Business
2024 global credit outlook is driven by four key themes: Fitch Ratings
The 2024 global credit outlook is driven by four key themes, Fitch Ratings says in a new report. The first is a continued feedthrough of sustained higher interest rates on demand, liquidity, funding and asset quality. Second, an expected sharp slowdown of the US economy. Third is global asset-quality deterioration. Finally, heightened financial market and cross-asset tail risks from potential liquidity events, elevated leverage and geopolitics.
We expect global macroeconomic growth to slow in 2024 as the monetary transmission to the real economy in the US takes greater effect, the property crisis weighs on consumption and investment in China, and European growth only marginally improves. This general macroeconomic deceleration, combined with elevated interest rates underscores what will continue to be a challenging environment for global credit. Our base case includes a monetary policy pivot in the US and eurozone in 2H24, but with policy rates only being cut to 4.75% and 3.75%, respectively.
Credit pressures will be disproportionately felt by leveraged issuers at the lower end of the rating spectrum. We expect leveraged loan and high-yield default rates to rise and lower-rated emerging market sovereigns are likely to see further defaults. Most structured finance asset performance outlooks are deteriorating and over a third of sectors (weighted by size of issuance) have deteriorating 2024 sector outlooks.
Despite the persistent challenging macro-credit environment, the outlook for ratings at the portfolio level has improved. The net Outlook balance has risen for the third consecutive year for both investment-grade and sub-investment-grade credit. Structured finance is a good example, where there is a divergence between our expectation for continued deterioration in asset performance and ratings resilience, with most of the portfolio on Stable Outlook.
Business
Sri Lanka betting its tourism future on cold, hard numbers
National Airport Exit Survey tells quite a story
Australia’s role here is strategic, not charitable
In a quiet but significant shift, Sri Lanka’s tourism sector is moving beyond traditional destination marketing and instinct-based planning. The recent launch of the “From Data to Decisions” initiative jointly backed by Australia’s Market Development Facility and the Sri Lanka Tourism Development Authority, sent an unambiguous message: sentiment is out, statistics are in.
The initiative is anchored by a 12-month National Airport Exit Survey, a trove of data covering 16,000 travellers. The findings sketch a new traveller profile: nearly half are young (20–35), independent, and book online. Galle, Ella, and Sigiriya are the hotspots; women travellers outnumber men; and a promising 45% plan to return. This isn’t just trivia. It’s a strategic blueprint. If Sri Lanka Tourism listens, it can tailor everything from infrastructure to marketing, moving from guesswork to precision.
The keynote speaker, Deputy Minister Prof. Ruwan Ranasinghe called data “a vital pillar of tourism transformation.” Yet the unspoken truth is that Sri Lanka has long relied on generic appeals -beaches, heritage, smiles. In today’s crowded market, that’s no longer enough. As SLTDA Chairman Buddhika Hewawasam noted, this partnership is about “elevating how we collect, analyse, and use data.”
Australia’s role here is strategic, not charitable. By funding research and advocating for a Tourism Satellite Account, it is helping Sri Lanka build a tourism sector that is both sustainable and measurable. Australian High Commissioner Matthew Duckworth linked this support to “global standards of environmental protection” – a clear nod to the growing demand for green travel. This isn’t just aid; it’s influence through insight.
“The real test lies ahead,” a tourism expert told The Island. “Data is only as good as the decisions it drives. Will these insights overcome bureaucratic inertia? Will marketing budgets actually follow the evidence toward younger, independent, female travellers?,” he asked.
“The comprehensive report promised for early 2026 must move swiftly from recommendation to action. In an era where destinations are discovered on Instagram and planned with algorithms, intuition alone is a high-stakes gamble. This forum made one thing clear: Sri Lanka is finally building its future on what visitors actually do – not just what we hope they’ll do. The numbers are in. Now, the industry must dare to follow them,” he said.
By Sanath Nanayakkare
Business
New ATA Chair champions Asia’s small tea farmers, unveils ambitious agenda
In his inaugural address as the new Chairman of the Asia Tea Alliance (ATA), Nimal Udugampola placed the region’s millions of smallholders at the core of the global tea industry’s future, asserting they are the “indispensable engine” of a sector that produces over 90% of the world’s tea.
Udugampola, who is also Chairman of Sri Lanka’s Tea Smallholdings Development Authority, used his speech at the 6th ATA Summit held in Colombo on Nov. 27 to declare that the prosperity of Asian tea is “entirely contingent” on the resilience of its small-scale farmers, who have historically been overlooked by premium global markets.
“In Sri Lanka, smallholders account for over 75% of our national production. Across Asia, millions of families maintain the quality and character of our regional teas,” he stated, accepting the chairmanship for the 2025-2027 term.
To empower this vital community, Udugampola unveiled a vision focused on Sustainability, Equity, and Digital Transformation. The strategic agenda includes:
Climate Resilience: Promoting climate-smart agriculture and regenerative farming to protect smallholdings from environmental disruption.
Digital Equity: Leveraging technology like blockchain to create farm-to-cup traceability, connecting smallholders directly with premium consumers and ensuring fair value.
Market Expansion: Driving innovation in tea products and marketing to attract younger consumers and enter non-traditional markets.
Standard Harmonization: Establishing common regional quality and sustainability standards to protect the “Asian Tea” brand and push for stable, fair pricing.
Linking the alliance’s goals to national ambition, Udugampola highlighted Sri Lanka’s target of producing 400 million kilograms of tea by 2030. He presented the country’s “Pivithuru Tea Initiative” as a model for other ATA nations, designed to achieve this through smallholder empowerment, digitalization, and aligned policy objectives.
By Sanath Nanayakkare
Business
Brandix recognised as Green Brand of Year at SLIM Awards 2025
Brandix Apparel Solutions was recognised as the Green Brand of the Year at the Sri Lanka Institute of Marketing (SLIM) Brand Excellence Awards 2025, taking home Silver, the highest award presented in the category this year.
The ‘Green Brand of the Year’ recognises the brand that drives measurable environmental impact through sustainable practices, climate-aligned goals and long-term commitment to protecting natural resources.
A pioneer in responsible apparel manufacturing for over two decades, Brandix has championed best practices in the sphere of sustainable manufacturing covering environmental, social, and governance aspects. The company built the world’s first Net Zero Carbon-certified apparel manufacturing facility (across Scope 1 and Scope 2) and meets over 60% of its energy requirement in Sri Lanka via renewable sources.
Head of ESG at Brandix, Nirmal Perera, said: “Being recognised as Green Brand of the Year is an encouraging milestone for our teams working across sustainability.”
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