Business

CBSL continues accommodative monetary policy stance

Published

6 years ago

2020/10/23

Monetary Policy Review: October 2020

The Monetary Board of the Central Bank of Sri Lanka, at its meeting held on 21 October 2020, decided to maintain the Standing Deposit Facility Rate (SDFR) and the Standing Lending Facility Rate (SLFR) of the Central Bank at their current levels of 4.50 per cent and 5.50 per cent, respectively, thereby continuing the prevailing accommodative monetary policy stance.

The Board noted the decline in overall market lending rates, following the unprecedented monetary easing measures taken by the Central Bank thus far during the year, and expects the broadbased downward adjustment in market lending rates to continue, thereby ensuring affordable credit flows to productive sectors of the economy in the prevailing low inflation environment.

Global monetary policy continues to remain accommodative as global growth prospects remain bleak with the resurgence of COVID-19 in many parts of the world

The global economy, as per the World Economic Outlook (WEO) of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) released in October 2020, is projected to contract by 4.4 per cent in 2020. The outlook for growth in 2020 is less severe than the IMF’s previous forecast, supported by large scale policy stimuli implemented worldwide. However, the recent surge in COVID-19 cases globally has prompted several countries to reimpose lockdowns, which may dampen global growth prospects.

Against this background, most central banks across the globe are expected to continue their accommodative monetary policy stance in the foreseeable future.

The Sri Lankan economy is expected to move along a faster recovery path, despite the latest surge in COVID-19 cases locally that could hamper near term growth prospects.

The release of GDP estimates for the second quarter of 2020 by the Department of Census and Statistics (DCS) has been delayed. It is likely that the second quarter of 2020 has recorded a greater contraction than in the first quarter, followed by a recovery in the third quarter of the year. However, as per the DCS, the unemployment rate, which was estimated at 5.7 per cent in the first quarter of 2020, has declined to 5.4 per cent in the second quarter. The level of employment has also remained broadly unchanged in the second quarter compared to the large decline reported for the first quarter. These suggest that economic activity has remained without much deterioration in the second quarter. Other developments observed in leading indicators and high frequency data since the relaxation of the countrywide lockdown measures suggest that Sri Lanka is on a path towards economic revival. The unexpected COVID-19 cluster that has emerged recently could somewhat affect this momentum in the near term, but the expeditious measures that are being taken by the government to contain the spread could limit this impact.

External sector remains resilient with improved liquidity in the foreign exchange market

Better than expected outcomes in the external sector, as reflected by the incoming data, are indicative of the resilience of the external sector amidst growing worldwide uncertainties triggered by the outbreak of COVID-19. Alongside the improvement in earnings from merchandise exports, restrictions imposed on the importation of non-essential goods and low crude oil prices helped narrow the trade deficit substantially during the nine months ending September 2020. Services exports, excluding the tourism sector, continued to record a healthy growth led by computer and logistic services related activities. Workers’ remittances continued to record a notable acceleration since June 2020. In the meantime, Sri Lanka successfully settled the International Sovereign Bond (ISB) of US dollars 1 billion matured in early October 2020, continuing the unblemished record on debt servicing. The exchange rate remained stable and the depreciation of the Sri Lankan rupee against the US dollar is limited to 1.5 per cent thus far during the year. In this background, the Central Bank continued to purchase a sizeable volume of foreign exchange from the domestic market. Gross official reserves were estimated at US dollars 6.7 billion at end September 2020, which provided an import cover of 4.6 months.

Inflation is expected to remain within the desired range

Headline inflation, based on the Colombo Consumer Price Index (CCPI), decelerated in September 2020, on a year-on-year basis, while there was some acceleration in the National Consumer Price Index (NCPI) based headline inflation due to the rise in food prices. Meanwhile, core inflation based on both CCPI and NCPI continued to remain low, reflecting subdued demand conditions. The recent increase in food prices is expected to be short-lived supported by domestic supply side developments as well as the recent reduction in prices of several essential goods. Accordingly, inflation is expected to remain broadly within the desired range of 4-6 per cent in the near term and over the medium term with appropriate policy measures.

Most market interest rates have declined, reflecting the impact of the measures taken by the Central Bank thus far during the year

In response to the monetary easing measures effected to bring down borrowing costs of businesses and households, both market deposit and lending rates adjusted notably so far during the year. The Average Weighted Prime Lending Rate (AWPR) declined to historic lows in recent weeks, while new lending rates also adjusted downward in line with the expectations of the Central Bank. The imposition of lending rate caps on selected financial products in August 2020 has also helped bring down the overall lending rates in the market. Further space remains for market lending rates to decline, particularly with the high level of excess liquidity in the money market, which is deposited with the Central Bank at the SDFR of 4.50 per cent at present.

Credit to the private sector picked up notably in August 2020 and the upward trend is expected to continue supported by low interest rates

Following the contractions recorded in the preceding three months, credit disbursed to the private sector expanded notably in August 2020, reflecting the impact of low lending rates as well as concessional credit schemes. The expansion of credit to the private sector is expected to continue in the period ahead, despite the recent rise in COVID-19 infections, which is expected to be short-lived. Meanwhile, the overall domestic credit continued to expand sharply driven by the substantial increase in credit to the public sector. Accordingly, the growth of broad money further accelerated in August 2020.

Policy rates maintained at current levels

In consideration of the current and expected macroeconomic developments highlighted above, the Monetary Board, at its meeting held on 21 October 2020, was of the view that the current accommodative monetary policy stance is appropriate. Accordingly, the Board decided to maintain the Standing Deposit Facility Rate (SDFR) and the Standing Lending Facility Rate (SLFR) of the Central Bank at their current levels of 4.50 per cent and 5.50 per cent, respectively. The Central Bank will continue to monitor domestic and global macroeconomic and financial market developments and take further measures appropriately to ensure that the economy promptly reverts to a sustained high real GDP growth path, while maintaining inflation in the 4-6 per cent range under its flexible inflation targeting framework.

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Business

Sri Lanka educates women but keeps many out of work, ADB warns

Published

11 hours ago

2026/06/5

Thilina Walpola

Shannon Cowlin - ADB Country Director for Sri Lanka

Sri Lanka has one of the most educated female populations in South Asia, yet only about one in three women participates in the labour force, making female workforce participation among the lowest in the region and leaving a significant source of economic growth untapped.

That paradox took centre stage at a knowledge forum organised by the Asian Development Bank (ADB) in Colombo on June 3, where government officials, labour authorities, academics and private-sector leaders examined the deep-rooted barriers preventing women from fully participating in the economy and explored reforms needed to unlock their economic potential.

Opening the event, ADB Country Director for Sri Lanka Shannon Cowlin said the issue extends beyond gender equality and has become a critical economic challenge for a country seeking sustained growth and inclusive development.

“Empowering women to participate fully in the labour force is not only a matter of equality; it is essential for inclusive economic growth and poverty reduction in Sri Lanka,” she said.

The forum, held under ADB’s Serendipity Knowledge Programme (SKOP), focused on findings from a recent ADB-supported study exploring the factors behind Sri Lanka’s persistently low female labour force participation.

Cowlin noted that despite notable progress in education and human development, Sri Lanka continues to lag behind on measures of gender equality and women’s economic participation. She said multiple studies have shown that the factors shaping women’s labour force participation are layered, interconnected and multidimensional.

According to the study, many women remain concentrated in informal, low-paid and insecure employment with limited access to social protection and few opportunities for career advancement. Social and cultural expectations continue to place primary caregiving responsibilities on women, often restricting their ability to pursue careers or remain in full-time employment.

The lack of affordable childcare services, unequal access to digital skills and technology, concerns over workplace safety, sexual harassment and inadequate transport options were identified as major obstacles preventing women from entering or remaining in the workforce.

“These are complex challenges that require action from all stakeholders – government, development partners, the private sector, civil society and academia,” Cowlin said.

She stressed that improving women’s labour force participation would require more than isolated policy interventions, calling instead for structural transformation, stronger infrastructure and care services, progressive workplace practices and broader societal changes that improve women’s mobility, safety and economic agency.

The event featured a presentation by Professor Dileni Gunawardena of the University of Peradeniya, who shared findings from ADB’s study on female labour force participation, followed by a panel discussion involving representatives from the International Labour Organisation, the Department of Labour, MAS Holdings and John Keells Holdings.

Panelists discussed measures to improve the enabling environment for women, including greater investment in the care economy, expanded childcare facilities, enhanced skills development, creating safe, supportive workplaces and career pathways for upward mobility.

Participants agreed that increasing women’s participation in the workforce is not merely ‘a nice to have’ but an economic necessity, particularly as Sri Lanka seeks to accelerate recovery, boost productivity and achieve more inclusive growth.

The ADB said Sri Lanka’s economic recovery presents a unique opportunity to address long-standing structural barriers facing women and to build a more inclusive labour market that fully utilises the country’s human capital.

By Sanath Nanayakkare

Business

ComBank offers exclusive financial solutions to the ‘Guardians of the Skies’

Published

11 hours ago

2026/06/5

Thilina Walpola

Hasrath Munasinghe, Chief Operating Officer of Commercial Bank and Air Vice Marshal Rajinth Jayawardena, Director General Welfare of the SLAF exchange the agreement in the presence of representatives of the two organisations.

Reinforcing its commitment to those who serve the nation, the Commercial Bank of Ceylon has entered into a Memorandum of Understanding with the Sri Lanka Air Force (SLAF) to introduce a comprehensive suite of concessionary financial facilities for its officers and other ranks.

The partnership, unveiled in a year that marks the 75th anniversary of the Air Force, which was founded in March 1951 as the Royal Ceylon Air Force, reflects a shared recognition of the critical role played by the SLAF as the steadfast ‘Guardians of the skies,’ entrusted with safeguarding the country’s security and sovereignty.

Under the terms of the agreement, Commercial Bank will extend a range of specially tailored financial products to SLAF personnel, including personal loans, leasing facilities, housing loans and credit cards. These facilities will be offered at concessionary interest rates, alongside concessions on documentation charges, enabling Air Force personnel to access financial support on more favourable terms.

The Bank said the initiative is part of its continuing efforts to deliver best-in-class lending solutions that are both accessible and responsive to the diverse needs of its customers. By offering attractive and affordable repayment structures, the scheme is designed to empower SLAF officers and other ranks to meet their personal financial requirements with greater ease and flexibility.

A key feature of the programme is the ability for beneficiaries to align repayments with their income patterns, ensuring that the facilities remain practical and sustainable over the long term. This flexibility, combined with preferential pricing, is expected to make a meaningful difference to the financial wellbeing of Air Force personnel and their families.

Business

Treasury Bill rate hike compounds stock market volatility

Published

11 hours ago

2026/06/5

Thilina Walpola

The CSE was extremely volatile yesterday mainly due to external and internal negative factors.

‘The escalation of the war situation in West Asia and the proposed tariff hike on Sri Lanka’s exports to the US by the Trump administration are worsening Sri Lanka’s economic woes. Further, the government’s decision to increase the Treasury Bill rate has also created some uncertainty in the market, stock analysts said.

The All Share Price Index was up by 249.83 points, while the S and P SL20 rose by 67.61 points. Turnover stood at Rs 2.79 billion with 11 crossings.

Companies that mainly contributed to the turnover by way of crossings were: Chevron Lubricants 1.5 million shares crossed to the tune of Rs 294 million and its shares traded at Rs 196, TJ Lanka 2.9 million shares crossed for Rs 90.8 million; its shares traded at Rs 31, Citizens Development Business Finance 2.5 million shares crossed to the tune of Rs 80.2 million; its shares traded at Rs 32.50.

ACL Cables 634,248 shares crossed for Rs 60.9 million; its shares traded at Rs 96, CCS 438,000 shares crossed to the tune of Rs 57.4 million; its shares traded at Rs 131, Overseas Realties 991,500 shares crossed for Rs 49.6 million; its shares traded at Rs 50 and Access Engineering 653,000 shares crossed to the tune of Rs 49.3 million; its shares sold at Rs 75.50.

In the retail market companies that mainly contributed to the turnover were; Dialog Rs 133 million (3.2 million shares traded), Seylan Bank (Non-Voting) Rs 110 million (1.7 million shares traded), Colombo Dockyard Rs 96.8 million (751,548 shares traded), Ceylinco Holdings (Non-Voting) Rs 77.5 million (516,000 shares traded), Sampath Bank Rs 74.2 million (530,000 shares traded), JKH Rs 74 million (3.7 million shares traded) and LMF Rs 65 million (781,000 shares traded). During the day 123 million share volumes changed hands in 26272 transactions.

It is said that the manufacturing sector, especially Chevron Lubricants and several other firms performed well, while the banking and financial sector performed too.

Yesterday the rupee was quoted flat at Rs 334.50/335.50 to the US dollar in the spot market on, unchanged from the previous day’s close, dealers said, while bond yields were broadly steady.

The telegraphic transfer rate for Sri Lanka’s rupee against the US dollar was Rs 330.50 buying, Rs 339.50 selling; euro was Rs 381.1884 selling, Rs 395.1054 buying; and the pound Rs 442.6620 buying Rs 456.7076 selling.

A bond maturing on 01.08.2030 was quoted at 12.12/20 percent, down from 12.15.25 percent.

A bond maturing on 15.06.2034 was quoted at 13.12/20 percent, down from 13.15/25 percent.

A bond maturing on 15.03.2035 was quoted flat at 13.15/25 percent.

By Hiran H Senewiratne