Business
Good Intentions, Bad Economics
The Risks of Intervening in Small and Medium Enterprise Lending Decisions
In the past weeks, newspaper headlines have brought to the forefront a growing narrative that banks are prospering while SMEs are struggling. This outcome has largely been attributed to banks overlooking the impact of external shocks on SMEs and to the current lending frameworks that govern credit markets. Such headlines call for independent statutory mechanisms to probe the fairness of cases leading to credit enforcement. Whilst such concerns are understandable on moral and ethical grounds, urging for artificial interventions in credit markets risks promoting policies that undermine the very mechanisms that enable growth, particularly at a time when economic recovery is urgently needed.
Credit is an avenue available for SMEs to fund their current economic activity based on expected future outcomes. It can be used for investment, as working capital, and to smooth out cash flow volatility. Increased access to credit plays a critical role in stimulating aggregate demand and supporting businesses, especially during periods of recovery.
Many of these sources argue that SMEs were viable before being subject to repeated external shocks in the Sri Lankan economy, such as the Easter Sunday attacks, shutdowns as a result of the Covid-19 pandemic, the economic crisis, which led to the collapse of the currency, and extreme interest rate volatility, as well as repeated climate related disruptions (for instance Cyclone Ditwah). Thus, their inability to service loans has not been attributed to poor entrepreneurship but the repeated exposure to such events beyond their control. While this claim carries weight, calling for the intervention in market mechanisms that govern financial and credit markets could potentially have an effect of worsening the very problems such interventions aim to resolve.
This is because credit inherently involves an element of risk. Repayment is uncertain, and therefore default is always a possibility. Risk varies by borrower, sector, and timing. Credit exists precisely because uncertainty exists. As a result, lending decisions are based on expected cash flows, collateral, sector risk, and macroeconomic conditions. Moreover, exogenous shocks to the economy are systematically taken into consideration. Interest rates and parate execution laws, and asset recovery mechanisms exist to balance risk and return. The higher the risk, the higher the price of the loan. This is necessary because if loans fail, it is ultimately the depositors and by extension the financial system that is compromised. Painting banks as villainous actors can have the opposite of the intended effect. Laws are in place to regulate the conduct of financial institutions for the benefit of all.
Sri Lanka is currently emerging from one of its major economic crises, and therefore, in such a precarious environment, banks cannot simply ignore risk without threatening their own survival and, by extension, the stability of the nation’s financial system. As the Governor of the Central bank, Dr Nandalal Weerasinghe stated, “The banking system is the custodian of this money. If something happens to the system, the savings of the entire country could be lost”. He made these comments at a seminar held on the 20th of December at Kandy City Centre, which was aimed at educating the SMEs in the Central Province on the assistance available from state and private banks to rebuild businesses damaged by national disasters.
Financial Repression Theory, developed by McKinnon (1973) and Shaw (1973), argues that government intervention in financial markets hampers economic growth in developing countries. Government policies such as interest rate ceilings, interference with market pricing of risk and directed credit, distort credit allocation. In this instance, interventions that are supported by such newspaper narratives risk reducing the pool of loanable funds in the market, thus reducing the amount of credit that is available for productive investment. This could also expand the informal sector in a country’s economy and increase illegal lending practices. Other potential drawbacks include an increase in financial exclusion, resulting in credible borrowers and first-time borrowers being unable to secure loan approvals, thus reducing both the quantity and quality of investment, ultimately stifling economic growth.
As the fourth pillar in a democratic society, a country’s media should definitely hold institutions accountable for malpractice. However, it should be noted that credit markets do not function on morality alone and that they function based on economic incentives. Framing one side as a villain in one’s narrative maybe rhetorically effective but when interventions in capital markets are encouraged, this opens the door to further distortions and in the long run, it is often the most vulnerable who bears the costs of these changes. Moreover, banks and financial institutions that are absorbing the risks of such ventures should not be discouraged, especially in the current context of an economy such as Sri Lanka that urgently needs investment-led economic growth. Therefore, we must ensure that public discourse supports and not undermines the delicate balance that credit markets depend upon.
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Business
Successful completion of consent solicitation, exchange and tender offer related to SriLankan Airlines’ bond restructuring
SriLankan Airlines Limited (the “Company”) and the Government of Sri Lanka (the “Government”) announce the expiration of the Consent Solicitation, Exchange and Tender Offer related to the Company’s U.S.$175,000,000 Guaranteed Bonds due June 2024, guaranteed by the Government (the “Existing Bonds”).
On 20 February 2026, the Company launched an official invitation to holders of the Existing Bonds to tender and exchange their holdings for cash and the U.S.$-denominated 4.00% amortizing PDI bonds due 2028 issued by the Government (the “New Republic Bonds”), pursuant to the agreement in principle reached on 20 November 2025 with the members of the Ad Hoc Group of Bondholders – together holding approximately 55% of the aggregate outstanding amount of the Existing Bonds.
Following the expiration of the offer period, the Company and the Government are delighted to report a very high level of participation of over 99% of the total outstanding amount of the Existing Bonds. Bondholders representing more than 97% of the outstanding amount voted in favour, resulting in all Existing Bonds being tendered and exchanged on the settlement date.
Mr. Sarath Ganegoda, the Company’s Chairman, reacted to the results stating: “We are sincerely appreciative of the bondholders’ strong participation. The overall transaction results in a 16% haircut on the outstanding claim, and its successful completion marks a significant step forward that allows us to focus on the future of the Company with renewed optimism. As the flag carrier of our island nation, this important progress toward financial recovery will further strengthen our ability to support Sri Lanka’s economic prosperity.”
Dr. Harshana Suriyapperuma, Secretary to the Treasury at the Ministry of Finance, issued the following statement: “The successful completion of this transaction paves the way for the full normalization of our relations with our external partners. Having now successfully concluded restructuring agreements covering 99% of our public external debt, we extend our sincere appreciation to all stakeholders who supported Sri Lanka throughout this process. This achievement strengthens our position as we pursue our efforts to improve our credit rating.”
The settlement of the exchange and tender offer is intended to take place on 20 March 2026, subject to the relevant settlement conditions being satisfied.
Any questions related to this transaction can be directed to the Information, Tender, Tabulation and Exchange Agent for this transaction, Sodali & Co Limited
Email: srilankanairlines@investor.sodali.com
Transaction Website: https://projects.sodali.com/srilankanairlines
Business
The unlocked potential of ageing and Silver Economy in Sri Lanka
With over 18% already aged 60 and above—and one in four projected to be 60 or older by 2041—the Sri Lankan population is rapidly ageing. IF harnessed effectively, the elderly population and the related Silver Economy have great potential to contribute to Sri Lanka’s economy. This blog analysis shows the challenges and the possibilities for Sri Lanka to reap demographic dividends by unlocking the potential of the ageing population and the related Silver Economy.
Demographic Dividend and Silver Economy
Although population ageing poses challenges such as slower growth and increased fiscal pressures, healthier ageing trends offer a silver lining by boosting labour force participation, extending working lives, and enhancing productivity. Population ageing becomes a demographic dividend when the older population is considered an economic asset, rather than a social burden, and the potential of the change in the age structure is harnessed to accelerate economic growth. This involves creating employment and other economic opportunities, products, and services required by the elderly.
The Silver Economy refers to the economic opportunities associated with the growing public and consumer expenditure related to population ageing and the specific needs of the 50+ population. It is the system of production, distribution, and consumption of goods and services, targeting older adults, who are recognised as active economic agents with spending power, life experience, and growing demographic significance.
Changing Population Dynamics
To trigger a demographic dividend, this older population requires accumulated savings and investments to finance consumption during their retirement. However, the status quo of the elderly in Sri Lanka is mostly gloomy. In recent years, 49% of 55-64 year old cohorts were economically inactive, while the labour force participation rate for males and females were 36% and 11%, respectively. This suggests limited interest, capacity, and/or employment options. For instance, the retirement age of 60 years restricts formal employment opportunities for the elderly. Hence, a majority of older workers are employed in the informal sector, which underutilises their skills and underemploys them. Similarly, the elderly have limited options for part-time and flexible work, and are dissatisfied with participating in work. With the current average life expectancy of 75.5 years, they face about 15 years of post-retirement life with limited income and employment opportunities.
Additionally, only 31% of those above retirement age received a pension in recent years. Over three-quarters of retired persons were net dependants, and 91.7% did not receive any income from savings. Among those with savings such as the Employees’ Provident Fund (EPF), most spent their EPF without saving or investing for later life. Estimates suggest that by 2030, the economic old-age dependency ratio in Sri Lanka will reach 29.2%. Moreover, the 65+ years population had the highest multidimensional poverty headcount ratio (17.9%) in 2019. The age group of 36-64 years, including those who will be 60+ years in 2037, had a multidimensional poverty headcount ratio of 16%. With the worsening of overall poverty in the post-crisis setting, Sri Lanka’s older population is likely to be more vulnerable now.
Looming Care Crisis
Moreover, there is a growing care deficit – a gap in demand and availability of caregivers, for the ageing population. Around 76% of 65+ years population live with children, which is projected to decline over time with the emerging cultural and social shift from home-based care towards institutional care. Three-generation households are projected to decline from 19% in 2012 to 5% by 2060. The decreased availability of family care due to smaller family sizes and growing female employment will increase demand for commercial care. Yet, as discussed, most elderly people will not have the financial capacity to seek commercial care. At the same time, the elder care sector in Sri Lanka is polarised. On the one hand, there is an excess demand for the limited number of state-run elder care institutions—often of relatively low quality, while fee-based facilities remain unaffordable for the average elderly. Hence, the less-affluent middle-class elderly have virtually no options for institutional care. On the other hand, formal and professional home-based care is costly, while lower-cost options are informal and ad hoc. Moreover, free adult day care centres are limited and often target low-income elders, with almost no paid day-care options for other income groups. Across all care options, there is an acute deficit in both formal and informal care workers. Projections indicate a 149,076 deficit of long-term care workers by 2037.
Silver Economic Strategic Plan
Therefore, without timely strategic action, the ageing population would become a burden to the Sri Lankan society and increase government expenditure on health and other care, pensions, and social protection. The potential demographic dividend would instead become a drag on the economy.
The global approach to reap a demographic dividend includes policies supporting healthy ageing, increasing labour force participation among older individuals, and closing gender gaps in the workforce, to boost growth and rebuild fiscal buffers amid demographic headwinds. In the case of Sri Lanka, targeted strategies are needed urgently to facilitate the elderly to accumulate savings and investments to finance their post-retirement consumption. Similarly, it is important that Sri Lanka creates an ecosystem of affordable products and services for healthy, productive, and dignified lives for this demographic group.
To achieve this, Sri Lanka should focus on two strategic areas:
Prioritise the extension of economic opportunities into later life. This includes employment opportunities, such as phased retirement, flexible working arrangements, part-time work, and work-from-home arrangements targeted at older workers, to engage them in productive economic activities for a longer period. Such activities include adopting an age-friendly certification for businesses and employers to ensure businesses are welcoming, accessible, and responsive to older workers and clients. Another is to increase the minimum retirement age in the formal sector beyond 60 years of age. Moreover, increasing awareness on saving and investing for retirement and expanding related options—such as scaling up coverage of private life insurance and state-led contributory pension schemes—are essential.
Expand care options to not only protect the elderly but also create economic opportunities. This includes scaling up both free and fee-based elder care facilities to cater to all income types across both living-in and day-care options. Another is providing incentives, such as tax breaks or land, for the private sector to invest in care facilities and tie these to subsidised services for low-income elders. Additionally, existing infrastructure and systems, such as Development Officers at the Divisional Secretariats and local government community centres, could be harnessed to provide community-based care. Similarly, establishing and protecting the rights of elder care workers, providing formal Recognition of Prior Learning and certifying their skills would help attract and retain care workers.
By Dr Bilesha Weeraratne,
Research Fellow and Head of Migration and Urbanisation Policy Research at the Institute of Policy Studies of Sri Lanka
Business
ComBank becomes patron of two working groups of UNGC Network Sri Lanka
The Commercial Bank of Ceylon has taken a leadership role in advancing key sustainability priorities of the United Nations Global Compact Network Sri Lanka by becoming a Patron of Network Sri Lanka’s ‘Diversity & Inclusion’ and ‘Water & Ocean Stewardship’ Working Groups.
The Bank formalised this landmark commitment through the signing of a two-year Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) between Commercial Bank and UN Global Compact Network Sri Lanka, establishing the Bank’s patronage of the two Working Groups and its role in guiding initiatives that promote sustainable water management and inclusive business practices.
Commercial Bank will provide leadership and advocacy to advance the objectives of the Diversity & Inclusion and Water & Ocean Stewardship Working Groups. The Bank will collaborate with the Network to organise events, facilitate dialogue and partnerships, and encourage greater participation by companies seeking to strengthen their environmental, social and governance (ESG) practices. The engagement will also focus on initiatives that accelerate progress towards the Ten Principles of the UN Global Compact and the UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), particularly in the areas of sustainable water management, ocean stewardship, gender equality and inclusive economic participation.
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