to three years in prison. Fonseka vacated his seat on 7 Oct .2010. Following a failed legal battle to protect his MP status, Fonseka was replaced by DNA member Jayantha Ketagoda on 8 March 2011. But President Mahinda Rajapaksa released Fonseka in May 2012 following heavy US pressure. The US went to the extent of issuing a warning to the then SLFP General Secretary Maithripala Sirisena that unless President Rajapaksa freed Fonseka he would have to face the consequences (The then Health Minister Sirisena disclosed the US intervention when the writer met him at the Jealth Ministry, as advised by President Rajapaksa)
By then, Fonseka and the JVP had drifted apart and both parties were irrelevant. Somawansa Amarasinghe had been the leader at the time the party decided to join the UNP-led alliance that included the TNA, and the SLMC. The controversial 2010 project had the backing of the US as disclosed by leaked secret diplomatic cables during Patricia Butenis tenure as the US Ambassador here.
In spite of arranging the JVP-led coalition to bring an end to the Rajapaksa rule, Butenis, in a cable dated 15 January 2010, explained the crisis situation here. Butenis said: “There are no examples we know of a regime undertaking wholesale investigations of its own troops or senior officials for war crimes while that regime or government remained in power. In Sri Lanka this is further complicated by the fact that responsibility for many of the alleged crimes rests with the country’s senior civilian and military leadership, including President Rajapaksa and his brothers and opposition candidate General Fonseka.”
Then Fonseka scored a major victory when Election Commissioner Mahinda Deshapriya on 1 April, 2013, recognised his Democratic Party (DNA was registered as DP) with ‘burning flame’ as its symbol. There hadn’t been a previous instance of any service commander registering a political party. While Fonseka received the leadership, ex-Army officer Senaka de Silva, husband of Diana Gamage ((later SJB MP who lost her National List seat over citizenship issue) functioned as the Deputy Leader.
Having covered Fonseka’s political journey, beginning with the day he handed over command to Lt. Gen. Jagath Jayasuriya, in July, 2009, at the old Army Headquarters that was later demolished to pave the way for the Shangri-La hotel complex, the writer covered the hastily arranged media briefing at the Solis reception hall, Pitakotte, on 2 April, 2023. Claiming that his DP was the only alternative to what he called corrupt Mahinda Rajapaksa’s government and bankrupt Ranil Wickremesinghe-led Opposition, a jubilant Fonseka declared himself as the only alternative (‘I am the only alternative,’ with strapline ‘SF alleges Opposition is as bad as govt’. The Island, April 3, 2013).
Fonseka had been overconfident to such an extent, he appealed to members of the government parliamentary group, as well as the Opposition (UNP), to switch allegiance to him. As usual Fonseka was cocky and never realised that 40% of the national vote he received, at the presidential election, belonged to the UNP, TNA and the JVP. Fonseka also disregarded the fact that he no longer had the JVP’s support. He was on his own. The DP never bothered to examine the devastating impact his 2010 relationship with the TNA had on the party. The 2015 general election results devastated Fonseka and underscored that there was absolutely no opportunity for a new party. The result also proved that his role in Sri Lanka’s triumph over the LTTE hadn’t been a decisive factor.
RW comes to SF’s rescue
Fonseka’s DP suffered a humiliating defeat at the August 2015 parliamentary polls. The outcome had been so bad that the DP was left without at least a National List slot. Fonseka was back to square one. If not for UNP leader and Prime Minister Ranil Wickremesinghe, Fonseka could have been left in the cold. Wickremesinghe accommodated Fonseka on their National List, in place of SLFPer M.K.D.S. Gunawardene, who played a critical role in an influential section of the party and the electorate shifting support to Maithripala Sirisena. Gunawardena passed away on 19 January, 2016. Wickremesinghe and Fonseka signed an agreement at Temple Trees on 3 February, 2016. Fonseka received appointment as National List MP on 9 February, 2016, and served as Minister of Regional Development and, thereafter, as Minister of Wildlife and Sustainable Development, till Oct. 2018. Fonseka lost his Ministry when President Sirisena treacherously sacked Wickremesinghe’s government to pave the way for a new partnership with the Rajapaksas. The Supreme Court discarded that arrangement and brought back the Yahapalana administration but Sirisena, who appointed Fonseka to the lifetime rank of Field Marshal, in recognition of his contribution to the defeat of terrorism, refused to accommodate him in Wickremesinghe’s Cabinet. The President also left out Wasantha Karannagoda and Roshan Goonetilleke. Sirisena appointed them Admiral of the Fleet and Marshal of Air Force, respectively, on 19, Sept. 2019, in the wake of him failing to secure the required backing to contest the Nov. 2019 presidential election.
Wickremesinghe’s UNP repeatedly appealed on behalf of Fonseka in vain to Sirisena. At the 2020 general election, Fonseka switched his allegiance to Sajith Premadasa and contested under the SJB’s ‘telephone’ symbol and was elected from the Gampaha district. Later, following a damaging row with Sajith Premadasa, he quit the SJB as its Chairman and, at the last presidential election, joined the fray as an independent candidate. Having secured just 22,407 votes, Fonseka was placed in distant 9th position. Obviously, Fonseka never received any benefits from support extended to the 2022 Aragalaya and his defeat at the last presidential election seems to have placed him in an extremely difficult position, politically.
Let’s end this piece by reminding that Fonseka gave up the party leadership in early 2024 ahead of the presidential election. Senaka de Silva succeeded Fonseka as DP leader, whereas Dr. Asosha Fernando received appointment as its Chairman. The DP has aligned itself with the NPP. The rest is history.
By Shamindra Ferdinando
Midweek Review
Strengths and weaknesses of BRICS+: Implications for Global South
The 16th BRICS Summit, from 22 to 24 October 2024 in Kazan, was attended by 24 heads of state, including the five countries that officially became part of the group on 1 January: Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Iran, Egypt and Ethiopia. Argentina finally withdrew from the forum after Javier Milei’s government took office in 2023.
In the end, it changed its strategy and instead of granting full membership made them associated countries adding a large group of 13 countries: two from Latin America (Bolivia and Cuba), three from Africa (Algeria, Nigeria, Uganda) and eight from Asia (Belarus, Indonesia, Kazakhstan, Malaysia, Thailand, Turkey, Uzbekistan and Vietnam). This confirms the expansionary intent of the BRICS, initiated last year and driven above all by China, which seeks to turn the group into a relevant multilateral forum, with focus on political than economic interaction, designed to serve its interests in the geopolitical dispute with the United States. This dispute however is not the making of China but has arisen mainly due to the callous bungling of Donald Trump in his second term in office.
China has emerged as the power that could influence the membership within the larger group more than its rival in the region, India. Obviously, the latter is concerned about these developments but seems powerless to stop the trend as more countries realize the need for the development of capacity to resist Western dominance. India in this regard seems to be reluctant possibly due to its defence obligations to the US with Trump declaring war against countries that try to forge partnerships aiming to de-dollarize the global economic system.
The real weakness in BRICS therefore, is the seemingly intractable rivalry between China and India and the impact of this relationship on the other members who are keen to see the organisation grow its capacity to meet its stated goals. China is committed to developing an alternative to the Western dominated world order, particularly the weaponization of the dollar by the US. India does not want to be seen as anti-west and as a result India is often viewed as a reluctant or cautious member of BRICS. This problem seems to be perpetuated due to the ongoing border tensions with China. India therefore has a desire to maintain a level playing field within the group, rather than allowing it to be dominated by Beijing.
Though India seems to be committed to a multipolar world, it prefers focusing on economic cooperation over geopolitical alignment. India thinks the expansion of BRICS initiated by China may dilute its influence within the bloc to the advantage of China. India fears the bloc is shifting toward an anti-Western tilt driven by China and Russia, complicating its own strong ties with the West. India is wary of the new members who are also beneficiaries of China’s Belt and Road Initiative. While China aims to use BRICS for anti-Western geopolitical agendas, India favors focusing on South-South financial cooperation and reforming international institutions. Yet India seems to be not in favour of creating a new currency to replace the dollar which could obviously strengthen the South-South financial transactions bypassing the dollar.
Moreover, India has explicitly opposed the expansion of the bloc to include certain nations, such as Pakistan, indicating a desire to control the group’s agenda, especially during its presidency.
In this equation an important factor is the role that Russia could play. The opinion expressed by the Russian foreign minister in this regard may be significant. Referring to the new admissions the Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov has said: “The weight, prominence and importance of the candidates and their international standing were the primary factors for us [BRICS members]. It is our shared view that we must recruit like-minded countries into our ranks that believe in a multipolar world order and the need for more democracy and justice in international relations. We need those who champion a bigger role for the Global South in global governance. The six countries whose accession was announced today fully meet these criteria.”
The admission of three major oil producing countries, Saudi Arabia, Iran and UAE is bound to have a significant impact on the future global economic system and consequently may have positive implications for the Global South. These countries would have the ability to decisively help in creating a new international trading system to replace the 5 centuries old system that the West created to transfer wealth from the South to the North. This is so because the petro-dollar is the pillar of the western banking system and is at the very core of the de-dollarizing process that the BRICS is aiming at. This cannot be done without taking on board Saudi Arabia, a staunch ally of the west. BRICS’ expansion, therefore, is its transformation into the most representative community in the world, whose members interact with each other bypassing Western pressure. Saudi Arabia and Iran are actively mending fences, driven by a 2023 China-brokered deal to restore diplomatic ties, reopen embassies, and de-escalate regional tensions. While this detente has brought high-level meetings and a decrease in direct hostility rapprochement is not complete yet and there is hope which also has implications, positive for the South and may not be so for the North.
Though the US may not like what is going on, Europe, which may not endorse all that the former does if one is to go by the speech delivered by the Canadian PM in Brazil recently, may not be displeased about the rapid growth of BRICS. The Guardian UK highlighted expert opinion that BRICS expansion is rather “a symbol of broad support from the global South for the recalibration of the world order.” A top official at the Konrad Adenauer Foundation, Caroline Kanter has told the daily, “It is obvious that we [Western countries] are no longer able to set our own conditions and standards. Proposals will be expected from us so that in the future we will be perceived as an attractive partner.” At the same time, the bottom line is that BRICS expansion is perceived in the West as a political victory for Russia and China which augurs well for the future of BRICS and the Global South.
Poor countries, relentlessly battered by the neo-liberal global economy, will greatly benefit if BRICS succeeds in forging a new world order and usher in an era of self-sufficiency and economic independence. There is no hope for them in the present system designed to exploit their natural resources and keep them in a perpetual state of dependency and increasing poverty. BRICS is bound to be further strengthened if more countries from the South join it. Poor countries must come together and with the help of BRICS work towards this goal.
by N. A. de S. Amaratunga
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