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Sri Lanka’s low and middle income households hit harder by stubborn non-food inflation

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Monthly change of the National Consumer Price Index recorded at 0.36 per cent in March 2023 mainly due to price increases observed in items of the non-food category which amounted to 1.30 per cent

by Sanath Nanayakkare

As per the basket of goods and services tracked by the Statistics Department of the Central Bank of Sri Lanka, a downturn in the prices of food has helped inflation to drop over the past few months. But stubborn price increases in the non-food category are still marking an upward trend and it has hit harder on Sri Lanka’s working-class households.In such circumstances and with no growth of nominal wages, the purchasing capacity of the squeezed working-class has eroded.

According to Weekly Economic Indicators of the Central Bank, The food inflation recorded at 42.3 per cent, while the non-food inflation recorded at 54.9 per cent in March 2023. Monthly change of the NCPI recorded at 0.36 per cent in March 2023 mainly due to price increases observed in items of the non-food category, which amounted to 1.30 per cent.

“Consumer confidence in Sri Lanka saw significant improvement last month despite pessimistic sentiment overall, suggesting the agreement with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) had lifted perceptions. However, the current decline in business activity seems to be mainly driven by increases in non-food category and companies suspending salary or wage increases due to financial constraints,” a business analyst told The Island Financial Review on condition of anonymity.

“On the one hand, the government must avoid any additional costs on business as it will jeopardise retailers’ ability to keep prices affordable throughout this cost-of-living crisis. On the other hand, companies mustn’t exploit Inflation to pad their bottom line. More often than not, it looks as if many companies are raising prices more by choice than necessity,” he said.

When asked what the improved Purchasing Managers’ Indices released by the Central Bank for Manufacturing and Services activities In March 2023 and the appreciation of Sri Lanka rupee against the US dollar by 13.1 per cent during the year up to 21st April 2023 would mean for ordinary consumer’s purchasing power, he said,” Those are positive macroeconomic indicators, but they have little impact on working class consumer power. Consumer prices reflect changes in producer prices, taxes, high interest rates etc. When all that combines with a wage freeze for an unforeseeable period of time, it kills the purchasing power of the working-class. Non-food items cannot be classified as non-essential commodities or services. How could one say clothing, footwear, telecom, medicine, healthcare, household items, tuition etc. are non-essential? That doesn’t make sense,” he said.



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Manufacturing and Services expand in Nov. 2024

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Sri Lanka Purchasing Managers’ Index for Manufacturing (PMI – Manufacturing) recorded an index value of 53.3 in November 2024. This indicates an expansion in manufacturing activities on a month-on-month basis, with positive contributions from all the sub-indices.

New Orders sub-index expanded during the month, primarily driven by the textile & wearing apparel sector. Further, the expansion in Production sub-index was mainly attributable to the food & beverages sector. Moreover, Employment and Stock of Purchases sub-indices remained expanded during the month, aligning with the New Orders and Production sub-indices. Meanwhile, Suppliers’ Delivery Time remained lengthened during the month.

The outlook for manufacturing activities for the next three months remains positive. However, some manufacturers, especially in the food sector, are concerned about the limited supply of several key raw materials.

Sri Lanka Purchasing Managers’ Index for Services (PMI – Services) indicated a further expansion in services activities in November 2024 as reflected by the Business Activity Index, which recorded an index value of 60.5.

The expansion in Business Activities was driven by the improvements observed across most of the sectors. Accordingly, business activities in the financial services experienced a significant improvement amid increased lending activities. Further, business activities in accommodation, food and beverage also showed a considerable improvement due to the increase in tourist arrivals. Meanwhile, wholesale and retail trade business activities also increased ahead of the festive season, despite the adverse impact of unfavourable weather on sales.

New Businesses increased in November 2024, primarily due to considerable expansions in the financial services and accommodation, food and beverage activities.

Employment increased amid recruitments made to accommodate growing economic activities with increased tourist arrivals and festive season, whereas Backlogs of Work continued to decline in November 2024.

Expectations for Business Activities for the following three months continued to improve, at a higher rate, driven by the ongoing tourist season and the upcoming festive season.

Questionnaires are completed in the first half of the succeeding month. For each variable, respondents are asked to report an increase, decrease or no change compared with the previous month, and to provide reasons for any changes. The index compilation and interpretation of indices follow the survey methodology of S&P Global.

PMI – Manufacturing, which is considered as the headline index for Manufacturing, is a weighted average of New Orders, Output, Employment, Suppliers’ Delivery Time and Stocks of Purchases.

The Services Business Activity Index is the headline index for Services, which is referred to as the PMI – Services, as per the international best practices. The Services Business Activity Index is comparable to the Manufacturing Production Index.

The Index

PMI is calculated as a ‘Diffusion Index’, where it takes values between 0 and 100. PMI=50 – sector remained neutral on month-on-month basis PMI>50 – sector is generally expanding on month-on-month basis PMI<50 – sector is generally declining on month-on-month basis

Sample

The sampling frame was based on a list of large companies located in the Western province obtained from the EPF Department. Samples for Manufacturing and Services activities were selected based on the GDP sectoral share, with a target of 100 responses for each.

Definitions of Variables

Employment : Number of staff working for the organization Stock of purchases : Raw materials purchased and kept in a warehouse to be used for production Supplier Delivery Time : Time lag between order placement and delivery by the supplier Backlogs of Work : Uncompleted orders Other variables are self-explanatory.

(CBASL)

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Design in the Moment: Furniture by the Geoffrey Bawa Practice opens in Colombo

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The late Sri Lankan architect Geoffrey Bawa (1919-2003) was known primarily for his architecture, but he also created a series of contemporary furniture designs throughout his five-decade practice. With regards to this custom built furniture, he was known to say “We did what was thought to be right in that moment.”

This “moment” is the culmination of political, economic, and social circumstances that shaped the Sri Lankan context within which Bawa worked: one of a closed economy, restricted imports, and a consequential reliance on locally-available materials. The Geoffrey Bawa practice produced a number of furniture designs as a result, namely lamps and chairs. Bawa and his associates worked with local craftspeople across disciplines and frequent collaborators to produce pieces embodying this innovative spirit, drawing inspiration from prevalent styles of the time.

An exhibition focusing on these designs and their role in the wider context of Bawa’s practice is now open in Colombo. Design in the Moment: Furniture by the Geoffrey Bawa Practice closely examines the histories and context of Bawa’s furniture designs and considers how they can be meaningful for contemporary use. This exhibition is a collaborative effort by the Geoffrey Bawa Trust and India-based furniture company Phantom Hands. Curated by architect and Chairperson of the Geoffrey Bawa Trust Channa Daswatte and Phantom Hands co-founder Aparna Rao, the exhibition interrogates the idea and process of reproduction through furniture designs, including the “Next-Door Café” Chair and the Saddle Chair. Phantom Hands’ Geoffrey Bawa Collection, a furniture collection offering re-editions of these designs and others from the architect’s practice, launched alongside the exhibition and will be available for purchase in 2025.

Design in the Moment: Furniture by the Geoffrey Bawa Practice will be on view at the newly-opened Geoffrey Bawa Space on 42/1 Horton Place, Colombo 07, between 13th December, 2024 and 31st May, 2025. The Geoffrey Bawa Space is open Wednesday through Sunday between 12 p.m. and 6:00 p.m. except major holidays. A series of curatorial tours and public programming will take place throughout the duration of the exhibition. More information is available on geoffreybawa.com and phantomhands.in.

Phantom Hands

Phantom Hands is a craft and design driven furniture maker based in Bangalore, India. Founded in 2014 by Aparna Rao and Deepak Srinath, their collections include re-editions of 20th century classics, as well as contemporary objects created in collaboration with acclaimed furniture and textile designers. Made by skilled artisans from traditional craft communities, Phantom Hands’ products are available globally via leading design galleries and furniture showrooms in Europe, North America, Asia and Australia.

Geoffrey Bawa Trust

The Geoffrey Bawa Trust is a non-profit organization with charitable status in Sri Lanka that was established in 1982 by the late architect, with the objectives of furthering the fields of Architecture, the Fine Arts and Ecological and Environmental Studies. Since the architect’s passing in 2003, the Trust has sustained year-round public programmes comprising lectures, educational tours, scholarships, residencies and exhibitions which engage broader discourse on the built environment and the arts in both Sri Lanka and overseas.

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ICMA Australia hosts 6th graduation ceremony honouring 225 newly Certified Management Accountants

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The Institute of Certified Management Accountants (ICMA) of Australia proudly celebrated the 6th Graduation Ceremony with 225 graduates receiving the prestigious Certified Management Accountant (Australia) designation.

Over 30 students from Bangladesh and India also received their degrees at the graduation ceremony. The ceremony took place at the Grand Ballroom, Hotel Galadari, Colombo, recently.

Professor Janek Ratnatunga, Global CEO, ICMA Australia, chaired the ceremony. The Australian High Commissioner to Sri Lanka and Maldives, Paul Stephens, attended as the Chief Guest, alongside Guest of Honour David Pine, New Zealand’s High Commissioner to Sri Lanka.

He stated, “Today marks an important milestone as we welcome 225 new Certified Management Accountants into our global community. The achievement of the new graduates reflects academic excellence and commitment to advancing the field of management accounting. The graduation of these professionals, including those from Bangladesh and India, demonstrates ICMA Australia’s expanding influence across Asia. In today’s dynamic business environment, the graduates are well-equipped to provide vital strategic financial leadership for corporates to navigate complex economic networks.”

At the ceremony, outstanding graduates were recognized with gold medals for their exceptional performance in the ICMA examinations. Furthermore, special appreciation plaques were presented to CMA (Australia) Executive Council Members for their dedicated service and continued support in strengthening ICMA Australia’s presence in Sri Lanka.

Additionally, three distinguished leaders from Sri Lanka’s banking and business sector were also inducted as Foundation Members of the Institute of Certified Management Accountants including J Durairatnam, Chairman, DFCC Bank PLC, Bingumal Thewarathanthri, CEO, Standard Chartered Bank and Nihal Jayawardene PC, Chairman, Hatton National Bank PLC

Established in 1996 in Australia, ICMA is a global accounting body dedicated to advancing management accounting expertise. With a growing presence across Asia-Pacific, the Middle East, and Africa, ICMA’s educational modules are recognized up to Level 9 by the New Zealand Qualification Agency (NZQA).

ICMA has established a strong presence in Sri Lanka since 1998, through a partnership with the Institute of Chartered Accountants of Sri Lanka. The Academy of Finance became its exclusive partner in 2006, making Sri Lanka the global hub for the Graduate Conversion Programme, under the leadership of Mr. Kapila Dodamgoda.

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