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NPP’s Strategy: Securing better deal with IMF, but no exit – AKD

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Anura

By Rathindra Kuruwita

The National People’s Power (NPP) intended to secure a better deal with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) regarding the debt sustainability analyses (DSAs). However, if the renegotiation process dragged on or proved costly, the party would adhere to the existing DSA, NPP presidential candidate Anura Kumara Dissanayake said on Monday (16) during an Ada Derana political programme.

Dissanayake highlighted three salient points the NPP was planning to address. The first concern was increasing spending on social welfare. The IMF had set several parameters for Sri Lanka to achieve such as raising tax revenue to 15 percent of GDP, maintaining a primary surplus of 2.3 percent of GDP from 2025, and reducing the public debt-to-GDP ratio to below 95 percent by 2032.

“We are not opposed to economic targets,” Dissanayake said. “But while striving to meet these objectives, our small and medium enterprises collapsed, and living standards declined. We must consider the social impact of pursuing economic goals. We need to engage the IMF about social spending.”

He emphasised that only the NPP had openly declared that participation in rallies or canvassing for the party did not qualify one for government jobs or state subsidies. “We can say this because those working with us are motivated by social objectives rather than personal gain. When I mentioned tax cuts, many asked, ‘Can we afford this?’

People are no longer seeking subsidies; they want meaningful change,” he added.

The second issue the NPP seeks to discuss with the IMF, according to Dissanayake, is the proposed mechanisms to combat bribery and corruption. “We want to explain that laws and mechanisms alone are insufficient. Practical measures are needed to enforce these regulations, and we will require IMF assistance for that,” Dissanayake noted.

The NPP intended to negotiate with the IMF debt optimisation, questioning whether reducing the public debt-to-GDP ratio to below 95 percent by 2032 is an ideal target. “In Greece, this figure was adjusted after discussions with the IMF, and it’s crucial as debt restructuring negotiations rely on it. These are the three areas we are planning to discuss with the IMF,” he said.

Dissanayake also remarked that the DSA was formulated with inputs from Sri Lanka and questioned the accuracy of those contributions. He mentioned that Sri Lanka had already conducted negotiations with bilateral and commercial creditors based on the current DSA, setting the projected debt-to-GDP ratio at 95 percent by 2032. Agreements have been made with the Paris Club and Exim Bank.

“Some people wonder whether we would have to start from scratch if an alternative DSA is negotiated. We have an agreement on the policy framework with bilateral creditors, though not a final one. We believe there’s still room for quick negotiation, as there’s no final deal with ISB holders either,” Dissanayake explained.

He stressed that the IMF was concerned not only with Sri Lanka meeting set targets but also with achieving overall debt sustainability. “We are not coming into power to destabilise the country, but to develop it. If renegotiations with the IMF take too long and agreements fall through, we may have to stick to the current programme. Our approach is to work with the IMF to secure a better deal, not to withdraw from it,” he clarified.

The NPP will have to govern a country that had entered into an agreement with the IMF, Dissanayake said, adding that there are no alternative routes for debt restructuring. “We have put all our eggs in the IMF basket, and discarding it would be irresponsible. We must try, and I believe we can renegotiate. However, if the costs and time required are too high, we will stick with the current programme,” he stated.



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Heat Index at Caution Level in the Western, Sabaragamuwa, Southern, Eastern, North-western, Northern and North-central provinces and in Monaragala district

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Warm Weather Advisory
Issued by the Natural Hazards Early Warning Centre
Issued at 3.30 p.m. on 31 March 2026, valid for 01 April 2026.

The Heat index, the temperature felt on human body is likely to increase up to ‘Caution level’ at some places in the Western, Sabaragamuwa, Southern, Eastern, North-western, Northern and North-central provinces and in Monaragala district.

The Heat Index Forecast is calculated by using relative humidity and maximum temperature and this is the condition that is felt on your body. This is not the forecast of maximum temperature. It is generated by the Department of Meteorology for the next day period and prepared by using global numerical weather prediction model data.

Effect of the heat index on human body is mentioned in the above table and it is prepared on the advice of the Ministry of Health and Indigenous Medical Services.

ACTION REQUIRED
Job sites: Stay hydrated and takes breaks in the shade as often as possible.
Indoors: Check up on the elderly and the sick.
Vehicles: Never leave children unattended.
Outdoors: Limit strenuous outdoor activities, find shade and stay hydrated.
Dress: Wear lightweight and white or light-colored clothing.

Note:
In addition, please refer to advisories issued by the Disaster Preparedness & Response Division, Ministry of Health in this regard as well. For further clarifications please contact 011-7446491.

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Urea shortage threatens Yala harvest: Experts

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Prof. Marambe

Govt. rations stocks as imports falter

By Ifham Nizam

The government faces a looming fertiliser crisis ahead of the 2026 Yala season, with a sharp shortfall in urea threatening paddy yields and food security.

Experts have warned that the fertiliser shortage will take its toll on the yala harvest.

With just over 100,000 tonnes of fertiliser in stock by early March—barely enough for paddy cultivation alone—and more than half of expected imports either cancelled or delayed, the government has moved to ration supplies through Agrarian Service Centres, based on last year’s consumption.

Leading crop scientist Professor Buddhi Marambe has warned that while rationing is unavoidable, it will reduce productivity. “Even last season we applied below recommended levels. This year, the gap will be worse,” he said.

Authorities are prioritising paddy, followed by maize and tea, as limited stocks are stretched across crops.

However, experts estimate yields could fall by 15–20% if nutrient shortages persist—raising the risk of higher food prices in the months ahead.

The crisis has been worsened by global disruptions, including Gulf conflict affecting fertiliser shipments and precautionary export restrictions by key suppliers, such as China.

Although the Government is pursuing deals with countries like Russia, supplies remain uncertain.

With global urea prices surging and production costs rising, smallholder farmers are expected to be the hardest hit.

“This is a wake-up call,” Prof. Marambe said, urging urgent steps to build buffer stocks and strengthen Sri Lanka’s long-term food security strategy.

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2025 property grab: Court orders JVP to hand back Yakkala office to FSP

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FSP's Nuwan Bopage addressing the media

By Shamindra Ferdinando

Frontline Socialist Party (FSP) spokesman Pubudu Jayagoda says the Gampaha Magistrate’s Court order that the ruling JVP hand back the FSP’s Kirindiwela office, grabbed by a group of JVP politicians on 02 September, 2025, has shown that the government cannot undermine the law.

Jayagoda said that the FSP had been compelled to move the court against the JVP as the Gampaha police refused to intervene due to political pressure. “They probably thought we were going to give up that office. Perhaps, the ruling party felt they could forcibly occupy other FSP offices,” Jayagoda said.

FSP’s Administrative Secretary Chamira Koswatta and trade unions, which operated from the Salmal Garden office, sought the court intervention to confirm the ownership of that building in the FSP. The court initially transferred the building to the police and issued a directive to law enforcement authorities to remove the JVP/NPP from that building.

Among the 20 respondents was Tilvin Silva, General Secretary of the JVP. Those now identified themselves as FSP quit the JVP in 2011 and later formed their own party.

Gampaha Additional Magistrate Shilani Perera on Monday ruled that the legitimate owner was the FSP. The Magistrate ruled that the FSPers had been forced out of that office, illegally.

Jayagoda said that the FSP considered the court ruling a victory for democracy and a devastating blow to the increasingly authoritarian JVP/NPP rule.

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